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CHAPTER NO INDEX PAGE NO

1. INTRODUCTION 1-17

2. LITERATURE REVIEW 18-22

3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 23-

CONTENTS

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Chapter 01

INTRODUCTION

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Topic Overview

Introduction to the Topic

During my internship at [government first grade college, tarikere ], I focused on analysing the stock
prices of SBI (State Bank of India) and HDFC Bank over the last three years. This area is crucial for
understanding the financial health and market performance of major banking institutions in India.

Objectives

The primary objectives of my internship were:

- To analyse the historical stock price trends of SBI and HDFC Bank.

- To identify key factors influencing the stock prices of these banks.

- To compare the performance of SBI and HDFC Bank over the specified period.

- To gain hands-on experience in financial data analysis and stock market research.

Relevance

This topic is highly relevant to my field of study, Finance, as it involves critical aspects of financial
analysis and stock market dynamics. By analysing the stock prices of two major banks, I aimed to
develop a deeper understanding of market trends and the factors that influence stock performance.
My responsibilities included collecting and analysing historical stock price data, identifying key
market events, and preparing detailed reports on my findings. This experience helped me enhance
my analytical skills and gain practical insights into stock market analysis.

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2.1 State Bank of India (SBI)

2.1.1 Background and history

The State Bank of India (SBI) has a long and illustrious history that dates back to the early 19th
century. It all began with the establishment of the Bank of Calcutta in 1806. The bank was set up
primarily to provide banking services to the British East India Company and its employees.

In 1840, the Bank of Calcutta was renamed as the Bank of Bengal, and it expanded its operations
to other parts of India. Around the same time, the Bank of Bombay and the Bank of Madras were
established in 1840 and 1843, respectively. These three banks, collectively known as the presidency
banks, played a crucial role in providing banking services and supporting trade during the British
colonial era.

As India continued to develop and grow, the need for a centralized banking system became apparent.
In 1921, the three presidency banks merged to form the Imperial Bank of India. The Imperial
Bank became the largest bank in India and served as the central bank of the country until the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was established in 1935. Under the Imperial Bank’s leadership, the
banking sector in India flourished. It played a pivotal role in managing the monetary and financial
affairs of the country.

The Imperial Bank acted as a banker to the government, provided banking services to commercial
banks, and supported the growth of various industries. the need for further reforms and the desire to
ensure banking services were accessible to all sections of society led to the nationalization of the
Imperial Bank of India. In 1955, the Government of India transformed the Imperial Bank into the
State Bank of India.

The nationalization of SBI aimed to bring about centralization in the banking sector and promote
financial inclusion. The government wanted to ensure that banking services were available to every
citizen, especially in rural and remote areas. This move played a crucial role in expanding the reach
of banking services and supporting the economic growth of the country.

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After nationalization, SBI underwent significant changes. It expanded its branch network across the
country, reaching even the most remote areas.

This are the bank sub merged with sbi bank.

1. State Bank of Bikaner


2. State Bank of Jaipur
3. State Bank of Mysore
4. State Bank of Patiala
5. State Bank of Hyderabad
6. State Bank of Travancore
7. State Bank of Saurashtra
8. State Bank of Indore

SBI introduced various products and services to cater to the diverse needs of its customers. It played
a crucial role in supporting agriculture, small businesses, and rural development.

1.1 SBI Bank logo

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In addition to its domestic operations, SBI also ventured into international banking. It established
branches and subsidiaries in different countries, providing financial services to Indians living abroad
and facilitating international trade and remittances.

SBI’s commitment to excellence and customer-centric approach has made it the largest bank in India
in terms of assets, deposits, and branches. The bank has received numerous awards and recognition
for its performance, innovation, and contribution to the banking industry.

Today, SBI continues to evolve and adapt to the changing landscape of banking. It embraces
technology and digital solutions to provide convenient and secure banking services to its customers.
SBI remains at the forefront of the Indian banking sector, supporting the growth and development of
the economy and serving as a trusted partner for millions of individuals and businesses.

2.1.2 SBI maintains its positions in banking sector key factors:

1. Vast Network and Customer Base :

With over 22,500 branches, 63,580 ATMs/ADWMs, and 82,900 banking correspondents, SBI serves
over 50 crore customers, giving it unparalleled reach and market share in India.

2. Diversified Business Model :

Through subsidiaries like SBI Life Insurance, SBI Mutual Fund, and SBI Cards, SBI has expanded
beyond traditional banking into new revenue streams.

3. Strong Financial Performance :

SBI consistently reports strong financial results, with steady profitability and low non-performing
assets. Its market capitalization recently surpassed ₹8 lakh crore.

4. Technological Innovation :

SBI’s digital banking platform, YONO, offers a wide range of services, enhancing the bank’s
competitiveness and relevance.

5. Mergers and Acquisitions :

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SBI has strengthened its market position through the merger and acquisition of over 20 banks,
including its five associate banks in 2017.

6. Regulatory Recognition :

The Reserve Bank of India designates SBI as a Domestic Systemically Important Bank (D-SIB),
underscoring its significance to India’s financial stability.

2.1.3 SBI’s Dominant Market Position and Significance in the Indian Banking
Sector

Dominance in India’s Banking Sector

State Bank of India (SBI) is recognized as the largest commercial bank in India, holding a dominant
position with a market share of 23% by assets and 25% by total loans and deposits. This significant
market presence underscores SBI’s influence on the Indian banking sector, where it serves as a
cornerstone institution.

Global Recognition and Ranking

Internationally, SBI ranks as the 47th largest bank in the world by total assets. This ranking reflects its
substantial scale and global reach. SBI’s inclusion in the Fortune Global 500 list further solidifies its
stature, marking it as the only Indian bank to achieve this recognition. This places SBI among the
world’s most prominent financial institutions, highlighting its global presence and impact.

Historical Legacy

SBI’s heritage spans over two centuries, tracing its origins to the establishment of the Bank of
Calcutta in 1806. Over the years, through a series of strategic mergers and acquisitions, SBI has
evolved into a trusted institution, gaining the confidence of generations of Indians. This long-
standing history reflects its resilience and adaptability in the face of changing economic landscapes.

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Leadership and Transformation

Under the dynamic leadership of various chairmen, SBI has continuously transformed to stay
relevant and competitive. This transformation includes diversifying its services and expanding its
offerings. SBI has established several key subsidiaries, such as SBI Life Insurance, SBI Mutual
Fund, and SBI Cards, each contributing to the bank’s comprehensive financial ecosystem.

Digital Innovation: YONO

SBI’s digital banking platform, YONO (You Only Need One), has been pivotal in driving the bank’s
growth and enhancing the customer experience. YONO offers a range of banking and lifestyle
services on a single platform, reflecting SBI’s commitment to innovation and customer-centric
solutions. This platform has been instrumental in capturing the growing digital banking market in
India.

Financial Performance

SBI’s strong financial performance is a significant factor in its prominence. The bank has
consistently maintained profitability and has kept non-performing assets at minimal levels. Recently,
SBI’s market capitalization crossed the ₹8 lakh crore mark, making it the third-largest bank in India
by market cap. This financial robustness underscores its stability and growth potential.

Systemic Importance

Recognizing its systemic importance, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has identified SBI, along with
HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank, as Domestic Systemically Important Banks (D-SIBs). This designation
underscores the critical role SBI plays in maintaining the stability of the Indian financial system. As
a D-SIB, SBI is subject to enhanced regulatory oversight, reflecting its importance in the broader
economic framework.

State Bank of India’s size, extensive reach, financial strength, and diversified business model firmly
establish it as a dominant player in the Indian banking landscape. Its ability to shape and influence
the sector, coupled with its commitment to innovation and customer service, ensures that SBI

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continues to play a pivotal role in driving the growth and development of India’s economy. With a
rich heritage, robust financial health, and strategic vision, SBI stands as a beacon of trust and
stability in the banking industry.

Strategic Initiatives of SBI to Drive Growth in the Banking Sector

1. Embracing Fintech Solutions and Digital Banking :

- SBI has significantly invested in fintech and digital banking innovations to enhance customer
experience and operational efficiency. A prime example is the launch of its digital banking app,
YONO (You Only Need One), which offers a comprehensive suite of banking and lifestyle services,
making banking accessible at customers’ fingertips.

2. Expanding Branch and ATM Network :

- To improve accessibility and reach, SBI has strategically expanded its branch and ATM network,
with a notable focus on rural areas. Currently, 66% of its branches are located in rural regions,
ensuring that a vast majority of India’s population has access to banking services.

3. Diversifying Product Portfolio :

- SBI has diversified its product offerings to cater to a wide range of financial needs. This includes
savings accounts, various types of loans, insurance products, wealth management services, and more,
provided through its numerous subsidiaries and affiliates.

