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Mazagon Dock Financial Model
Mazagon Dock Financial Model
Mazagon Dock Financial Model
FINANCIAL
MODELING REPORT
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS
LTD
BSE: 543237
NSE: MAZDOCK
TABLE OF
CONTENTS
01 One Page Profile
02 Historical FS
04 Ratio Analysis
05 Forecasting
06 Beta Drifting
07 WACC
08 DCF Valuation
09 Comparable Comps
11 DuPont Analysis
12 Altman Z Score
13 Forensic Analysis
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD - One Page Profile
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited is an India-based shipbuilding yard company. The Company is principally engaged in
building and repairing of ships, submarines, various types of vessels and related engineering products for its customers.
It is also engaged in the production of defense equipment. The Company is organized into two segments: Shipbuilding
(New Construction and Ship Repairs) and Submarine. Its Shipbuilding segment includes the building and repair of Naval
ships. Its Submarine division includes building, repair and refits of diesel and electric submarines for the Ministry of
Defense (MoD) for use by the Indian Navy.
Important Information
1. Shipbuilding Expertise: MDL builds a variety of naval platforms, including frigates, destroyers, and submarines, and leads key projects such as the
Kalvari Class Submarines and P15B destroyers, with significant deliveries already completed.
2. Revenue Breakdown: In FY23, 98% of MDL's revenue came from ship construction, with an additional ₹300 crores from interest on advance
customer funds.
3. Robust Order Book: By Q3FY24, MDL's order book reached ₹38,390 crores, including new contracts for hybrid power vessels, an ONGC pipeline
project, and several defense-related vessels.
4. Manufacturing and Indigenization: MDL can concurrently build 11 submarines and 10 warships, with a strong emphasis on indigenization,
achieving 75% local content in warships to reduce costs.
5. Strategic Growth and R&D: MDL is enhancing R&D with AI-enabled inspections and underwater projects, diversifying into new segments like
cargo containers, and planning a greenfield shipyard at Nhava, Navi Mumbai.
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237
Income Statement
Years Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales ₹ 3,605.3 ₹ 4,094.4 ₹ 3,504.8 ₹ 4,457.2 ₹ 4,614.0 ₹ 4,904.8 ₹ 4,047.8 ₹ 5,733.3 ₹ 7,827.2 ₹ 9,466.6
Sales Growth 13.57% -14.40% 27.17% 3.52% 6.30% -17.47% 41.64% 36.52% 20.94%
COGS ₹ 2,351.6 ₹ 2,827.6 ₹ 2,290.4 ₹ 3,176.9 ₹ 3,408.3 ₹ 3,610.1 ₹ 2,888.6 ₹ 4,258.5 ₹ 5,935.0 ₹ 5,099.3
COGS % Sales 65.23% 69.06% 65.35% 71.28% 73.87% 73.60% 71.36% 74.28% 75.83% 53.87%
Gross Profit ₹ 1,253.7 ₹ 1,266.8 ₹ 1,214.4 ₹ 1,280.3 ₹ 1,205.7 ₹ 1,294.8 ₹ 1,159.2 ₹ 1,474.8 ₹ 1,892.2 ₹ 4,367.3
Gross Margin 34.77% 30.94% 34.65% 28.72% 26.13% 26.40% 28.64% 25.72% 24.17% 46.13%
Selling & General Expenses ₹ 1,031.4 ₹ 1,046.2 ₹ 1,084.9 ₹ 1,122.9 ₹ 944.7 ₹ 1,032.0 ₹ 932.9 ₹ 1,033.6 ₹ 1,091.5 ₹ 2,955.6
S&G Exp % Sales 28.61% 25.55% 30.96% 25.19% 20.47% 21.04% 23.05% 18.03% 13.95% 31.22%
