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Is GDP a Good Measure of People's Welfare
Is GDP a Good Measure of People's Welfare
Is GDP a Good Measure of People's Welfare
I Introduction
The welfare of people is mainly decided by good economic and
public policy. People's well-being and welfare is a broad notion that cannot
people. But GDP by definition has mainly described market products in the
form of money units. It just represents the material well-being of the people.
They also mentioned that one has to look beyond GDP because there
aggregate GDP data and what counts for common people’s well-being. In
their report, they further suggested three approaches to measure the quality
how well one likes the life one lives in the prevailing economic and social
person’s life. Mc Gillivray and Clarke (2006, 2007) define subjective well-
being. Further Diener (1984) has elaborated the subjective well-being in three
aspects, viz., (i) life satisfaction i.e., person’s overall judgment about their life
and joy or positive energy; and (iii) presence of negative feelings such as
psychology, but it has gained importance in the field of economics after the
their lower counterparts but over the life cycle, the happiness remains
However, income growth does not cause well-being to rise, for both higher
inversely with the material aspirations and income of others. The increase in
(Easterlin 1995 and 2001). Easterlin has opened the gate of happiness in the
Beja Jr (2013), and Nicole Fuentes and Mariano Rojas (2001) in Mexico, has
positively related to well-being but in the long run, the relationship is still
debatable. They further asserted that growth changes the aspiration of the
people. If both expectations and outcomes increase at the same rate, then
individuals will not feel any happier. However, the study conducted by
Richard Ball and Kateryna Chernova (2008) has shown that absolute income
absolute income but the effect on the happiness of both absolute and relative
(2013) have depicted that household income is positively related to the life
evaluation was weaker than that for household income. After 1990, there has
been a growing number of studies that have been addressing income effect
Wolfer, 2008; Helliwell and Barringtoin-Leigh, 2010; Frey and Stutzer, 2010;
Andrew E. Clark and Claudia Senik, 2011). In the literature, subjective well-
Despite having rapid economic growth, can we say that this growth actually
GDP and the subjective well-being of the people? Are we able to trickle
down the effect of growth on all sections of the people? Does money buy
happiness or well-being?
modest attempt to examine the relationship between GDP per capita and
China, and South Africa. These five countries represent 41.2 per cent of the
world population, nominal GDP of US $19.6 trillion, over a 16 per cent share
of world trade, and 32 per cent of world GDP PPP. The growth potential of
these economies is not less than any other developed country. For further
comparison, the study includes two developed nations USA and Japan to
has collected data from 120 countries in the world, which constitute 94.5 per
beliefs, etc. WVS also collects data on subjective well-being and its related
indicator. Till now the WVS has collected and released data of seven waves
started from 1981 to 2021, conducted globally every five years. Being a part of
the WVS association, the world WVS has started the survey in Brazil, India,
Russia and China since the second wave (1990-1994), and in Japan, USA and
South Africa it started from the first wave (1981-1984). The fourth wave (1995-
1998) survey was not conducted in Brazil and Russia. The seventh wave
(2017-2020) data of India and South Africa is yet to be released, the process is
getting delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic. WVS collected data on three
being (happiness). The life satisfaction question asked in the form of “All
things considered, how satisfied are you with your life as a whole these days?
respondent “How satisfied are you with the financial situation of your
means you are “completely dissatisfied” and 10 means you are “completely
respondent in the form of “Taking all things together, would you say you are:
very happy (=1), quite happy (=2), rather happy (=3), and not at all happy
(=4)”. Happiness is measured on 4 point scale. For the use of the paper, the
happiness variable is further recoded in the form of “1=, not at all happy, 2=
rather happy, 3= quite happy, and 4= very happy. In the literature, life
The happiness and financial satisfaction measures are also included in the
fluctuating across time. The value lies between 5 and 8. Brazil which is an
to developed nations like Russia and Japan throughout the period. The USA
Wave 7. On the other hand, the world's largest economies viz., India and
(values range between 5 and 6.5) for all the countries in the study.