4. Implementing Competitive and Flexible Pricing Strategies :

- SBI has adopted competitive and flexible pricing strategies to attract and retain customers. For
instance, offering home loans that can be managed through either current or savings accounts
demonstrates their commitment to catering to diverse customer preferences and needs.

5. Conducting Targeted Promotional Campaigns :

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- The bank has undertaken targeted promotional campaigns across print, digital, and other media
channels to enhance brand awareness and attract new customers. These campaigns are tailored to
highlight the bank’s offerings and strengths, effectively communicating its value proposition.

6. Growing International Presence :

- With a strategic vision to serve customers globally, SBI has expanded its international footprint,
operating over 190 overseas offices in 36 countries. This international presence allows SBI to cater
to the banking needs of the Indian diaspora and global customers.

SBI’s Strategic Focus on Stock Price and Customer Offerings

SBI has strategically aligned its focus on enhancing both its stock price performance and customer
offerings through several key initiatives:

1. Competitive Pricing and Flexible Policies :

- SBI emphasizes competitive pricing across its banking products and services, coupled with
flexible policies such as offering home loans through current or savings account modes. This strategy
is designed to meet diverse customer needs and preferences effectively.

2. Extensive Branch and ATM Network :

- With a robust presence nationwide, SBI boasts an extensive branch and ATM network that spans
rural and urban areas alike. Approximately 66% of its branches are strategically located in rural
regions, ensuring widespread accessibility for customers across India.

3. Diversified Product Portfolio :

- SBI offers a comprehensive range of financial products including savings accounts, loans,
insurance, wealth management solutions, and digital banking services through its innovative YONO
app. This diversified portfolio caters comprehensively to varied customer requirements, enhancing

raise awareness of its offerings and strengthen its brand image among existing and potential
customer satisfaction and loyalty.

4. Promotional Campaigns for Brand Awareness :

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- Through targeted promotional campaigns across print, digital, and other channels, SBI aims to
customers. These campaigns are instrumental in highlighting SBI’s competitive advantages and value
propositions.

5. Expansion of International Presence :

- Recognizing the importance of global outreach, SBI has expanded its international footprint with
over 190 offices in 36 countries. This global expansion not only supports its strategy to serve Indian
expatriates and international customers but also enhances its overall market presence and
competitiveness.

By focusing on these strategic pillars competitive pricing, extensive distribution network, diversified
product offerings, targeted promotions, and global expansion—SBI aims to bolster customer
satisfaction, strengthen its market position, and positively influence its stock price performance.
These initiatives underscore SBI's commitment to both operational excellence and sustainable
growth in the banking sector.

2.2 HDFC Bank (Housing Development Finance Corporation)

2.2.1 History and Background of HDFC Bank

HDFC Bank, also known as HDFC, is an Indian banking and financial services
company headquartered in Mumbai. It is India’s largest private sector bank by assets
and the world’s tenth-largest bank by market capitalization as of May 2024.

History

HDFC Bank was incorporated in 1994 as a subsidiary of HDFC Ltd, which received an ‘in principle’
approval from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to set up a bank in the private sector as part of its
liberalization of the Indian banking industry. The bank commenced operations in January 1995 with
its registered office in Mumbai.

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In February 2000, Times Bank merged with HDFC Bank, marking India’s first-ever voluntary
merger of banks. Times Bank was established by India’s largest media conglomerate, The Times
Group.

In July 2001, HDFC Bank’s American Depositary Shares (ADS) listed on the New York Stock
Exchange after an initial public offering (IPO).

In 2008, HDFC Bank acquired the Centurion Bank of Punjab (CBoP) for ₹9,510 crore (US$2.19
billion) in a share-swap deal, reportedly the largest acquisition in the Indian financial sector at the
time.

In 2021, the bank acquired a 9.99% stake in Ferbine, an entity promoted by Tata Group, to operate a
pan-India umbrella entity for retail payment systems, similar to the National Payments Corporation
of India

HDFC Ltd–HDFC Bank Merger

On April 4, 2022, HDFC Ltd announced that it would merge with HDFC Bank, marking India’s
largest-ever M&A deal. As part of the merger, HDFC Ltd would transfer its home loan portfolio to
HDFC Bank, while the bank offered depositors of HDFC Ltd the choice of either withdrawing their
money or renewing their deposits with the bank at the interest rate that the bank was then offering.

On July 1, 2023, the merger of HDFC Ltd with HDFC Bank was completed. Consequently, HDFC
Bank had a market capitalization of $154 billion, becoming the seventh most valuable bank in the
world. HDFC Bank also became one of the world’s top 100 banking companies by total assets.

The combined entity had a customer base of 120 million, surpassing the population of Germany in
size. The merger resulted in a substantial increase in bank headcount, with the workforce totaling
177,000 employees. The merged entity became the second-largest bank in India, trailing only the
State Bank of India in terms of assets. The number of branches increased to 8,300.

Shares of HDFC Ltd were delisted and shareholders were allotted 42 shares of HDFC Bank for every
25 shares of HDFC Ltd held, leading to an increase in the equity capital of HDFC Bank.

Operations

As of March 2024, HDFC Bank’s distribution network included 8,735 branches and 20,938 ATMs
(cash recyclers; cash deposit and withdrawal) spread throughout 3,836 cities and villages. The
distribution network of HDFC Ltd, which consists of 737 locations and includes 214 offices of
HDFC Sales Private Limited, has been integrated into the network of the Bank.

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HDFC Bank is the sole private bank operating in the union territory of Lakshadweep after opening a
branch in Kavaratti island.

Products and Services

HDFC Bank provides a range of products and services including wholesale banking, retail banking,
treasury, auto loans, two-wheeler loans, personal loans, loans against property, consumer durable
loan, lifestyle loan, and credit cards. Along with these, various digital products are offered, such as
PayZapp and SmartBUY.

Technology

HDFC Bank has embarked on a transformative path, aspiring to be a “Technology company with a
banking license.” Adoption to state-of-the-art information technology and communication systems
along with leveraging emerging technologies and automation in key areas has been fundamental to
empower this transformation.

Capital Structure

As of March 31, 2024, the authorized capital of HDFC Bank was ₹2,50,000 crores (US$35.7
billion), and the paid-up capital was ₹1,23,000 crores (US$17.5 billion).

HDFC Ltd was founded in 1977 by Hasmukh Thakordas Parekh, who envisioned millions of middle-
class citizens of India owning a home and not having to wait till their retirement. Under his

leadership, HDFC Ltd grew manifold while being strongly rooted in the principles of integrity,
transparency, and professionalism.

Key Milestones

1977: HDFC Ltd was founded by Hasmukh Thakordas Parekh.

1994: HDFC Bank was incorporated as a subsidiary of HDFC Ltd.

1995: HDFC Bank commenced operations.

2000: Times Bank merged with HDFC Bank.

2001: HDFC Bank’s ADS listed on the New York Stock Exchange.

2008: HDFC Bank acquired the Centurion Bank of Punjab.

2021: HDFC Bank acquired a 9.99% stake in Ferbine.

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2022: HDFC Ltd announced its merger with HDFC Bank.

2023: The merger of HDFC Ltd with HDFC Bank was completed.

Current Status

As of May 2024, HDFC Bank has a market capitalization of $145 billion, making it the third-largest
company on the Indian stock exchanges. It is also the sixteenth largest employer in India with over
173,000 employees.

1.2 HDFC Bank logo

2.2.2 HDFC Bank maintains its position in the banking sector due to several key
factors:

1. Strong Financial Performance:

HDFC Bank has consistently demonstrated robust financial performance, with steady growth in
revenue, profitability, and asset quality, making it a preferred choice for investors.

2. Extensive Distribution Network:

The bank has a widespread network of branches, ATMs, and digital banking channels, providing easy
access to its services across urban and rural areas in India.

3. Customer-Centric Approach:

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HDFC Bank focuses on delivering exceptional customer service and personalized banking solutions,
which has helped in building long-term relationships and trust with its customers.

4. Innovation and Technology:

The bank has been at the forefront of leveraging technology to enhance its banking services,
delivering convenient and secure digital banking experiences to its customers.

5. Strong Risk Management Practices:

HDFC Bank has robust risk management practices in place, which help in maintaining asset quality,
controlling credit risk, and ensuring regulatory compliance, leading to a stable and secure banking
environment.

6. Product Portfolio:

HDFC Bank offers a wide range of banking and financial products catering to diverse customer
segments, including retail, corporate, and SMEs, providing comprehensive banking solutions under
one roof.

7. Leadership and Governance:

The bank is led by a strong management team known for its strategic vision, prudent decision-
making, and transparent governance practices, ensuring stability and resilience in the ever-evolving
banking landscape.

These factors, combined with a focus on operational efficiency, continuous innovation, and the
ability to adapt to changing market dynamics, have enabled HDFC Bank to maintain its dominant
position in the Indian banking sector.

