Professional Documents
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10-1108_JPIF-04-2020-0040
10-1108_JPIF-04-2020-0040
https://www.emerald.com/insight/1463-578X.htm
Arab Emirates
Tess Lambourne 335
Centre for Development, Environment and Policy CeDEP, SOAS,
University of London, London, UK Received 18 April 2020
Revised 25 December 2020
Accepted 31 December 2020
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to determine if there is an impact of sustainability on the market in
terms of a green premium or a brown discount on the price of commercial and residential real estate. It also
seeks to identify the incentives and barriers for sustainable developments perceived by real estate
professionals.
Design/methodology/approach – The paper investigates the impact of sustainability features on the
valuation of buildings in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The study uses a qualitative structured
questionnaire to determine the views of certified real estate valuers and advisors on this subject.
Findings – The results suggest a green premium of at least 1% in the UAE, coming from both supply-side and
demand-side, and in commercial and residential sectors. Key barriers for the recognition of green building value
include availability of reliable market data, lack of relevant technical skills and apparent client disinterest.
Initiatives that would encourage green buildings include financial incentives for key stakeholders, raising and
enforcing building standards, and higher energy prices. This paper identifies policy measures that local
authorities may consider in transforming to a more sustainable economy. It is expected that such changes
would convey to the real estate industry and affiliated stakeholders the financial benefits to be gained from
investing in green buildings.
Research limitations/implications – The UAE is not a transparent environment in terms of building prices
and rents, and it can be challenging even for experienced professionals to determine whether an observed
higher value can truly be considered a green premium. The second issue is that the results may be affected by a
“voluntary response bias”, whereby recipients who are interested in sustainability are more likely to have
responded to the survey.
Practical implications – This paper identifies policy measures that local authorities may consider in
transforming to a more sustainable economy. It is expected that such changes would convey to the real estate
industry and affiliated stakeholders the financial benefits to be gained from investing in green buildings.
Originality/value – Most research exploring the value of green buildings originates from developed
economies and its applicability to the Middle East is questionable due to its differing origins and unusual
development path. This article offers new insights into an under-researched market.
Keywords Real estate sustainability, Property valuation, Green building, Green premium, Brown discount,
United Arab Emirates, Middle East
Paper type Research paper
1. Background
1.1 Introduction
The real estate sector has a significant impact on the global environment. Many people spend
most of their lives inside buildings, which are estimated to account for over 33% of final
energy use worldwide (IPCC, 2014). New construction also has significant environmental
effects, being responsible for more than a third of global resource consumption, including
fresh water (United Nations Environment Programme, 2011). This can vary from country to
country and between regions and is dependent upon climate, topography and building style.
Journal of Property Investment &
This study was undertaken for the degree of Masters of Science in Sustainable Development at Finance
Vol. 40 No. 4, 2022
University of London. The author thanks CBRE Middle East for contributing to this study. All pp. 335-361
statements of opinion reflect the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of CBRE © Emerald Publishing Limited
1463-578X
Middle East or its associated companies. DOI 10.1108/JPIF-04-2020-0040
JPIF In the Northern Hemisphere, much of the energy consumption is based on winter heating,
40,4 particularly in Europe where many of the existing studies on property and sustainability
have been carried out. However, in the Middle East, the energy consumption can be just as
significant but based on cooling. This paper looks at the importance and impact of building
suitability initiatives on the price of property in the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
In the UAE, buildings use almost 90% of total electricity (Dubey and Krarti, 2017).
Residential properties are responsible for over 55% of national power consumption, half of
336 which is used for air-conditioning alone (Asif, 2016). This makes the building sector a natural
target for policies seeking to reduce resource use and decrease greenhouse gas emissions.
339
Figure 1.
Map of Middle East
(Britannica, 2015) with
inset Map of UAE
(NordNordWest, 2015)
reducing the harm to fragile ecosystems and future-proofing national real estate assets
(Ellison and Sayce, 2006). In embracing green building practices, the UAE may also leapfrog
obsolete construction methods and thereby avoid the costs of upgrading obsolete
technologies.
In seeking the views of real estate professionals, this study highlights some of the
motivators and obstacles facing the UAE in persuading its property sector to move towards a
more sustainable future.
