I. Independent vs Mutually exclusive vs Contigent Projects - Independent projects: Acceptance/rejection of one project would not influence the decision regarding other projects. Keyword: không ảnh hưởng - Mutually exclusive projects: Only one of a number of projects can be accepted. The acceptance of one particular project means the rejection of other projects. Keyword: chỉ được chọn 1 - Contigent projects: Acceptance of one project depends on the acceptance of other projects. Keyword: có ảnh hưởng - Capital Rationing: Fixed amount of total funds available limits which projects may be accepted. Keyword: chọn projects để tối ưu hóa được nguồn tiền giới hạn.
II. Net Present Value Method (NPV)
- The NPV measures the amount by which the value of the firm’s stock will increase if the project is accepted. - NPV rules: + Independent projects: • (1) Calculate NPV, (2) Accept if NPV > 0 • (1) Calculate NPV, (2) Reject if NPV < 0 + Mutually exclusive projects: • Projects have equal lives → (1) Calcualte NPV, (2) Choose highest NPV • Projects do not have equal lives. → (1) Calculate NPV, (2) Calculate AE, (3) Choose highest AE - Disadvantage of NPV: Capital rationing → Cannot use NPV → Use Profitability Index - General formula: 𝑪𝑭𝟏 𝑪𝑭𝟐 𝑪𝑭𝒏 𝐍𝐏𝐕 = −𝐂𝐅𝟎 + + + ⋯ + 𝟏 + 𝒓 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝟐 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒏 - When all CFs are the same, we can use: 𝑪𝑭 𝟏 𝑵𝑷𝑽 = −𝑪𝑭𝟎 + ∗ [𝟏 − ] 𝒓 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒏 PHAM NG VAN GIANG
III. Annual Equivalent (AE)
- Use AE when comparing two mutually-exclusive projects with different lives - Step to do: + Step 1: Calculate NPV + Step 2: Calculate AE 𝑵𝑷𝑽 𝑨𝑬 = 𝟏 𝟏 𝒓 ∗ [𝟏 − (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝒏 ] + Step 3: Select the highest AE
IV. Payback method
- The payback period is the amount of time required for firm to recover or payback the initial investment. - PP rule: + If the project’s payback period is less than the maximum acceptable payback period (cut-off point), accept the project. + If the project’s payback period is greater than the maximum acceptable payback period (cut-off point), reject the project. 𝑹𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒊𝒏𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒄𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒕𝒐 𝒓𝒆𝒄𝒐𝒗𝒆𝒓 - 𝑷𝒂𝒚𝒃𝒂𝒄𝒌 𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒐𝒅 = 𝒀𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒔 𝒃𝒆𝒇𝒐𝒓𝒆 𝒄𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒓𝒆𝒄𝒐𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒚 + 𝑪𝑭 𝒅𝒖𝒓𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒚𝒆𝒂𝒓 - Disadvantage of PP: (1) Ignore the time value of money. (2) Ignore cash flows that occur after the payback period
V. Internal rate of return
- Internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount rate that results in a zero NPV for the project. PHAM NG VAN GIANG
𝑪𝑭𝟏 𝑪𝑭𝟐 𝑪𝑭𝒏
𝐍𝐏𝐕 = 𝐂𝐅𝟎 + + 𝟐 +⋯+ =𝟎 𝟏 + 𝑰𝑹𝑹 (𝟏 + 𝑰𝑹𝑹) (𝟏 + 𝑰𝑹𝑹)𝒏 - IRR decision rule: + If IRR is greater than the cost of capital, accept the project. + If IRR is less than the cost of capital, reject the project. - Disadvantage of IRR: + Financing project (the early CF is positive) + Non-conventional CFs (sign changes more than once => multiple IRRs) + Mutually exclusive projects (project with higher IRR may have lower NPV) ✓ The timing problem: prefer time sooner → a project higher ✓ The scale problem: IRR does not take into account project scale (size)
VI. Profitability Index
- When capital is scarce, accept projects with highest PIs 𝑪𝑭𝟏 𝑪𝑭𝟐 𝑪𝑭𝟑 𝑷𝑽 𝒐𝒇 𝒄𝒂𝒔𝒉 𝒇𝒍𝒐𝒘 + + ⋯+ (𝟏 + 𝒓) (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝟐 (𝟏 + 𝒓)𝟑 𝑷𝑰 = = 𝑰𝒏𝒊𝒕𝒊𝒂𝒍 𝒊𝒏𝒗𝒆𝒔𝒕𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝑪𝑭𝟎 - Disadvantage of PI: Mutually exclusive