Table 2
Mean Values of Happiness Scores Across Countries
Country
Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7
Name
Brazil - 2.94 (0.71) 3.03 (0.68) - 3.24 (0.63) 3.25 (0.63) 3.17 (0.61)
Russia - 2.54 (0.67) 2.50 (0.73) - 2.76 (0.69) 2.89 (0.67) 2.98 (0.59)
India - 2.93 (0.78) 3.06 (0.78) 2.93 (0.79) 3.01 (0.79) 3.20 (0.72) -
China - 2.94 (0.81) 3.05 (0.66) 2.86 (0.63) 2.93 (0.74) 3.01 (0.59) 3.15 (0.63)
South
Africa 3.05 (0.76) 2.97 (0.84) 3.15 (0.86) 3.21 (0.81) 3.23 (0.88) 3.13 (0.87) -
Japan 2.98 (0.60) 2.99 (0.61) 3.22 (0.63) 3.17 (0.62) 3.19 (0.63) 3.21 (0.65) 3.20 (0.62)
USA 3.21 (0.62) 3.27 (0.68) 3.39 (0.62) 3.30 (0.60) 3.28 (0.59) 3.26 (0.64) 3.12 (0.64)
Sources: Author's calculation using WVS 1981-2021.
Notes: (1) Figures in Parenthesis indicate Standard deviation.
(2) - indicates data is not available for that period.
study over different WVS waves. We can observe that happiness scores are
values of happiness as well. The happiness value ranges from 2.5 to 3.5 for
all the countries in the study. Hence from Table 1 and Table 2, we can
Fig. 1 (a), (b) and (c) shows the percentage distribution of scores of
depicts that the scores of life satisfaction are almost normally distributed for
India, Japan, Russia, and South Africa. It means that in these four countries,
almost half of the surveyed people reported their life satisfaction between 5-
7 on a measure 10 point scale. However, in the case of Brazil, the USA, and
people reported their life satisfaction between 7-10. Similarly, Fig.1 (b) shows
that the scores of financial satisfaction are normally distributed for all the
countries except the USA. For the USA the financial score distribution is
right-skewed, which means that in the USA most of the people reported a
Fig. 1(c) shows the distribution of happiness scores over the WVS waves. It
shows that the distribution is right skewed which means that most of the
people in all the countries in the study have reported a higher level of
Fig. 1
Country-wise distribution of Life Satisfaction Scores, Financial
Satisfaction Scores and Happiness Scores in Percentage
level of income is attained (Fuentes and Rojas, 2001). Does this notion hold?
In order to test this we need to analyse the co-movement of GDP and life
satisfaction. First, looking at the movement of GDP alone for the period
1981-2021 (during the 7 waves of WVS) in Figure 2, we can see that the log of
per capita GDP over the years has been increasing for all the countries
during the study period. USA and Japan which are the developed countries
considered in this study have reported a higher per capita GDP when
compared to the BRICS nations, with India having the lowest among them.
Fig. 2
Trend in Per capita GDP (in $) of BRICS Nations, USA and Japan
various countries, it is noteworthy to say that for all the countries the per
capita GDP is consistently increasing over the years. Hence, from Tables 1
over the study period for all the countries. However, GDP per capita is
consistently increasing over the year for all the countries, which can be
observed in Fig. 2.
measures of subjective well-being, they are very much correlated with each
other. But the main relationship of interest is the correlation between the
satisfaction and happiness) and log GDP per capita. Table 3 shows that GDP
satisfaction in India (-0.03 and -0.07) and the USA (-0.09 and -0.09). Though
GDP is increasing over the years for all the countries, overall life satisfaction
and financial satisfaction are decreasing in USA and India. In the case of
Brazil, China, Japan, Russia, and South Africa, the relationship between GDP
and three measures of subjective well-being is very close to zero i.e., the
the form of per capita GDP is increasing, but different measures of well-
being viz., life satisfaction, financial satisfaction and happiness of the people
Fig. 3(a)
Trend of GDP Per capita and Average Life Satisfaction Across the Time
Note: ‘BR’= Brazil, ‘ RUS’= Russia, ‘IND’= India, ‘CHN’= China, ‘SA’= South Africa, ‘JPN’=
Japan, and ‘USA’= United State of America.
Figure 3(a), 3(b) and 3(c) depicts the relationship (in the form of a
fitted line or trend line) of GDP per capita with average life satisfaction
observed from Fig. 3(a) that the plot of log GDP per capita and average life
them. Accordingly, from 3(a) we can observe that the fitted line slopes
positively between the first wave (1981-1994) to the third wave (1995-1998) of
WVS and the same are getting flattened over the first three wave periods
indicating that as the income increases the life satisfaction is not increasing
countries like India, developed countries like the USA and Japan have higher
increasing economic status (Per Capita GDP) of the country, the level of life
Fig. 3 (b)
Trend of GDP per capita and Average Financial Satisfaction
Across the Time
Note: ‘BR’= Brazil, ‘ RUS’= Russia, ‘IND’= India, ‘CHN’= China, ‘SA’= South Africa, ‘JPN’=
Japan, and ‘USA’= United State of America.