The discovery of oil in Abu Dhabi in 1958, and the resulting export revenue restructured
the economic fabric of the UAE (Rizvi, 1993). Prior to this, it had been one of the poorest Arab
countries, suffering enormous economic hardships well into the 20th century. This newfound
prosperity marked the start of an era in which massive construction projects and
skyrocketing national incomes transformed the UAE from rags to riches (Al Fahim, 1995).
Indeed, the development of Abu Dhabi has been described as: “one of the most rapid and
grandiose processes of urbanisation ever witnessed in modern times” (Crot, 2013, p. 2,811); an
observation equally applicable to Dubai.
Given this rapid growth, the real estate sector is considered central to the UAE’s efforts to
reduce its environmental impact, and there is great opportunity to incorporate sustainable
design features into the new developments (EGBC, 2018). As a country, the UAE has unique
characteristics that would be expected to facilitate the implementation of environmentally
sustainable initiatives:
(1) A highly urbanised population, with over 86% of residents living in cities.
(2) High per capita income.
(3) A monarchical form of government giving considerable authority to the UAE’s rulers,
encouraging the adoption of long-term views.
JPIF (4) A highly centralised institutional structure allowing for fast decision-making and
40,4 significant co-ordination of investment and development activities (Hvidt, 2009).
(5) Few agricultural or manufacturing industries that claim special status from the
government, limiting their influence on policy decisions.
(6) Prevalence of government-related companies, giving the government an ability to
champion specific sectors of interest (OECD, 2013).
340
(7) A relatively well-diversified economy, with non-oil activities making up 64% of GDP
(Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi, 2018).
Like many other countries, however, the UAE also faces development challenges relating to
rising energy demand, ongoing industrialisation and urbanisation, and continued population
growth.
The private sector is central to environmental sustainability efforts in the real estate
sector. However, given that much of the UAE’s economic success is due to its openness to
foreigners and trade, low taxes and business-friendly environment (Hvidt, 2013), the country
must tread carefully when designing sustainable development policies.
A heavy regulatory approach could have serious and unintended consequences and
decrease the UAE’s appeal as the economic centre of the region. In particular, Hertog and
Luciani note that: “Dubai’s free-wheeling business environment has in the past not been very
amenable to forceful regulatory intervention” (2009, p. 35).
Resource subsidies on petrol, electricity and water subsidies for Emirati nationals have
led to unsustainable patterns of overconsumption (Dargin, 2014), although the government is
lowering them gradually. Sprawling developments and national land grants that extend
into the desert in all directions also contribute to high per capita energy use (Ghazal
et al., 2016).
Education levels in the UAE are high for the region, but this has not yet corresponded to
high awareness of or interest in sustainability (Issa and Al Abbar, 2015). Given that citizen
consciousness and participation are integral components of a sustainable development
system, this is one area that government authorities may look to improve in future.
The UAE government is increasingly committed to improving environmental standards
and resource consumption. In 2006, the country was alarmed to learn that it had the world’s
largest Ecological Footprint per capita (WWF, 2006), meaning that its residents were
consuming global resources at a highly unsustainable rate. Due to the high volume of
imported goods, the overconsumption also far exceeded the biocapacity of UAE ecosystems.
Since that time, the government has made continuous efforts to reduce its environmental
impact with some success, although the overall level remains high.
DEVELOPERS
INVESTORS
‘We would ask for
‘We would invest in
sustainable buildings but the
sustainable buildings but there
investors won’t pay for Figure 2.
is no demand for them.’
them.’ Vicious circle of blame
(Cadman, 2000; cited in
Keeping, 2000)
JPIF is generally asymmetrical (RICS, 2008b). The valuer may also have a role to inform stakeholder
40,4 groups (Hartenberger et al., 2015). This is a crucial role, empowering valuers to convey the
increased net asset value of green buildings to the financiers and developers of potential real
estate projects where it has been observed in the market (RICS, 2005). Through this ability to
affect the decision-makers, real estate valuers may be able to realign incentives, break the
“vicious circle of blame” and replace it with a “virtuous circle” (see Figure 3):
342
OWNERS & TENANTS DESIGNERS &
BUILDERS
‘We demand sustainable
buildings, because they are ‘We can design and build
cheaper to run, increase our sustainable buildings because
well-being and improve our that’s what our clients want
image.’ and society expects.’
