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1Profit Pioneers Besics to Advanced Trading Book. 1
1Profit Pioneers Besics to Advanced Trading Book. 1
Trading checklist.........................................................................................................15
Terminology................................................................................................................17
In this in-depth guide, we go through all of the stock market basics and
how you can get started trading in stocks.
At the start, the company will choose the price point that the shares
are listed at. Once the shares have been floated on the stock exchange,
the assets and earnings of the company. Investing in the share market
When you own stock in a company, you own a slice of that company
equal to the number of shares you own. For example, if you own 10
shares of (KBSH) and there are 100 shares in total, you own 10% of
Kutheli Bhukhari Small hydropower Company.
This part-ownership gives you voting rights and any potential dividend
payments.
It is important to note that when buying and selling your shares, you
are not buying or selling them directly from the company. You will
normally make your trades through a registered broker, and you will be
buying or selling your shares to another stock investor.
The prices of stock of ABC company can move higher for several
different reasons, but in the end, it all comes down to supply and
demand. If more people want to buy the shares, then the price will rise.
If more people are trying to sell, then the price will fall.
Some of the most common reasons supply and demand are affected
include;
huge role in the share price. Not only how much money the
company is making but also how much money they could make in
the future is factored into a stock's price.
● State of the Economy: Whether the economy is booming or
trending lower will have a large role in how well stock prices are
going. When we are in strong bull markets, it can be easy to find
mutual fund can bring big amount of money from the different
institution like bank, finance. When big amount of money comes
into the market there is high chances to Rise the market.
Ultimatly , there is an opposite relation between the interest rate
and stock market.
● Technical Analysis: Many investors are using technical analysis
and chart patterns for both finding and managing their stock
trades. Technical analysis doesn’t means only the reading chart,it
makes to sense of mass psychology, market sentiment and
human behaviours.
However, on the flip side, when the sellers move in and overwhelm the
buyers, we can see price sell-off quickly and aggressively lower.
It has been proven repeatedly that over long periods of time, the stock
market can generate substantial returns that are hard to beat.
When many investors think of the stock market, they either think of
trading or what it would be like to find the next Facebook or Google
before it takes off. However, to make solid profits over long periods of
time, you do not need to take such large risks looking for the next big
player.
Normally only the biggest and most profitable companies will pay out
dividends, and they will publicly declare the amount that each dividend
is going to be.
There are two common ways traders and investors take part in the
stock market.
Whilst at first glance they seem very similar, they have very different
pros and cons.
This type of trading normally involves no margin. That means if you buy
Rs 100K worth of stock, then you will need to front up the whole Rs.
100k at the time of settlement.
With this type of investing, you are looking to buy as cheap as possible
and profit as the price rises.
If you want to trade the different stocks in a NEPSE choose the best
broker with highest rating and don’t forget to get a information about
the timing of payout, provision of Non-cash collateral and How broker
Response to the client etc.
TRADING ROUTINE
TRADING STRATEGY
This post goes through the most common stock market terminology
you will need to know to start trading stocks.
Buy
Sell
To sell your shares that you own are making a profit or to try and
minimize a loss.
Bid
Ask
The ask price is the price people are looking to sell their stocks for.
The spread is the difference between the bid and ask price and what
you will be paying to your broker to make your trade.
Stock Symbol
The stock symbol represents the shortened symbol for the larger stock
name.
Annual Report
Each publicly listed company will prepare an annual report for the
market. This is a wide-ranging report showing cash holding, account
management, and the company's overall financials.
Bull
Blue-chip stocks are the largest and most significant companies listed
on the stock exchanges. These companies normally make the largest
profits and pay the biggest dividends. They are also normally the
leaders of their industries. For instances there are various stock in
NEPSE like UNL,HDL,RBCL,NTC , Which have very big potential to pay
biggest dividends.
Limit Order
Market Order
A market order is a type of order that will enter you into a trade or exit
you from your position as quickly as possible at the best available price
on offer.
Volatility
Averaging Down
Capitalization
Float
Float is the number of shares overall that can be publicly traded In daily
basis.
IPO
Secondary Offering
Day Trading
Broker
When looking to trade the stock market, you will need to use a
registered stockbroker who will buy and sell the stocks for you.
Portfolio
Index
Margin
Dividend
Companies that make large and regular profits will certain amount in
terms of cash or Share which is pay out by this particular stock to their
stockholders.
Sector
For examples. If you are engaged in a Nepal stock exchange you can see
these sector under the NEPSE .
Volume
Yield
Whilst this list goes through the most commonly used terms that you
will run into in your stock trading, it is not exhaustive, and there are
other terms you will come across.
These include less commonly used terms such as 'dead cat bounce' and
'golden cross.'
This list, however, is a good starting point and will ensure you have the
basics terms you need to start buying and selling in the stock mar
Whilst every trader needs a great trading strategy that will make them
winning trades, if you are making the same mistakes over and over
again, then you will continue to lose money.
If you risk too much, over-trade, revenge trade to get back your losses
or make other psychological mistakes like not cutting your losses small
when you should, then it does not matter how good your strategy is,
you will lose money.
These errors normally fall into two categories; errors from being greedy
and errors from being fearful.
In Nepal, just knowing technical stuff isn't enough for the stock market.
You've got to understand politics, Investor feelings, and what the
government is up to with shares market. It's like a puzzle where you
need to know who's in charge because their ideas followed by the
market moves.
PROFIT PIONEERS Page 32
Some folks think Communist parties don't like the stock market much.
They prefer putting money into things that make production rather than
just buying shares. On the other hand, Democratic parties are more into
letting capitalism do its thing, including the stock market.
But here's the twist: even within parties, certain people can make a big
difference. Take Bishnu Poudel, for example. He's from the Communist
party but was known for making the stock market bull. And then there's
Dr. Ram Saran, who didn't let politics get in the way of being good for
the stock market.
Understanding how politics affects the share market can be tricky, but
it's important for investors to keep an eye on it. If there's a new
government on the pipeline , knowing some basic things like which party
will be in charge, who the next prime minister and finance minister will
be, and whether the finance minister has a background in finance can
help predict how the markets might react.
The reason these errors are so common is because when trading we are
all dealing with either making or losing money. This brings on feelings
of greed and fear. When we are being greedy we can have a tendency
to make the same mistakes over and over again that will hurt our
results. These mistakes are not taking profit when we should, making
far too many trades than we should or risking a lot more than we
should.
When we move into fear mode another set of mistakes creep in. These
errors are normally holding onto losses for far too long instead of
quickly cutting them short or not entering the next good trade we have
found because the last trade just lost. We start doing these things
These psychological errors will continue to hold you back and stop you
making money no matter how great your trading strategy is.
Whilst many traders will try to pretend that they don't have any trading
emotions, this is actually the wrong way to get the optimum trading
mindset.
All traders deal with emotions that making and losing money throw up.
To get the best trading mindset you need to first acknowledge all of the
feelings that come with both winning and losing.
Once you begin to understand these feelings and the full range of
emotions you experience when you are trading you can begin to deal
with them.
When you start to understand how you feel when you lose you can deal
with it. Instead of pretending you feel nothing, you can actually work on
it and learn to overcome it to become a much better trader.
There are many, many different psychology tips that you could use in
your trading, but I have turned the list below into a short set of dot
points that you can remember and that will help you the most.
● Don't let the last trade stop you making your next trade.
● Always take profit at your designated profit target level. Don't get
Mass sentiment: You should always keep your eyes on the external
factors like Monetary Policy and its review, Interest rate, news that
floats on media about share market , market influencer, condition of
liquidity, real estate business and its condition, unlocking period of
promoter share etc. Because those factors directly and indirectly can
affect the market, so always do try to go with authentic sentiment not
with rumers or Boom Boom kinds of stuff.
There are many trading psychology books you can read to improve your
trading.
Whilst a lot of them are good reads, a lot of them are also incredibly
boring.
This is one of the most famous and popular trading books by the late
Mark Douglas.
The great thing about this book is that it breaks down what can be an
incredibly complicated subject and makes it easy to understand.
