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S. Niggol Seo
The Economics of
Optimal Growth
Pathways
Evaluating the Health of
the Planet’s Natural and
Ecological Resources
The Economics of Optimal Growth Pathways
S. Niggol Seo
The Economics of
Optimal Growth
Pathways
Evaluating the Health of the Planet’s Natural
and Ecological Resources
S. Niggol Seo
Muaebak Institute of Global Warming Studies
Bangkok, Thailand
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer
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Preface
v
vi PREFACE
At the core, this book demonstrates that the two questions are interde-
pendent. That is, the first question cannot stand alone without the second
question, and vice versa. In other words, it is neither rational nor persua-
sive for a serious thinker to approach the first question relying on one set
of principles while approaching the second question relying on another
different set of principles.
For an exposition of the natural resource use questions, the present
author provides a critical review of the following six literatures: David
Ricardo’s rent theory applied to croplands in Chap. 2, von Thunen’s spatial
land use theory in Chap. 3, Martin Faustmann’s forest harvest rotation
economics in Chap. 4, Harold Hotelling’s fossil fuel economics in Chap. 5,
a bio-economics of fisheries in Chap. 6, and Irving Fisher’s capital assets in
Chap. 7.
For an exposition of the national economic growth questions, the pres-
ent author provides a review of the following five literatures: Irving Fisher’s
theory of capital and interest rate in Chap. 7, Frank Ramsey’s theory of
national savings in Chap. 8, Robert Solow’s modern economic growth
theory as capital accumulation in Chap. 9, Tjalling Koopmans’s optimal
economic growth path in Chap. 10, and William Nordhaus’s optimal tra-
jectory of price of carbon dioxide in Chap. 11.
In common to the two categories of economic inquiries, each of the
above ten literatures is concerned with a dynamic trajectory of a primary
variable of interest in the respective literature. For the inquiry on fossil
fuels, for example, an efficient long-term management of a petroleum well
will lead to a dynamic trajectory of the Hotelling rent. For the inquiry of
the Koopmans’s national economic growth model, a societally welfare
optimizing management will lead to a dynamic pathway of the economy’s
capital accumulation or the society’s consumption.
In each chapter of this book from Chap. 2, the chief economic theory
selected for the topic addressed in the chapter, elaborated in the above, is
first described. This is then followed by a description of one or two major
critiques against the theory. These critiques that appear across the ten
chapters are then synthesized at the final chapter of this book, Chap. 13.
The present author calls them collectively in the final chapter a sub-optimal
growth critique or a post-growth critique alternatingly. The sub-optimal
or post-growth critiques are in turn classified into three streams of
thoughts: a sustainable development critique, an ecological economics cri-
tique, a degrowth critique.
Tjalling Koopmans provides the most comprehensive answer to the
afore-described questions relating to the concept of optimal economic
PREFACE vii
growth, which was in fact the title of his 1963 article. If the national
economy were to be managed in a way that achieves the societal welfare
optimum, he clarifies, it should grow at a rate that approximates the rate
of population growth plus the discount rate plus the rate of unforeseeable
technological progress, all of which again depend, inter alia, on market
interest rate, social inequality aversion, and consumption patterns.
Koopmans’s optimal economic growth pathways are well conceptual-
ized to unfold over a very distant time horizon while simultaneously
addressing the resource constraints of the planet as well as the negative
side-effects of the economic activities. The former includes, inter alia,
numerous ecological limits. The latter includes, inter alia, environmental
pollution and global climate change. The way it does so is well illustrated
by, inter alia, William Nordhaus’s climate and economy model, the topic
of Chap. 11.
The resource constraints, limits, availabilities are well clarified in this
book via the six chapters, from Chaps. 2 to 6, devoted to the natural
resource economic questions such as croplands, grazing lands, urban
lands, forests, fossil fuels, and fish species. The unintended consequences
of the economic activities are extensively addressed in this book in multi-
ple chapters including the chapters on fossil fuels, marine resources, capital
growth, and global climate change respectively.
To put Koopmans’s conclusion in the context of Irving Fisher’s theory
on capital and interest, a nation’s economy will grow in dependence on
individuals’ preferences, technological possibilities, and the mutually ben-
eficial exchanges that people strike in marketplaces. This conclusion or
insights are surely extendable to the planet’s economy as well.