VALUERS & BROKERS
‘We recognise the value of sustainable
buildings, and reflect this in our
estimates of market value as well as in
our advice to clients’
INVESTORS DEVELOPERS
‘We invest in sustainable ‘We develop sustainable
buildings because that’s what buildings because they are
occupiers want, they give easier to sell, achieve higher
Figure 3. higher returns and have greater
The virtuous circle prices and are more resistant
value growth potential.’ to obsolescence.’
(derived from
RICS, 2008a)
3. The research
3.1 The survey
This research is an observational study incorporating aspects of cross-sectional comparison.
It investigates the motivations of the primary stakeholders involved in real estate
development, from the view of the real estate professionals who work closely with and
advise them.
Employing qualitative methods to analyse the survey results, this study intends to:
(1) describe the status quo;
(2) determine any barriers to the recognition of the value of green buildings and
(3) identify certain actions that could be taken to encourage sustainable real estate.
Primary data were collected using a structured online questionnaire incorporating 5-point
Likert scales, multiple choice and checkbox questions. An online platform was used to create
the questionnaire, track responses and review results. Participants received an email
containing a link to the online questionnaire.
4. The results
4.1 About the respondents
The results showed that 96% of the respondents are expatriates in the UAE, with only 4%
originating from the UAE or GCC countries. This suggests that the vast majority have
experience working outside the region and an international perspective as seen in
Figure 4 below.
Amongst the participants, 24% were female and 76% male, which is consistent with the
gender balance across the real estate services industry (PwC, 2017).
Despite their technical status as foreigners, more than half of the respondents had worked
in the UAE for more than six years. Only 10% were relative newcomers with less than two
years’ residence. This is clear from Figure 5 below.
As Figure 6 below shows, many respondents were highly experienced, with 56% having
commenced working in real estate more than ten years ago. Those with less than five years of
work history accounted for 13% of the 70 respondents.
In terms of service provision, 66% of the respondents were valuers. Brokers, who
generally represent clients for leasing, sales/purchase or finance transactions, accounted for
14%. The remaining 20% did not belong in either category, which may include heads of firms
or those currently working in other business lines.
Figure 4.
Nationality of
participants
Valuing
sustainability
in real estate
345
Figure 5.
Participants’ time
in UAE
Figure 6.
Participants’ real estate
experience
346
Figure 7.
Level of interest in
green buildings
One possible explanation is that respondents may be comparing the local market with
Western countries. Given that the UAE only began addressing environmental sustainability
relatively recently, it is not surprising that market sentiment has not yet caught up.
In the following question, respondents were asked how sustainability was viewed by real
estate investors and developers in the UAE. Multiple responses could be submitted and
together they also give some insight into views of property developers (shown in Figure 8).
Figure 8.
Real estate developers’
views on sustainability
A promising 59% felt that sustainability was “gradually becoming more relevant and
accepted”, while only 16% of responses nominated “not interested”. Less encouraging is that
over half of respondents believed real estate sustainability was viewed as “good in concept
but not in practice”.
4.3 Sustainability features
It was interesting to note the design and resources-related green features that respondents
have encountered in the UAE, as these may be more economically viable, bring reputational
or design benefits to the development or simply more noticeable. Figures 9 and 10 below show
the responses:
Valuing
sustainability
in real estate
347
Figure 9.
Design-related green
features
Figure 10.
Resource-related green
features
Figure 11.
Green premium for
investors and owners
Valuing
sustainability
in real estate
349
Figure 12.
Green premium for
occupiers and tenants
Shown in Figure 13 below, the responses were relatively high, suggesting that the
professionals feel that the advantages of green buildings can already be accounted for
appropriately via traditional valuation assessment processes.
There were two characteristics that nearly half of the respondents agreed would play a
“major factor” in their assessment of a green building: (1) higher rents and (2) lower operating
costs. The third ranked factor was the attractiveness to higher quality tenants, closely
followed by increased investor demand.
The results show that in theory at least, real estate professionals are sensitive to many
aspects of sustainable buildings in terms of assessing value. Surprisingly, LEED certification
Figure 13.
Factors that improve
green buildings’
market value
JPIF in itself is one of the least influential aspects, which suggests valuers look beyond the
40,4 accreditation to analyse how the green features impact a property’s economic fundamentals.
Figure 14.
Discouraging the
addition of value for
green buildings
Valuing
sustainability
in real estate
351
Figure 15.