Douglas goes through all the mental habits and mistakes that are
constantly costing you money in your trading.
This is another book by Mark Douglas and is now also known as another
one of his classics.
This book looks closely at why traders tend to make the same mistakes
over and over again.
This is not a book you are going to finish in one sitting and it can often
take some time to go over things a few times to fully understand their
meaning.
This book includes full academic research and you will come away after
having read it with a lot of practical tips you can start using in your own
trading.
Need help with some trading psychology quotes? Here a few of the
best.
● Marty Schwartz
If you cannot control your emotions, you can’t control your money.
● Warren Buffet
● Steve Clark
● Warren Buffet
Something that can help you create an edge over the market is reading
and accurately analyzing stock charts.
A stock chart shows you a visual representation of what price has done
over a certain period of time. For example, you could be looking at a 15
minute stock chart that shows what the price is doing every 15
minutes, or you could be looking at a longer-term chart such as the
weekly chart.
Stock charts are used to quickly get an idea of what price has done in
history and what it could do in the future.
The example chart below is the daily chart of UNL showing you the
different price movements, higher and lower.
There are different charts that you can use in your stock trading that
will show you different information. They each have their pros and
cons.
Line Chart
This is the simplest of all the stock market charts. This chart also has
the least amount of information and is just one long line moving
higher and lower.
As price moves higher or lower, the line chart will be updated and
form a line.
This type of chart is good for quickly spotting potential trends and also
marking support and resistance.
The bar chart shows you more information than a line chart as it also
shows you the open, close, high, and low that price made for each
session.
In the chart below, the red candles are bearish candles where the price
has moved lower. The green candles are bullish candles where the
price has moved higher.
A er choosing the type of chart you will use, you will then want to start
analyzing these charts to find and manage trades.
Some of the most popular strategies for reading stock charts include;
Obvious trends will tend to run for long periods. Whilst every trend
has pullbacks where price makes a move against the trend until the
trend fails, it can offer high probability trades.
When using support and resistance in your trading, you can either look
for the support or resistance to bounce or for a breakout.
One of the most popular indicators in the stock market is the moving
average and, in particular, the longer-term 200 period simple moving
average.
The 200 period moving average can give you a quick indication of the
overall price trend, and it can also be used as dynamic support and
resistance.
In the example chart below, we can see that price continually stays
below the 200 period moving average. We can also see that each time
price moves higher to test this moving average, it rejects it as
resistance and moves lower.
Volume in the stock market is the amount of shares that are being
traded.
Volume can be a key indicator in the stock market, and you can use it
to find potential trades. You can also use it to confirm a potential trade
idea you had.
Platforms That Offer the Best Stock Trading Charts and Tools
To correctly analyze stock charts and their price action, you will need a
platform that has all of the tools for you to use.
When choosing your stock chart platform, you will also need to
consider the type of trading you are going to be doing and the type of
broker you want.
If you are looking to trade stocks exchange like Nepse ,Sensex then
trading view offers the best charts with all the inbuilt tools you need
for free.
The trick however when it comes to using supply and demand levels
when trading is being able to quickly and easily spot these levels to find
and then manage your trades.
In this post we go through exactly what supply and demand is and how
you can use it in your trading.
Supply and demand are simply how much something is wanted and
how much there is to offer.
Supply is the amount on offer for a certain product, asset or in the case
of trading
Forex, a currency.
However, on the flip side, if the demand increases and there is less
supply available, then people will start to pay higher prices.
If there is a large amount of demand for a certain stock, then it will rise.
however, the demand falls away and there becomes an imbalance
where there is too much supply, then just like in the real world the
price will start to fall.
The easiest way to think about this is what happens when price starts
rising rapidly in a rising market. As price begins to surge higher more
and more traders are trying to enter (an increase in demand). Because
There are many ways to spot supply and demand levels on your Forex
charts. Common ways are trendlines , support and resistance and even
However, the easiest ways for you to spot supply and demand levels on
your charts is with major support and resistance levels. These levels
where price continually bounces from show a consistent level where
price is finding an oversupply and a level where demand grows.
Price is in a constant tug of war between the buyers and sellers. This
tug of war is to figure out the supply and demand levels and ultimately
who is in control of the next move.
As price moves back higher traders start to cash out of their profitable
trades. Because traders are leaving their positions and selling out, all of
a sudden there is more supply around. What happens when there is
more supply and not as much demand? Price starts to fall back lower
again.
Whilst there are many complicated ways you can start to use supply
and demand levels in your trading, the easiest and often the best is
What does a clean price action chart mean? No indicators or any other
distractions.
Just raw price action.
See the example chart below. First you notice that price is in a trend
higher. You then want to find long trades inline with the current trend.
As this example chart shows, you get two potential trading signals to
make a long entry.
Price first pulls back into a clear demand (support) area where you
could enter long. Price then makes a second pulback into the same
demand zone before making another large move higher.
Once you have learned how to spot obvious supply and demand zones
on your charts, you can then start using them to find both high
probability trades and also manage your trades.
You can use these levels to make very high reward trades and also to
set your stop loss and profit targets.
You can also use these same levels on all time frames.
The next two examples of supply and demand trades are setups you will
see and be able to use in your trading over and over again. They form
on all time frames and repeat themselves time and again.
In the first example you identify a clear demand level. Price has clearly
found demand at this level multiple times. If you are very aggressive
you could just enter a long trade right from this level.
trade. In this example price forms a bullish engulfing bar at the demand
Just like the first example you could also use a candlestick pattern to
confirm the bearish move lower. In this example price forms a Shooting
Being able to accurately identify and use supply and demand levels can
take some time and practice.
However, there are many benefits to supply and demand trading once
you have mastered it. You can use it to find trades on all time frames
and it will also help you with your stops and profit targets.
Make sure you test out any new strategies on free demo chart. before
you ever risk any real money so you know that they work for you and
These triggers will often get you in at the best time and just as the
market is about to reverse, giving you the optimum entry price.
Buying low and selling high is universal. Some traders spend more time
thinking profoundly on entry points, whilst others believe that success
sometimes relies on how a trader exits their trades.
Knowing the value of a currency pair that will appreciate in the future
isn’t enough unless you have a clear conception of when the appreciation
will occur.
Remember the saying; “Give a man a fish, and you feed him for a day.
Teach a man to fish, and you feed him for a lifetime”.
Just like in trading, you don’t need to get the signals, but learn how to
find them and teach yourself how to actually get profits for a lifetime.
Without the mastery of trade timing and good trigger points you will
never make any profits. That’s why a trader uses charts in their daily
trading.
You can use charts to determine everything that is happening in the Forex
market. One of the most useful and common types of charts is the
candlestick chart.
It can also help an investor make wiser buy and sell decisions because
of its recognizable patterns.
A pin bar is a single candlestick setup that clues price action into
potential reversals in the market.
There is also a Fake Pin Bar that is different than the normal pin bars.
Because of the price action, you can now determine the difference
between the two. If a long wick sticks out from recent prices then it’s a pin
bar, if the long wick does not stick out then it’s not a genuine pin bar, but
rather a ‘FAKE PIN BAR’.
The nose must be at least 75% of the candle size and the candle body must
be less than 16%. (Vice Versa for a Bullish Pin Bar).
In a trending market, a pin bar entry signal can offer a better risk reward
with lower risk.
If the pin bar shows a rejection to lower prices, it’s a bullish pin bar since
the rejection shows the bulls or buyers are pushing price higher.
Aggressive - High Potential Reward and Risk: 50% Retrace This entry
involves taking a 50% retrace of the pin bar or other reversal candles
wick.
For this entry you would be setting a trade entry and waiting for price to
move higher or lower 50% in the opposite direction of where you actually
want price to go for your trade.
You do this to get a much tighter stop loss and potentially higher reward
pay off.
With this entry type you are creating a trade entry and waiting for price
to break higher or lower, above or below the pin bars high or low.
Price is then breaking in the direction that you are looking for price to
move.
This is lower risk, but can create bigger stops that will give you lower
reward.
