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Science for
Policy Handbook
Editorial Board
Emanuele Ciriolo
Anne-Mette Jensen-Foreman
Koen Jonkers
David Mair
Daniel Neicu
Jens Otto
Laura Smillie
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Brussels, Belgium
Nicola Magnani
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Petten, Netherlands
Jolanta Zubrickaite
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy
JRC Ha ndboo k on
Science for
Policy Handbook
Edited by
Vladimír Šucha
Marta Sienkiewicz
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC),
Brussels/Belgium
Elsevier
Radarweg 29, PO Box 211, 1000 AE Amsterdam, Netherlands
The Boulevard, Langford Lane, Kidlington, Oxford OX5 1GB, United Kingdom
50 Hampshire Street, 5th Floor, Cambridge, MA 02139, United States
Notices
Practitioners and researchers must always rely on their own experience and knowledge in evaluating and using
any information, methods, compounds or experiments described herein. Because of rapid advances in the medical
sciences, in particular, independent verification of diagnoses and drug dosages should be made. To the fullest ex-
tent of the law, no responsibility is assumed by the publisher for any injury and/or damage to persons or property
as a matter of products liability, negligence or otherwise, or from any use or operation of any methods, products,
instructions or ideas contained in the material herein. Although all advertising material is expected to conform
to ethical (medical) standards, inclusion in this publication does not constitute a guarantee or endorsement of the
quality or value of such product or of the claims made of it by its manufacturer.
ISBN: 978-0-12-822596-7
List of Contributors ix
Forewordxiii
How to Use the Handbook xvii
Chapter 1: Against the Science–Policy Binary Separation: Science for Policy 1.0 3
Authors: Marta Sienkiewicz, David Mair
Chapter 2: Post-Normal Science: How Does It Resonate With the World of Today? 15
Authors: Silvio Funtowicz, Jerry Ravetz
v
Chapter 7: Working Through Communities 63
Author: Coralia Catana
Chapter 9: The Big Data and Artificial Intelligence: Opportunities and Challenges to
Modernise the Policy Cycle97
Authors: Massimo Craglia, Jiri Hradec, Xavier Troussard
Chapter 12: Foresight – Using Science and Evidence to Anticipate and Shape the Future 129
Authors: Eckhard Stöermer, Laurent Bontoux, Maciej Krzysztofowicz,
Elisabeta Florescu, Anne-Katrin Bock, Fabiana Scapolo
Chapter 14: Monitoring the Impact of Science and Evidence on Policy 153
Authors: Daniel Neicu, Jonathan Cauchi, Jens Otto, Sari Lehto, Jorge Costa Dantas Faria
vi Table of Contents
SECTION IV: Science for Policy 2.0 in Specific Areas 181
Chapter 18: The Use of Quantitative Methods in the Policy Cycle 207
Main authors: Giuseppe Munda, Daniel Albrecht, William Becker, Enkelejda Havari, Giulia
Listorti, Nicole Ostlaender, Paolo Paruolo, Michaela Saisana
Contributors: Marcos-Dominguez-Torreiro, Leandro Elia, d’Artis Kancs, Sven Langedijk,
Rossana Rosati, Eckehard Rosenbaum, Paul Smits, Daniel Vertesy, Ian Vollbracht
Chapter 19: Place-Based Solutions to Territorial Challenges: How Policy and Research
Can Support Successful Ecosystems 225
Authors: Albane Demblans, Manuel Palazuelos Martínez, Carlo Lavalle
References239
Index263
List of Contributors
Marie-Agnes Deleglise
Pernille Brandt
European Commission
European Commission
Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Brussels, Belgium
Brussels, Belgium
Albane Demblans
Paul Cairney
European Commission
University of Stirling
Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Stirling, United Kingdom
Brussels, Belgium
Vera Calenbuhr Marion Dewar
European Commission European Commission
Joint Research Centre (JRC) Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Brussels, Belgium Brussels, Belgium
ix
Leandro Elia Sven Langedijk
European Commission European Commission
Joint Research Centre (JRC) Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Ispra, Italy Ispra, Italy
x List of Contributors
Jens Otto Rossana Rosati
European Commission European Commission
Joint Research Centre (JRC) Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Brussels, Belgium Ispra, Italy
List of Contributors xi
Laura Smillie Maurits van den Berg
European Commission European Commission
Joint Research Centre (JRC) Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Brussels, Belgium Ispra, Italy
Ian Vollbracht
Lene Topp European Commission
European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Joint Research Centre (JRC) Ispra, Italy
Brussels, Belgium
Thomas Völker
