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4 - 16-Financial-Model-with-5-years-projection
4 - 16-Financial-Model-with-5-years-projection
Retained earnings
Beginning balance 177.0 212.3 249.5 288.7 330.1
Net income 44.2 46.5 49.0 51.7 54.8
Dividends paid 8.8 9.3 9.8 10.3 11.0
Ending balance 177.0 212.3 249.5 288.7 330.1 373.9
Long-term debt
7 1/2% bank drawdown loan
Beginning amount 0.0 70.0 75.0 70.0 65.0 60.0
Issuance 70.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Scheduled repayment 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
Ending amount 70.0 75.0 70.0 65.0 60.0 55.0
Interest rate 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
Interest expense 2.6 5.4 5.4 5.1 4.7 4.3
Expenses
SG&A 188.6 201.8 215.9 231.0 247.2 264.5
Operating profit 60.0 63.1 66.4 70.0 73.9 78.2
Shareholder information
Weighted avg. shares outstandi 12.2 12.2 12.2 12.2 12.2 12.2
Dividends 7.8 8.8 9.3 9.8 10.3 11.0
Earnings per share $3.18 $3.62 $3.81 $4.02 $4.24 $4.49
Non-current assets
Net PP&E 198.5 226.5 255.3 285.1 316.0 348.3
Total assets 326.1 369.8 405.7 443.8 484.4 527.7
Liabilities
Current liabilities
Revolver 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Accounts payable 49.1 52.5 56.2 60.1 64.3 68.8
Total current liabilities 49.1 52.5 56.2 60.1 64.3 68.8
Non-current liabilities
Total long-term debt 70.0 75.0 70.0 65.0 60.0 55.0
Total liabilities 119.1 127.5 126.2 125.1 124.3 123.8
Equity
Common stock 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0
Retained earnings 177.0 212.3 249.5 288.7 330.1 373.9
Total equity 207.0 242.3 279.5 318.7 360.1 403.9
Total Liab.& Equity 326.1 369.8 405.7 443.8 484.4 527.7
HINT:
Total net
Sumchange
the three
in cash
subtotals 7.3 (2.3) (1.7) (1.0) (0.4)
Profitability
From
Grossoutput
profit sheet 248.6 264.9 282.3 301.0 321.1 342.7
From
Operating
outputprofit
sheet 60.0 63.1 66.4 70.0 73.9 78.2
Op
Operating
profit tomargin
Sales 7.3% 7.2% 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 6.8%
Net income/sales
margin 4.7% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 4.8% 4.8%
Net
Return
income/average
on assets total assets NA 12.7% 12.0% 11.5% 11.2% 10.8%
From
EPS Income Statement $3.18 $3.62 $3.81 $4.02 $4.24 $4.49
Asset management
From
Capital
output
expenditures
sheet 0.0 43.9 46.9 50.2 53.7 57.5
Capital expenditure to Sales 0.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
OWC to sales 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3%
Net PPE to Sales 39.8% 42.2% 43.2% 44.2% 45.1% 45.9%