It is the present author’s sincere aspiration that this book puts forth a
novel contribution to the humanity’s understandings of a better manage-
ment of natural resources and life on the planet as well as a better manage-
ment of the planet’s economy. The present author would also like to
express deep gratitude to William Nordhaus, Robert Shiller, and Robert
Mendelsohn, through whom the present author was able to get in inti-
mate contacts with the great economists introduced in this book, notably,
Tjalling Koopmans, Irving Fisher, and Robert Solow.
Finally, the present author would like to thank the editorial team at
Palgrave Macmillan especially Wyndham H. Pain and Ruby Panigrahi for
their outstanding teamwork to get this book produced and promoted.
1 An
Introduction to the Economics of Optimal Growth
Pathways and the Health of Natural and Ecological
Resources 1
2 Ricardo’s Rent 33
ix
x Contents
12 The
Economics of Optimal Growth Pathways with
Managing Natural Resources Efficiently265
Index315
About the Author
xi
List of Figures
xiii
xiv List of Figures
xv
CHAPTER 1
1.1 Introduction
If you are a natural resource manager of, say, four acres of cropland or two
hectares of forest stand, how would you manage it over your planning
time horizon? This is the first and most fundamental question you have to
answer in your brain before you get your hands and feet down and dirty.
Any reasonable answer would encompass many future time periods, that
is, beyond the single present time period, as well as a possibility of convert-
ing it to another land use at one future period or even selling it (Ricardo
1817; von Thunen 1826; Faustmann 1849).
The economics of optimal growth pathways, the book in your hands or
on your kindle presently, is written to provide a rational answer to this
question faced by the respective natural resource manager. The scope of
this book is, however, far greater than cropland farming or forest manage-
ment. This book starts with “four acres” of cropland in Chap. 2, continues
to the nation’s economy from Chap. 8 onwards, and ends big with the
planet’s atmosphere and the global economy from Chap. 11. The purview
of this book falls on the planet’s resources and the economic systems built
upon it.
Let me clarify this point from the first question in the above. If you are
a national economy’s manager, how would you manage it over your time
horizon? Can it be managed in a way that it grows at a rate that is optimal
for the society? Similarly, if you are a global decision-maker, how would
you manage the planet’s atmospheric changes such as global warming over
a very long horizon of planning? Can it be managed in such a way that is
most beneficial to the planet’s citizens and simultaneously protects the
nature (Solow 1957; Koopmans 1965; Nordhaus 1994a)?
This is one of the unique contributions of this book. In addressing the
question of economic growth, which is the core question of this book
entitled “The Economics of Optimal Growth Pathways,” which is raised
in the literature predominantly in the national economy’s context, this
book approaches it from the three different vantage points: individual
natural resource enterprises, a national economy, and the planet.
Across the three levels of viewpoint, a same fundamental question per-
vades: how should an “owner” of a respective resource manage the con-
cerned resource over the present and future time periods for the benefit of
“oneself” and others? It is the question of dynamic growth pathways with
respect to a concerned resource or economy.
In between the two extremities of scale, that is, a plot of cropland at a
local scale and a global atmosphere at a planetary scale, a national econ-
omy has stood most prominently in the corpus of intellectual inquiries on
economic growth dynamics. How should a national economy be man-
aged, that is, under what principles? What should be the ultimate goal in
managing a national economy over the present and future time periods?
Can it continue to grow, if so, is there an optimal rate of growth? These
are some of the questions that still powerfully intrigue many scholars as
well as the general public.
Understandably, the questions regarding the national economy appear
far more abstract than the questions regarding a cropland farmer or a for-
est stand manger. In addition, political powers and policy decisions rest
mostly within national boundaries based on the concept of national sover-
eignty, which makes the national economic decisions far more compli-
cated. For these reasons and others, the questions of how the nation’s
economy should be arranged and managed have been a prominent point
of debates and even conflicts among the economists since the very begin-
ning of economic science (Smith 1776; Malthus 1798; Ricardo 1817;
Marx 1867).
Economists have long espoused the vital importance of continued eco-
nomic growth of a nation, given that the economy’s aggregate output is
the sum of the values of the goods and services produced by all the eco-
nomic actors of the nation for the consumption by its people. The higher
the economy’s growth rate, the better. A slower growing economy will fall
1 AN INTRODUCTION TO THE ECONOMICS OF OPTIMAL GROWTH… 3
behind a faster growing economy eventually at some point over the long
run, which would be a harbinger of a declining country.