Xavier Troussard Centre for the Study of the Sciences and the
European Commission Humanities (SVT)
Joint Research Centre (JRC) University of Bergen
Brussels, Belgium Bergen, Norway
The world is moving at unprecedented speed. Four fundamental changes are unfolding:
the change in technology, which is triggering a societal transformation; climate change, which
is increasingly urgent and the geopolitical shift from West to East. As is always the case, these
changes are accompanied by wicked problems and unexpected effects, as well as potential ben-
efits. It all represents a huge pressure on policy and politics to deliver fast and resolve complex
problems. The time is short and stakes are high. Evidence, and in particular sound scientific
evidence, is badly needed to inform policymaking. Science is however not fully ready. It is
struggling to cope with the change. It is too entrenched in thematic silos, challenged by its own
integrity problems, and very often alienated from society. All this, together with the explosion
of data, in particular fake data, has created a toxic mix, which sometimes results in post-fact
policy decisions and distrust of experts.
We, in the European Commission’s science service (JRC), were in the middle of this storm.
Although we undoubtedly delivered many important pieces of evidence in the fields of nucle-
ar, food safety and security, environment, climate, energy, transport, resource efficiency, etc.,
we were often left at the fringe of the policymaking process. Struggling to deliver transversal
knowledge, failing to foresee the foreseeable, unable to establish and communicate societal
trends, we were increasingly ill at ease in our role.
It was time for a change. Our linear, deficit model of science for policy was in many respects
exhausted. It was clear that we were going to face more and more difficulties in fulfilling our
mission of ‘putting science into the heart of EU policymaking’. So, we started to experiment
with and develop a new model which we call Science for Policy 2.0.
First, we focussed on better understanding the ever-changing policy world by interacting
more closely with policymakers. We introduced placements of scientists into policy depart-
ments and created safe places for mutual exchanges. A specific training programme for all
scientific staff was designed to breed a new type of professionals, fully embracing both science
and policy. The old science–policy demarcation model is no longer effective. Nor is it necessary.
We believe that, with the right arrangements, we can provide objective advice to policymakers,
while working alongside them.
Breaking the scientific silos was our second priority. The basic principle was to put science at
the service of complex, transversal policy issues, rather than keeping it in comfortable, well-de-
fined, scientific boxes. This entailed a dramatic change in our internal organisational structure
and our work programme.
Thirdly, we entered into the new field of knowledge management, helping our colleagues
in policymaking departments to deal with the deluge of data, information and knowledge
which is now available. We have developed several tools, products and processes enabling
effective vertical and horizontal knowledge management. Our aspiration is to deliver cutting
edge knowledge when and where it is needed by policymakers.
Finally, we introduced a series of measures to improve our future-oriented competences
and tools, like horizon scanning, foresight, trend analysis, quantitative modelling and complex
science.
xiii
Our new approach was met with an unexpectedly fast, enthusiastic and positive response
from our policy colleagues. Expressions like ‘finally we can use your science’, ‘now we under-
stand what you are doing’ and ‘we did not expect that science can be so useful’ were frequently
used at different meetings and bilateral encounters. It was very encouraging and motivated
our staff to do more.
In this handbook, we set out ‘what works’ in the context of European policymaking in our
experience but do not claim that this works everywhere. Still, we hope very much that it can
be useful and inspire others. At the same time, we also raise a large number of questions, with
further reflections to come as we learn from the responses to COVID-19. We know that we are
only just beginning to get grips with this big, new field of Science for Policy 2.0 and that we
need contributions from other players. That is why, as well as sharing our experiences, we
want to trigger a discussion and collaboration with all who are interested in joining us in this
endeavour.