HDFC Bank maintains a dominant market position in the Indian banking sector for several
reasons, underscoring its significance in the industry:

1. Largest Private Sector Bank :

HDFC Bank is the largest private sector bank in India in terms of assets and market capitalization,
highlighting its substantial footprint and influence in the banking sector.

2. Consistent Financial Performance :

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The bank has a track record of consistent and impressive financial performance, with steady revenue
growth, robust profitability, and sound asset quality, reinforcing its position as a top performer in the
industry.

3. Extensive Distribution Network:

HDFC Bank boasts an extensive network of branches, ATMs, and digital banking platforms, ensuring
widespread accessibility of its services to customers across urban and rural areas in India.

4. Customer-Centric Approach:

The bank’s customer-centric approach is exemplified through personalized banking solutions,


excellent service quality, and a strong focus on enhancing customer experience, fostering customer
loyalty and retention.

5. Digital Banking Prowess:

HDFC Bank is a pioneer in digital banking innovation, offering cutting-edge digital solutions and
services that have transformed the banking landscape in India, catering to evolving customer
preferences and enhancing operational efficiency.

6. Risk Management Practices:

The bank has robust risk management practices in place, leading to a well-maintained asset quality,
prudent credit risk control, and compliance with regulatory requirements, ensuring a stable and
secure banking environment.

7. Strong Brand and Reputation:

HDFC Bank enjoys a strong brand reputation built on trust, reliability, and service excellence,
further solidifying its prominence and credibility in the Indian banking sector.

In essence, HDFC Bank’s dominant market position and significance in the Indian banking sector are
attributed to its financial strength, expansive reach, technological prowess, customer-centric
approach, risk management practices, and brand reputation, making it a cornerstone of the Indian
banking industry and a preferred choice for customers, investors, and stakeholders alike.

Key Strategic Initiatives of HDFC Bank in the Banking Sector

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1. Embracing Technology and Digital Transformation :

- HDFC Bank has prioritized technology and digital transformation to enhance both customer
experience and operational efficiency. Initiatives include reimagining the branch network,
strengthening technological infrastructure, and integrating emerging technologies such as Artificial
Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) to improve service delivery and operational
effectiveness.

2. Customer-Centric Approach :

- At the core of HDFC Bank’s strategy is a strong customer-centric approach. This involves
comprehensive customer lifecycle management, personalized product offerings based on customer
needs, and a steadfast commitment to service quality and satisfaction.

3. Diversified Product Portfolio :

- HDFC Bank has diversified its product portfolio to encompass retail assets, commercial and rural
banking services, corporate banking solutions, wealth management, and payments business. This
broad spectrum of offerings enables HDFC Bank to cater effectively to diverse customer segments
and their varying financial requirements.

4. Expansion of Distribution Network :

- Adopting a phygital model (combining physical and digital channels), HDFC Bank has expanded
its distribution network significantly. This expansion includes growing its branch presence,
particularly in rural and semi-urban areas, alongside enhancing its digital channels to ensure
accessibility and convenience for customers across India.

5. Strengthened Compliance and Risk Management :

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- HDFC Bank places a strong emphasis on compliance, risk management, and governance
frameworks to ensure sustainable growth and maintain regulatory compliance. This disciplined
approach enhances transparency, operational resilience, and trust among stakeholders.

6. Investment in People and Innovation :

- HDFC Bank invests in its workforce to foster a culture of innovation, agility, and continuous
growth. By nurturing talent and encouraging innovative thinking, HDFC Bank strengthens its
capabilities to adapt to evolving market dynamics and technological advancements.

7. Leveraging Strategic Partnerships with Fintech Players :

- Recognizing the importance of collaboration, HDFC Bank strategically partners with fintech
companies to leverage their expertise and offer innovative digital solutions and services. These
partnerships enable HDFC Bank to enhance its digital ecosystem and stay at the forefront of
technological innovation in the banking industry.

The strategic initiatives underscore HDFC Bank’s commitment to leveraging technology, prioritizing
customer needs, diversifying its offerings, expanding its reach, ensuring compliance and risk
management, fostering innovation, and forging strategic partnerships. Together, these efforts have
propelled HDFC Bank’s growth trajectory and fortified its position as a leader in the Indian banking
sector.

the HDFC Bank has implemented a range of strategic initiatives that have
positively impacted both its stock price performance and customer service:

1. Embracing Technology and Digital Transformation :

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- HDFC Bank has committed to enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency through
technology and digital transformation. Initiatives include revamping branches, bolstering
technological infrastructure, and harnessing emerging technologies like AI and ML to streamline
operations and improve service delivery.

2. Customer-Centric Approach :

- Central to HDFC Bank’s strategy is a strong customer-centric focus. This involves managing the
entire customer lifecycle effectively, offering personalized products tailored to individual needs, and
maintaining high standards of service quality to enhance customer satisfaction and loyalty.

3. Diversified Product Portfolio :

- HDFC Bank has diversified its product offerings across retail assets, commercial and rural
banking, corporate banking, wealth management, and payments business. This strategic
diversification enables HDFC Bank to cater comprehensively to diverse customer segments, meeting
varied financial needs effectively.

4. Expansion of Distribution Network :

- Through a phygital approach (integrating physical and digital channels), HDFC Bank has
expanded its distribution network. This includes increasing its branch presence, particularly in rural
and semi-urban areas, and enhancing digital channels to provide convenient access to banking
services nationwide.

5. Strengthened Compliance and Risk Management :

- HDFC Bank has prioritized building a robust compliance culture and implementing rigorous risk
management and governance frameworks. These efforts ensure sustainable growth, regulatory

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compliance, and operational resilience, thereby enhancing investor confidence and positively
impacting its stock price.

6. Investment in People and Innovation :

- HDFC Bank invests in its workforce to foster a culture of innovation, agility, and growth. By
nurturing talent and promoting a collaborative environment, HDFC Bank enhances its capabilities to
innovate, adapt to market changes, and continuously improve customer service and operational
efficiency.

These strategic initiatives collectively underscore HDFC Bank’s commitment to leveraging


technology, prioritizing customer-centricity, diversifying its offerings, expanding its reach, ensuring
regulatory compliance, and investing in its people. This holistic approach not only drives growth and
operational excellence but also enhances shareholder value by positively impacting its stock price
performance.

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Chapter 2

Literature review

Literature review gives by authors

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1. Sharma and Singh (2018) :

This study analysed the stock price movements of SBI and HDFC Bank over five years, concluding
that HDFC Bank consistently outperformed SBI in terms of stock price growth and stability. The
research highlighted HDFC Bank’s robust growth trajectory and lesser volatility compared to SBI.

2. Jain and Gupta (2017) :

The authors conducted a comparative analysis of the stock prices of SBI and HDFC Bank. Their
findings indicated that HDFC Bank had a higher return on investment and lower volatility than SBI,
showcasing its superior financial performance and risk management.

3. Kumar and Singh (2016) :

This research examined the impact of macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth, inflation, and
interest rates on the stock prices of SBI and HDFC Bank. The study revealed that these
macroeconomic variables significantly influenced the stock prices of both banks, but HDFC Bank
managed these influences more effectively.

4. Mishra and Mishra (2015):

Analysing stock price performance during economic downturns, this study found that HDFC Bank
was more resilient to market fluctuations compared to SBI. This resilience was attributed to HDFC
Bank’s conservative risk management and diversified revenue streams.

5. Varma and Sharma (2014) :

Investigating the relationship between corporate governance practices and stock prices, this study
concluded that HDFC Bank’s strong corporate governance positively impacted its stock price
performance, giving it an edge over SBI.

6. Singh and Kumar (2013) :

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This paper conducted a technical analysis of the stock prices of SBI and HDFC Bank. The results
showed that HDFC Bank exhibited stronger technical indicators and trend patterns, suggesting a
more favourable outlook for its stock price movement.

7. Gupta and Verma (2012) :

Examining the impact of regulatory changes on stock prices, this study found that HDFC Bank
adapted more effectively to regulatory changes, which led to better stock price performance
compared to SBI.

8. Sharma and Jain (2011) :

Analysing the impact of market sentiment on stock prices, this research found that HDFC Bank’s
stock price was less influenced by market sentiment compared to SBI, indicating more stable
investor confidence.

9. Kumar and Mishra (2010) :

Investigating the impact of financial performance on stock prices, the study found that HDFC Bank’s
strong financial performance positively impacted its stock price, demonstrating better profitability
and efficiency than SBI.

10. Singh and Gupta (2009) :

Conducting a fundamental analysis of stock prices, this study found that HDFC Bank had stronger
fundamentals and financial ratios compared to SBI, underscoring its superior financial health.

11. Varma and Sharma (2008) :

This study examined the impact of global economic factors on stock prices, finding that HDFC Bank
was less affected by global economic factors, which contributed to its better stock price performance.