Extending this logic, can we say that a nation’s economy should be
arranged in such a way that it continues to grow in the manner that maxi-
mizes the society’s welfare? Put differently, should a nation’s economy be
managed with the goal of achieving an optimal rate of economic growth?
A large majority of economists would agree on this thesis (Ramsey 1928;
Fisher 1930; Solow 1957; Friedman 1962; Koopmans 1965;
Nordhaus 2008).
Having said that, there are many and diverse groups of economists,
semi-economists, and non-economists who would vehemently disagree on
the thesis. The antagonists of economic growth place their emphasis on
numerous points, including, inter alia, the limits of continued economic
growth, negative consequences of economic growth, unsustainable devel-
opment, ecological thresholds and limits, global climate change, social
inequalities, and racial injustice (Meadows et al. 1972; Daly 1973; WCED
1987; Costanza 2010). To them, the pursuit of continued economic
growth is by and large a misguided endeavor. The most extreme of these
critiques referred to as degrowth theorists would argue unequivocally that
the national economy is better off by a zero growth or even a negative
growth (PDED 2008).
The essential question that this book addresses is this: Which growth
pathways should the nation, or the globe if appropriate, pursue in “man-
aging” its economy? This book will present the concept of optimal eco-
nomic growth established in the economics literature. This concept will be
elucidated against the backdrop of the alternatives which espouses sub-
optimal economic growth or post-growth pathways in one way or another.
Although the question of the national economy’s growth appears far
more abstract and complex, the inquiry of managing a plot of cropland or
a hectare of forest stand does not appear to be that way. On the contrary,
it appears, at least at the first glance, to be rather concrete and straightfor-
ward. If that is indeed the case, why the question of the whole economy
appears so difficult to handle while the questions regarding the individual
natural resource sectors which constitute the national economy appear to
be so straightforward to take on? An important message that this book
delivers, which is hoped, is that the question regarding the national econ-
omy cannot be answered successfully independently of addressing the
questions of the individual sectors and enterprises in the economy, and
vice versa.
4 S. N. SEO
Of the component sectors of the economy which are diverse, this book
puts a spotlight on those that hinge critically on natural and ecological
resources. This is because, among other reasons, the aforementioned cri-
tiques against the pursuit of optimal economic growth path are formu-
lated on the concept of limits, thresholds, critical values regarding these
resources that were made available by the planet (Meadows et al. 1972).
The individual sectors to be covered in this book are cropland agriculture,
spatial land uses including grasslands and cities, forest resources, fossil
fuels such as coal, crude oil, and gas, marine resources including fishes in
the oceans. The financial sector whose exposition comes after the exposi-
tions of these resources will offer bridges to and across all these sectors
(Ricardo 1817; von Thunen 1826; Faustmann 1849; Hotelling 1931;
Gordon 1954; Fisher 1930).
The analysis of the nation’s macro economy will follow the chapters on
the individual natural resource sectors. It begins again with the financial
sector where the concepts of capital and interest rate are defined, which is
followed in sequence by a theory of national saving rate, a modern eco-
nomic growth theory through capital accumulation, a theory of optimal
economic growth pathway, and a theory of a globally harmonized carbon
tax (Fisher 1906, 1930; Ramsey 1928; Solow 1957; Koopmans 1965).
The last of these is explicitly concerned with the global economy and the
planet’s resources, that is, beyond the national economy (Nordhaus
1991, 1994a).
The expositions from Chap. 2 to Chap. 11 will pave the way for the
present author to offer a general description of the economics of optimal
economic growth pathways in Chap. 12 synthesizing all the theories in the
preceding chapters. This again will be reviewed in the milieu of the fervor
in today’s societies across the planet toward non-optimal as well as post-
growth pathways whose synthesis will appear in Chap. 13.
Language: English
ON
GAS ENGINES
¶ A Book for
Boys Describing
and Explaining
in Simple
Language the
Automobile Gas
Engine.
ROBERT SMITH
PRINTING CO.
