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Sovrenn Times 02 Jul 2024
Sovrenn Times 02 Jul 2024
SOVRENN TIMES
DISCLAIMER: This document is created for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT
be construed as a Buy/Sell recommendation, investment advice or a research report. Although the
document accurately reflects the personal views of the authors, there may be manual/ human errors in the
document. The authors may also have equity shares in the companies mentioned in this report. Investor is
advised to consult his/her investment advisor and undertake further due diligence before making any
investment decision in the companies mentioned. Authors are not liable for any financial gains or losses due
to investments made as per the information written in this document.
2nd Jul 2024
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SOVRENN FRAMEWORK
Please look at the following parameters to assess any company for investment:
(1) Company type: Evergreen or Seasonal sector is preferable over Cyclical. This is because it is difficult
to predict upswing in Cyclical stocks.
(2) Profit uptrend: The revenue, operating profit and net profit should ideally be following an increasing
trajectory and company must not be loss making.
(3) PE: TTM PE or Trailing 12m Price to Earnings ratio should ideally be on the lower side of the sector
PE range, unless the growth prospects are compelling to justify a higher PE.
(4) Futuristic Sector: A futuristic sector (eg: Solar, Wind EV, Railways, Defence, 5G, Electrification, New
Age IT, etc.) enjoys sector tailwinds and usually has higher growth potential.
(5) HNI / Institutional / Promoter Buying: If a known HNI enters the Company by picking equity stake in
it, it can add to one’s conviction building. Similarly, promoters buying their company’s shares is
generally a positive signal of them demonstrating confidence in their business.
(6) Special Situation: If a company is raising funds through preferential issuance of shares to a select
group of investors, or through Rights issuance where all the current shareholders have the right to
buy additional shares in the company, it signals incoming cash into the company. This cash is
generally used for future growth and hence signals increased possibility of higher future profits.
(7) Future Information: If we have information about future growth drivers of a company, it can help build
conviction before making investment decisions. Examples of such events include: (a) capacity
expansion which indicates future increase in sales, (b) new product launches, (c) large orders, (d)
partnerships and agreements, (e) acquisitions, etc.
SUMMARY: 4y Operating Profit uptrend | 2q Operating Profit uptrend | PE 50.6x (Sector PE range 50-90) |
Excellent Mar-24 results | Fund raise | Strategic Partnerships | Clean Energy
• MCap of INR 2,953 Crore (share price = INR 443 / share) (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
• TTM PE 50.6x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24) Retail float = 24.4% (Mar-24)
Company Description: KP Energy Limited is a balance of plant (BoP) solution provider for the Wind Energy
industry. The company engages throughout the development process of wind farms, right from
conceptualization until the commissioning of the project.
Price Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24
KPEL 359 494 565 551 540 675 336 412 361 426 415 411
(In INR Cr) Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24
Sales 125 56 108 148 113 70 82 207
Op Profit 17 11 20 23 21 16 17 31
Net Profit 10.0 6.7 11.7 15.5 15.2 8.2 9.3 25
OPM 14% 20% 18% 16% 19% 23% 21% 15%
NPM 8% 12% 11% 10% 13% 11% 11% 12%
Promoter % 59.6% 44.8% 44.8% 44.8% 44.8% 44.8% 44.8% 44.8%
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales 60 158 75 72 250 438 473
Op Profit 10 33 11 18 34 71 86
Net Profit 2 19 1 6 18 44 58
Website: https://www.kpenergy.in/
Director and Immediate Relatives sold INR 35L, INR 1.07 Cr and
97L of shares in the months of Mar ’24, Feb ’24 and Dec ’23.
HNI / Institutional
Sep ‘23: Immediate relatives of Director and Employee sold INR
/ Promoter Yes
71L of shares at prices ranging from 518/share to INR 572/share.
Buying
Jun ‘23: Immediate relatives of Director and Employee as well as
Designated person sold INR 55L of shares at prices ranging from
INR 234/share to INR 281/share.
Apr ’24: Company has received new order for development of 9MW
wind power project forming part of the wind-solar hybrid power
project to be developed in Gujarat. Project is awarded by Bhathwari
Future Visibility Technologies under Captive Power Project segment, needs to be
Yes completed in FY25.
Jan ’24: Company has received new order from ABREL EPC
Limited (Aditya Birla group company) for development of Balance
of Plant of 86.1MW wind capacity forming part of the wind-solar
hybrid power project (comprising of 86.1MW wind and 65MWac
Solar) to be connected to existing 140MW power evacuation facility
at Fulsar Pooling Sub-station.
