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Sovrenn Times 28 Jun 2024
Sovrenn Times 28 Jun 2024
SOVRENN TIMES
DISCLAIMER: This document is created for educational and informational purposes only and should NOT
be construed as a Buy/Sell recommendation, investment advice or a research report. Although the
document accurately reflects the personal views of the authors, there may be manual/ human errors in the
document. The authors may also have equity shares in the companies mentioned in this report. Investor is
advised to consult his/her investment advisor and undertake further due diligence before making any
investment decision in the companies mentioned. Authors are not liable for any financial gains or losses due
to investments made as per the information written in this document.
28th Jun 2024
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SOVRENN FRAMEWORK
Please look at the following parameters to assess any company for investment:
(1) Company type: Evergreen or Seasonal sector is preferable over Cyclical. This is because it is difficult
to predict upswing in Cyclical stocks.
(2) Profit uptrend: The revenue, operating profit and net profit should ideally be following an increasing
trajectory and company must not be loss making.
(3) PE: TTM PE or Trailing 12m Price to Earnings ratio should ideally be on the lower side of the sector
PE range, unless the growth prospects are compelling to justify a higher PE.
(4) Futuristic Sector: A futuristic sector (eg: Solar, Wind EV, Railways, Defence, 5G, Electrification, New
Age IT, etc.) enjoys sector tailwinds and usually has higher growth potential.
(5) HNI / Institutional / Promoter Buying: If a known HNI enters the Company by picking equity stake in
it, it can add to one’s conviction building. Similarly, promoters buying their company’s shares is
generally a positive signal of them demonstrating confidence in their business.
(6) Special Situation: If a company is raising funds through preferential issuance of shares to a select
group of investors, or through Rights issuance where all the current shareholders have the right to
buy additional shares in the company, it signals incoming cash into the company. This cash is
generally used for future growth and hence signals increased possibility of higher future profits.
(7) Future Information: If we have information about future growth drivers of a company, it can help build
conviction before making investment decisions. Examples of such events include: (a) capacity
expansion which indicates future increase in sales, (b) new product launches, (c) large orders, (d)
partnerships and agreements, (e) acquisitions, etc.
Recent filing: (PROMOTER BUYING) Promoter of Cantabil Retail bought 3L shares at INR 221/share,
aggregating to INR 6.7 Cr.
SUMMARY: 3y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 33.3x (Sector PE range 30-70) | Fund Raise | Institutional entry
| Promoter Buying | Consumption
• MCap of INR 2,050 Crore (share price = INR 245 / share) (as on 28th Jun ‘24)
• TTM PE 33.6x (as on 28th Jun ‘24) Retail float = 7.34% (Mar-24)
Company Description: Cantabil Retail India is in the business of designing, manufacturing, branding and
retailing of apparels under the brand name of CANTABIL. The CANTABIL brand offers the complete range
of formal-wear, party-wear, casuals & ultracasual clothing for Men and Women in the middle to high income
group. The company has 400+ exclusive retail outlets & employee strength of more than 3,700+ spread
across India.
Price Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24
Cantabil 206 191 205 223 222 200 241 253 243 209 213 212
(In INR Cr) Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24
Sales 101 116 162 173 112 135 174 194
Op Profit 35 31 55 42 34 30 54 44
Net Profit 14 9 27 17 12 8 24 18
OPM 35% 27% 34% 24% 30% 22% 31% 23%
NPM 14% 8% 17% 10% 11% 6% 14% 9%
Promoter % 74.9% 74.9% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75% 73.2%
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales 196 289 338 252 383 552 616
Op Profit 20 30 85 59 112 164 163
Net Profit 8 16 24 12 60 67 62
Website: https://www.cantabilinternational.com/
This page is created for information purpose. It is not a BUY/SELL recommendation. 4
Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
28th Jun 2024
Company Type
Structural
LT OP uptrend Yes
ST OP uptrend No
PE 33.6
(Consumer Discretionary: 30-70)
Lower end of sector range
No
Futuristic Sector
Feb ‘24: Company has considered and approved the allotment of 20L
Special Situation Equity shares at an issue price of INR 252 each, aggregating to INR
Yes 50.4 Cr by way of Preferential Issue for Cash basis to Think India
Opportunities Master Fund LP.
Nov ‘23: Company added new products to its catalogue i.e. footwear
and athleisure wear with the grand opening of its new showroom at
Hapur, Uttar Pardesh under this category.
