BA 1502 Spring 2020

HW4 ANSWERS

The following exercises are form the 8th edition of Newbold, Carlson, Thorne textbook.

1) Exercise 5.78
2) Exercise 5.87
3) Exercise 5.93
4) Exercise 5.100

1) Exercise 5.78

a.

Probability Density Function: f(x)

f(x)

0.033333

0.000000
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70

b. Cumulative density function

Cumulative density function: F(x)

1.0

0.8

0.6
F(x)

0.4

0.2

0.0
35 40 45 50 55 60 65
X
 c. P(40 < X < 50) = (50/30) – (40/30) = 10/30
65  35
d. E[X] = = 50
2

2) Exercise 5.87

15  20 25  20
a. P( <Z< ) = P(-1.25 < Z < 1.25) = 2 FZ(1.25) – 1 = .7888
4 4
30  20
b. P(Z > ) = P(Z > 2.5) =1 - Fz (2.5) = .0062
4
c. P(X  1) = 1 – P(X = 0) = 1 – [FZ(2.5)]5 = .0306
d. The shortest range will be the interval centered on the mean. The lower value of the
Xi  20
interval will be –.525 = 4 which is Xi = 17.9. The upper value of the interval will
be .525 = (Xii – 20)/4 which is Xii = 22.1 Therefore, the shortest range is 22.1 – 17.9 = 4.2.

e. The delivery is most likely to lie in 19 – 21.

-For 18-20 the probability is → 𝑃 ( (18 – 20) /4 < 𝑍 < (20 − 20 )/4 ) = 𝑃(−0.50 < 𝑍 < 0) = 𝐹𝑧
(0) − 𝐹𝑧 (−0.50) = 0.1915
-For 19 −21 the probability is → 𝑃 ( (19 – 20)/ 4 < 𝑍 < (21 – 20) /4 ) = 𝑃(−0.25 < 𝑍 < 0.25)
= 𝐹𝑧 (0.25) − 𝐹𝑧 (−0.25) = 0.1974
-For 20-22 the probability is →𝑃 ( (20 – 20) /4 < 𝑍 < (22 − 20 )/4 ) = 𝑃(0 < 𝑍 < 0.50) = 𝐹𝑧
(0.50) − 𝐹𝑧 (0) = 0.1915
-For 21-23 the probability is →-𝑃 ( (21 – 20)/ 4 < 𝑍 < (23 – 20)/ 4 ) = 𝑃(0.25 < 𝑍 < 0.75) =
𝐹𝑧 (0.75) − 𝐹𝑧 (0.25) = 0.1747

f. The delivery is least likely to lie in 21 – 23.

-For 18-20 the probability is → 𝑃 ( (18 – 20) /4 < 𝑍 < (20 − 20 )/4 ) = 𝑃(−0.50 < 𝑍 < 0) = 𝐹𝑧
(0) − 𝐹𝑧 (−0.50) = 0.1915
-For 19 −21 the probability is → 𝑃 ( (19 – 20)/ 4 < 𝑍 < (21 – 20) /4 ) = 𝑃(−0.25 < 𝑍 < 0.25)
= 𝐹𝑧 (0.25) − 𝐹𝑧 (−0.25) = 0.1974
-For 20-22 the probability is →𝑃 ( (20 – 20) /4 < 𝑍 < (22 − 20 )/4 ) = 𝑃(0 < 𝑍 < 0.50) = 𝐹𝑧
(0.50) − 𝐹𝑧 (0) = 0.1915
-For 21-23 the probability is →-𝑃 ( (21 – 20)/ 4 < 𝑍 < (23 – 20)/ 4 ) = 𝑃(0.25 < 𝑍 < 0.75) =
𝐹𝑧 (0.75) − 𝐹𝑧 (0.25) = 0.1747

3) Exercise 5.93

e6 66
a. P(X = 6) = = .1606
6!
6

3
b. 20 minutes = 1/3 hours, P(X > 1/3) = e = .1353
6

c. 5 minutes = 1/12 hour, P(X < 1/12) = 1 - e 12 = .3935
d. 30 minutes = .5 hour, P(X > .5) = e  (.5)(6) = .0498
4) Exercise 5.100

a.

μ𝑊 = 𝑎. μ𝑥 + 𝑏. μ𝑦 = (0.30). (0.12) + (0.70). (0.25) = 0.211

𝜎𝑊 = √𝑎2 . 𝜎𝑥2 + 𝑏 2 . 𝜎𝑦2 + (2). 𝑎. 𝑏. 𝐶𝑜𝑟𝑟 (𝑋, 𝑌). 𝜎𝑥 . 𝜎𝑦 =

√(0.302 ). (0.022 ) + (0.702 ). (0.152 ) + (2). (0.70). (0.30). (0.50). (0.02)(0.15) = 0.1081

b.

μ𝑊 = 𝑎. μ𝑥 + 𝑏. μ𝑦 = (0.30). (0.12) + (0.70). (0.25) = 0.211

𝜎𝑊 = √𝑎2 . 𝜎𝑥2 + 𝑏 2 . 𝜎𝑦2 + (2). 𝑎. 𝑏. 𝐶𝑜𝑟𝑟 (𝑋, 𝑌). 𝜎𝑥 . 𝜎𝑦

= √(0.302 ). (0.022 ) + (0.702 ). (0.152 ) + (2). (0.70). (0.30). (0.20). (0.02)(0.15)

= 0.1063