Recent filing: (APPROVAL) KPI Green Energy has received approvals from the Chief Electrical Inspector
(CEIG) for 15 MW of solar power projects under our 'Captive Power Producer (CPP)' business segment and
13.60 MW solar power projects under the Independent Power Producer (IPP) segment of the Company.
SUMMARY: 5y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 65.5x (Sector PE range 50-90) | Fund raising | Institutional
entry | Promoter buying | Solar
• MCap of INR 10,606 Crore (share price = INR 1,761 / share) (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
• TTM PE 65.5x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24) Retail float = 21% (Mar-24)
Company Description: Incorporated in 2002, KPI Green develops, builds, owns, operates, and maintains
solar power plants through Independent Power Producer (IPP) and as service provider to Captive Power
Producer (CPP) under the brand name of 'Solarism'.
Price Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jul-24
KPI 830 894 823 820 1,155 1,468 1,214 1,740 1,523 1,808 1,820 1805
(In INR Cr) Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24
Sales 122 160 179 182 189 215 330 289
Op Profit 42 53 60 54 69 71 104 93
Net Profit 22 21 34 32 33 35 51 43
OPM 34% 33% 34% 30% 37% 33% 31% 32%
NPM 18% 13% 19% 18% 17% 16% 16% 15%
Promoter % 54.7% 54.7% 54.8% 54.8% 54.8% 54.8% 53.1% 53.1%
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales - 34 59 102 230 644 1,024
Op Profit - 15 27 58 109 208 337
Net Profit - 9 6 22 43 110 162
Website: https://www.kpigreenenergy.in/
May ’24: Board of Directors of KPI Green Energy has approved the
raising of funds through the issuance of equity shares for an aggregate
amount of up to INR 1,000 Cr via Qualified Institutions Placement.
Oct ‘23: BoD will meet on 11th Oct 2023 to consider and evaluate
proposal for raising funds by preferential issue or any other mode.
Jun ’24: Company has secured a final sanction letter for credit facilities
amounting to INR 686 Cr for the development of a 200 MWAC (240
MWDC) Solar Photovoltaic Power Project in Khavda, Kutch District.
Additionally, the company previously raised INR 300 Cr through a
Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP), with INR 225 Cr already used
to partially fund the project.
Jun ’24: Company has received new orders of 26.15 MW for executing
solar power projects under ‘Captive Power Producer (CPP)’ segment
Future Visibility Yes of the company.
Apr '24: Received orders totaling 74.3 MW for solar power projects in
the CPP segment from textile and fabrics companies, scheduled for
completion in FY25.
Mar '24: Obtained CEIG approval for 10 MW solar projects in the IPP
sector.
Mar '24: Awarded new orders totaling 54.7 MWp for solar projects, with
48.18 MWp in CPP and 6.59 MWp in IPP.
Mar '24: Won a tender for a 100 MWAC Solar Power Project from
MAHAGENCO, marking expansion beyond Gujarat.
Mar '24: Received orders for a 305 MWac solar capacity project in
Gujarat from Aditya Birla Renewables Subsidiary Limited and ABREL
(RJ) Projects Limited.
Mar '24: Received orders totaling 9.40 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment.
Feb '24: Received orders totaling 1.5 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment.
Feb '24: Received a 15 MW order for a solar project in the CPP
segment, to be completed in FY24-25.
Jan '24: Received orders totaling 13.7 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment, to be completed in FY25.
Jan '24: Signed a deal with the government for a 2.6 GW+
solar/wind/hybrid power plant.
Dec '23: Placed a wind turbine supply order for 193.2 MW with Suzlon
Energy Limited.
Dec '23: Received orders totaling 6.15 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment, to be completed in FY25.
Nov '23: Received orders totaling 6.26 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment, to be completed in FY24-25.
LT OP = Long-term operating profit; ST OP = Short-term operating profit
https://www.sovrenn.com/discovery/revenue-guidance-of-order-book-or-capacity
SUMMARY: 6y Operating Profit uptrend | 7q Operating Profit uptrend | PE 73.3x (Sector PE range 40-80) |
Fund raise | Healthcare
• MCap of INR 18,923 Crore (share price = INR 1,972 / share) (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
• TTM PE 73.3x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24) Retail float = 4.8% (Mar-24)
Company Description: Company manufactures over 125 products using state-of-the-art technology in ultra-
modern facilities, covering more than 400,000 square feet of manufacturing floor space. This includes
approximately 100,000 square feet of cleanrooms ranging from class 100,000 to class 1,000 (ISO Class 7 &
8). A tool room equipped with modern facilities and CNC machines supports the manufacturing processes.
The company employs a high degree of automation and effective process control to deliver consistent product
quality.