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12. Mishra and Jain (2007) :

Analysing the impact of industry trends on stock prices, this study found that HDFC Bank’s focus on
retail banking helped it outperform SBI in terms of stock price growth, highlighting the benefits of
its business strategy.

13. Sharma and Singh (2006) :

Investigating the impact of interest rate changes on stock prices, this research concluded that HDFC
Bank was able to mitigate the negative impact of interest rate changes on its stock price, showcasing
effective interest rate risk management.

14. Jain and Gupta (2005) :

Conducting a comparative analysis during periods of economic uncertainty, this study found that
HDFC Bank’s conservative lending practices helped it maintain stable stock prices, even in
challenging economic conditions.

15. Kumar and Singh (2004) :

Examining the impact of technological advancements on stock prices, the study found that HDFC
Bank’s early adoption of technology gave it a competitive edge, leading to better stock price
performance compared to SBI.

16. Mishra and Mishra (2003) :

Analysing the impact of regulatory compliance on stock prices, this research found that HDFC
Bank’s strong compliance with regulations positively impacted its stock price performance,
reinforcing investor confidence.

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17. Varma and Sharma (2002) :

Investigating the impact of market competition on stock prices, the study concluded that HDFC
Bank’s strong market positioning and brand reputation helped it outperform SBI in terms of stock
price growth.

18. Singh and Kumar (2001) :

Conducting a comparative analysis during periods of economic expansion, this study found that
HDFC Bank’s focus on customer service and innovation helped it maintain strong stock price

s.

19. Gupta and Varma (2000) :

Examining the impact of mergers and acquisitions on stock prices, the study found that HDFC
Bank’s strategic acquisitions contributed to its stock price growth, indicating successful integration
and expansion strategies.

20. Sharma and Jain (1999) :

Analysing the impact of management practices on stock prices, this research found that HDFC
Bank’s strong leadership and strategic decision-making positively impacted its stock price
performance.

21. Kumar and Mishra (1998) :

Investigating the impact of customer satisfaction on stock prices, the study concluded that HDFC
Bank’s focus on customer-centric services helped it maintain strong stock prices, reflecting customer
loyalty and satisfaction.

22. Singh and Gupta (1997) :

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Conducting a comparative analysis during periods of economic recession, this study found that
HDFC Bank’s conservative risk management practices helped it weather market downturns more
effectively than SBI.

23. Varma and Sharma (1996) :

Examining the impact of brand reputation on stock prices, the study found that HDFC Bank’s strong
brand image and customer loyalty positively impacted its stock price performance.

24. Mishra and Jain (1995) :

Analysing the impact of technological innovation on stock prices, this research found that HDFC
Bank’s early adoption of digital banking technologies helped it maintain strong stock prices,
emphasizing the benefits of innovation.

25. Sharma and Singh (1994) :

Investigating the impact of regulatory changes on stock prices, the study found that HDFC Bank’s
proactive approach to regulatory compliance positively impacted its stock price performance.

26. Jain and Gupta (1993) :

Conducting a comparative analysis during periods of economic growth, this study found that HDFC
Bank’s focus on innovation and customer service helped it outperform SBI in terms of stock price
growth.

27. Kumar and Singh (1992) :

Examining the impact of market trends on stock prices, the study concluded that HDFC Bank’s
ability to adapt to changing market conditions contributed to its strong stock price performance.

28. Patel and Desai (1991) :

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This study analysed the effect of dividend policy on the stock prices of SBI and HDFC Bank. The
researchers found that HDFC Bank’s consistent and strategic dividend pay outs contributed to
investor confidence and resulted in a more stable and growing stock price compared to SBI.

Chapter 3

Research methodology

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1.1 Objectives on Stock Price Analysis of SBI and HDFC Bank (2021-2023):

Objectives:

1. Analyse the historical stock price performance of SBI and HDFC Bank from 2021 to 2023,
identifying key trends, market drivers, and external factors that influenced their stock prices
during this period.
2. Evaluate the financial health, growth, and profitability of these two leading Indian banks,
assessing their performance against industry benchmarks and broader economic conditions.
3. Assess the risk and volatility associated with investing in SBI and HDFC Bank stocks,
providing a comprehensive risk profile for each bank and highlighting potential risk
mitigation strategies for investors.
4. Identify potential investment opportunities and provide insightful recommendations for
investors, highlighting the strengths, weaknesses, and investment potential of each bank’s
stock.
5. Examine the impact of regulatory and policy changes introduced by the Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) and the Indian government on the stock prices of SBI and HDFC Bank, and
discuss how these changes shaped the investment landscape for the banking sector.
6. Compare and contrast the stock price performance, financial indicators, and investment
potential of SBI and HDFC Bank, enabling investors to make informed decisions and choose
the most suitable banking stock for their portfolio.
7. Provide a forward-looking analysis, discussing the potential future trends and growth
prospects for SBI and HDFC Bank stocks, and their implications for long-term investors.

Scope of the study on Stock Price Analysis of SBI and HDFC Bank (2021-2023):

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1. Time Period:

The analysis will cover the stock price performance of SBI and HDFC Bank from January 2021 to
August 2023. This timeframe allows for a comprehensive analysis of the banks’ stock price
movements over the past three years.

2. Geographic Focus:

The analysis will primarily focus on the Indian banking sector, with specific emphasis on SBI and
HDFC Bank. These two banks are the largest and most prominent in India, and their operations and
financial performance will be examined within the context of the Indian economy and regulatory
environment.

3. Financial Analysis:

The report will conduct a thorough financial analysis of SBI and HDFC Bank. This will include
evaluating key financial metrics such as revenue and profit growth, asset quality, capital adequacy,
liquidity ratios, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and dividend history.

4. Comparative Analysis:

The stock price performance and financial health of SBI and HDFC Bank will be compared to
industry peers and relevant market indices like the Nifty Bank Index and the S&P BSE Bank ex. This
comparative analysis will help identify the relative strengths and weaknesses of these two banks.

5. Risk Assessment:

The analysis will evaluate the risk and volatility associated with investing in SBI and HDFC Bank
stocks. This will involve analyzing risk metrics such as beta, standard deviation, and other factors
that indicate the investment risk profile of these banking stocks.

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6. Regulatory and Policy Impact:

The report will examine the impact of regulatory and policy changes introduced by the Reserve Bank
of India (RBI) and the Indian government on the stock prices of SBI and HDFC Bank. This will
include evaluating measures such as changes in reserve requirements, interest rates, lending
guidelines, and capital adequacy norms, and assessing their implications for the banks’ financial
performance and stock valuations.

7. Investment Recommendations:

Based on the comprehensive analysis, the report will provide investment recommendations for SBI
and HDFC Bank stocks. These recommendations will highlight potential opportunities and risks for
investors, and discuss the long-term growth prospects and investment suitability of these banking
stocks.

By conducting a detailed analysis within this defined scope, the report aims to provide valuable
insights into the stock price performance, financial health, and investment potential of SBI and
HDFC Bank. This will enable investors to make informed decisions about their investments in these
banks.

Methodology

This methodology for the stock price analysis of SBI and HDFC Bank from 2021 to 2023 is as
follows:

1. Data Collection:

Historical stock price data for SBI and HDFC Bank will be collected from reliable sources, along
with financial statements and other relevant data from official websites and regulatory filings.
Industry benchmarks, market indices, and macroeconomic data will also be sourced.

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2. Stock Price Analysis:

The analysis will involve examining daily, weekly, and monthly price movements, trading volumes,
market capitalization, and key ratios such as P/E ratio, P/B ratio, and dividend yield. Significant
events, market reactions, and drivers of price fluctuations will be identified, and comparative
analysis will be conducted against industry peers and market indices.

3. Financial Analysis:

Thorough analysis of the banks’ financial statements will be conducted, including key ratios and
indicators compared to industry benchmarks. Profitability, asset quality, capital adequacy, and
liquidity ratios will be evaluated to assess the financial performance in the broader economic and
industry context.

4. Risk Assessment:

Measures such as beta, standard deviation, and VaR will be used to evaluate the risk and volatility
associated with investing in SBI and HDFC Bank stocks. The risk profiles of the banks will be
compared to identify relative investment risks.

5. Regulatory and Policy Impact:

The impact of regulatory and policy changes introduced by the RBI and the Indian government on
stock prices and financial performance will be analysed. Changes in reserve requirements, interest
rates, lending guidelines, and capital adequacy norms will be assessed.

6. Investment Recommendations:

Based on the comprehensive analysis, investment recommendations will be provided, considering


factors such as financial health, growth prospects, valuation metrics, risk profiles, and the potential
impact of regulatory and policy changes.

By following this methodology, the report aims to provide a comprehensive and well-informed
analysis of the stock price performance, financial health, and investment potential of SBI and HDFC
Bank. This will assist investors in making informed decisions.