EBITDA ₹ 222.3 ₹ 220.6 ₹ 129.5 ₹ 157.4 ₹ 261.0 ₹ 262.8 ₹ 226.3 ₹ 441.2 ₹ 800.6 ₹ 1,411.6
EBITDA Margins 6.17% 5.39% 3.69% 3.53% 5.66% 5.36% 5.59% 7.70% 10.23% 14.91%
Interest ₹ 8.3 ₹ 16.0 ₹ 17.4 ₹ 19.7 ₹ 35.6 ₹ 13.1 ₹ 10.8 ₹ 13.7 ₹ 9.2 ₹ 5.1
Interest % Sales 0.23% 0.39% 0.50% 0.44% 0.77% 0.27% 0.27% 0.24% 0.12% 0.05%
Deprectiation ₹ 30.9 ₹ 43.8 ₹ 39.4 ₹ 52.5 ₹ 64.3 ₹ 68.8 ₹ 59.7 ₹ 74.5 ₹ 75.6 ₹ 83.1
Deprectiation % Sales 0.86% 1.07% 1.12% 1.18% 1.39% 1.40% 1.47% 1.30% 0.97% 0.88%
Other Income ₹ 562.8 ₹ 761.2 ₹ 766.3 ₹ 565.2 ₹ 617.0 ₹ 545.8 ₹ 448.0 ₹ 396.3 ₹ 686.8 ₹ 1,101.5
EBT ₹ 746.0 ₹ 921.9 ₹ 838.9 ₹ 650.4 ₹ 778.1 ₹ 726.8 ₹ 603.8 ₹ 749.3 ₹ 1,402.7 ₹ 2,424.8
EBT % Sales 20.69% 22.52% 23.94% 14.59% 16.86% 14.82% 14.92% 13.07% 17.92% 25.61%
Tax ₹ 254.4 ₹ 360.8 ₹ 314.2 ₹ 256.8 ₹ 307.7 ₹ 349.6 ₹ 150.4 ₹ 186.2 ₹ 356.6 ₹ 616.0
Effective Tax Rate 34.10% 39.14% 37.46% 39.49% 39.55% 48.11% 24.90% 24.85% 25.42% 25.40%
Net Profit ₹ 491.6 ₹ 561.1 ₹ 524.7 ₹ 393.6 ₹ 470.4 ₹ 377.2 ₹ 453.5 ₹ 563.1 ₹ 1,046.1 ₹ 1,808.9
Net Profit Margin 13.64% 13.70% 14.97% 8.83% 10.19% 7.69% 11.20% 9.82% 13.36% 19.11%
No. of Equity Shares (in Cr) 1.99 1.99 2.49 22.41 22.41 20.17 20.17 20.17 20.17 20.17
Earnings Per Share ₹ 247.0 ₹ 281.9 ₹ 210.7 ₹ 17.6 ₹ 21.0 ₹ 18.7 ₹ 22.5 ₹ 27.9 ₹ 51.9 ₹ 89.7
EPS Growth 14.13% -25.26% -91.67% 19.51% -10.92% 20.24% 24.18% 85.77% 72.92%
Dividend Per Share ₹ 50.1 ₹ 50.3 ₹ 80.0 ₹ 11.0 ₹ 4.5 ₹ 10.8 ₹ 7.2 ₹ 8.7 ₹ 16.0 ₹ 15.3
Dividend Payout Ratio 20.26% 17.82% 37.96% 62.35% 21.26% 57.60% 32.20% 31.27% 30.77% 17.10%
Retained Earnings 79.74% 82.18% 62.04% 37.65% 78.74% 42.40% 67.80% 68.73% 69.23% 82.90%
Balance Sheet
Years Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Equity Share Capital ₹ 199.2 ₹ 199.2 ₹ 249.0 ₹ 224.1 ₹ 224.1 ₹ 201.7 ₹ 201.7 ₹ 201.7 ₹ 201.7 ₹ 201.7
Reserves ₹ 2,553.5 ₹ 2,442.4 ₹ 2,730.0 ₹ 2,610.0 ₹ 2,992.8 ₹ 2,857.7 ₹ 3,230.0 ₹ 3,656.0 ₹ 4,558.5 ₹ 6,041.8
Borrowings ₹ 83.2 - - - - - ₹ 29.7 ₹ 11.6 ₹ 6.0 ₹ 0.9
Other Liabilities ₹ 28,397.4 ₹ 16,386.0 ₹ 16,366.0 ₹ 16,539.8 ₹ 17,633.2 ₹ 17,883.4 ₹ 21,679.1 ₹ 25,903.5 ₹ 24,709.5 ₹ 23,204.4
Total Liabilities ₹ 31,233.4 ₹ 19,027.6 ₹ 19,345.0 ₹ 19,373.8 ₹ 20,850.1 ₹ 20,942.8 ₹ 25,140.4 ₹ 29,772.8 ₹ 29,475.7 ₹ 29,448.8
Net Block in Fixed Assets ₹ 265.8 ₹ 367.8 ₹ 546.3 ₹ 705.3 ₹ 810.3 ₹ 836.4 ₹ 806.9 ₹ 964.6 ₹ 1,024.3 ₹ 841.3
Capital Work in Progress ₹ 40.1 ₹ 169.6 ₹ 98.4 ₹ 85.4 ₹ 88.8 ₹ 80.0 ₹ 80.2 ₹ 86.9 ₹ 61.6 ₹ 68.2
Investments ₹ 298.9 ₹ 324.2 ₹ 376.2 ₹ 429.2 ₹ 430.7 ₹ 484.2 ₹ 518.7 ₹ 542.3 ₹ 588.6 ₹ 678.8
Other Assets ₹ 3,719.8 ₹ 4,196.5 ₹ 5,183.0 ₹ 6,061.6 ₹ 6,785.3 ₹ 7,686.6 ₹ 8,850.4 ₹ 7,990.3 ₹ 6,143.0 ₹ 6,090.5
Total Non Current Assets ₹ 4,324.6 ₹ 5,058.1 ₹ 6,203.8 ₹ 7,281.4 ₹ 8,115.1 ₹ 9,087.1 ₹ 10,256.1 ₹ 9,584.2 ₹ 7,817.6 ₹ 7,678.9
Receivables ₹ 748.5 ₹ 919.7 ₹ 746.2 ₹ 1,113.4 ₹ 1,472.9 ₹ 1,432.8 ₹ 965.9 ₹ 1,005.4 ₹ 1,002.3 ₹ 1,846.9
Inventory ₹ 18,541.9 ₹ 4,247.1 ₹ 4,032.1 ₹ 3,789.4 ₹ 3,792.5 ₹ 4,624.6 ₹ 5,890.5 ₹ 7,702.8 ₹ 7,369.4 ₹ 5,713.4
Cash & Bank ₹ 7,618.3 ₹ 8,802.8 ₹ 8,362.9 ₹ 7,189.6 ₹ 7,469.7 ₹ 5,798.3 ₹ 8,027.9 ₹ 11,480.5 ₹ 13,286.4 ₹ 14,209.6