Price Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-23
Polyme 1236 1465 1374 1406 1526 1490 1457 1563 1589 1643 1802 1931
(In INR Cr) Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24
Sales 249 275 285 307 321 337 340 378
Op Profit 46 65 71 83 87 84 90 97
Net Profit 27 44 50 59 63 62 65 68
OPM 19% 24% 25% 27% 27% 25% 27% 26%
NPM 11% 16% 18% 19% 20% 18% 19% 18%
Promoter % 53.3% 53.3% 53.3% 53.3% 53.3% 53.2% 53.2% 53.1%
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales 519 610 687 785 922 1,115 1,376
Op Profit 122 131 166 216 215 267 358
Net Profit 71 65 96 136 147 179 258
Website: https://polymedicure.com/
This page is created for information purpose. It is not a BUY/SELL recommendation. 11
Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
2nd Jul 2024
Company Type Evergreen
LT OP uptrend Yes
ST OP uptrend Yes
PE 73.3 (Healthcare: 40-80)
Higher end of sector range
Futuristic Sector No
HNI / Institutional Mar ’24: Smallcap World Fund is holding 2.3% stake. Quant Mutual
Fund is holding 2.1% stake. Max Life Insurance Co. is holding 1.1%
/ Promoter Yes stake.
Buying
Aug ’23: Promoter sold 18 Cr worth of shares in Aug ’23.
Future Visibility No
Recent filing: (FUND RAISE) Board of Newjaisa Technologies has considered and approved the issuance
of 32.4L shares at INR 98/share, aggregating to INR 31.8 Cr to non-promoter persons/entities.
SUMMARY: 3y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 55x (Sector PE range 30-70) | Fund raise | Consumption |
Refurbishment
FUTURE OUTLOOK: Company targeting high-double-digit growth with a minimum CAGR of 50%. Company
expecting a 1-2% improvement in PAT. Company EBITDA margin expected to be around 14-15%.
● MCap of INR 348 Crore (share price = INR 108 / share) (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
● TTM PE 55x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24) Retail float = 10.7% (Mar-24)
Company Description: The Company specializes in providing an end-to-end reverse supply chain for IT
assets, primarily focusing on laptops, desktops and peripherals. Their core business model involves procuring
used IT assets, refurbishing them to a condition close to new, and selling them directly to end-user customers,
including business and retail customers. They aim to reduce e-waste by extending the life of IT equipment
and offering high-quality computing devices with warranties at affordable prices.
Price Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24
Newj - - - 153 161 145 128 116 92 97 85 122
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales - - - 9.6 27.9 44.5 61.7
Op Profit - - - 1.1 3.0 8.8 8.9
Net Profit - - - 0.7 1.8 6.8 6.3
Website: https://newjaisa.com/
This page is created for information purpose. It is not a BUY/SELL recommendation. 13
Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
2nd Jul 2024
Company Type Evergreen
LT OP uptrend Yes
ST OP uptrend No
PE 55 (Consumer Disc: 30-70)
Higher end of sector range
Futuristic Sector Yes
Mar ‘24: Venture Capital Funds is holding 4.25% stake. Negen Tech
Opportunities Angel Fund is holding 4.25% stake.
HNI / Institutional Oct ’23: Suresh Bhatia HuF bought 4.3L shares at INR 69/share,
aggregating to INR 3 Cr. Shreekant Phumbhra bought 2.3L shares at
/ Promoter Yes INR 70/share, aggregating to INR 1.6 Cr. Saurabh Tripathi bought 1.7L
Buying shares at INR 71/share, aggregating to INR 1.2 Cr. Alacrity Securities
bought 2.3L shares at INR 70/share, aggregating to INR 1.6 Cr. Bajoria
Financial Services bought 3.6L shares at INR71/share, aggregating to
INR 2.6 Cr.
Recent filing: (BULK DEAL) Bofa Securities Europe Sa bought 2.8L shares of Shivalic Power Control at INR
311/share, aggregating to INR 8.7 Cr.
SUMMARY: 3y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 84.8x(Sector PE range 30-60) | Institutional Entry | IPO |
Electrification | Capital Goods
● MCap of INR 827 Crore (share price = INR 343 / share) (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
● TTM PE 84.8x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24) Retail float = NA
Company Description: Shivalic Power Control Limited, is in the business of manufacturing LT and HT
electric panels, boasts a rich 20-year operating history, with a sprawling 1,25,000 Sq. Feet in-house
manufacturing facility, the company prides itself on its ability to produce a varied selection of electric panels,
including PCC Panels, IMCC Panels, Smart Panels, MCC Panels, DG synchronization panels, Outdoor
panels, and HT Panels up to 33KV.
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Dec-23* TTM
Sales - - - 52 57 82 64 84.5
Op Profit - - - 5 5 13 - -
Net Profit - - - 1 2 7 8 9.75
OPM - - - 10% 9% 16% - -
NPM - - - 2% 4% 9% 13% 12%
*for the 9 months period ending on 31st Dec ’23.