Lack of market data
These results corroborate existing research conclusions that knowledge of sustainability and
its connection to value is still somewhat lacking across the valuation profession.
Interestingly, this appears to be most true for younger valuers than senior ones (Warren-
Myers, 2011), with the latter’s greater experience appearing to give heightened sensitivity and
possibly trust in their own judgement.
Two further questions highlighted that respondents do not have an expected level of
familiarity and expertise in this field. The first asked whether they were confident in their
own ability to value or assess green buildings. While 42% of respondents felt “Very or Quite
Confident”, at least 25% felt “Not so Confident” or “Not at All Confident”. This is revealed in
Figure 16:
Respondents were then asked if they were aware of specific guidance on assessing green
buildings/features. This was designed to assess whether the level of confidence expressed
was confirmed by familiarity with the industry guidance (Figure 17).
Figure 16.
Confidence in
assessing green
buildings
JPIF
40,4
352
Figure 17.
Awareness of industry
guidance on assessing
green buildings
Looking at the above, 70% of respondents were not well-acquainted with industry guidance,
which is surprising given the extensive output from RICS and other guiding authorities on
this topic in the last 15 years.
Figure 18 above compares the answers of Questions 12 and 15 discussed previously. The
answers of those who felt “Very” or “Quite” confident were combined, and compared against
the answers of those who described themselves as “Not so” or “Not at All” confident. It should
be noted that self-reported confidence does not always equate to capability, but it can be
useful for comparison purposes.
Figure 18.
Impact of industry
guidance familiarity on
confidence
Of the respondents who had used industry guidance before, 48% felt confident in their Valuing
ability to accurately assess green buildings, compared to only 18% of those who were sustainability
unfamiliar with the guidance. For those who were unaware/unsure of industry guidance, only
7% felt confident in their skills, whereas 30% of this group were less confident.
in real estate
Whilst this correlation should not be confused with causation, the chart suggests that
respondents who are more familiar with the relevant industry guidance are generally more
confident in their ability to accurately value or assess green buildings.
For knowledge deficiencies amongst professionals to obstruct the correct valuing of green 353
features is hardly ideal. Fortunately, this may be one aspect of the “wicked” problem of
sustainable development that is fairly straightforward to address.
Every year, each RICS surveyor must complete at least 20 hours of continuing professional
development (CPD). RERA valuers must complete a day of training and pass an exam to
become certified, while RERA brokers must do the same annually. If a set amount of CPD was
dedicated to sustainability and value, one can imagine significant improvement in the relevant
skills of real estate professionals. In the UAE, almost all international-grade valuations
originate from such individuals, and the market impact of such a change could be considerable.
4.5.3 Lack of interest from clients. Over half of respondents agreed that a lack of client
interest discouraged professionals from accounting for the value of green buildings, with
18% believing this was “definitely a factor” and 41% feeling that it was “likely”. However,
over time, interest in green development is expected to rise in the UAE. This has already
occurred in many developed economies. Improving the sustainability knowledge and skills of
valuers/brokers is expected to increase client engagement. Informed real estate professionals
are in a position to educate the stakeholders they work with on the cost and value of
sustainable building features and technologies (Bently et al., 2015).
Figure 19.
Green building
deterrents
JPIF
40,4
354
Figure 20.
What would encourage
more green buildings
Over three-quarters of respondents felt that the higher cost of green features was “definitely”
or “likely” to be a factor. This is supported by research estimating the additional expense of
building green from 0.4% to 21% (Dwaikat and Ali, 2016). Nevertheless, such costs are
generally recoverable in the long term due to lower operating expenses (RICS, 2013).
In the UAE, most new buildings are sold before or upon completion and this time lag leads
to a misalignment of incentives. Many developers build to the minimum specifications in
order to save on the upfront costs with little regard to reducing future operating costs that
would benefit occupiers.
The next three highest factors identified related to the parties’ attitudes and
understanding:
(1) Lack of information and expertise: 71% thought “definitely” or “likely” to be a factor.
(2) Unwillingness to change: 54% thought “definitely” or “likely” to be a factor.
(3) Lack of interest from tenants/buyers: 49% thought “definitely” or “likely” to be a
factor.
These results are not surprising, as the awareness of the UAE public, and thus the demand for
green buildings, is generally not considered sufficient to motivate developers to construct
sustainable projects (Abu-Hijleh and Jaheen, 2019).