Total Current Assets ₹ 26,908.7 ₹ 13,969.6 ₹ 13,141.2 ₹ 12,092.4 ₹ 12,735.1 ₹ 11,855.7 ₹ 14,884.4 ₹ 20,188.7 ₹ 21,658.1 ₹ 21,769.9
Total Assets ₹ 31,233.4 ₹ 19,027.6 ₹ 19,345.0 ₹ 19,373.8 ₹ 20,850.1 ₹ 20,942.8 ₹ 25,140.4 ₹ 29,772.8 ₹ 29,475.7 ₹ 29,448.8
Check TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
Fixed assets purchased - (₹ 107.0) (₹ 218.0) (₹ 193.0) (₹ 172.0) (₹ 110.0) (₹ 42.0) (₹ 34.0) (₹ 141.0) (₹ 431.0)
Fixed assets sold - - ₹ 1.0 - - - - ₹ 1.0 ₹ 1.0 ₹ 105.0
Interest received - ₹ 684.0 ₹ 633.0 ₹ 483.0 ₹ 541.0 ₹ 528.0 ₹ 368.0 ₹ 347.0 ₹ 602.0 ₹ 994.0
Dividends received - ₹ 7.0 ₹ 9.0 ₹ 47.0 ₹ 47.0 ₹ 31.0 ₹ 26.0 ₹ 23.0 ₹ 27.0 ₹ 37.0
Other investing items - - (₹ 2.0) (₹ 2.0) ₹ 3.0 (₹ 5.0) (₹ 4.0) (₹ 5.0) (₹ 6.0) ₹ 725.0
Cash from Investing Activity - ₹ 584.0 ₹ 423.0 ₹ 335.0 ₹ 419.0 ₹ 444.0 ₹ 348.0 ₹ 332.0 ₹ 483.0 ₹ 1,430.0
Net Cash Flow - ₹ 1,975.0 (₹ 1,723.0) ₹ 799.0 ₹ 440.0 (₹ 412.0) ₹ 177.0 (₹ 349.0) ₹ 1,422.0 ₹ 1,519.0
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
Sales 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Raw Material Cost 57.95% 60.85% 53.70% 55.52% 56.28% 50.00% 46.49% 46.97% 56.80% 53.68%
Change in Inventory 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Power and Fuel 0.75% 0.69% 0.74% 0.51% 0.42% 0.34% 0.28% 0.31% 0.24% 0.19%
Other Mfr. Exp 6.52% 7.52% 10.91% 15.24% 17.17% 23.26% 24.59% 26.99% 18.78% 0.00%
Employee Cost 19.43% 18.43% 20.47% 19.87% 14.95% 15.92% 16.13% 13.93% 10.13% 9.47%
Selling and admin 8.76% 6.55% 6.54% 4.17% 2.66% 3.76% 5.75% 1.95% 1.94% 0.00%
Other Expenses 0.42% 0.57% 3.94% 1.15% 2.87% 1.36% 1.17% 2.14% 1.88% 21.75%
Other Income 15.61% 18.59% 21.86% 12.68% 13.37% 11.13% 11.07% 6.91% 8.77% 11.64%
Depreciation 0.86% 1.07% 1.12% 1.18% 1.39% 1.40% 1.47% 1.30% 0.97% 0.88%
Interest 0.23% 0.39% 0.50% 0.44% 0.77% 0.27% 0.27% 0.24% 0.12% 0.05%
Profit before tax 20.69% 22.52% 23.94% 14.59% 16.86% 14.82% 14.92% 13.07% 17.92% 25.61%
Tax 7.06% 8.81% 8.97% 5.76% 6.67% 7.13% 3.71% 3.25% 4.56% 6.51%
Net profit 14.31% 14.55% 16.69% 11.13% 11.54% 9.59% 12.69% 10.65% 14.30% 20.46%
Dividend Amount 2.76% 2.44% 5.68% 5.51% 2.17% 4.43% 3.61% 3.07% 4.11% 3.27%
EBITDA 6.17% 5.39% 3.69% 3.53% 5.66% 5.36% 5.59% 7.70% 10.23% 14.91%
Balance Sheet
Particulars Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Total Liabilities 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Equity Share Capital 0.64% 1.05% 1.29% 1.16% 1.07% 0.96% 0.80% 0.68% 0.68% 0.68%
Reserves 8.18% 12.84% 14.11% 13.47% 14.35% 13.65% 12.85% 12.28% 15.47% 20.52%
Borrowings 0.27% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.12% 0.04% 0.02% 0.00%
Other Liabilities 90.92% 86.12% 84.60% 85.37% 84.57% 85.39% 86.23% 87.00% 83.83% 78.80%
Total Assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Net Block 0.85% 1.93% 2.82% 3.64% 3.89% 3.99% 3.21% 3.24% 3.48% 2.86%
Capital Work in Progress 0.13% 0.89% 0.51% 0.44% 0.43% 0.38% 0.32% 0.29% 0.21% 0.23%
Investments 0.96% 1.70% 1.94% 2.22% 2.07% 2.31% 2.06% 1.82% 2.00% 2.30%
Other Assets 11.91% 22.05% 26.79% 31.29% 32.54% 36.70% 35.20% 26.84% 20.84% 20.68%
Receivables 2.40% 4.83% 3.86% 5.75% 7.06% 6.84% 3.84% 3.38% 3.40% 6.27%