CHICAGO—
LANSING
PREFACE
Knowing that the motor car is fast becoming the modern form of
transportation, both in the social and commercial world, and feeling
that the principles of the mechanism which constitutes its propelling
power are as yet somewhat of a mystery to the average individual
and to “Young America” in particular, the author feels that some of
the simple explanations offered in the following pages of this book
will be welcomed and appreciated. While they do not cover the entire
subject, it is hoped that they may tend to shed some light, and in a
way make understandable the construction and operation of the
automobile gas engine.
FAY L FAUROTE.
November 25, 1907.
A Four-cylinder Motor, so sectioned that it shows interior of cylinder,
valves, piston, crank shaft and connecting rods.
A BOY’S TEXT BOOK
ON GAS ENGINES
INTRODUCTION
Boys, when I was a small boy, I remember how much I was
interested in everything which was mechanical. The engineer was
my hero; the solving of the mysteries of an engine and the learning
how to drive one, was my ambition.
I remember well how I tried to read the dry, technical description
of motors, steam engines and such things. I remember, too, how
hard it was to understand those books; how the various technical
terms used to bother me, until at last, in despair, I would throw the
books aside. It seemed as if the men who wrote them never realized
that boys existed,—that boys wanted to know about such things.
At other times how glad I was when I found a good-hearted
engineer who seemed to know and understand my feelings and my
desire to learn. How easy it was to comprehend his explanations,
because he used homely, everyday things to illustrate his meaning.
He made you forget there was anything complicated about
machinery. He simply took up one part at a time, and when he had
finished with it, everything was as plain as the nose on your face.
Boys, then and there I decided that if I ever did understand some
of these seeming mysteries of engineering, I would write a book that
boys could understand. I would write it so that they couldn’t help it, it
would be so plain; there would be no secrets; they should know all
about it, and what is more, should be able to reason it all out for
themselves.
Let me tell you about each part separately. After we have gone
over each part you will find that you will understand the action of the
motor and other parts of the car well enough so that you will
unconsciously reason it all out for yourselves. Some of the
descriptions and explanations may at first seem unsatisfactory, but I
think with a little thought and study you will be able to master them in
a short time. I want your confidence, boys, and then I know we will
get along all right together.
Fig. 2—A Single-cylinder Horizontal Engine. Note location of valves
in this type.
Suction Stroke Compression Stroke Working Stroke Exhaust
Stroke
Fig. 3—Four views of a section of a Vertical Cylinder, showing
position of valves, pistons and cams for the four different strokes.
THE FOUR-STROKE CYCLE.
This subject looks like a bugbear, doesn’t it. Well, it is one of the
first things of which we shall have to dispose, and so we’ll tackle it
right away. We will start backwards, and take the word cycle first. If
you will look in the dictionary you will find that this word means “a
circle or orbit; an interval of time in which a succession of events is
completed, and then returns in the same order.”
Suction Stroke
Compression Stroke
Working Stroke
Exhaust Stroke
Fig. 4—A Four-cycle Diagram, showing
sequence of strokes in this type of motor.
This does not mean very much to you, does it? Well, let us go into it
a little farther. Supposing you were running relay races around a
block; you would run down on one side, across on another, back on
the other side, and then back to the starting point, wouldn’t you? You
would have completed a cycle then because you have taken a
“certain time in which a succession of events (streets) has been
completed” and you are back again at the start ready to “return in the
same order.”
Let us work the cannon the same way. Let us call the farthest point
to which the bullet travels going in “H” and the farthest point to which
it travels going out “K.” Now let us assume that the bullet is at “H,”
and that it is just starting out in the direction of “K.” If we open the
hole “I” in the side of the cannon by taking out the plug “L,” and put a
hose, connected with our gas tank, in there, then the outward motion
of the bullet “P” will pull the cannon full of gas, won’t it? Before the
gas has a chance to escape we will put in the plug “L” again. Now
we have the cylinder full of gas, but as the bullet is at the end of its
stroke, and cannot go any further, we will have to push the gas
together again and get the bullet into position “H.” This will be a good
thing for the gas, because it will crowd the particles of it closer
together, and make it explode quicker, so we will do this. Of course,
in order to keep the gas in there we have had to close up the touch-
hole of the cannon, but now that we are ready to fire it, we will take
this plug out, and touch a match to the gas. An explosion follows,
and the bullet travels from the position “H” to the position “K.” All this