Nov ‘23: Company has crossed milestone of 500 Retail Brand Outlets
with the grand opening of its latest showroom at Ayodhya.
SUMMARY: 4y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 45.9x (Sector PE range 30-60) | Capacity expansion |
Institutional entry | Electrification | Capital Goods
FUTURE OUTLOOK: Company’s Capacity Utilisation is at 100% with a capacity of 4000 MVA, Company is
planning to expand capacity by 88% which brings the total capacity to 7500 MVA by Jul ‘24.
• MCap of INR 4,211 Crore (share price = INR 5,521 / share) (as on 28th Jun ‘24)
• TTM PE of 45.9x (as on 28th Jun ‘24) Retail float = 15% (Mar-24)
FOOD FOR THOUGHT: Top 5 Domestic Customer contribute to 60% of Domestic Sales in FY ‘24.
Company Description: Shilchar Technologies is one of India’s prominent manufacturers of Electronics &
Telecom and Power & Distribution transformers. It was founded in 1990 to manufacture R-core
transformers. In 1995, the company ventured into the manufacturing of Ferrite transformers. As part of the
expansion plans, they started manufacturing Distribution and Power Transformers in a phased manner
from 2005 to 2007.
Price Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24
Shilc 938 1,393 1,617 1,567 2,759 2,517 2,534 3,383 9,978 3,848 6,462 5,042
(In INR Cr) Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24
Sales 57 60 68 95 67 106 118 105
Op Profit 7 10 15 21 20 30 32 31
Net Profit 6 9 12 16 16 24 26 25
OPM 12% 17% 22% 22% 30% 28% 27% 30%
NPM 10% 15% 18% 17% 24% 23% 22% 24%
Promoter % 65.9% 65.9% 65.9% 65.9% 65.9% 65.9% 64.0% 64.0%
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales 88 118 71 118 180 280 397
Op Profit 9 14 3 10 19 53 113
Net Profit 6 8 2 6 14 43 92
This page is created for information purpose. It is not a BUY/SELL recommendation. 6
Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
28th Jun 2024
Website: https://www.shilchar.com/
Company Type Evergreen
LT OP uptrend Yes
ST OP uptrend No
PE 45.9 (Capital Goods: 30-60)
Middle of sector range
Yes
Futuristic Sector
(Electrification)
Special Situation No
Recent filing: (CREDIT FACILITIES) KPI Green Energy has secured a final sanction letter for credit facilities
amounting to INR 686 Cr for the development of a 200 MWAC (240 MWDC) Solar Photovoltaic Power Project
in Khavda, Kutch District. Additionally, the company previously raised INR 300 Cr through a Qualified
Institutional Placement (QIP), with INR 225 Cr already used to partially fund the project.
SUMMARY: 5y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 67.2x (Sector PE range 50-90) | Fund raising | Institutional
entry | Promoter buying | Solar
• MCap of INR 10,879 Crore (share price = INR 1,805 / share) (as on 28th Jun ‘24)
• TTM PE 67.2x (as on 28th Jun ‘24) Retail float = 21% (Mar-24)
Company Description: Incorporated in 2002, KPI Green develops, builds, owns, operates, and maintains
solar power plants through Independent Power Producer (IPP) and as service provider to Captive Power
Producer (CPP) under the brand name of 'Solarism'.
Price Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24
KPI 815 830 894 823 820 1,155 1,468 1,214 1,740 1,523 1,808 1,820
(In INR Cr) Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24
Sales 122 160 179 182 189 215 330 289
Op Profit 42 53 60 54 69 71 104 93
Net Profit 22 21 34 32 33 35 51 43
OPM 34% 33% 34% 30% 37% 33% 31% 32%
NPM 18% 13% 19% 18% 17% 16% 16% 15%
Promoter % 54.7% 54.7% 54.8% 54.8% 54.8% 54.8% 53.1% 53.1%
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales - 34 59 102 230 644 1,024
Op Profit - 15 27 58 109 208 337
Net Profit - 9 6 22 43 110 162
Website: https://www.kpigreenenergy.in/
This page is created for information purpose. It is not a BUY/SELL recommendation. 8
Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
28th Jun 2024
Company Type Evergreen
LT OP uptrend Yes
ST OP uptrend No
PE 67.2 (Clean Energy: 50-90)
Lower end of sector range
Yes
Futuristic Sector
(Solar)
Promoter Buying: (Note: 1:1 Bonus issue is Jan ‘23)
Apr ’24: 2.8k shares at INR 1,808/share, aggregating to INR 49L.