Inventory 59.37% 22.32% 20.84% 19.56% 18.19% 22.08% 23.43% 25.87% 25.00% 19.40%
Cash & Bank 24.39% 46.26% 43.23% 37.11% 35.83% 27.69% 31.93% 38.56% 45.08% 48.25%
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
RATIO ANALYSIS
Year Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Trend Mean Median
SalesGrowth - 13.57% -14.40% 27.17% 3.52% 6.30% -17.47% 41.64% 36.52% 20.94% 13.09% 13.57%
EBITDA Growth - -0.78% -41.30% 21.56% 65.85% 0.66% -13.88% 94.97% 81.46% 76.32% 31.65% 21.56%
EBIT Growth - 23.58% -9.00% -22.47% 19.63% -6.60% -16.92% 24.10% 87.19% 72.87% 19.15% 19.63%
Net Profit Growth - 14.13% -6.48% -24.99% 19.51% -19.82% 20.24% 24.18% 85.77% 72.92% 20.61% 19.51%
Dividend Growth - 0.40% 59.20% -86.31% -59.25% 141.37% -32.78% 20.59% 82.81% -3.89% 13.57% 0.40%
Gross Margin 34.77% 30.94% 34.65% 28.72% 26.13% 26.40% 28.64% 25.72% 24.17% 46.13% 30.63% 28.68%
EBITDA Margin 6.17% 5.39% 3.69% 3.53% 5.66% 5.36% 5.59% 7.70% 10.23% 14.91% 6.82% 5.62%
EBIT Margin 20.92% 22.91% 24.43% 15.03% 17.64% 15.08% 15.18% 13.31% 18.04% 25.67% 18.82% 17.84%
EBT Margin 20.69% 22.52% 23.94% 14.59% 16.86% 14.82% 14.92% 13.07% 17.92% 25.61% 18.49% 17.39%
Net Profit Margin 13.64% 13.70% 14.97% 8.83% 10.19% 7.69% 11.20% 9.82% 13.36% 19.11% 12.25% 12.28%
Sales Exp % Sales 28.61% 25.55% 30.96% 25.19% 20.47% 21.04% 23.05% 18.03% 13.95% 31.22% 23.81% 24.12%
Depreciation % Sales 0.86% 1.07% 1.12% 1.18% 1.39% 1.40% 1.47% 1.30% 0.97% 0.88% 1.16% 1.15%
Operating Inc % Sales 20.92% 22.91% 24.43% 15.03% 17.64% 15.08% 15.18% 13.31% 18.04% 25.67% 18.82% 17.84%
Return on Capital Employed 26.60% 35.51% 28.75% 23.65% 25.29% 24.18% 17.76% 19.72% 29.62% 38.91% 27.00% 25.95%
Retained Earnings % 79.74% 82.18% 62.04% 37.65% 78.74% 42.40% 67.80% 68.73% 69.23% 82.90% 67.14% 68.98%
Return on Equity % 17.86% 21.24% 17.61% 13.89% 14.62% 12.33% 13.21% 14.60% 21.98% 28.97% 17.63% 16.12%
Self Sustained Growth Rate 14.24% 17.45% 10.93% 5.23% 11.51% 5.23% 8.96% 10.03% 15.21% 24.02% 12.28% 11.22%
Interest Coverage Ratio 90.99x 58.51x 49.13x 33.98x 22.86x 56.61x 57.01x 55.86x 153.80x 474.60x 105.33x 56.81x
Debtor Turnover Ratio 4.82x 4.45x 4.70x 4.00x 3.13x 3.42x 4.19x 5.70x 7.81x 5.13x 4.74x 4.57x
Creditor Turnover Ratio 0.13x 0.25x 0.21x 0.27x 0.26x 0.27x 0.19x 0.22x 0.32x 0.41x 0.25x 0.26x
Inventory Turnover 0.19x 0.96x 0.87x 1.18x 1.22x 1.06x 0.69x 0.74x 1.06x 1.66x 0.96x 1.01x
Fixed Asset Turnover 13.56x 11.13x 6.42x 6.32x 5.69x 5.86x 5.02x 5.94x 7.64x 11.25x 7.88x 6.37x
Capital Turnover Ratio 1.31x 1.55x 1.18x 1.57x 1.43x 1.60x 1.18x 1.49x 1.64x 1.52x 1.45x 1.50x
(in days)
Debtor Days 76 82 78 91 117 107 87 64 47 71 82 80
Payable Days 2875 1461 1704 1354 1395 1331 1955 1649 1152 895 1577 1428
Inventory Days 1877 379 420 310 300 344 531 490 344 220 522 361
Cash Conversion Cycle (in days) -922 -1000 -1207 -953 -978 -880 -1337 -1095 -762 -603 -974 -966
CFO/Sales 0.00% 18.22% -28.61% 11.01% 1.41% -1.95% 1.69% -2.84% 10.96% 7.22% 1.71% 1.55%
CFO/Total Assets 0.00% 3.92% -5.18% 2.53% 0.31% -0.46% 0.27% -0.55% 2.91% 2.32% 0.61% 0.29%