Low occupier interest is unlikely to remain the case for long, however, as an ever-
increasing number of premium companies are embracing sustainability programmes to meet
customer and employee expectations (McKinsey and Co., 2017).
Surprisingly, the concept that green features have no impact on value, or only have low
cost savings, was not perceived as a significant barrier. An oft-ignored factor highlighted by
one participant is the rapid advancement in environmental technologies. Innovations such as
solar panels have displayed a tendency for costs to fall dramatically over time, whilst scope
and capacity increase. Accordingly, a rational stakeholder may delay adopting green
features: either anticipating future drops in price, or out of concern that investments will Valuing
become rapidly outdated. sustainability
in real estate
4.7 Encouraging green building
The survey also endeavoured to identify which, if any, steps could be taken in the UAE to
foster the development of green buildings. Public authorities can have powerful influence on
economic actors depending on priorities, spending levels and the effectiveness of initiatives. 355
Almost all participants felt that the development of green buildings could be boosted by:
(1) the raising and enforcing of building standards and (2) the offering of rewards and
incentives. A third measure, increasing cost of conventional energy sources, was also
viewed by more than half of respondents as “definitely” or “likely” to encourage such
developments.
Establishing an information centre or providing sustainability training were not thought
to be particularly effective by most respondents. This suggests that policymakers would do
well to redirect funds to more effective programmes.
4.7.1 Green building schemes. The survey respondents were mildly positive in their views
on the potential of the UAE green building rating schemes to influence higher sustainability
standards, as seen in Figure 21 below.
These green building assessment systems do not seem to have a major impact on the real
estate market, as reflected in the high rates of “unsure” responses (18% Dubai, 15% Abu
Dhabi). Given that both schemes are mandatory, it is surprising that they were not considered
more influential. One possible explanation is that the schemes are not sufficiently
demanding from an environmental standpoint; alternatively, it could be that enforcement
is lacking.
Figure 21.
Abu Dhabi and Dubai
green building
schemes
JPIF
40,4
356
Figure 22.
Personal importance of
environmental
sustainability
When combined with the results from earlier questions, this outcome suggests that the
participants’ personal views are not one of the reasons preventing them from recognising a
higher value for sustainable buildings.
5.2 Recommendations
Given the above, certain policy recommendations can be suggested that would realign
market incentives and correct information asymmetries. Such changes would be expected to
convey to the real estate industry the financial benefits to be gained from investing in green
buildings.
(1) Increase the availability of transactional data within the real estate market, thereby
providing professionals with a firmer basis on which to make assessments. Albeit, the
data would need to show the sustainable features of each building sold so the link
between value and sustainability is more easily observed.
(2) Require regulatory bodies to provide focussed training on the connection between
sustainability and real estate value to certified professionals.
(3) Introduce mandatory and prominent disclosure of building energy efficiency ratings
for all real estate transactions in order to correct market asymmetry.
(4) Provide economic rewards for sustainable developments in the short-medium term,
for example: rebates for renewable energy infrastructure; reduced finance rates; lower
sales or registration fees or discounted building permits. These incentives could be
phased out once the concept of green building value has become more broadly
accepted.
(5) Further investigate the existing green building rating schemes in the major cities to
determine their effectiveness and influence on the UAE real estate industry. If
necessary, adjustment or lifting of the required standards could be considered.
It is hoped that the changes suggested above will also act as a catalyst for the private real
estate sector in the UAE, sparking greater engagement with the government’s sustainability
JPIF agenda. As the engine of the economy, it is essential for the private sector to work with public
40,4 authorities to achieve the country’s smart and Sustainable Development Goals.
Notes
1. Building Research Establishment Environmental Assessment Method (BREEAM), first published
by the UK’s Building Research Establishment (BRE) in 1990.
2. Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED), first published by the US Green Building
358 Council (USGBC) in 1993.
3. GCC is a commonly used term referring to the member countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council:
Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
4. For properties exceeding 2,000 square metres in area.
5. Some of this premium may already have been invested in greening the development, and therefore it
may not represent a net advantage to the seller/landlord. Even in this case, however, the additional
premium will have entered the economy via additional spending during design or construction.
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Corresponding author
Tess Lambourne can be contacted at: tess.lambourne@cbre.com
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