Mar ’24: 1.1k shares at INR 1695/share, aggregating to 18.4L
Sep ‘23: 6k shares at INR 807/share, aggregating to INR 49L.
HNI / Institutional Aug ‘23: 1.5k shares at INR 837/share, aggregating to INR 12L.
/ Promoter Yes Nov ‘22: 11.2k shares at INR 773/share, aggregating to INR 86L.
Oct ‘22: 10.8k shares at INR 763/share, aggregating to INR 82L.
Buying Sep ‘22: 3k shares at INR 927/share, aggregating to INR 27L.
May ’24: Board of Directors of KPI Green Energy has approved the
raising of funds through the issuance of equity shares for an aggregate
amount of up to INR 1,000 Cr via Qualified Institutions Placement.
Oct ‘23: BoD will meet on 11th Oct 2023 to consider and evaluate
proposal for raising funds by preferential issue or any other mode.
Jun ’24: Company has received new orders of 26.15 MW for executing
solar power projects under ‘Captive Power Producer (CPP)’ segment
of the company.
Apr '24: Received orders totaling 74.3 MW for solar power projects in
the CPP segment from textile and fabrics companies, scheduled for
completion in FY25.
Mar '24: Obtained CEIG approval for 10 MW solar projects in the IPP
sector.
Future Visibility Yes
Mar '24: Awarded new orders totaling 54.7 MWp for solar projects, with
48.18 MWp in CPP and 6.59 MWp in IPP.
Mar '24: Secured a 2.6 MWp order from Arete Services Pvt. Ltd. in the
CPP segment.
Mar '24: Won a tender for a 100 MWAC Solar Power Project from
MAHAGENCO, marking expansion beyond Gujarat.
Mar '24: Received orders totaling 9.40 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment.
Feb '24: Received orders totaling 1.5 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment.
Feb '24: Received a 15 MW order for a solar project in the CPP
segment, to be completed in FY24-25.
Jan '24: Received orders totaling 13.7 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment, to be completed in FY25.
Jan '24: Signed a deal with the government for a 2.6 GW+
solar/wind/hybrid power plant.
Dec '23: Placed a wind turbine supply order for 193.2 MW with Suzlon
Energy Limited.
Dec '23: Received orders totaling 6.15 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment, to be completed in FY25.
Nov '23: Received orders totaling 6.26 MW for solar projects in the CPP
segment, to be completed in FY24-25.
LT OP = Long-term operating profit; ST OP = Short-term operating profit
Recent filing: (FUND RAISE) Board Meeting of Krishca Strapping Solutions to be held on 02-Jul-2024 to
consider Fund raising.
(BREAKOUT) Company has given a recently 10 months Breakout.
SUMMARY: 4y Operating Profit uptrend | PE 28.7x (Sector PE range 30-60) | Excellent Mar-24 results |
Capacity expansion | Fund Raise | Ace Investor | Industrial Products
FUTURE OUTLOOK: Company is targeting a 20% overall growth in revenue for FY25, including both
domestic and export markets and focusing on 25% top line growth for the next five years.
• MCap of INR 380 Crore (share price = INR 315 / share) (as on 28th Jun ‘24)
• TTM PE 28.7x (as on 28th Jun ‘24) Retail float = 20.5% (Mar-24)
FOOD FOR THOUGHT: Volatility in Raw Material (steels) can impact profit margins.
Company Description: Krishca Strapping Solutions is engaged in the business of manufacturing and
trading/ wholesale of Strapping Tools and Strapping Seals. Steel strapping is highly effective packaging
consumable for packing heavy loads, especially in the steel industry.
Price Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24
Krishca 173 191 281 235 240 226 220 289 252 222 286 211
(In INR Cr) Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Sep-23* Mar-24*
Sales 1 9.4 18.6 72.3 105 48.5 57
Op Profit -1.5 0.6 3.1 13.8 20 8.4 12
Net Profit -2.2 -0.7 1.5 9.3 13 5.7 8
OPM -150% 6% 17% 19% 19% 17% 21%
NPM -220% -7% 8% 13% 12% 12% 14%
*Half-yearly results (Rest are annual)
Website: https://www.krishcastrapping.com/
Future Visibility Yes Nov ‘23: Company has got order worth INR 3.2 Cr from Steel
Authority of India Limited (SAIL) for palletization and supply of
packaging material.