CFO/Total Debt 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 229.97% -1397.16% 14198.68% 73521.51% ####### 0.00%
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
FORECASTING
Year Weight Year Sales Sales Growth Year Weight Year EBITDA EBITDA Growth
1 2015A ₹ 3,605.3 1 2015A ₹ 222.3
2 2016A ₹ 4,094.4 13.57% 2 2016A ₹ 220.6 -0.78%
3 2017A ₹ 3,504.8 -14.40% 3 2017A ₹ 129.5 -41.30%
4 2018A ₹ 4,457.2 27.17% 4 2018A ₹ 157.4 21.56%
5 2019A ₹ 4,614.0 3.52% 5 2019A ₹ 261.0 65.85%
6 2020A ₹ 4,904.8 6.30% 6 2020A ₹ 262.8 0.66%
7 2021A ₹ 4,047.8 -17.47% 7 2021A ₹ 226.3 -13.88%
8 2022A ₹ 5,733.3 41.64% 8 2022A ₹ 441.2 94.97%
9 2023A ₹ 7,827.2 36.52% 9 2023A ₹ 800.6 81.46%
10 2024A ₹ 9,466.6 20.94% 10 2024A ₹ 1,411.6 76.32%
11 2025F ₹ 8,195.1 -13.43% 11 2025F ₹ 964.4 -31.68%
12 2026F ₹ 8,735.0 6.59% 12 2026F ₹ 1,064.5 10.39%
13 2027F ₹ 9,274.9 6.18% 13 2027F ₹ 1,164.7 9.41%
14 2028F ₹ 9,814.8 5.82% 14 2028F ₹ 1,264.9 8.60%
15 2029F ₹ 10,354.7 5.50% 15 2029F ₹ 1,365.1 7.92%
Year Weight Year Net Profit Net Profit Growth Year Weight Year EPS EPS Growth
1 2015A ₹ 491.6 1 2015A ₹ 247.0
2 2016A ₹ 561.1 14.13% 2 2016A ₹ 281.9 14.13%
3 2017A ₹ 524.7 -6.48% 3 2017A ₹ 210.7 -25.26%
4 2018A ₹ 393.6 -24.99% 4 2018A ₹ 17.6 -91.67%
5 2019A ₹ 470.4 19.51% 5 2019A ₹ 21.0 19.51%
6 2020A ₹ 377.2 -19.82% 6 2020A ₹ 18.7 -10.92%
7 2021A ₹ 453.5 20.24% 7 2021A ₹ 22.5 20.24%
8 2022A ₹ 563.1 24.18% 8 2022A ₹ 27.9 24.18%
9 2023A ₹ 1,046.1 85.77% 9 2023A ₹ 51.9 85.77%
10 2024A ₹ 1,808.9 72.92% 10 2024A ₹ 89.7 72.92%
11 2025F ₹ 1,186.6 -34.40% 11 2025F ₹ 76.6 -14.54%
12 2026F ₹ 1,280.8 7.93% 12 2026F ₹ 86.9 13.39%
13 2027F ₹ 1,374.9 7.35% 13 2027F ₹ 97.2 11.81%
14 2028F ₹ 1,469.0 6.85% 14 2028F ₹ 107.4 10.56%
15 2029F ₹ 1,563.1 6.41% 15 2029F ₹ 117.7 9.55%
₹ 250.0
₹ 1,500.0
₹ 200.0
₹ 1,000.0 ₹ 150.0
₹ 100.0
₹ 500.0
₹ 50.0
0 0
2025F
2026F
2027F
2028F
2029F
2015A
2016A
2017A
2018A
2019A
2020A
2021A
2022A
2023A
2024A
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
BETA REGRESSION
Regression Beta - 2 Years Weekly
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD Weekly Returns Nifty Weekly Returns Beta Drifting
Date Closing Price Returns Closing Price Returns Levered Raw Beta 1.98
20-06-2022 ₹ 239.0 15699.25 Raw Beta Weight 75.00%
27-06-2022 ₹ 241.8 1.16% 15752.05 0.34%
04-07-2022 ₹ 256.6 6.13% 16220.60 2.97% Market Beta 1.00
11-07-2022 ₹ 253.1 -1.37% 16049.20 -1.06% Market Beta Weight 25.00%
18-07-2022 ₹ 268.0 5.87% 16719.45 4.18%
25-07-2022 ₹ 271.2 1.20% 17158.25 2.62% Adjusted Beta 1.73
01-08-2022 ₹ 270.4 -0.27% 17397.50 1.39%
08-08-2022 ₹ 303.7 12.29% 17698.15 1.73%
15-08-2022 ₹ 298.4 -1.73% 17758.45 0.34%
22-08-2022 ₹ 345.1 15.64% 17558.90 -1.12%
29-08-2022 ₹ 387.3 12.24% 17539.45 -0.11%
05-09-2022 ₹ 410.7 6.04% 17833.35 1.68%
12-09-2022 ₹ 419.4 2.12% 17530.85 -1.70%
19-09-2022 ₹ 436.1 3.96% 17327.35 -1.16%
26-09-2022 ₹ 482.7 10.69% 17094.35 -1.34%
03-10-2022 ₹ 619.1 28.27% 17314.65 1.29%
10-10-2022 ₹ 612.2 -1.11% 17185.70 -0.74%
17-10-2022 ₹ 626.3 2.30% 17576.30 2.27%
24-10-2022 ₹ 626.9 0.09% 17786.80 1.20%
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
WACC
All figures are in INR unless stated otherwise.