Engulfing Bar
Engulfing Bar= EB’s, also known as Outside Bars = OB’s are one of the most
widely used strategies in Forex trading and stock market. EB’s can
generate very accurate and reliable signals if identified and understood
correctly.
Both Bullish and Bearish Engulfing Bars have a “lower low” and “higher
high” like the preceding candle.
Inside Bar = IB
One of the most familiar candlestick patterns is the inside bar. It forms
when price trades within the high and low ranges of a previous day.
The best IB’s are made in trending markets with the direction of the
trend.
In this example, the market was trending higher so the inside bar would
be referred to as the inside bar buy signal.
The most commonly used entry with the inside bar is to place a buy stop
or sell stop at the high or low of the mother bar. This way your entry
order is filled when price breaks out above or below the mother bar to
confirm you move and to miss as many false inside bar moves as possible.
Resistance zones are the opposite to support zones and are levels in the
market where price is finding more sellers and less demand; in other
words, price is finding resistance.
Resistance zones can be great spots to target bearish reversal trades or to
use with your exits.
Trend lines
There are 3 different types of markets. These are the uptrend (higher
highs and lows), downtrend (lower highs and lows), and sideways trends
(ranging).
You should not try and make the line fit the market.
So how can you draw them? It's easy! Locate a minimum three major
points that align higher or lower.
Below are some of the most popular and commonly used stop loss
strategies.
As a result, when price hits your stop loss, the pin bar setup will turn out
to be invalid.
Remember that the market is just notifying you that your pin bar setup
was not strong enough, don’t ever think that it’s a bad thing when price
hits the stop loss.
Inside Bar Stop Loss Strategy
The inside bar stop-loss strategy gives you two options on where you can
place a stop-loss.
It can either be behind the inside bars high or low or even behind the
mother bars high or low.
If you want a lower risk inside bar stop loss strategy, then it’s behind the
mother bars high or low. Just like the pin bar stop loss strategy, the inside
bar setup becomes invalid once hit.
With this strategy you will use support and resistance levels, previous
highs and lows, moving averages, trend lines, and channels to find an
appropriate stop level.
The good thing about confluence stops is that they are often used at
obvious price levels in the market.
Note: If price repeatedly takes out your stops by just a few points, add
more confluence levels or add a little padding to place your stops outside
the stop hunting zone.
In times of high volatility, you should widen your targets to counter the
reduced effect on reward: risk ratio.
If the volatility is low then you should set closer targets because price won’t
travel as far.
Final Thoughts
Use price action patterns for entry according to your own risk tolerance and
how aggressive you are as a trader.
Always remember to use a stop loss and always test new strategies on a
good demo trading platform first .
Some of the most explosive and also profitable trades are breakout
trades. The reason for this is because just before price breaks out of an
area it is often tightly contained. When price eventually does breakout
it can often then explode in a large move.
When you are making a breakout trade you are looking for price to
'break' through a key level in the market.
The two most common levels traders will look for breakout trades are
through support and resistance levels and through trendlines.
As a breakout trader you are looking to enter a trade when price breaks
a key level and make a profit as price continues on with the break.
Breakout trading can be done on all time frames and on nearly every
market.
When breakout trading you have uncapped profit potential. This means
that unlike a strategy such as range trading where you are trading back
into a support or resistance level, you are trading out of a support and
resistance level. This allows you to make a trade that could run into a
very large winning trade.
Whilst there are a lot of advantages to breakout trading, there are also
some very real risks.
The example below shows exactly what happens when a breakout trade
quickly turns into a fake out. This happens when price attempts to
breakout of a key level, but quickly snaps back and stops all of the
breakout traders out.
The most important thing to breakout trading and what new breakout
traders often struggle is first finding a major level.
You need to be able to first identify that the potential breakout level
has been respected as a support or resistance level on multiple
occasions.
See the example below. Before breaking out higher price had respected
the obvious resistance level twice. This sets up a clear breakout trade
when price moves up higher and looks to re-test the same level on a
third occasion.
Once you have found an obvious level that price has been contained
within such as a key support or resistance level, then you can start
looking for your breakout setups.
The main thing you want to keep in mind when looking for intraday
breakout trades is that you want to trade with the momentum on your
side.
For Example: see the chart example below. Once you notice price has
rejected an obvious support level on multiple occasions, then you can
start looking for breakout trades lower.
If you missed this first trade you could take the second chance entry
when price retests the old breakout area and it holds as a role reversal
and new resistance level.
The same strategy used to find intraday breakouts can be used to trade
breakouts on higher time frames.
These higher time frames can be as long term as you like, for example;
daily, weekly or even the monthly time frame.
In the example below, price breaks and importantly closes out of the
key support level. This is the first chance to take a short breakout trade.
After selling off lower price then makes a move back higher and retests
the same old support level that price previously broke out of. This is a
high probability level to look for new short trades as these levels will
often hold as role reversal levels just like this level held as a new
resistance level.
Breakout trading can be fast paced, exciting and it can also offer you
very high reward winning trades.
With that said, it can also come with a lot of risks if you have not
practiced your chosen breakout strategy and mastered it.
There is a very real risk of making breakout trades that quickly turn into
'fakeouts' with you quickly being stopped out.
best thing you can do is get a set of free demo trading charts and test
out different breakout trading strategies to see what suits you the best.
Whilst there are many charting patterns you can use, some of the most
popular repeat over and over again. They form on all time frames and
you can use them in many different markets from Forex to stocks.
In this post we go through exactly what chart patterns are and how you
can start using them in your own trading.
Chart patterns are not formed with just one or two candlesticks and are
created over longer periods of time. They will normally show you a
bigger reversal that is being formed or a larger trend that is being
shaped.
Just because they are formed with more sessions and candlesticks does
not mean that you have to use them for longer forms of trading only.
There are many patterns you can use for short term trading and
patterns that can also be used to make intraday or scalp trades.
You can use chart patterns in different ways in your trading, but the
most popular is to find and then make high probability trade entries.
This is the same reason why the same patterns continue to form over
and over again. Traders do the same things over and over again in the
markets which creates the same patterns.
You can use this knowledge to your advantage by finding and then
trading these patterns to make profitable trades.
your own trading. Just like the endless amount of indicators you can
find and use, you don't need to know them all to be profitable.
The head and shoulders is quite possibly the most popular of all the
chart patterns.
Once you know how to identify it you will start to see it on all your
charts and time frames and you will see how profitable it can be. When
done correctly this pattern can be incredibly reliable.
The head and shoulders pattern are formed with three peaks and a
neckline. The first peak is shoulder one or the 'left shoulder'. The
second peak is the head and the third peak is the right shoulder.
This pattern is formed with two peaks and a neckline. For example; with
a double top we need to see price form two peaks rejecting the same
resistance level.
For a double bottom we need to see price forming two swing lows
rejecting the same support level.
Entry is normally taken when price breaks higher or lower through the
neckline.
Charting patterns are not just for the higher time frames and you can
use them for both day trading and intraday trading.
The most commonly used pattern that is used by everyone from the big
banks right down to the smallest retail trader is support and resistance.
When using support and resistance you are either looking to buy / sell
the bounce, or buy / sell the breakout.
When buying or selling the bounce you are looking for the support or
resistance level to hold and for price to make a reversal.
When buying or selling the breakout you are looking for a key support
or resistance area to break.
Another very popular pattern that can be used on all time frames and in
many different markets is role reversal trading.
With role reversal trading you are using support and resistance levels,
but you are looking for these levels to change their roles.
See the example chart below. At first price finds this level as a support
level. Price then breaks lower. When price makes a new move back
higher you are watching to see if the old support level will hold as a role
reversal and new resistance level. If it does you can look for short
trades.
You can use these role reversals as old support / new resistance and
vice versa, old resistance and new support levels.
We have only gone through a few of the popular chart patterns in this
post. There are many you can learn and use in your trading.
Keep in mind you don't need to know them all and finding one or two
that you like the best and then mastering them will often be the best
way.
Make sure you test out these patterns and any other new strategies on
free demo / virtual trading charts first before you ever risk any real
In this post, we discuss exactly what channel trading is and the best
strategies to use it.