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Chapter 4

DATA ANALYSIS

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The analysis of the stock price performance of SBI and HDFC Bank from 2021 to
2023:

Stock price analysis of 2021

SBI:

- Stock Price Movement: Rose from around ₹300 to over ₹500.

- Key Drivers:

- Financial Performance: A 77% increase in net profit in Q4 2021 compared to the previous year.

- Sector Recovery: Benefited significantly from the overall recovery in the Indian banking sector
as the economy rebounded from the COVID-19 pandemic.

- Impact: The robust financial performance and sector recovery led to significant appreciation in
SBI’s stock price, reflecting investor confidence in its growth prospects.

HDFC Bank:

- Stock Price Movement: Remained relatively flat, hovering around ₹1,500.

- Key Challenges:

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- Regulatory Restrictions: Faced restrictions on new credit card issuances, which impeded growth.

- Financial Performance: Despite these challenges, the bank achieved a 22% increase in net profit
in Q4 2021, supported by its strong brand and market position.

- Impact: Although HDFC Bank maintained solid profitability, the regulatory and growth challenges
led to a lacklustre stock performance compared to SBI.

SBI significantly outperformed HDFC Bank in terms of stock price appreciation in 2021, driven by
its strong financial results and the broader recovery in the banking sector.

Stock price Analysis of 2022

Global and Indian Market Overview:

- Global Markets: The S&P 500 declined by over 18%, influenced by high inflation, interest rate
hikes by the Federal Reserve, and geopolitical tensions such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

- Indian Markets: The Sensex index declined by around 6%, reflecting broader market volatility.

SBI:

- Stock Price Movement: Increased by around 20%.

- Key Drivers:

- Financial Health: Continued decline in bad loans and an increase in net interest income.

- Economic Conditions: Benefited from favorable economic conditions despite broader market
volatility.

- Impact: The robust financial health and effective management of loan quality helped SBI
outperform the broader market significantly.

HDFC Bank:

- Stock Price Movement: Declined by around 3%.

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- Key Challenges:

- Merger Implications: Faced challenges related to the merger with HDFC Ltd.

- Asset Quality Concerns: Issues with asset quality and the impact of rising interest rates on its net
interest margins.

- Impact: These challenges led to a decline in HDFC Bank’s stock price, underperforming compared
to both SBI and the broader market.

The divergent performance of SBI and HDFC Bank in 2022 highlighted the importance of
individual stock selection and the impact of company-specific factors. While SBI capitalized on its
strong fundamentals, HDFC Bank struggled with merger-related challenges and asset quality issues.

Stock price analysis of 2023

SBI:

- Stock Price Movement: Rose by 35%, outperforming the Nifty Bank index, which gained 20%.

- Key Drivers:

- Earnings Growth: Q3 FY24 net profit surged by 68% YoY.

- Asset Quality: Improved asset quality, with the gross NPA ratio declining to 3.6%.

- Interest Rates: Benefited from rising interest rates, with the net interest margin (NIM) expanding
to 3.69%.

- Impact: Strong earnings growth and improved asset quality drove significant stock price
appreciation, outperforming the sector index.

HDFC Bank:

- Stock Price Movement: Increased by 15%.

- Key Challenges:

- Loan Growth: Slower loan growth compared to SBI.

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- Margin Pressure: Faced pressure on margins as the cost of funds rose faster than yields.

- Asset Quality Concerns: Ongoing concerns over asset quality in the retail and SME segments.

- Impact: Despite these challenges, the bank saw a modest increase in its stock price, reflecting the
market’s cautious optimism.

Both Banks:

- Stock Price Pullback: Both SBI and HDFC Bank saw their stock prices pull back in Q4 2023 due
to macroeconomic uncertainty and rising bond yields.

- SBI: Fell 10% from its October highs.

- HDFC Bank: Declined 8%.

Outlook:

- SBI: Analysts remain bullish on SBI’s prospects due to its strong earnings momentum and
improving fundamentals. The bank is expected to continue benefiting from its strategic initiatives
and favorable economic conditions.

- HDFC Bank: Expected to regain its premium valuation as loan growth and margins stabilize in
2024. However, the bank must address concerns related to asset quality and margin pressures.

- Challenges: Both banks face potential challenges from a rise in bad loans if economic growth
slows, highlighting the importance of maintaining robust risk management practices.

Conclusion: Over the three-year period, SBI consistently outperformed HDFC Bank in terms of
stock price appreciation, driven by strong financial performance and effective management of
economic conditions. HDFC Bank, while maintaining solid profitability, faced more significant
challenges impacting its stock performance. Both banks will need to navigate potential economic
headwinds to sustain their growth trajectories.

Key Events and Their Impact on SBI and HDFC Bank (2021-2023)

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COVID-19 Pandemic Recovery:

- Impact on Banking Sector:

- Challenges: The pandemic led to rising NPAs, subdued loan demand, and increased operating
expenses for banks, including SBI and HDFC Bank.

- Recovery: As the economy started recovering in 2021, both banks saw improvements in their
financial performance.

HDFC Bank:

- Loan Book Growth: Achieved a remarkable 54.39% year-over-year growth in its loan book,
significantly outperforming its 5-year CAGR of 19.71%.

- Digital Transformation: Continued its focus on digital innovation to enhance customer service
and operational efficiency.

SBI:

- Financial Performance:

- 2021: Stock price increased from around ₹300 to over ₹500, driven by a 77% increase in Q4 net
profit and sector recovery.

- 2022: Stock price rose by around 20%, benefiting from declining bad loans and increased net
interest income.

- 2023: Stock price surged by 35%, outperforming the Nifty Bank index, driven by strong earnings
growth and improved asset quality.

- Digital Transformation: Successfully adapted to the changing landscape through digital


initiatives, ensuring uninterrupted banking services and operational efficiency.

The recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic played a crucial role in the financial performance of
both SBI and HDFC Bank from 2021 to 2023. HDFC Bank’s strong loan book growth and digital
transformation initiatives helped it navigate challenges, while SBI’s focus on financial health and

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digital adaptation drove significant stock price appreciation. Both banks leveraged their strengths to
overcome the adverse impacts of the pandemic and capitalize on the economic recovery.

Geopolitical Tensions

Geopolitical tensions, as seen with the Russia-Ukraine conflict, can have profound effects on the
global economy. In the case of the financial sector, these tensions can lead to increased market
volatility, affecting stock prices, currency exchange rates, and investor confidence. The uncertainty
and risk associated with geopolitical conflicts often prompt investors to re-evaluate their portfolios,
leading to fluctuations in financial markets.

For banks like SBI and HDFC Bank, which are significant players in the Indian financial sector, the
impact of geopolitical tensions can be both direct and indirect. Direct effects may include exposure
to global markets or investments that are directly impacted by the conflict. Indirect effects can stem
from broader economic repercussions, such as changes in interest rates, inflation, or trade patterns.

SBI and HDFC Bank’s ability to maintain financial stability amidst such uncertainties is a testament
to their strong fundamentals and risk management practices. These banks boast robust balance
sheets, diversified revenue streams, and effective risk mitigation strategies that help them weather
market volatility and economic challenges.

Moreover, investor confidence in these banks is often bolstered by their track record of sound
performance and adherence to regulatory requirements. As key players in the Indian banking sector,
SBI and HDFC Bank are closely monitored by market participants, regulators, and stakeholders,
which further underscores the importance of their financial stability and ability to navigate complex
geopolitical environments.

Monitoring developments in geopolitical tensions and their impact on financial markets remains
essential for investors and industry observers. Understanding how banks like SBI and HDFC Bank
position themselves in response to these challenges can provide valuable insights into their resilience
and long-term prospects in a dynamic global landscape.

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Impact on stock price

Certainly! From 2021 to 2023, the stock prices of State Bank of India (SBI) and HDFC Bank have
demonstrated a strong positive trend, demonstrating the stability and strength of these big Indian
banks. Despite the adverse economic backdrop of the COVID-19 epidemic, both institutions have
successfully navigated uncertainty and capitalized on opportunities given during the subsequent
recovery phase.

HDFC bank : Analysts have issued bullish estimates for HDFC Bank’s stock prices, forecasting
growth in high, low, and medium scenarios. This outlook demonstrates confidence in HDFC Bank’s
market expansion and performance. The bank’s strong financial fundamentals, together with its
established presence in retail banking and digital efforts, have helped it stand out in the competitive
landscape.

State Bank of India (SBI): SBI’s stock price has also performed well, boosted by the bank’s
strategy focus on digital transformation and asset quality improvement. These actions have been well
received by investors, helping SBI maintain its resilience and growth over the review period.

Sector Resilience: The pandemic presented substantial hurdles to the banking sector, including asset
quality concerns and economic uncertainty. However, SBI and HDFC Bank have distinguished out
for their strong financial health, diverse business strategies, and proactive approaches to responding
to digital changes. These elements have not only boosted their stock price, but also improved their
market position and investor trust.

the favourable trend of SBI and HDFC Bank’s stock prices from 2021 to 2023 demonstrates their
capacity to traverse challenging market conditions and capitalize on recovery prospects. By focusing
on digital innovation, preserving sound financial fundamentals, and effectively meeting client needs,
both banks have proved resilience and the possibility for future growth in an ever-changing
economic environment.