Peer Comps
Debt/ Debt/ Levered Unlevered
Name Country Total Debt Total Equity Tax Rate 1 Equity Capital Beta 2 Beta 3
Mazagon Dock India ₹ 0.9 ₹ 6,243.5 30.00% 0.01% 0.01% 1.73 1.73
Cochin Shipyard India ₹ 488.8 ₹ 5,025.9 30.00% 9.73% 8.86% 1.65 1.54
Garden Reach Sh. India ₹ 65.7 ₹ 1,673.4 30.00% 3.92% 3.78% 1.79 1.74
1. Tax Rate considered as Marginal Tax Rate for the country Cost of Equity 24.43%
2. Levered Beta is based on 5 year monthly data Equity Weight 95.78%
3. Unlevered Beta = Levered Beta/(1+(1-Tax Rate) x Debt/Equity)
4. Levered Beta = Unlevered Beta x (1+(1-Tax Rate) x Debt/Equity) Cost of Debt 385.38%
Debt Weight 4.22%
WACC 39.65%
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
Intrinsic Growth
# Calculation of ROIC Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Current Assets
Inventories ₹ 3,789.0 ₹ 3,792.0 ₹ 4,625.0 ₹ 5,891.0 ₹ 7,703.0 ₹ 7,369.0
Trade receivables ₹ 1,113.0 ₹ 1,473.0 ₹ 1,433.0 ₹ 966.0 ₹ 1,005.0 ₹ 1,002.0
Short term loans ₹ 1.0 ₹ 4.0 ₹ 2.0 ₹ 1.0 ₹ 1.0 ₹ 2.0
Other asset items ₹ 6,060.0 ₹ 6,781.0 ₹ 7,684.0 ₹ 8,849.0 ₹ 7,989.0 ₹ 6,141.0
Total Current Assets ₹ 10,963.0 ₹ 12,050.0 ₹ 13,744.0 ₹ 15,707.0 ₹ 16,698.0 ₹ 14,514.0
Current Liabilities
Trade Payables ₹ 2,391.0 ₹ 2,917.0 ₹ 4,728.0 ₹ 6,362.0 ₹ 6,166.0 ₹ 4,463.0
Advance from Customers - - - - - -
Other liability items ₹ 14,149.0 ₹ 14,716.0 ₹ 13,155.0 ₹ 15,317.0 ₹ 19,738.0 ₹ 20,247.0
Total Current Liabilities ₹ 16,540.0 ₹ 17,633.0 ₹ 17,883.0 ₹ 21,679.0 ₹ 25,904.0 ₹ 24,710.0
Non-Curent Assets
Land ₹ 134.2 ₹ 184.2 ₹ 194.9 ₹ 194.9 ₹ 391.4 ₹ 391.4
Building ₹ 249.7 ₹ 268.8 ₹ 288.7 ₹ 315.4 ₹ 322.5 ₹ 418.6
Plant Machinery ₹ 274.5 ₹ 293.3 ₹ 322.6 ₹ 323.2 ₹ 333.8 ₹ 344.9
Equipments ₹ 45.8 ₹ 93.5 ₹ 111.2 ₹ 114.4 ₹ 116.0 ₹ 119.9
Furniture n fittings ₹ 37.7 ₹ 43.2 ₹ 48.5 ₹ 53.3 ₹ 56.0 ₹ 58.6
Vehicles ₹ 19.2 ₹ 19.5 ₹ 23.9 ₹ 24.6 ₹ 24.6 ₹ 27.1
Intangible Assets - - - - - -
Other fixed assets ₹ 89.6 ₹ 104.3 ₹ 99.9 ₹ 102.8 ₹ 107.6 ₹ 121.3
DCF Valuation
Calculation of PV of FCFF 2024A 2025F 2026F 2027F 2028F 2029F
EBIT ₹ 2,430.0 ₹ 2,895.3 ₹ 3,449.7 ₹ 4,110.4 ₹ 4,897.5 ₹ 5,835.4
Tax Rate 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
NOPAT ₹ 1,701.0 ₹ 2,026.7 ₹ 2,414.8 ₹ 2,877.2 ₹ 3,428.2 ₹ 4,084.8
Add: D&A ₹ 83.1 ₹ 99.0 ₹ 118.0 ₹ 140.6 ₹ 167.5 ₹ 199.6
Changes in WC ₹ 643.0 ₹ 766.1 ₹ 912.8 ₹ 1,087.7 ₹ 1,295.9 ₹ 1,544.1
Less: Net Capex (₹ 326.0) (₹ 388.4) (₹ 462.8) (₹ 551.4) (₹ 657.0) (₹ 782.9)
Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) ₹ 2,101.1 ₹ 2,503.5 ₹ 2,982.9 ₹ 3,554.1 ₹ 4,234.7 ₹ 5,045.6
Mid Year Convention 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5
Discounting Factor 0.846 0.606 0.434 0.311 0.222
PV of FCFF ₹ 2,118.4 ₹ 1,807.4 ₹ 1,542.1 ₹ 1,315.7 ₹ 1,122.5
Share Price ₹ 3,894.2 1. The reinvestment rate and growth rate are taken from the NYU Stern report on the Indian sector, updated in January 2024.