When trading a channel, you use parallel lines connecting the swing
highs and swing lows of a market's support and resistance.
The swing highs that are marked by the trendline are known as the
channel's resistance levels. The swing lows that are connected to create
the channel become the support level.
You can use a channel to find support and resistance as the price
continues to move higher or lower, and you can use it to find potential
breakout trades.
Whilst there are other strategies that are used with channels such as
the break and retest and the horizontal strategy, four popular
strategies are;
With this channel, price is making higher highs and higher lows.
Once you have done this, you can begin to look for both long and short
trades depending on how aggressive you are.
The higher probability trades are always with the trend. This means
looking to take long trades from the support of the channel when the
price moves into the low.
With this type of channel, price is making a series of lower highs and
lower lows that you will be able to connect with your trendlines.
The two ways you could look to trade the descending channel depend
on how aggressive you are.
If you are more aggressive, you may consider looking to trade against
the trend and look for long bullish trades when the price moves into the
channel's support level.
With this strategy, you are looking for the channel to break and take
advantage of the possible explosive momentum.
As the example shows below, the price holds the ascending breakout
before finally making a strong breakout higher.
Importantly price also made a strong close above the upper trendline
area.
One other thing to note is that the longer the channel holds, the
stronger the breakout will be when it occurs.
You will o en see price pop above or below the channel support or
resistance before snapping back in the opposite direction right back
into the channel.
As the example shows below, the price was in a channel moving lower.
The price tested the resistance of the channel before popping out just
higher. It then snapped back lower, forming a bearish engulfing bar to
signal a potential false break and lower prices.
Just like in this example, you can use your Japanese candlesticks when
looking for potential channel trade entries.
with your computer mouse. Drag the trendline until you are
happy with how it is positioned on your chart.
● Repeat this last step to create the second part of the channel.
If you understand and can draw your trendlines correctly, then they
can be an incredibly accurate technical analysis weapon.
There are some key rules to marking your trendlines correctly and a
lot of traders struggle at times with forcing the markets and placing
their trendlines in the wrong areas.
You are looking at where price may stop and respect the trendline as a
support or resistance.
Before explaining how you can use your trendlines, we need to know
the three types of markets;
You can use trendlines to find support and resistance in each of these
three markets.
In most of the major lessons you will find discussing trendlines and
how to mark them, people discuss using only two swing points.
There is a pretty large flaw in this way of marking trendlines. If you use
only two swing points, then you could find a trendline anywhere on
the chart at any time. This does not make it a reliable support or
resistance level and somewhere you should look to find trades, it just
makes it two random points connecting.
This shows that price has continually respected a level and is not just a
random point.
The easiest way for you to mark your trendlines in all three market
types is to find the recent swing highs and lows.
Using your charts trendline tools, see if these highs and lows match.
Just like a normal horizontal support and resistance level, the market
will false break a trend line.
Also keep in mind when marking your trendlines that they are not
perfect exact lines. Trendlines are zones of support and resistance and
zones where you are going to look for trades.
There are three major trading opportunities that you can keep an eye
out for when using a trendline in your trading;
Price action traders will increase their odds of making winning trades
by using other strategies such as Japanese candlesticks to confirm that
price is looking to indeed reverse.
In this move higher or lower you have both a trendline for support and
resistance that you can use to trade the ‘channel’.
When channel trading you could trade both long and short for as long
as the channel holds.
There are two major ways you can look to play a trendline breakout.
The first is the most aggressive and involves watching and waiting for
the trendline to break. When you see price has broken and closed
With this strategy you are looking to see if the trendline support or
resistance that has been broken holds as a new support / resistance
for you to enter a trade. See example below;
Make sure you find three clear points of reference and to increase
your odds use other strategies like Japanese candlesticks and your
favorite indicators.
These indicators are the best way for you to forecast financial market
direction based on its historic price, volume, and even future contracts.
As a trader, you probably want the most effective and common
indicator that you can use on your trading basis.
One of the best indicators out there is called the “Moving Average”.
Moving Averages are used widely by traders on their price action charts
because they can track and identify trends by smoothing the markets
fluctuations.
price action and it can also identify the predominant trend in a market.
They can also be used to provide dynamic support and resistance levels
It may also be calculated for any sequential data sets, opening and
closing prices, high and low price, trading volume, or any other
indicators.
For example; a 10-day SMA would add together the closing prices for
the last 10 days and then divide the total number by 10; a simple
arithmetic mean. Each time a new period occurs, the moving average
moves forward dropping its first data point and adding the newest one.
The difference between the SMA and EMA is that SMAs look at all data
equally while EMAs will factor recent market moves higher in weight.
EMAs also react faster to recent price changes than SMAs.
Moving Averages allows you to look at the data smoothly rather than
focusing on daily price fluctuations from all financial markets. The time
frame plays a significant role on how effective your moving average will
be.
This moving average length can be applied to any of your chart time
frames depending on your time horizon. Additionally, the time frame or
length that you chose for the “look back period” can also play a big role
on how effective it is.
You can get the 200 moving average by taking the securities closing
price over the last 200 days.
[(Day 1 + Day 2 + Day 3 + Day 4 + Day 5 + …. + Day 198 + Day 199 + Day
200) / 200]
Just like the 200-Day moving average, the 50-Day moving average is one
of the most popular technical indicators that investors use for
predicting and tracking price trends.
50-Day moving averages are widely used because they work so well. It is
calculated with a security’s average closing price over the last 50 days.
200 EMA is a very popular forex indicator because it can tell you what
the trend is before entering a trade.
There are things you need to know about the 200 EMA. It is used to
separate bull territory from bear territory. To help you start you need to
know that;
● The best way to enter it is to use price action by the help of price
acton charts as it tells you where to place a stop order and use
uptrend or a downtrend.
● After that, switch at 4 hour chart. You need to see where the 200
chart when the trend on 1 hour chart is the same as your 4 hour
and daily charts.
Known as the most basic type of signal, crossovers are the most favored
among traders as they remove all emotions.
Trend Analysis
It is easy to notice that the falling asset of a price will stop and reverse
its direction like the same level as an average. Stocks will often reverse
either up or down at price levels that are close in proximity to popular
MA’s as these levels are acting as confirmation levels.
Recap
Bollinger Bands were created by John Bollinger in the 1980s and are
one of the most popular and widely used technical analysis indicators in
Cryptocurrencies and stocks exchange like Nepse ,Sensex etc they can
also be used on all time frames.
In this post we go through how you can set them up on your charts and
three easy strategies you can use to trade with them.
Bollinger Bands are created by three ‘bands’; the upper, middle and
lower band.
The lower band is created by taking the middle band minus twice the
standard deviation.
Upper band: Created from middle band plus two standard deviations.
Lower band: Created from middle band minus two standard deviations.
A lot of traders will use these bands and look for price to revert back
the middle band or to the mean.
When combining these ‘tags’ of the band with other technical analysis
such as support and resistance trendlines they can provide solid trade
entry points.
However, if price goes on a long trending run, then we can see long
periods where price does not move back to the mean and middle band.
If you are trying to trade looking for price to reverse back into the mean
and middle band in these market conditions it can lead to endless stop-
outs.
Bollinger Bands react to price as it is being created in live time. They will
constrict and expand as price moves depending on what the price
action is doing.
When all the bands are clearly under the 50 EMA you could look for
short trades. The opposite would be true if price was trending higher
and all the bands were above the 50 EMA.
See the example below of the clear trend lower with all the bands
below the 50
EMA.
Because Bollinger Bands can be used on many markets and on all time
frames, they can make a great tool for scalping.
They can also be a good indicator to find scalp trades because if done
right they will help you find fast moving markets where there could be
potential for high reward trades.
There are a lot of potential strategies you could test in your own
trading, but one scalping strategy is to combine Bollinger Bands with
another moving average such as the 50 EMA.
EMA price can make sharp moves. When price is making these sharp
move, it will often not revert to the mean and middle band for some
time.
When price closes above the upper band entry is taken. When price
closes back below the middle band the trade is closed.