Recent filing: (ORDER) CFF Fluid Control has received Contract worth INR 9.6 Cr for Procurement of Spare
P75 Project from Material Organisation, Mumbai, needs to be delivered by Dec ‘24.
• MCap of INR 1,568 Crore (share price = INR 805 / share) (as on 28th Jun ‘24)
• TTM PE 91.7x (as on 28th Jun ‘24) Retail float = 12.9% (Mar-24)
Company Description: CFF Fluid Control Limited, specializes in fluid control products for submarines, tanks
and missiles, offering a range of equipments such as isolation valves, control valves, pressure relief valves,
reducing stations, fittings and orifice plates.
(In INR Cr) Sep-20 Mar-21 Sep-21 Mar-22 Sep-22 Mar-23 Sep-23 Mar-24
Sales - - - - 39 32 59 47
Op Profit - - - - 10 8 18 13
Net Profit - - - - 6 4 10 7
OPM - - - - 26% 26% 30% 28%
NPM - - - - 15% 13% 17% 15%
Promoter % - - - - - - 73.3% 73.3%
(In INR Cr) Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales 32 15 47 71 107
Op Profit 5 3 13 18 31
Net Profit 1 0 8 10 17
Website: https://www.cffdefenseys.com/
Yes
Futuristic Sector
(Defence)
Special Situation No
Jun ‘24: Company has received Contract worth INR 9.6 Cr for
Procurement of Spare P75 Project from Material Organisation,
Mumbai, needs to be delivered by Dec ’24.
May ‘24: Company has received a contract worth INR 5.6 Cr from Naval
Dockyard, Mumbai for RRC for Repair Rate Agreement for Structural
Renewal Onboard IN Ships, to be delivered by Apr 2026.
Mar ‘24: Company has received a contract worth INR 3.5 Cr from Naval
Dockyard for RRC for hiring of Services/Expertise Eng. For DI/DR of
MCA 62.5 System Installed Onboard in Submarines, to be delivered by
Future Visibility Yes Mar 2027.
Mar ‘24: Company has received order worth INR 46.5 Cr from
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited for the Biennial Rate Contract for
Engineering Work, to be executed by Aug 2026.
Feb ’24: Company has received the Contract worth INR 4.1 Cr for RRC
for Routines & Repairs of Hull Valves and Doublers onboard P-75 Class
Submarines.
Feb ’24: Company has received the Contract worth INR 4.81 Cr for
Procurement of Spare P75 Project totaling to approx.
• MCap of INR 364 Cr (share price = INR 281/share); TTM PE 27.9x (as on 28th Jun ‘24)
Price Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24
Exhico 216 295 314 272 281 373 377 402 364 337 311 271
RBI Reveals Gross NPA of Banks Hit 12-Year Low of 2.8%, Credit Growth to Improve: 5 Key Highlights
of June Report
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) released its June Financial Stability Report on June 27, 2024, presenting a
comprehensive overview of the Indian economy's resilience and the robust health of the financial system.
The report highlighted significant improvements in the banking sector, particularly in asset quality and credit
growth, amidst global financial stability.
Conclusion
The June Financial Stability Report by the RBI paints a promising picture of the Indian banking sector and
the overall financial system. With the GNPA ratio at 12-year low and robust capital ratios, the sector is well-
positioned to support sustained economic growth. The emphasis on governance and vigilance against
emerging risks further underpins the stability and resilience of the Indian financial system.
Special Situation:
Special Situation refers to any form of capital raise by the Company – Preferential issuance or allotment
of equity shares, Preferential issuance or allotment of equity warrants, Rights issuance, recently
conducted IPO / FPO or issuance of any debt security like NCDs, commercial papers, etc.
Future Visibility:
Future Visibility refers to a piece of information / event that positively impacts future revenues. Examples:
a large order win by the company, partnership / acquisition, new factory setup, expansion in existing
factory, new stores, launch of a new brand, etc.
Futuristic Sector:
Futuristic Sector refers to those sectors where high growth is expected. Examples: Green Energy (solar,
wind, etc.), Electric Vehicle, Railways (through railways modernization), Defence (through increasing self-
reliance), New-Age IT (Cloud, AI, ML, big data), 5G, Electrification, etc.