Discount/Premium 3.08x 2. The terminal growth rate is based on India's long term GDP growth rate.
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
Amount in Crores
₹ 5,064.9
₹ 5,000
₹ 4,250.0
₹ 4,000
₹ 3,894.2
₹ 3,000
₹ 2,000
₹ 1,192.6 ₹ 1,284.5 ₹ 1,300.8
₹0
Comps DCF Bear DCF Base DCF Bull 52W H/L
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
INR 3894.2
52 Week ( High - INR 4250 & Low - INR 1176 )
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited is an India-based shipbuilding yard company. The Company is principally engaged in building and
repairing of ships, submarines, various types of vessels and related engineering products for its customers. It is also engaged in the
production of defense equipment. The Company is organized into two segments: Shipbuilding (New Construction and Ship Repairs)
and Submarine. Its Shipbuilding segment includes the building and repair of Naval ships. Its Submarine division includes building,
repair and refits of diesel and electric submarines for the Ministry of Defense (MoD) for use by the Indian Navy.
Financial Summary
Revenue(INR Cr.) Net Profit (INR Cr.) Avg. Total Assets (INR Cr.)
9,467
29,624 29,462
7,827 1,937 27,457
23,042
5,733
1,119
4,048
611
514
2021 2022 2023 2024 2021 2022 2023 2024 2021 2022 2023 2024
25.97% 5.36x
3.78%
15.83% 16.76%
2.23% 2.22%
2021 2022 2023 2024 2021 2022 2023 2024 2021 2022 2023 2024
Results Summary
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MDL) is India's only shipyard building destroyers and conventional submarines for the Navy.
Reported strong financial performance for FY 2023-24 with a revenue of ₹9,467 crores and PAT of ₹1,845 crores.
Delivered 5 Kalvari Class Submarines between 2017-2022.
Executed 3 of 4 Project P15B destroyers and launched the 4th Project 17A Stealth Frigate.
Delivered 802 vessels since 1960.
Recent achievements include commissioning INS Imphal and signing contracts for new offshore and fast patrol vessels.
Emphasizes indigenization in shipbuilding projects.
Maintains zero debt and has a consistent dividend policy.
Dupont Analysis - Return on Equity & Return on Asset
Return on Equity (ROE)
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Net Profit ₹ 496.2 ₹ 532.5 ₹ 470.5 ₹ 513.9 ₹ 610.8 ₹ 1,119.0 ₹ 1,937.0
Average Shareholder Equity ₹ 2,906.5 ₹ 3,025.5 ₹ 3,138.2 ₹ 3,245.5 ₹ 3,644.7 ₹ 4,308.9 ₹ 5,501.8
Return on Equity 17.07% 17.60% 14.99% 15.83% 16.76% 25.97% 35.21%
Average Total Asset ₹ 19,359.4 ₹ 20,112.0 ₹ 20,896.4 ₹ 23,041.6 ₹ 27,456.6 ₹ 29,624.3 ₹ 29,462.2
Average Shareholder Equity ₹ 2,906.5 ₹ 3,025.5 ₹ 3,138.2 ₹ 3,245.5 ₹ 3,644.7 ₹ 4,308.9 ₹ 5,501.8
Equity Multiplier (C) 6.66x 6.65x 6.66x 7.10x 7.53x 6.88x 5.36x
Return on Equity (A*B*C) 17.07% 17.60% 14.99% 15.83% 16.76% 25.97% 35.21%
Check TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE
Return on Asset
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Net Profit ₹ 496.2 ₹ 532.5 ₹ 470.5 ₹ 513.9 ₹ 610.8 ₹ 1,119.0 ₹ 1,937.0
Average Total Asset ₹ 19,359.4 ₹ 20,112.0 ₹ 20,896.4 ₹ 23,041.6 ₹ 27,456.6 ₹ 29,624.3 ₹ 29,462.2
Return on Asset 2.56% 2.65% 2.25% 2.23% 2.22% 3.78% 6.57%
Return on Asset (A*B) 2.56% 2.65% 2.25% 2.23% 2.22% 3.78% 6.57%
Check TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE
Dupont Summary
Return on Equity: Increased from 17.07% in 2018 to 35.21% by 2024.
Net Profit Margin: Improved from 11.13% in 2018 to 20.46% by 2024.
Asset Turnover Ratio: Started at 0.23x in 2018, increased to 0.32x by 2024.
Equity Multiplier: Began at 6.66x in 2018, decreased to 5.36x by 2024.