First make sure you have the correct and best charts to use Bollinger
Bands.
Once you have your charts open click “Insert” > “Indicators” >
“Bollinger Bands”.
Lastly
Whilst Bollinger bands can be excellent for gauging the strength of the
market, the trend and if a market is overbought or oversold, they
should not be used alone.
When making trades with Bollinger Bands you always want to take into
account the overall market conditions. Using ‘tags’ of the upper and
lower bands for entries may work well in ranging markets, but during
strong trends it could see you take a lot of losses.
a demo trading account to make sure you are profitable with them
There are different types of Momentum oscillator a trader can use, and
the MACD is one of the most popular. In this guide we are going to
What is MACD?
Whilst there are different types of indicators you can use in your
trading including lagging leading and confirmation, the MACD uses the
difference between short-term price and long-term price action trends
to anticipate future movements.
The MACD has three major components that are used to give signals;
The most commonly used MACD parameters are “12, 26, 9”, here’s
how to interpret it.
Faster-moving average:
Slower-moving average:
● Calculation
MACD Line:
MACD Histogram:
Your MACD line is the 12-day exponential moving average (EMA) less
the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA). You can use closing
price for this moving average. The 9-day EMA acts as a signal line and
identifies turns because it is plotted with the indicator.
For the histogram, it represents the difference between MACD and its
9-day EMA
(Signal Line). If the MACD line is above its Signal Line then its positive
and if the
MACD line is below its Signal Line, then it is negative.
Remember
The typical settings used as MACD parameters are “12, 26, 9”. You can
substitute other values depending on your preference and goals.
MACD has two moving averages with different speeds. In other words,
one will be quicker to react to price swing movement than the other
one.
If a new trend occurs, the fast line will start to cross the slower line. For
this reason, the fast line will diverge or move away from the slower
line, often indicating a new trend.
Terminology
Cross over
Signal-line Crossovers
As shown above, the chart clearly shows how a buy entered after the
bullish crossover can be profitable. This strategy can also be used to
manage or close a short entry.
Center-line Crossover
When the MACD line moves above the zero line to turn positive, then a
bullish center-line crossover occurs. This occurs when the 12-day EMA
moves above the 26-day EMA.
Divergence
This shows a point where the MACD does not follow price action and
deviates. When the price action makes a new low, but the MACD does
not confirm with a new low, then it is a “positive divergence” or “bullish
divergence”.
When the price of a security makes a new low, but the MACD does not
confirm with a new high, then it is a “negative divergence” or “bearish
divergence”.
The Money flow index – MFI is a type of oscillator that uses both
price and volume on measuring buy and sell pressure. It generates
less buy and sell signals compared to other oscillators, for the reason
that the money flow index requires both price movements and surge to
make extreme readings.
The chart above is 1 day chart of Nepal stock exchange (NEPSE). The
Red circle is the moment when the MFI is signaling that NEPSE is in
You hold your position until the MACD lines cross in a bearish direction
as shown in the highlighted red circle on the MACD.
It can generate a trade signal when the fast line crosses the MACD and
the price of a security breaks through the TEMA. You will exit positions
whenever you receive contrary signals from both indicators.
As shown above, the price increases and you get your first closing signal
from the MACD in about 5 hours. The price of twitter breaks the 50-
period TEMA in a bearish direction after 20 minutes and you close your
position. As can be seen, it generated a profit of 75 cents per share.
This gives you the tighter and more secure exit strategy. You exit the
market right after the trigger line breaks.
You will enter and exit the market only when you receive a signal from
the MACD, confirmed by the awesome oscillator.
Below is the 1 day chart of . The two highlighted green circles are
signals that indicate to open a long position. The Awesome Oscillator
gives you a contrary signal after going long.
The best thing about the MACD indicator is that it brings together
momentum and trends into one indicator.
As has been noted, you can calculate it by using the difference between
two moving averages.
The Fibonacci sequence (simply called Fibonacci) is the term used when
Fibonacci has become a powerful tool in Forex and other CFD trading.
The Fibonacci levels, with the help of its retracements, targets, and
extensions, are one of the best tools to use in technical analysis.
The strong support and resistance levels (swing points) on the Fibonacci
are exact and easy to find. In general, Fibonacci offers clearly defined
The key Fibonacci ratios used in the division are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%,
61.8%, and 100%.
After identifying these levels, you can draw horizontal lines and uses
them to identify possible support and resistance levels. This makes it
easier to identify possible entry and exit points on a chart.
The settings are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level of the settings
is associated with a percentage, and the percentage indicates how
much the price has retraced from the previous move.
In Forex and other financial markets, the Fibonacci extension levels help
traders to provide price levels of support and resistance.
However, they are mostly used to calculate how far the price of an
underlying asset can travel after a retracement is done. This means that
Fibonacci retracement levels are used to know when to enter a trend,
while the Fibonacci extension levels are used to identify the end of that
trend.
Traders looking for reversals might also use the 161.8% extension level
to enter a counter-trend trade.
However, this technique is most suited to advanced traders with years
of experience under their belt.
After choosing the three points, the traders draw lines at the
percentages of that move. The first point indicates the start of a move,
the second point shows the end of the move, while the third point is
the end of the retracement against the move.
Traders that use the Fibonacci retracement strategy expect that the
price of an asset has a high chance of bouncing from the Fibonacci
levels back in the direction of the earlier set trend.
See the example below. Price is in a trend higher and so trend traders
are looking for long trades.
Using the Fibonacci tools, they see that price has moved back lower
into the 50% retracement point.
This offers potential long trading opportunities to get a long position
with the trend.
Ralph Nelson Elliott created the theory a er observing that price tends
to move in repetitive patterns and waves. He would then use these
patterns to predict the future of where prices could move.
In this post, we go through exactly what Elliott wave trading is and how
you can use it in your own trading.
The Elliott wave principle believes that trending markets will normally
move in five waves and then against the trend with three waves.
The five movements with the trend are referred to as motive waves,
and the moves against the trend are called corrective waves.
The Elliott wave trading system has set rules that must be met.
These include;
● The second wave does not retrace 100% of the first wave.
Normally this retracement will not move past the 61.8% Fibonacci
level.
● The fourth wave does not retrace past100% of the third wave.
● The third wave has to move beyond the high or low of the first
wave.
The two main patterns that the Elliott wave follows are the motive
phase and the corrective phase.
Motive Waves
When using Elliott wave in your trading, you are looking for a five-way
motive phase.
The chart above shows that when the price makes this motive phase, it
has three waves higher, with two short pullbacks lower.
Corrective Waves
The corrective phase moves into action with three moves. Instead of
being numbers, these moves are referred to as A, B and C moves.
Because the Elliott wave theory is that price moves in certain patterns,
you can combine them with many other strategies and indiactors.
The basic principle of the Elliott wave is that over any set time frame,
the price will tend to trend in the same ways.
You can use these movements and patterns to find high probability
trades and look for a trend to make its next move.
As we go through below, you can look to make and manage your trades
using these Elliott wave movements.
Whilst you will have to manually plot and mark your Elliott wave
movements, you can also use an Elliott wave oscillator.
The Elliott wave oscillator uses the difference between the faster
moving 5-period moving average and the slower moving 35-period
moving average.
When the price is trending higher, then the oscillator will show as
green. This is because the faster moving 5 period moving average has
been stronger than the slow-moving 35 period moving average.
When the price turns bearish, the oscillator will flip lower because the 5
moving average is moving lower compared to 35 moving average.
While you can use many different strategies to find and manage your
trades with Elliott wave, the simplest is to follow the patterns.
A er we notice these legs have successfully been formed in line with the
rules, we are looking for a new trade with the trend.
Step #2: Look for Potential Long Entries Aer Move Four
As price is making the fourth wave of the Elliott wave, we are looking
for a new entry. In the example below, we can see that we start to look
for long trades as the price is making its fourth wave lower.
As the price moves into the 50% Fibonacci level we could start to look
for long trades.
You could also fine-tune your entry with other confirmation, such as
bullish candlestick patterns.