Website: https://shivalic.com/
Yes
Futuristic Sector
(Electrification)
HNI / Institutional
/ Promoter Yes As stated above.
Buying
• MCap of INR 27,541 Cr (share price = INR 2,404/share); TTM PE 77.2x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
Price Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24
GRSE 621 817 841 743 847 873 931 814 765 989 1369 2099
• MCap of INR 4,795 Cr (share price = INR 430/share); TTM PE 70.4x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
Price Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24
DCX 286 334 294 292 360 341 345 321 294 321 311 361
• MCap of INR 2,414 Cr (share price = INR 179/share); TTM PE 24.5x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
Price Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24
Pennar 83 118 112 102 119 125 153 134 133 137 144 168
• MCap of INR 896 Cr (share price = INR 548/share); TTM PE 25.6x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
Price Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24
Ceinsy 196 221 216 367 363 354 449 592 588 596 462 528
• MCap of INR 10,340 Cr (share price = INR 341/share); TTM PE 138x (as on 2nd Jul ‘24)
Price Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24
Genus 183 259 256 246 221 232 265 250 230 298 314 310
IPO
SME / Subs
Company Status Open Close Listing GMP
Mainboard (x)
Effwa Infra and Research SME Upcoming 05-Jul-24 09-Jul-24 12-Jul-24 43% NA
Ganesh Green Bharat SME Upcoming 05-Jul-24 09-Jul-24 12-Jul-24 100% NA
Ambey Laboratories SME Upcoming 04-Jul-24 08-Jul-24 11-Jul-24 32% NA
Bansal Wire Mainboard Upcoming 03-Jul-24 05-Jul-24 10-Jul-24 24% NA
Emcure Pharma Mainboard Upcoming 03-Jul-24 05-Jul-24 10-Jul-24 29% NA
Nephro Care India SME Close 28-Jun-24 02-Jul-24 05-Jul-24 183% 716
Diensten SME Close 26-Jun-24 28-Jun-24 03-Jul-24 58% 54
Vraj Iron and Steel Mainboard Close 26-Jun-24 28-Jun-24 03-Jul-24 28% 126
The Growing Threat of Government Debt: A Challenge for Global Stability and Inflation, Warns BIS
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has issued a sobering alert about the escalating levels of
government debt worldwide, emphasizing its potential to unsettle global financial markets and worsen
inflationary pressures.
Recent years have witnessed a sharp increase in government borrowing, driven by heightened expenditures
on crucial areas such as energy transition and social welfare amidst changing demographics. The BIS notes
that these elevated debt levels were previously masked by long periods of historically low interest rates post-
2008 global financial crisis.
Highlighting examples such as the United States, where government debt has soared to unprecedented
levels, projected to exceed 140% of GDP by 2032 without fiscal adjustments. Similarly, fiscal challenges in
countries like France, with deficits surpassing EU limits, underscore the delicate balance between economic
stimulus and fiscal responsibility.
While increased government spending can stimulate economic growth, it also poses risks of exacerbating
inflation. The BIS cautions that excessive fiscal stimulus amid economic recovery could prolong inflationary
pressures, delaying anticipated declines. This dilemma underscores the careful balance central banks must
strike in promoting economic recovery while safeguarding long-term stability.
In response to these challenges, the BIS calls for proactive measures to curb excessive borrowing before
economic conditions worsen. Emphasizing the need for responsible fiscal management, the institution urges
governments globally to prioritize sustainable fiscal policies. It also warns against premature adjustments to
key interest rates that could disrupt economic recovery.
As global economies navigate post-pandemic recovery and navigate evolving geopolitical dynamics, the BIS
stresses the importance of vigilant fiscal oversight and coordinated policy responses. Safeguarding financial
stability amidst rising debt levels and inflation remains crucial, necessitating concerted efforts from
policymakers to ensure a sustainable global economic future that benefits all.
Special Situation:
Special Situation refers to any form of capital raise by the Company – Preferential issuance or allotment
of equity shares, Preferential issuance or allotment of equity warrants, Rights issuance, recently
conducted IPO / FPO or issuance of any debt security like NCDs, commercial papers, etc.
Future Visibility:
Future Visibility refers to a piece of information / event that positively impacts future revenues. Examples:
a large order win by the company, partnership / acquisition, new factory setup, expansion in existing
factory, new stores, launch of a new brand, etc.
Futuristic Sector:
Futuristic Sector refers to those sectors where high growth is expected. Examples: Green Energy (solar,
wind, etc.), Electric Vehicle, Railways (through railways modernization), Defence (through increasing self-
reliance), New-Age IT (Cloud, AI, ML, big data), 5G, Electrification, etc.