Vladimír Šucha,
Director General of the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission (2014–2019)
xiv Foreword
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How to Use the Handbook
Scientists and policymakers need to work closer together to deliver progress for our societ-
ies, economies and our planet. For the last 60 years, the Joint Research Centre (JRC) has been
working at this interface for the European Union. This handbook collects what we have learnt
about the science–policy environment and shares our vision, best practice and innovative ideas
to deliver impact for our societies.
This short section gives readers some background on the JRC. Together with an overview of
this book contents, this will provide the necessary context for understanding how you could
apply our advice in your organisation.
The Joint Research Centre is part of a system of scientific support to the European Union.
We are an integral part of the European Commission, which means we interact primarily with
the Commission’s policy departments. The Commission also receives independent scientific
advice through the Scientific Advice Mechanism.1 We work both with policymaking staff at all
levels and their Commissioners and also with MEPs and national governments as well as other
EU bodies such as the Committee of the Regions. We are independent from any national, com-
mercial or civil society interests. We are publicly funded from the EU Framework Programme
for Research & Innovation and the EURATOM research and training programme.
The JRC supports policymakers in all formal phases of the policy cycle: problem definition
and agenda setting, policy formulation, implementation and evaluation. Policy development
and decisions taken on the EU level are diverse: they cover broad thematic areas and have
various forms (different legislative acts, recommendations, support mechanisms and pro-
grammes). Therefore, JRC’s support to policymaking is quite diverse, and not all advice from
this book will be 100% applicable to all cases. Still, main principles apply to most contexts in
which we engage.
Our institutional setup gives us more direct access to policymakers than it is the case of
research bodies (although the majority of our scientists work in campuses away from Brus-
sels: in Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium). However, the institutional access
does not itself guarantee a seamless relationship. Trust, good communication, innovations in
processes and other aspects covered in this handbook determine the quality of collaboration
and results. As any organisation, the Commission has its silos, which sometimes hinder collab-
oration and mean that we are familiar with many of the challenges other scientists experience
when working outside government.
1
https://ec.europa.eu/research/sam/index.cfm, accessed 05.05.2020
xvii
Differences Between Science for Policy and Academic Science
The fact that we are an organisation working not only in a policy context but also inside
a policymaking institution is an important lens through which the advice in this book has to
be interpreted. We support policymaking at all stages of the policy cycle and often in direct
collaboration with policy departments. While we take a policy-neutral stance, our mandate is
to produce science relevant for policy and generating insights needed to create policy options.
Our values of integrity, openness, innovation, accountability and inclusiveness are aligned
with those of a broader scientific community, but we have partially different drivers and in-
centives.
Many scientists in academia work driven purely by curiosity. Our areas of research priori-
ties are strongly influenced by the policy agenda, with some room for exploratory research. We
fully believe that all types of research are valuable, blue-sky and applied, including in arts and
humanities. At the same time, this book may not be of so much use for researchers who do not
have an ambition to have an impact on policy.
The following typology describes the differences between regulatory and academic science
as developed by Ruggles (2004)2, adapted for the EU context. Science and knowledge manage-
ment for policy, though broader than regulatory science, encounter very similar challenges. In
the majority of cases, we situate ourselves closer to the regulatory side of Ruggles’ spectrum,
and our advice in this book should be viewed as coming from that realm.
2
Ruggles, A., 2004. Regulatory vs. Academic Science. CIRES Center for Science and Technology Policy
Research. http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/ogmius/archives/issue_9/research_highlight.html, accessed
05.05.2020
When writing about a transformation of science for policy practices, it is difficult to separate
advice for individuals and organisations. Scientists need to adapt their ways to achieve more
meaningful contributions to policy (and so do policymakers). Equally, a successful adaptation
is not possible without a culture change in teams, collective new capacities, structural innova-
tions, new priorities, incentives and mechanisms approved top-down, and broader organisa-
tional transformations (see Chapter 3).
Equally, not each and every person working in a science for policy context will have a direct con-
tact with policymakers. However, science for policy is about teamwork and collaboration of multi-
ple actors. Even if close interactions with policymakers are a task of a narrow group, the input they
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