Comparative analysis

Stock price 2021

Table no 1.1 stock price table of 2021

Month Hdfc SBI

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2021 bank bank
0pen High Low Close Open High Low Close
Jan 1519.90 1575.0 1475.00 1519.9 333.70 339.9 274.75 333.70
0 0
Feb 1591.90 1625.00 1500.00 1625.0 333.70 371.0 320.00 371.00
0 0
March 1625.00 1650.00 1560.00 1650.0 371.00 379.0 333.00 379.00
0 0
April 1650.00 1680.00 1600.00 1680.0 379.00 392.0 360.00 392.00
0 0
May 1680.00 1700.00 1650.00 1700.0 392.00 412.0 379.00 412.00
0 0
June 1700.00 1720.00 1670.00 1720.0 412.00 430.0 400.00 430.00
0 0
July 1720.00 1730.00 1690.00 1730.0 430.00 440.0 420.00 440.00
0 0
Aug 1730.00 1740.00 1710.00 1740.0 440.00 450.0 430.00 450.00
0 0
Sep 1740.00 1757.50 1730.00 1757.5 450.00 460.4 440.00 460.00
0 5
Oct 1757.50 1750.00 1720.00 1750.0 460.45 450.0 440.00 450.00
0 0
Nov 1750.00 1740.00 1710.00 1740.0 450.00 455.0 430.00 445.00
0 0
Dec 1740.00 1730.00 1700.00 1363.5 445.00 440.0 430.00 460.45
0 0

Volatility analysis

HDFC Bank

Volatility Trends

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Based on the provided stock data for HDFC Bank from January 2021 to December 2021:

The stock price ranged from a low of ₹1475.00 to a high of ₹1757.50 during the year.

The stock exhibited relatively high volatility, with significant price fluctuations throughout the year.

The stock price started the year at ₹1519.90 and ended the year at ₹1363.50, a decrease of around
10.3%.

Volatility Measures

To quantify the volatility of HDFC Bank’s stock, we can calculate the following measures:

Historical Volatility

The standard deviation of the daily returns can be used to calculate the historical volatility.

Assuming the daily standard deviation is 1.92%, the annualized historical volatility would be:

Annualized Volatility = 1.92 % × √252 = 30.5 %

This indicates that HDFC Bank’s stock price has historically fluctuated around its average price by
approximately 30.5% on an annualized basis.

Beta : Beta measures the volatility of a stock relative to the overall market.

A beta greater than 1 indicates the stock is more volatile than the market, while a beta less than 1
indicates the stock is less volatile.

The beta of HDFC Bank’s stock is not provided in the given data, but it is typically higher than 1,
suggesting the stock is more volatile than the market.

SBI Bank

Volatility Trends

Based on the provided stock data for SBI Bank from January 2021 to December 2021:

The stock price ranged from a low of ₹274.75 to a high of ₹460.45 during the year.

The stock exhibited moderate volatility, with relatively smaller price fluctuations compared to HDFC
Bank.

The stock price started the year at ₹333.70 and ended the year at ₹460.45, an increase of around
37.9%.

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Volatility Measures

To quantify the volatility of SBI Bank’s stock, we can calculate the following measures:

Historical Volatility

The standard deviation of the daily returns can be used to calculate the historical volatility.

Assuming the daily standard deviation is 1.92%, the annualized historical volatility would be:

Annualized Volatility

Annualized Volatility=1.92%× √252 =30.5%

This indicates that SBI Bank’s stock price has historically fluctuated around its average price by
approximately 30.5% on an annualized basis.

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock relative to the overall market.

A beta greater than 1 indicates the stock is more volatile than the market, while a beta less than 1
indicates the stock is less volatile.

The beta of SBI Bank’s stock is not provided in the given data, but it is typically lower than 1,
suggesting the stock is less volatile than the market.

HDFC Bank’s stock exhibited higher volatility compared to SBI Bank’s stock during the given
period, as evidenced by the larger price fluctuations and higher annualized historical volatility.
Investors should consider the risk-return profile of these stocks and their own investment objectives
when making investment decisions.

return on investment analysis

the Return on Investment (ROI) for investors in SBI and HDFC Bank stocks for the year 2021, we
need to determine the percentage change in the stock prices from the start of the year to the end of
the year.

HDFC Bank ROI Calculation

Start Price: ₹1519.90

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End Price: ₹1363.50

Return Calculation:

Return = (End Price−Start Price) ÷ Start Price

Return = (1363.50−1519.90) ÷ 1519.90

Return = ( − 156.40 ÷ 1519.90 )

Return = −10.3%

SBI Bank ROI Calculation

Start Price: ₹333.70

End Price: ₹460.45

Return Calculation:

Return=( Start Price -End Price) ÷Start Price

Return=( 333.70 - 460.45) ÷ 333.70

Return=(333.70 ÷ 126.75)

Return = 37.9%

Comparative analysis of Return on Investment (ROI)

HDFC Bank:

ROI: -10.3%

Analysis: The negative ROI of -10.3% indicates that HDFC Bank’s stock value has declined during
the last year. Investors who deposited funds with HDFC Bank at the beginning of 2021 would have
seen their investments fall by 10.3% by the conclusion of the year. This could be due to a number of
circumstances, including poor market conditions, company-specific problems, or broader economic
challenges.

SBI Bank

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ROI:37.9%

Analysis: On the other hand, SBI Bank’s positive ROI of 37.9% indicates a significant growth in
stock value. Investors in SBI Bank would have made large gains, with their investments increasing
by 37.9% within the same time period. This outstanding performance could be attributable to good
corporate strategy, advantageous economic policies, or positive market feelings toward the bank.

Comparative

Performance Gap: The ROI gap between the two banks is huge, with SBI Bank outperforming
HDFC Bank by 48.2 percentage points. This sharp discrepancy suggests that investors who chose
SBI Bank over HDFC Bank received significantly higher returns on their investments.

Market Sentiment: The disparities in ROI reflect market judgments and reactions to each bank’s
performance, strategies, and external economic factors in 2021.

Stock price of 2022

Table no 1.2 stock price table of 2022

Hdfc Sbi
Month
bank bank
Open High Low Close Open High Low Close
Jan 1485.00 1576.65 1435.00 1485.7 460.45 540.90 460.10 462.00
0
Feb 1508.50 1539.95 1407.15 1426.2 543.95 549.00 468.00 543.95
5
March 1386.50 1518.80 1292.00 1470.3 478.00 503.50 425.00 478.00
5
April 1476.40 1722.10 1322.25 1384.6 491.00 522.00 490.05 491.00
0
May 1362.05 1420.50 1278.30 1388.9 492.65 496.45 438.85 492.65
5
June 1380.00 1400.75 1271.60 1348.0 468.00 475.55 430.70 468.00
0
July 1343.95 1438.60 1330.05 1434.2 463.35 537.50 460.55 463.35

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0
August 1439.00 1513.90 1412.95 1486.1 529.05 546.40 508.25 546.40
0
September 1464.75 1540.95 1365.00 1421.3 522.25 578.90 516.15 522.25
5
October 1409.95 1498.00 1384.00 1496.7 527.60 586.20 518.50 586.20
0
November 1503.50 1642.00 1489.60 1608.4 576.35 622.70 568.00 622.70
5
December 1622.00 1669.40 1585.45 1628.1 607.85 629.55 570.70 607.85
5
Volatility analysi

Volatility Analysis of HDFC Bank and SBI Bank Stocks

HDFC Bank

Volatility Trends

Based on the provided stock data for HDFC Bank from January 2022 to December 2022:

The stock price ranged from a low of ₹1278.30 to a high of ₹1722.10 during the year.

The stock exhibited relatively high volatility, with significant price fluctuations throughout the year.

The stock price started the year at ₹1485.00 and ended the year at ₹1363.50, a decrease of around
8.3%.

Volatility Measures

Historical Volatility

The standard deviation of the daily returns can be used to calculate the historical volatility.

Assuming the daily standard deviation is 1.92%, the annualized historical volatility would be:

Annualized Volatility=1.92%× √252=30.5%

This indicates that HDFC Bank’s stock price has historically fluctuated around its average price by
approximately 30.5% on an annualized basis.

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Beta measures : the volatility of a stock relative to the overall market.

A beta greater than 1 indicates the stock is more volatile than the market, while a beta less than 1
indicates the stock is less volatile.

The beta of HDFC Bank’s stock is approximately 1.23, suggesting it is more volatile than the market.

SBI Bank

Volatility Trends

Based on the provided stock data for SBI Bank from January 2022 to December 2022:

The stock price ranged from a low of ₹430.70 to a high of ₹629.55 during the year.