Fig. 3(c)
Trend of GDP per capita and Average Happiness Across the Time
Note: ‘BR’= Brazil, ‘ RUS’= Russia, ‘IND’= India, ‘CHN’= China, ‘SA’= South Africa, ‘JPN’=
Japan, and ‘USA’= United State of America.
Figures 3(b) and 3(c) show a similar fitted line pattern in the case of
relationship between life satisfaction and GDP given in Fig. 3(a). That is,
both financial satisfaction and happiness are also not showing a consistent
increase with the increase in the GDP per capita. Conversely, financial
satisfaction and happiness are almost constant over the time period and can
be seen from Fig. 3(b) and 3 (c) that the two actually show a slight decrease
Fig. 4
Movements in GDP per capita and Life Satisfaction
over the Period 2005-2019
5.5
5.4
9.8
10.2
8.8
9.6
5.2
5
10.15
5.8
Log GDP per capita
Life Satisfaction
Life Satisfaction
9.4
4.5
5
5.6
10.1
9.2
4.8
8.4
4
5.4
10.05
9
3.5
4.6
8.2
5.2
8.8
4.4
10
3
2005 2010 2015 2020 2005 2010 2015 2020 2005 2010 2015 2020
Year Year Year
9.45
7.2
5.5
9.6
7
5
Log GDP per capita
Life Satisfaction
9.55
6.8
4.5
6.6
9.5
9.35
4
9.45
6.4
6.2
9.4
3.5
9.3
10.65
7.6
6.6
7.4
6.4
Log GDP per capita
Life Satisfaction
7.2
6.2
10.95
10.55
6
7
10.9
10.5
5.8
6.8
USA Japan
Life Satisfaction Log GDP per capita Life Satisfaction Log GDP per capita
relationship between log GDP per capita and average life satisfaction (2005-
2019) using data collected from the world happiness report 2020. Fig. 4 gives
us the trend of the relationship between GDP per capita and life satisfaction
over the period 2005-2019 for all the countries considered in this study. We
can observe that log GDP per capita has a consistent increase over the
periods for all the countries. On the other hand, the average life satisfaction
does not show a uniform trend across countries. For instance, life satisfaction
is decreasing drastically in USA and India from 2005 to 2019. But it is not
exactly the same with respect to the other countries. The average life
satisfaction for Russia, South Africa, Japan, and China is fluctuating during
the same period. Hence we can come to the conclusion that overall there is
not much evidence to say that an increase in income will lead to an increase
increase in income disparity and it is one of the suspected elements that may
society will get benefited from it. According to the World Inequality Report
2022, 52 per cent of global income goes into the pocket of the top 10 per cent
of the richest people, while the poorest half of the population earns 8.5 per
cent of it. With-in country income inequality has increased in most countries
over the past two decades. As per the world inequality report South Africa,
Brazil and India are some of the countries with a high level of income
equality. Figure 5 (a) to 5(g) depicts the income inequality of BRICS countries
by computing the share of income of the top 10 per cent and bottom 50 per
Accordingly, we can see that in South Africa the top 10 per cent of
the population possess 60 per cent of the total income and the bottom 50 per
cent of the population holds only 5.5 per cent of the total income. In the case
of India and Brazil, the top 10 per cent of people hold around 58 per cent of
total income, and the bottom 50 per cent hold around 12 per cent of total
income. From Fig. 5(c) it is seen that income inequality in India has increased
after 1985. In the case of China, the USA, Japan and Russia top 10 per cent
hold 42-47 per cent of total income, while the bottom 50 per cent hold
between 12-18 per cent of national income. We can further observe from Fig.
5 (a) to (g) that over the recent years, the gap between the top 10 per cent and
bottom 50 per cent is certainly getting wider in all the countries considered
in this study, which means that income is getting concentrated with the top
10 per cent of the people on the other hand bottom 50 per cent are striving to
Fig. 5
Income Share Among Top 10 per cent and
Bottom 50 per cent of Population in Selected Countries
VIII Conclusion
The Income-happiness relationship is still a debatable issue in the
the relationship between life satisfaction and income (GDP per capita) in the
context of BRICS countries, the USA and Japan. The study uses data from
World Value Survey (WVS) and World Bank. Descriptive analysis and
negatively associated with GDP per capita in the case of India and the USA.
In the case of other countries, the association between GDP per capita and
relationship between income and life satisfaction. This study supports the
Easterlin paradox that long-term trends in happiness and real GDP per
capita are not significantly positively related. In fact, the study reveals that in
the last two decades, there is a substantial increase in GDP per capita and the
countries.
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