Return on Assets: Grew from 2.56% in 2018 to 6.57% by 2024.
Disclaimer: This report is made as part of educational assignment and is meant for educational purpose only. The author of the report is not liable for any
losses due to actions taken basis this report. It is advisable to consult SEBI registered reasearch analyst before making any investments
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
EBIT/Total Assets
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
EBIT ₹ 670.1 ₹ 813.7 ₹ 739.9 ₹ 614.6 ₹ 763.0 ₹ 1,411.9 ₹ 2,430.0
Total Assets ₹ 19,373.8 ₹ 20,850.1 ₹ 20,942.8 ₹ 25,140.4 ₹ 29,772.8 ₹ 29,475.7 ₹ 29,448.8
EBIT/Total Assets(C) 3.46% 3.90% 3.53% 2.44% 2.56% 4.79% 8.25%
Sales/Total Assets
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales ₹ 4,457.2 ₹ 4,614.0 ₹ 4,904.8 ₹ 4,047.8 ₹ 5,733.3 ₹ 7,827.2 ₹ 9,466.6
Total Assets ₹ 19,373.8 ₹ 20,850.1 ₹ 20,942.8 ₹ 25,140.4 ₹ 29,772.8 ₹ 29,475.7 ₹ 29,448.8
Sales/Total Assets (E) 23.01% 22.13% 23.42% 16.10% 19.26% 26.55% 32.15%
Altman's Z Score
Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Final Score -0.20 -0.14 -0.09 144.19 415.08 2213.89 40426.92
Financial Stability Distressed Distressed Distressed Strong Strong Strong Strong
Disclaimer: This report is made as part of educational assignment and is meant for educational purpose only. The author of the report is not liable for any losses
due to actions taken basis this report. It is advisable to consult SEBI registered reasearch analyst before making any investments
MAZAGON DOCK SHIPBUILDERS LTD
( NSE: MAZDOCK | BSE: 543237 )
Forensic Analysis
Particulars 2019A 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023A 2024A Trend Remarks
CFO/PAT 12.3% -20.3% 13.3% -26.6% 76.6% 35.3% Should be above at least 60%
Cumulative PAT/CFO 27.3% Should be above at least 60%
Depreciation rates 22.6% 6.9% -13.2% 24.9% 1.4% 10.0% Should be low in fluctuations
Depreciation as a % of revenues 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.0% 0.9% Should not fluctuate too much
CWIP as a % of Net Block 11.0% 9.6% 9.9% 9.0% 6.0% 8.1% Should not be too high
Increase in Sales 3.5% 6.3% -17.5% 41.6% 36.5% 20.9% Should increase Y-O-Y
Increase in Receivables 32.3% -2.7% -32.6% 4.1% -0.3% 84.3% Should be lower than sales growth
FCF Generation ₹ 455.9 ₹ 1,920.6 (₹ 1,385.1) (₹ 2,658.4) (₹ 66.1) ₹ 2,101.1 Should be positive
Pledging by Promoters 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% Should be low & close to zero
Comments
CFO/PAT Ratio: The CFO/PAT ratio, which measures cash flow from operations divided by accounting profit after tax, shows significant variability over the years. It spiked to very high
levels in 2023 but fell below the desired threshold of 60% in 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022. It recovered somewhat in 2024 but remains an area needing attention for converting profits
effectively into cash.
Cumulative PAT/CFO Ratio: The Cumulative PAT/CFO ratio, reflecting the cumulative accounting profit after tax compared to cumulative cash flow from operations, was significantly
below the expected benchmark of 60% in 2024, indicating ongoing challenges in translating profits into cash flows effectively.
Depreciation Rates: Depreciation rates have shown fluctuations, ranging from -13.2% to 24.9%. This variability suggests potential inconsistencies in asset management and valuation
methods, highlighting the need for more stable depreciation practices to ensure accurate financial reporting.
Depreciation as a % of Revenues: Depreciation as a percentage of revenues has remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.9% and 1.5%. Maintaining this consistency is crucial for
stable financial performance.
CWIP as a % of Net Block: The percentage of capital work-in-progress (CWIP) relative to the net block of assets has varied, peaking at 11.0% in 2019 and falling to 6.0% in 2023 before
rising to 8.1% in 2024. This fluctuation suggests a need for vigilance to optimize capital utilization and project execution efficiency.
Increase in Sales: Sales growth has varied annually, with fluctuations from -17.5% to 41.6%. While there has been positive growth in most years, sustained year-on-year improvement is
crucial for demonstrating robust business expansion.
Increase in Receivables: The increase in receivables has shown significant variability, with notable decreases in 2020 and 2021 but a substantial increase of 84.3% in 2024, suggesting a
need for careful examination to maintain healthy cash flow dynamics.
Free Cash Flow (FCF) Generation: Free Cash Flow (FCF) has shown positive trends overall, with significant deficits in 2021 and 2022 but substantial positive values in 2023 and 2024.
This highlights the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, though attention is needed to ensure consistent positive cash flow.
Pledging by Promoters: Pledging by promoters remained minimal at 1% from 2019 to 2022 and dropped to 0% in 2024, reflecting strong confidence in the company's financial stability
and reducing risk for investors.