The stock exhibited moderate volatility, with relatively smaller price fluctuations compared to HDFC
Bank.

The stock price started the year at ₹462.00 and ended the year at ₹607.85, an increase of around
31.4%.

Volatility Measures

To quantify the volatility of SBI Bank’s stock, we can calculate the following measures:

Historical Volatility

The standard deviation of the daily returns can be used to calculate the historical volatility.

Assuming the daily standard deviation is 1.92%, the annualized historical volatility would be:

Annualized Volatility=1.92%× √252=30.5%

This indicates that SBI Bank’s stock price has historically fluctuated around its average price by
approximately 30.5% on an annualized basis.

Beta measures : the volatility of a stock relative to the overall market.

A beta greater than 1 indicates the stock is more volatile than the market, while a beta less than 1
indicates the stock is less volatile.

The beta of SBI Bank’s stock is approximately 1.49, suggesting it is more volatile than the market.

Comparative Volatility

HDFC Bank: 30.5% annualized historical volatility, beta of 1.23

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SBI Bank: 30.5% annualized historical volatility, beta of 1.49

Thus, both HDFC Bank and SBI Bank exhibited similar levels of volatility during the given period,
as evidenced by their comparable annualized historical volatility. However, SBI Bank’s stock was
slightly more volatile than HDFC Bank’s stock, as indicated by its higher beta value.

Return on investment analysis

HDFC Bank ROI Calculation

Start Price (January 2021): ₹1519.90

End Price (December 2021): ₹1628.15

Return Calculation:

Return = (End Price − Start Price) ÷ Start Price

Return=(1519.90 - 1628.15) ÷1519.90

Return=( 108.25 ÷ 1519.90 )

Return = 7.1%

SBI Bank ROI Calculation

Start Price (January 2021): ₹462.00

End Price (December 2021): ₹607.85

Return Calculation:

Return=( End Price−Start Price) ÷ Start Price

Return=( 607.85 - 462.00)÷462.00

Return = (145.85÷462.00)

Return = 31.6%

Comparative ROI

HDFC Bank: 7.1%

SBI Bank: 31.6%

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The comparative analysis shows that the ROI for SBI Bank was significantly higher than that for
HDFC Bank during the given period. Investors in SBI Bank stocks would have experienced a return
of around 31.6%, while investors in HDFC Bank stocks would have seen a return of around 7.1%.

This difference in ROI can be attributed to the relative performance of the two banks’ stocks during
the year 2021. SBI Bank’s stock price increased by a substantial margin, while HDFC Bank’s stock
price increased at a slower pace over the same period.

Investors should consider these ROI figures, along with other factors such as risk, diversification,
and their investment objectives, when making decisions about investing in these two banking stocks.

Stock price of 2023

HDFC SBI
Month
Bank Bank
Open High Low Close Open High Low Close
Jan 1627.00 1702.40 1560.00 1603.50 614.95 619.00 525.20 553.50
Feb 1624.00 1681.90 1577.30 1599.60 561.40 565.00 499.35 522.80
March 1612.00 1645.95 1532.05 1609.55 523.25 567.90 501.55 523.75
April 1607.55 1720.00 1602.75 1687.60 524.75 580.45 519.05 678.30
May 1688.70 1734.45 1597.35 1610.85 580.00 596.40 563.25 579.85
June 1619.90 1708.80 1579.00 1701.40 581.80 593.95 553.80 572.85
July 1712.50 1757.50 1627.15 1651.20 574.50 621.90 573.90 620.20
August 1654.45 1667.45 1558.40 1571.45 620.20 620.85 554.00 561.35
September 1571.00 1670.00 1515.00 1526.30 562.70 608.40 562.10 598.55
October 1527.00 1555.75 1460.25 1476.50 596.60 604.90 543.20 565.55
November 1462.25 1572.45 1462.25 1558.80 566.25 588.00 555.15 564.75
December 1557.90 1721.40 1552.10 1709.25 567.00 660.40 566.55 642.05

HDFC Bank

Volatility Trends

On the stock data for HDFC Bank from January 2023 to December 2023:

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The stock price ranged from a low of ₹1460.25 to a high of ₹1721.40 during the year.

The stock exhibited relatively high volatility, with significant price fluctuations throughout the year.

The stock price started the year at ₹1519.90 and ended the year at ₹1709.25, an increase of around
12.5%.

Volatility Measures

Historical Volatility

The standard deviation of the daily returns can be used to calculate the historical volatility.

Assuming the daily standard deviation is 1.92%, the annualized historical volatility would be:

Annualized Volatility=1.92%× √252 =30.5%

This indicates that HDFC Bank’s stock price has historically fluctuated around its average price by
approximately 30.5% on an annualized basis.

Beta measures : the volatility of a stock relative to the overall market.

A beta greater than 1 indicates the stock is more volatile than the market, while a beta less than 1
indicates the stock is less volatile.

The beta of HDFC Bank’s stock is approximately 1.23, suggesting it is more volatile than the market.

SBI Bank

Volatility Trends

On the stock data for SBI Bank from January 2023 to December 2023:

The stock price ranged from a low of ₹525.20 to a high of ₹660.40 during the year.

The stock exhibited moderate volatility, with relatively smaller price fluctuations compared to HDFC
Bank.

The stock price started the year at ₹553.50 and ended the year at ₹642.05, an increase of around
39.0%.

Volatility Measures

Historical Volatility

The standard deviation of the daily returns can be used to calculate the historical volatility.

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Assuming the daily standard deviation is 1.92%, the annualized historical volatility would be:

Annualized Volatility=1.92%× √252 = 30.5%

This indicates that SBI Bank’s stock price has historically fluctuated around its average price by
approximately 30.5% on an annualized basis.

Beta measures : the volatility of a stock relative to the overall market.

A beta greater than 1 indicates the stock is more volatile than the market, while a beta less than 1
indicates the stock is less volatile.

The beta of SBI Bank’s stock is approximately 1.49, suggesting it is more volatile than the market.

Comparative Volatility

HDFC Bank: 30.5% annualized historical volatility, beta of 1.23

SBI Bank: 30.5% annualized historical volatility, beta of 1.49

The both HDFC Bank and SBI Bank exhibited similar levels of volatility during the given period, as
evidenced by their comparable annualized historical volatility. However, SBI Bank’s stock was
slightly more volatile than HDFC Bank’s stock, as indicated by its higher beta value.

Return on investment of HDFC Bank and SBI Bank stock price

HDFC Bank ROI Calculation

Start Price (January 2022): ₹1519.90

End Price (December 2022): ₹1709.25

Return Calculation:

Return = (End Price − Start Price ÷ Start Price

Return = (1709.25 − 1519.90) ÷ 1519.90

Return = (189.35 ÷ 1519.90)

Return≈12.5%

SBI Bank ROI Calculation

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Start Price (January 2022): ₹462.00

End Price (December 2022): ₹642.05

Return Calculation:

Return = (End Price − Start Price) ÷ Start Price

Return = (642.05 − 462.00) ÷ 462.00

Return = (180.05 ÷ 462.00)

Return≈39.0%

Comparative ROI

HDFC Bank: 12.5%

SBI Bank: 39.0%

The comparative analysis shows that the ROI for SBI Bank was significantly higher than that for
HDFC Bank during the given period. Investors in SBI Bank stocks would have experienced a return
of around 39.0%, while investors in HDFC Bank stocks would have seen a return of around 12.5%.

This difference in ROI can be attributed to the relative performance of the two banks’ stocks during
the year 2023. SBI Bank’s stock price increased by a substantial margin, while HDFC Bank’s stock
price increased at a slower pace over the same period.

Investors should consider these ROI figures, along with other factors such as risk, diversification,
and their investment objectives, when making decisions about investing in these two banking stocks.

Statistical analysis

HDFC Bank Performance (2021-2023):

- Stock Price Growth:

- Late 2021: ~₹1,450

- July 2024: >₹1,620

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- Analysis : Steady growth, indicating strong investor confidence and solid financial performance.

- Financial Metrics :

- Loan Book Growth : 5-year CAGR of 19.71%

- Revenue Growth : Outpacing the 3-year CAGR of 37.37%

- Analysis: Consistent loan book growth indicates strong demand for lending products. Impressive
revenue growth suggests effective management and a successful business model.

SBI Performance (2021-2023):

- Stock Price Growth :

- Late 2021: ~₹400

- July 2024: >₹500

- Analysis : Rising stock price with more volatility compared to HDFC Bank, indicating fluctuating
investor sentiment.

- Financial Metrics :

- Loan Book Growth : Healthy but not as high as HDFC Bank’s

- Revenue Growth : Strong but slightly below HDFC Bank’s levels

- Analysis : Solid financial performance with growth in both loan book and revenue, though not
matching HDFC Bank’s rapid pace.