As the price moves above the high of wave three, we could look to take
our profit.
Note that this indicator does not mark the Elliott waves for you. It is
designed so you can quickly market the number and letters of each
phase.
If you have ever had any interest in the financial markets, you have no
doubt seen a price chart before.
This post will analyze a specific chart pattern known as the ABCD
pattern. We examine how to use this pattern, its variations, and a
couple of useful indicators that you can use when trading this pattern
on the markets.
Of all the various price patterns that exist, the ABCD pattern is among
the easiest to identify. As you might have deduced from the name, the
pattern consists of four separate parts: A, B, C, and D.
If you can predict when a trend reversal will occur, you can use that
information to your advantage by entering either long or short
positions before the reversal. Let’s examine some possible entry and
exit points using the ABCD pattern.
In a bearish ABCD pattern, you would be looking for the price to rise
initially from (A) to a new high of the day (B). A er the price reaches (B),
you would be waiting for a dip back down to support (C). The support
(C) should be higher than the initial point (A). Once support has been
established at (C), you are almost ready to enter a short position. The
price should begin to rise from its support at (C) up to a new high. This
new high is (D). Once the price reaches (D), this is the optimal point to
enter a short position.
If the pattern holds, the trend should reverse at (D), and your short
position should become possible.
As a general rule, your exit target should be twice as much as your risk.
Therefore, if you enter a RS.100 position and have a stop loss order
should be at rs.90, your take-profit order should be at Rs.120, double
the amount you stand to lose.
XABCD Pattern
The XABCD patterns are similar trend reversals to the original ABCD
pattern. There are numerous XABCD patterns, but the four most
popular patterns are:
1. Gartley.
2. Butterfly.
3. Crab.
4. Bat.
As with the bullish ABCD pattern, the bearish pattern begins with a
sharp move to the upside. The pattern is essentially the opposite of
the bullish pattern, rising where the bull pattern falls and falling where
the bull pattern rises. At (D), the uptrend should reverse and begin to
turn into a downtrend.
For those of you who are trading using the different platform, custom
ABCD pattern indicators built into the platform can help you identify
these patterns more easily. You can find a link to download the ABCD
pattern indicator below.
You can use the average true range (ATR) in multiple scenarios in your
trading including helping you find appropriate profit targets and where
to set your stop loss to suit the market conditions.
The ATR is shown in pip amounts for Forex or dollar amounts for other
markets. For example; a reading of 0.50 would mean 50 pips in the
Forex market.
The standard setting for the ATR range is 14 and can be used on any
time frame you choose.
another . If an asset has a higher price, then it will have a larger ATR
To calculate the ATR range over a certain time period, the 'true range' is
first calculated.
If you are using the standard 14 day time period you can then use this
information to calculate the ATR on a monthly, weekly, daily or intraday
time frame.
A box will then open with the standard settings that you can change to
suit your needs. These include the color that the ATR will show in and
the time period that the true range will average over.
Whilst the ATR is not an indicator you're going to use to find new trade
signals . it is an indicator that you can use to find better profit targets
The ATR will highlight the different market conditions and help you
identify when they are changing allowing you to set larger stops or look
for bigger profits.
A lot of traders are using a form of Risk reward with their stop loss and
The ATR can be used to help you identify potential profit targets and
also work out if a trade entry is suitable.
If you find a potential trade that has a very large ATR, then you know
price is more likely to make a large move. If you get your trade call
correct you can use this information to set a larger target.
You can also use the ATR to spot trades that you should stay clear of
because they have a small ATR and do not have a high chance of
meeting your risk reward criteria.
The average true range is commonly used for setting a stop loss and
also trailing a stop loss.
You could also use this strategy for trailing your stop. If price moved in
your favor and you were looking to lock in profits you could use a
multiple of the ATR to trail your stop higher or lower behind the current
price.
Conclusion
Whilst the ATR is not an indicator that will help you find trades or spot
the market trend like a moving average, it can help you identify the
You can then use this information to your advantage by either passing
on trades, or when a suitable trade is found, setting appropriate stops
and targets.
The ATR is best used with your other tools and trading strategies
including your price action trading systems.
Have you ever noticed that even in the strongest of trends price will
always make rotations? This is known as mean reversion or price
reverting back to the mean.
When mean reversion trading you are making trades on the assumption
that price will revert to the ‘mean’.
Even in the very strongest of trends either higher or lower price will
make rotations. For example; in a strong trend higher price will still
make rotations lower before then continuing with the trend higher.
higher it is still rotating back lower before then making the next leg
higher.
There are many different strategies you may use to momentum trade,
but you are looking for price to continue with the current momentum.
When mean reversion trading you are looking for price to revert back to
the mean. This means that if price has made an extended leg higher you
would be looking for a rotation back lower and a pullback into value.
forex market. This is because Forex pairs can often make very large
moves that will see regular rotations back towards the mean.
The chart example below shows price continually moving back lower
and into the mean level of the moving average even after some
incredibly powerful moves higher.
PROFIT PIONEERS Page 218
Mean reversion trading will often be higher risk because you will be
making trades against the current momentum.
You will often be looking to pick a market top or bottom and you will
also be looking for price to reverse its current direction.
One of the simplest and easiest indicators to use for mean reversion
trading is the exponential moving average.
PROFIT PIONEERS Page 219
When you combine two moving averages and look for the ‘cross’ you
can begin to look for very simple and high probability mean reversion
trading setups.
to trade with the momentum, but instead are looking for a rotation
Whilst a lot of traders use moving average crossovers to find trend and
momentum trades, they can also be used to find mean reversion
trades.
The easiest way to do this is to use the 200 and 50 period moving
average.
As the chart shows below; when the 50 period moving average crosses
below the 200 period moving average we are looking to take long
trades.
When the 50 period moving average crosses back above the 200 period
moving average we are looking to take profit.
The best markets are the markets making strong moves either higher or
lower and that are not stuck in ranges.
This is a higher risk mean reversion trading strategy that comes with
higher potential rewards.
With this short-term Intraday strategy , you are using small time frames
The key is finding markets or Forex pairs that have made a strong trend
or move higher or lower.
Once you have found a market that has made this large move you are
looking to use a simple Japanese reversal candlestick patterns such as
the hammer candlestick pattern to time your entry and make quick
profits as price reverts to the mean.
forming the Hammer candlestick. Price then moves back higher and
Note how this hammer is formed at a support level. You can increase
the odds of your trades with this trading strategy by making your trades
at key market levels.
Bar charts, candlestick charts, and line charts are the three most
In this post we look at exactly what the Heikin Ashi is and how you can
use it.
Traders use the Heikin Ashi to get information such as when to stay in a
trend trade or if it's time to get out because the trend has reversed.
The Heikin Ashi has a few differences with the traditional candlestick
chart.
This isn't the case with the traditional candlestick charts where colors
are different even if the price is moving strongly in one direction, but
price just moves slightly lower for one session.
Heikin Ashi shares some features with the normal candlestick charts.
Heiken Ashi is designed to show you the direction of a trend with the
help of its color-coded candles. A green candle indicates that the trend
is up, while a red candle is a sign that the trend is down.
The major thing to keep an eye on when using a Heikin Ashi chart to
determine the trend strength is wickless or shadowless candlesticks.
The candlesticks that don't have a wick or shadow on one end are
referred to as "shaved candles." Depending on the end that lacks the
shadow, there is a name for each type of a shaved candlestick.
The Heiken Ashi is an excellent trading strategy for reading the price
Heikin Ashi
This is a free indicator from trading view. The Heikin Ashi comes with
chart settings that allow you to choose how the chart should be
displayed.
PROFIT PIONEERS Page 235
The charts support both colors and line graphs. You will get to set the
time frame you wish to view along with being able to use it on any
market or Forex pair.
The best way to understand this Heikin Ashi indicator is to take a hands
on approach and play around with it.
There are many chart patterns that you can use for technical analysis,
and some of the most popular are harmonic patterns.
These patterns offer a way for you to establish where the key market
turning points will occur. They also provide you with levels that may act
as new potential reversal zones, allowing you to enter reversal trades.
