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Lecture 11
Lecture 11
Lecture 11
BUSINESS
SCHOOL
Lecture 11
OFF–BALANCE SHEET ACTIVITIES
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REFERENCE
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LECTURE OUTLINE
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OBS ACTIVITIES
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OBS ACTIVITIES
Source: Adapted from RBA Statistical Tables – Tables B1 and B2, accessed May
7, 2019
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MEASURING OBS ACTIVITIES
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DERIVATIVES AND OVERSTATING
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OBS AND SHAREHOLDER VALUE
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DERIVATIVE TRADING LOSSES
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LECTURE OUTLINE
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NON – MARKET OBS ACTIVITIES
▪ Loan commitments
▪ Letters of credit (documentary & standby)
▪ Bill endorsements
▪ etc.
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LOAN COMMITMENTS
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LOAN COMMITMENTS AND RISKS
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LOAN COMMITMENTS AND RISKS (cont.)
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LETTERS OF CREDIT (LCs)
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DOCUMENTARY L/Cs
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STANDBY L/Cs
▪ Insurance function
▪ Structure and type of risks covered different from trade
LCs and documentary LCs
▪ Some examples include:
– Performance bond guarantees
– Default guarantees
▪ SLCs are direct 'competitors' to loan commitments.
▪ SLCs are often issued by general insurers.
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BILL ENDORSEMENTS
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CRYSTALLIZATION OF AN OBS ITEM
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CRYSTALLIZATION OF AN OBS ITEM
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WHY DO BANKS CONDUCT NON-MARKET RELATED OBS ACTIVITIES?
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LECTURE OUTLINE
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MARKET – RELATED OBS ACTIVITIES
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MARKET – RELATED OBS ACTIVITIES
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(i) FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS (FRAs)
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(i) FRAs
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(i) FRA
▪ FRA diagram:
FRA rate = fixed rate
Buyer Seller
Market rate
▪ FRA implications:
─ The buyer of an FRA will gain if market interest rates
rise and lose if market interest rates fall.
─ The seller of an FRA will lose if market interest rates rise
and gain if market interest rates fall.
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(i) FEATURES OF AN FRA
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(i) FRA SETTLEMENT
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(ii) INTEREST RATE SWAPS
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(ii) FEATURES OF AN INTEREST RATE SWAP
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(ii) INTEREST RATE SWAPS
Bank bill rate (BBR)
A SWAP B
12%
fixed 12% BBR + 1.5
▪ A (swap seller) has agreed to pay the floating market rate (BBR) and
receive the fixed ‘swap’ rate.
▪ B (swap buyer) has agreed to pay the fixed rate of 12% and receive
the floating market rate.
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(ii) IMPLICATIONS OF INTEREST RATE SWAPS
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(iii) FUTURES CONTRACTS
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(iii) FUTURES CONTRACTS
▪ If interest rates fall, bond prices will rise, and the bank will
sell at a profit.
▪ If interest rates rise, bond prices will fall, and the bank will
sell at a loss.
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(iii) FEATURES OF A FUTURES CONTRACT
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(iii) IMPLICATIONS OF A FUTURES CONTRACT
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(iv) OPTIONS
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(iv) OPTIONS ARE DIFFERENT
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IMPORTANCE OF DERIVATIVES
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WHY DO BANKS USE DERIVATIVES?
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1. BANK SPECULATION
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1. BANK SPECULATION (USING FRAs)
▪ Method:
– If the bank forecasts that interest rates will rise above the FRA
rate quoted by another bank then it could speculate by taking an
FRA position which would gain if interest rates rise.
▪ That is by taking a buyer position.
– If the bank forecasts that interest rates will fall below the quoted
FRA rate then it could speculate by taking an FRA position which
would gain if interest rates fall.
▪ That is by taking a seller position.
Outcome: If the bank is correct it will profit, if the bank is
wrong it will make losses.
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1. BANK SPECULATION (USING FRAs)
Example:
▪ The current FRA rate is 7%.
▪ The bank predicts that future interest rates will rise above
7%.
▪ To speculate – take a buyer position.
▪ Assume FRA contract relates to a security with
– nominal value $500,000
– maturity 180 days (6 months)
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1. BANK SPECULATION (USING FRAs)
FRA rate = 7%
Buyer Seller
(Bank)
Market rate
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1. BANK SPECULATION
FRA settlement:
Step 1. Calculate price @ 7.75%
500,000 Nominal value = $500,000
1 + 0.0775 × 180/365 Maturity = 180 days
= $𝟒𝟖𝟏, 𝟓𝟗𝟑. 𝟖𝟖
Step 2. Calculate price @ 7.00%
500,000
1 + 0.07 × 180/365 Market rate (7.75%) is
= $𝟒𝟖𝟑, 𝟑𝟏𝟓. 𝟔𝟖 more than FRA rate
(7%), so the seller pays
Step 3. Compensation due the buyer (bank makes
profit of $1,721.8)
= $𝟏, 𝟕𝟐𝟏. 𝟖𝟎
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1. BANK SPECULATION
FRA rate = 7%
Buyer Seller
(Bank)
Market rate
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2. BANK HEDGING (USING FRAs)
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2. BANK HEDGING (USING FRAs)
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2. BANK HEDGING (USING FRAs)
Example:
▪ ABC bank has committed that in 3 months’ time it will
lend $500K for 6 months (180 days).
▪ The bank needs to borrow to finance $500K loan. If
market rates rise the bank’s cost of funds will rise and
the loan would not be profitable.
To summarise: the bank faces interest rate risk.
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2. BANK HEDGING (USING FRAs)
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2. BANK HEDGING (USING FRAs)
FRA rate = 7%
Buyer Seller
(Bank)
Market rate
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2. BANK HEDGING (USING FRAs)
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2. BANK HEDGING (USING FRAs)
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3. BANK INCOME EARNING
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3. BANK INCOME EARNING
Risk:
▪ On a matched book the bank earns the spread
regardless of any changes in the market interest rate.
▪ On a matched book the bank does not incur market and
interest rate risk.
▪ The bank does incur credit risk and operational risk.
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3. BANK INCOME EARNING
10.5% 10.1%
Buyer Bank Seller
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LECTURE SUMMARY
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