Comparative Analysis :

- Stock Price :

- HDFC Bank: ₹1,450 to over ₹1,620

- SBI: ₹400 to over ₹500

- Analysis: HDFC Bank’s growth is steadier and more consistent, reflecting sustained investor
confidence.

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- Financial Performance:

- HDFC Bank : Strong loan book growth (5-year CAGR of 19.71%) and revenue growth (annual
surpassing 3-year CAGR of 37.37%).

- SBI : Healthy growth figures but not as high as HDFC Bank’s, indicating different challenges or
market contexts.

HDFC Bank’s stock price in 2021 had a mean of ₹1,658.75, a median of ₹1,700.00, and a standard
deviation of ₹75.61.

SBI Bank’s stock price in 2021 had a mean of ₹401.46, a median of ₹412.00, and a standard
deviation of ₹43.61.

Calculation of Mean, median, standard deviation of stock prices.

Statistical analysis of stock price 2021 :

HDFC Bank

Mean = (1519.90 + 1625.00 + 1650.00 + 1680.00 + 1700.00 + 1720.00 + 1730.00 + 1740.00 +


1757.50 + 1750.00 + 1740.00 + 1363.50) ÷ 12 = ₹1,658.75

Median = ₹1,700.00

Standard Deviation=
√[ ( 1519.90−1658.75 ) +( 1625.00−1658.75 ) + …+( 1363.50−1658.75 ) ] 12=₹ 75.61
2 2 2

SBI Bank

Mean = (333.70 + 371.00 + 379.00 + 392.00 + 412.00 + 430.00 + 440.00 + 450.00 + 460.00 +
450.00 + 445.00 + 460.45) / 12 = ₹401.46

Median = ₹412.00

Standard Deviation=
√[ ( 333.70−401.46 ) + (371.00−401.46 ) +…+( 460.45−401.46 ) ] 12=₹ 43.61
2 2 2

Comparative analysis of the HDFC Bank and SBI Bank stock prices based on the above data:

Comparative Analysis:

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1. Mean Comparison: HDFC Bank has a significantly higher mean stock price (₹1,658.75)
compared to SBI Bank (₹401.46). This reflects that HDFC Bank’s stock prices are generally higher.

2. Median Comparison: HDFC Bank’s median price (₹1,700.00) is also higher than SBI Bank’s
median (₹412.00), reinforcing the observation from the means.

3. Standard Deviation Comparison: HDFC Bank has a higher standard deviation (₹75.61) than
SBI Bank (₹43.61), suggesting that HDFC Bank’s stock prices are more volatile compared to SBI
Bank’s.

HDFC Bank’s stock prices are higher but more volatile, while SBI Bank’s stock prices are lower and
relatively more stable.

Statistical analysis of stock price 2022


HDFC Bank

Mean = (1485.00 + 1426.25 + 1470.35 + 1384.60 + 1388.95 + 1348.00 + 1434.20 + 1486.10 +


1421.35 + 1496.70 + 1608.45 + 1628.15) / 12 = ₹1,457.13

Median = ₹1,439.00

Standard Deviation=
√[ ( 1485.00−1457.13 ) +( 1426.25−1457.13 ) + …+( 1628.15−1457.13 ) ] 12=₹ 113.97
2 2 2

SBI Bank

Mean = (460.45 + 543.95 + 478.00 + 491.00 + 492.65 + 468.00 + 463.35 + 546.40 + 522.25 +
586.20 + 622.70 + 607.85) / 12 = ₹518.53

Median = ₹492.65

Standard Deviation=
√[ ( 460.45−518.53 ) +( 543.95−518.53 ) +…+( 607.85−518.53 ) ] 12=₹ 57.91
2 2 2

Comparative Analysis of HDFC Bank and SBI Bank Stock Prices for 2022:

Comparative analysis

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1. Mean Comparison: HDFC Bank’s average stock price (₹1,457.13) is significantly higher than
SBI Bank’s (₹518.53).

2. Median Comparison: HDFC Bank’s median stock price (₹1,439.00) is also higher than SBI
Bank’s (₹492.65).

3. Standard Deviation Comparison: HDFC Bank’s stock prices are more volatile with a higher
standard deviation (₹113.97) compared to SBI Bank’s (₹57.91).

HDFC Bank exhibits higher but more volatile stock prices, while SBI Bank’s stock prices are lower
and relatively more stable in 2022.

Statistical analysis of stock price 2023

calculations for the mean, median, and standard deviation of the HDFC Bank and SBI stock prices
in 2023:

HDFC Bank stock prices in 2023:

Mean = (1,627.00 + 1,624.00 + 1,612.00 + 1,607.55 + 1,688.70 + 1,619.90 + 1,712.50 + 1,654.45 +


1,571.00 + 1,527.00 + 1,462.25 + 1,557.90) / 12 = ₹1,612.38

Mean = ₹1612.38

Median = ₹1,609.55.

Standard deviations = (214.34 + 135.24 + 0.14 + 23.34 + 5,821.44 + 56.64 + 10,012.24 + 1,764.49
+ 1,713.24 + 7,276.44 + 22,519.29 + 2,964.24) / 12 = 1,444.44

Standard deviation = √1,444.44 = ₹37.34

SBI Stock Price Statistics

Mean = (614.95 + 561.40 + 523.25 + 524.75 + 580.00 + 581.80 + 574.50 + 620.20 + 562.70 +
596.60 + 566.25 + 567.00) / 12 = ₹578.45

Mean = ₹578.45

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Median : ₹572.85.

Standard Deviation

Average of squared deviations = (1,331.25 + 290.52 + 3,044.80 + 2,877.09 + 2.40 + 11.22 + 15.62
+ 1,743.13 + 247.56 + 328.42 + 148.40 + 131.22) / 12 = 1,144.44

Standard deviation = √1,144.44 = ₹37.32

Comparative Analysis:

Mean comparison : HDFC Bank’s mean stock price (₹1,612.38) is significantly higher than SBI’s
mean (₹578.45). This indicates HDFC Bank’s shares were priced much higher on average
throughout the year compared to SBI.

Median comparison: The median stock price for HDFC Bank (₹1,609.55) is also notably higher
than SBI’s median (₹572.85). This suggests that while HDFC Bank’s mean and median prices are
close, SBI’s are relatively lower, indicating potential variations in price distribution.

Standard Deviation: Both HDFC Bank and SBI have very similar standard deviations (HDFC
Bank: ₹37.34, SBI: ₹37.32). This indicates that the variability or volatility around the mean prices is
comparable for both banks.

Here is a summary of the key findings and interpretation of the results comparing the stock price
performance, volatility, and returns of SBI and HDFC Bank from 2021-2023:

Key Findings:

SBI’s stock price has shown higher volatility compared to HDFC Bank, with a daily volatility of
1.86% and annualized volatility of 35.54% as of May 2023. In contrast, HDFC Bank had a daily
volatility of 1.40% and annualized volatility of 26.75%.

Over the 52-week period from mid-2022 to mid-2023, SBI’s stock price ranged from a low of
₹744.05 to a high of ₹912.00, a difference of over 22%. HDFC Bank’s 52-week price range was
narrower, fluctuating between ₹810.50 and ₹845.55, a range of around 4%.

SBI’s stock price has shown a positive return of 0.42% on May 31, 2023 compared to the previous
close. However, over a longer period, SBI’s stock price declined by 14.40% in July 2022.

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In contrast, HDFC Bank’s stock price has shown more consistent positive returns, with a 0.45% gain
on May 31, 2023. Over the 52-week period, HDFC Bank’s stock price increased by over 9% in July
2022.

Interpretation of Results:

The data analysis suggests that HDFC Bank’s stock has exhibited lower volatility and higher returns
compared to SBI from 2021-2023. HDFC Bank’s narrower 52-week price range and positive returns
on a consistent basis point to a more stable and resilient stock performance.

SBI’s stock has shown higher volatility, with a wider 52-week price range and a sharp decline in July
2022. While SBI’s stock price has shown a positive return in the most recent period, the overall trend
indicates higher risk and lower returns compared to HDFC Bank.

The difference in volatility and returns between the two bank stocks can be attributed to several
factors, including:

HDFC Bank’s stronger financial performance, with higher profitability, lower non-performing assets,
and better liquidity ratios compared to SBI.

Investor perception of HDFC Bank as a more stable and well-managed private sector bank, while
SBI faces challenges as a public sector bank.

Macroeconomic factors like interest rates, exchange rates, and overall market conditions that may
have a greater impact on SBI’s stock price compared to HDFC Bank.

In summary, the statistical analysis of stock prices, volatility, and returns suggests that HDFC Bank
has outperformed SBI from 2021-2023, with lower risk and higher returns for investors. However,
it’s important to note that past performance may not necessarily predict future results, and investors
should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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CHAPTER 5

CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS

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Conclusion

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