When you have correctly identified a high probability harmonic pattern
you will be able to enter your trade in a highly profitable reversal zone
with little risk.
The projection and retracement levels that are derived using the high
and low swing points will give you key price levels that you can place
both your stops and targets.
The Butterfly pattern was first created by Bryce Gilmore and it is similar
to the
Gartley pattern. The bullish butterfly indicates that traders should buy
an asset. The bearish butterfly indicated a new potential sell trade.
Butterfly patterns are important because they help you identify the end
of the current move.
Crab pattern
The crab pattern was created by Scott Carney. This particular pattern is
considered one of the most precise harmonic patterns. The crab pattern
provides reversals in very close proximity to what the Fibonacci
numbers show. This pattern is similar to the Butterfly pattern, but
differs in its measurement.
Bat Pattern
Scott Carney also invented the Bat Pattern in the early 2000s. This
pattern is similar to the Gartley pattern because it is a continuation and
retracement pattern that is usually formed when a trend temporarily
reverses its direction, but stays on its original course.
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Shark pattern
This is one of the newer harmonic patterns and was founded in 2011.
This pattern gets its name because of its steep outside lines and shallow
dip in the middle that when formed on a chart resemble a dorsal fin.
Cypher pattern
The Cypher pattern uses Fibonacci ratios lesser than one. When this
pattern is formed it creates a steeper visual appearance compared to
the other harmonic patterns. This pattern has five touch points and four
waves or legs between them. The touch points on this pattern are
reversal levels.
There are many different harmonic pattern scanners available that you
can use and that will automatically find all the harmonic patterns,
however the easiest to use is by Trading View for the international
To use the harmonic pattern scanner with TradingView all you have to
do is open their charts, select indicators, search for 'harmonic patterns'
and add it to your chart. All of the different patterns will now start to be
scanned for and added as they are formed.
In this post we look at exactly what momentum trading is and how you
can use it to find high probability trades.
When momentum trading you are looking to find markets that have
already made a clearly defined move either higher or lower.
See the chart example below; price is making a strong move higher. In
this example we could have looked to buy with the strong momentum
and make a profit as prices continue to rise.
Whilst there is always the risk that the trend will bend and reverse,
looking to trade with the trend and momentum will often add
confluence to your trading setup.
One of the best markets to momentum trade is the Forex market and
stock market. The reason for this is because it is a 24 hour market and
can make some large moves on the back of explosive volatility.
Another large bonus is that you can be in and out of your positions
quickly with very low costs.
The Forex market and other stock market allows you to scan and
monitor many different pairs and many different time frames from the
monthly to the one minute charts.
This involves looking for trades on smaller time frames such as the five
minute or
15minute time frames.
If trading higher time frames such as the 4 hour or daily charts you will
often be holding trades for days on end and then also be faced with
costs such as rollover.
Trading the smaller time frames such as the 15 minute charts will also
present you with far more trading opportunities over many different
markets because the trends are changing far quicker.
Two of the simplest ways to find momentum trading setups are to look
for momentum Breakout trades or use an indicator.
The reason the moving average is so popular is because it can show you
when a trend is forming and also when strong momentum is building.
As
the EMA’s begin to widen we can see that the trend and momentum
get stronger and it becomes a potential market to start looking for
momentum trades.
Most traders want to get into the market at the best price. This is no
different with momentum trading.
The first step to doing this is identifying when price is making a strong
momentum move. The chart example below highlights this with a
strong move lower.
Very lastly, always test any new strategies, systems or indicators on free
demo / vitual charts to make sure you are successful with them before
This trading guide takes an in-depth look at what divergence is, the
different types of divergences, and how to trade divergence in the most
efficient way.
What is Divergence?
For example, we have a divergence signal if the price moves up, but the
indicator moves down or vice-versa.
Divergence doesn’t say when the reversal will happen, but it’s an early
warning sign that the price might actually reverse soon.
To really dig deeper into the market, traders need to understand the
foundation of how price in any market moves.
The concept of successful trading is to buy low and sell high. In other
words, you have to buy when the price is making a new low and sell
when the price makes a new high.
The concept of divergence can help traders distinguish when it’s a good
idea to buy at a new low and sell at a new high. This is done by studying
the divergence signals – the mismatch between the price and the
technical indicator.
● Hidden divergence.
Regular Divergence
The hidden divergence doesn’t differ that much from the regular
divergence. For a hidden divergence to happen, we need to see a
mismatch between the price and the technical indicator similar to
regular divergence.
Just like the regular divergence, we can distinguish two different types
of hidden divergence:
Divergence Indicator
Usually, momentum oscillators like the RSI, Stochastic, MACD, etc., are
o en used by retail traders to spot those instances where the price of an
asset and the indicator fails to converge.
The same way the price of an asset moves up and down, establishing
peaks and valleys, technical indicators converge or diverge from the
price making equivalent peaks and valleys.
The MACD, stochastic, and RSI indicators work best to identify regular
divergence.
Divergence RSI
With the RSI indicator, traders can identify both regular divergences
and hidden divergences.
Traders can look for long positions if they spot regular RSI bullish
divergence or hidden RSI bullish divergence. Conversely, traders can
look for sell positions if they can identify regular RSI bearish divergence
or hidden RSI bearish divergence.
A er forming the lower low on the price chart, the prevailing trend
reversed from bearish to bullish.
The RSI indicator can also help traders spot bullish hidden divergences.
The example below shows price trading in an uptrend. Comparing the
swing lows in the price with the swing lows printed on the RSI
oscillator, hidden bullish divergence is developing on the price chart.
The price makes higher highs in a regular bearish RSI divergence, but
the RSI oscillator prints lower highs.
At the same time, the RSI indicator prints a lower high relative to the
previous high printed on the RSI oscillator. Following the RSI bearish
divergence, the price started reversing quickly, and a new trend
emerged.
The RSI indicator can also help traders spot bearish hidden divergences.
Lastly
Last but not least, trading divergence works across all time frames;
however, the higher the time frame is, the more reliable the divergence
signal tends to be.
The reason that using multiple time frames is so popular when using
technical analysis and price action trading is that it gives you a clearer
overall picture of what price is doing. It also helps you drill down to a
smaller time frame to make a better entry with a smaller stop loss.
This post goes through exactly what multiple time frame trading is and
how you can start using it in your own trading.
When multiple time frame trading, you are using more than one time
frame to analyze an asset's price. For example, if trading the Spl stock
on a Nepse, you may be looking at the daily chart, the 4 hour chart,
and also the 30 minute chart.
You would use multiple time frames to analyze a trade because it can
give you an excellent idea of what price is doing overall. Each time
frame has its own trends and movements.
If you can combine multiple time frames, then you can start to gain a
very clear picture of exactly what the price action is doing.
The methodology behind using multiple time frames is that you can
start to build a clearer picture of the price action and technical analysis
story.
For example, you may find that the higher time frames, such as the
daily chart, are trending higher, so you begin looking for long trades.
Whilst you could stay on the daily time frame to make your trade, your
entry will not be ideal, and your stop loss will be wide.
You could use the information you have from the daily chart and start
to move lower through the time frames. You could use a smaller time
frame such as the 30minute chart to find the ideal long trade entry
The main reason that so many traders use multiple time frames in
their trading is because it gives their trades a level of confluence.
When trading with one time frame only, that is all the information you
have. When using multiple time frames, you start to build a really clear
picture of the overall price action story.
In the example below, we can see that the daily chart price is in a
trend higher. We can also see that price has pulled back lower into an
important support level.
Most traders when analyzing their trades over multiple time frames
will use three time frames.
The reason for this is because you normally want a higher time frame,
such as the daily or weekly time frame that shows you the overall price
action picture. You then want an intraday time frame such as the 4
hour or 1 hour time frame that shows you what has been happening on
the intraday charts. And lastly, you want a smaller time frame that will
help you find the best trade entries. These time frames are normally
smaller time frames like the 30 minute and 15 minute time frames.
If you can combine the higher time frames with the lower time frames,
you can start to get a really good idea of where the market is looking to
head next. You can also start to make tight entries.
One of the best strategies when multiple time frame trading is to trade
with the higher time frame momentum and use the smaller time
frames to pinpoint your entries.
As an example, there are three charts of the same Forex pair below,
the daily, 4 hour, and 30 minute chart.
In the first daily chart, we can see the price starting to break higher
with the trend and through an important resistance level.
When price pulls back into a clear support level, we can make a long
entry and profit from the next move higher that is in line with the
higher time frames trends.
markets
As a day trader, price action volatility and the average daily range are critical to
your success or failure.
In this post we look at day trading strategies you can use in the Forex
and stock markets to get in out of trades quickly.
Positions are closed before the market closes to secure your profits.
Day traders may also enter and exit multiple trades during a day trading
session.
This means that even small movements in price can lead to big wins
(and losses)
Stocks, currencies / Forex, options, and futures are the most commonly
day traded financial instruments.
Day trading does not require any major infrastructure. There are no
bosses or workers.
There are no special skills required and there are no tests that need to
be passed.
In day trading, you close your trade before the markets close to avoid a
lot of the headaches.
Because you are day trading you will be trading on smaller time frames.
This will give you more trades and more chances to make potential
profitable trades.
Scalping the markets involves looking for very quick profits from small
moves in the price action.
As a scalper volatility is your friend. The more volatile the markets are,
the more price is moving and the more trades you can find to
potentially make more profits.
When using scalping strategies you are trading in a similar way to other
day trading strategies. You are looking to get in and out before the
market closes or before you finish your trading session.
There are many different strategies you can use to ‘scalp’ the markets,
but below we go through one in detail.
The best time frames to scalp the markets are the one minute to the 15
minute charts.
With this strategy you are looking for price action that has formed a
clearly defined range.
As the chart example shows below; price has formed clear support and
resistance areas and has been bouncing between both of these levels.
When price makes a new test of one of these levels we are then looking
for a Japanese candlesticks entry signal.
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In this example below; price forms a bearish pin bar and an inside bar at
the resistance. Both of these could be used as potential candlestick
entry signals to enter short.
Day trading breakouts is a riskier trading strategy that also comes with
the potential for higher rewards.
When looking to make breakout trades on the smaller time frames like
the one minute to 15 minute charts you run the risk that you will enter
a lot of false breaks.
The flip side to this is that when you do find a trade that breaks out in
your direction the breakout can be explosive and offer large rewards.
When looking for day trading breakout trades you could be using a
number of different strategies.
These include looking for trendlines, support or resistance levels or
even moving averages to break.
Price had repeatedly held at the support level bouncing back higher
each time price tried to move lower.
Finally price broke below this level signalling a potential short trade.
Once the breakout was confirmed price rapidly moved lower as is often
the case with confirmed breakout trades.
Trading Stocks
Moving averages can also assist in finding high quality day trades.
The 50 EMA reacts a lot faster than the 200 EMA and stays a lot closer
to the current price action.
When we see the golden cross and widening of the two moving
avereges we can see the trend lower is strong and can begin looking for
short trades in line with the trend.
One of the most popular day trading strategies for all markets is trend
trading.
The reason for this is because when making trades in line with the
current trend the potential rewards can be large as the trend continues
in the trades favor.
As the chart example shows below; price is making a solid trend higher.
As price moves higher it is also rotating lower before once again moving
back in line with the trend higher.
This trendline could be plotted and used to find high quality long trades.
As with the other strategies, you can find entries using Japanese
candlesticks, supply and demand or your other favorite indicators.
If you are trying to use a trend trading strategy when price is stuck in a
tight range, then you will continually get stopped out.
It is also important you test any new strategies on Demo crarts with
virtual money .so you know they work, before you ever risk any real
money.
Being able to read and analyze volume in your trading accurately can
help you find high probability trades.
This post looks at exactly what volume is and how you can use it in your
trading with different strategies.
At its simplest, volume is the amount that has been traded for a certain
market over a certain time frame.
Volume can be handy when looking to find and manage your trades
because knowing when the volume is spiking or backing off can help
you analyze what the market is doing.
Volume information can help you find new potential moves, Volume ,
and even when to look for a potential fakeout .
Markets like stocks have a centralized system that can help you
accurately read the different volume levels.
With that said, you can still get a pretty good idea of volume and in
particular, volume spikes when using a few main indicators.
There are a range of different indicators that will help you analyze
volume levels, but four of the most popular volume indicators include;
On Balance Volume
This indicator can show you when large amounts of volume are taking
place, but the price is not following.
The Chaikin money flow indicator is one of the more popular indicators
for volume analysis. This indicator was created by Marc Chaikin and is
used to measure the flow of volume over a certain time period.
With this indicator, you can start to see the buying and selling pressure
for any given time frame you have set.
This indicator can give you an idea of the supply and demand levels.
The volume price trend indicator will move higher or lower to give you
a positive or negative value. It does this by multiplying the volume
levels with the change in price for a certain time period.
Volume information can help you find these breakouts and also add
confirmation.
On the flip side, if we saw the price was breaking out with a small
amount of volume, we should be cautious and potentially look for the
breakout to turn into a false breakout.
As price trends through the day or session, you should keep an eye out
for the volume levels.
continues higher.
A lot of volume indicators are used on the daily charts. However, some
indicators can be great at showing you if the volume is spiking or
decreasing on an intraday basis.
This indicator tallies the higher and lower volume levels to help you
accurately look for breakout or fakeouts.
You can use this indicator to try and get a better idea of what the
bigger market players are doing during each session.
These indicators add an oscillator that moves higher and lower to your
chart. It is natively installed in MetaTrader charts, and you just have to
select it from the indicators section.
The idea behind this indicator is that price will normally follow the
volume information.
In this post we go through exactly what swing trading is and how you
can use it to find profitable trades.
When swing trading you are looking to profit from the next swing
higher or lower in the market.
Whilst a lot of swing traders will be using higher time frames such as
the 4 hour time frame and above, you don't have to be using higher
time frames to be a swing trader.
As a swing trader your goal is to find profitable trader and ride the next
See the example chart below. Price is in a clear uptrend. You don't want
to enter at the top of the trend so you wait for price to make a swing
lower where you can then enter a long trade.
You can then profit as price swings back higher inline with the strong
trend.
Unlike Scalping or breakout trading you will have to have more patience
It can also offer you the chance to enter large reward trades.
These trades will often be with the trend. Because the trend can at
times continue running for long periods of time you can be making
swing trades that run in your favor for long periods giving you very
large risk reward winning trades.
Swing trading can also be carried out on many different time frames
and as long as the market or Forex pairs is liquid, then it is suitable for
swing trading.
Swing trading is one of the most simple and basic forms of trading.
At its simplest you are looking to make a trade from one swing point
and ride the wave higher or lower for a profit.
When price makes a swing high you can enter this short trade and start
riding the wave back lower.
Using a moving average crossover such as the 50 EMA and 200 EMA
crossover will show you when a trend has begun and also how strong
the trend is.
You can also use the 200 EMA (exponential moving average) as a
dynamic support or resistance level to find swing highs and swing lows.
First the shorter period 50 EMA crosses above the longer term 200
period EMA showing us there is a new trend higher.
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The EMA's also begin to widen showing us that the trend higher is
getting stronger.
Using the 200 EMA we can then look for the times that price pulls back
lower to test the longer term moving average and makes a swing low to
get long inline with this trend higher.
The other simple swing trading strategy that involves no indicators and
uses only raw price action is looking for swing highs or lows at key
support and resistance levels.
First you see that price is in a trend lower and has found a support
level. You then see price breakout lower and through this level.
When price makes a swing higher you are looking to see if this old
support level will act as a new role reversal and swing high resistance
level. This is the level you will look for potential short trades.
Swing trading is not suited to all traders and it is definitely not going to
be mastered in a weekend of back testing.
This strategy will take a lot more work than using indicators or a
strategy that is more automated.
With that said, if you want to trade higher time frames, find high
probability trades and make trades that have the chance to be very
high reward, then swing trading is for you.