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Competitividad de costos de la produccion de biodiesel de aceite de palma en Indonesia
Competitividad de costos de la produccion de biodiesel de aceite de palma en Indonesia
Competitividad de costos de la produccion de biodiesel de aceite de palma en Indonesia
Energy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/energy
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: This study investigates opportunities to improve the cost competitiveness of the palm oil biodiesel in-
Received 7 February 2018 dustry in Indonesia. It compares costs and revenues of standalone conventional palm oil and biodiesel
Received in revised form production with an integrated system that includes utilisation of biomass residues. Economic metrics,
9 October 2018
viz. net income, NPV, IRR, payback period and biodiesel breakeven price are evaluated. Sensitivity an-
Accepted 17 December 2018
Available online 18 December 2018
alyses are carried out to verify how parameter changes affect net income. The results show that the
integrated concept with upgraded CPO and biodiesel processing plant (Biorefinery), which simulta-
neously produces biodiesel, electricity, heat and biofertiliser, can obtain an additional income of 14 USD/
Keywords:
Biomass residues
t-FFB compared to the Conventional System. The biorefinery system helps to reduce dependency on
Palm oil government subsidy for biodiesel production, and lowers the industry vulnerability to fluctuation of
Biodiesel fossil diesel prices. The shift to modern facilities with value chain integration provides a pathway to
Economic indicators enhance the share of renewable energy in Indonesia through increased biodiesel production and elec-
Conventional system tricity generation from palm biomass residues. It may also promote resource efficiency and climate
Biorefinery change mitigation through reduced emissions from untreated residues and fossil energy carriers. The
analysis enhances understanding about potential gains and consequences of more stringent policy
implementation in the country.
© 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction the biodiesel supply chain may be also attractive. In this paper, we
explore the potential of increasing resource and cost-efficiency in
Crude palm oil (CPO) is an important commodity for Indonesia the biodiesel production. Exploring this potential is very relevant as
both domestically and internationally. The domestic market the biodiesel program in Indonesia includes policies and financial
consumed 25% of the country's CPO production in 2016 [1]. After support to improve the biodiesel cost competitiveness and sus-
food, the largest use of CPO is for biodiesel production. CPO is a key tainability of the supply chain.
feedstock for meeting the government's 30% biodiesel blending The production of CPO generates considerable amount of
target by 2025 [2]. In a recent study, Khatiwada et al. [3] showed biomass residues (e.g. empty fruit bunches, fibre, shell and palm oil
that the growing demand for biodiesel in Indonesia could be met mill effluents). Part of this biomass is conventionally used in the oil
without jeopardizing the use of palm oil for food, or adding new palm plantations as soil mulch, but large portions remain unused or
planted area, if an agriculture policy is pursued aligned with efforts are burnt in the fields [4]. There is growing interest to use palm oil
to expand the use of biofuels in the country. While larger yields can biomass for bio-based products. For example, palm oil bio-
contribute to reduce costs for biodiesel, other improvements along resources such as empty fruit bunches, fibres, shells and milling
effluents can be used as feedstock to produce electricity in com-
bined heat and power (CHP) plants. Alternatively, empty fruit
bunches and effluents can be used for producing biofertilisers.
Abbreviations: biodiesel breakeven price, (BBP); combined heat and power, Present policies require improved environmental performance of
(CHP); crude palm oil, (CPO); empty fruit bunch, (EFB); fresh fruit bunch, (FFB);
the palm oil industry (e.g. reduce GHG emissions) which provides
heavy fuel oil, (HFO); internal rate of return, (IRR); kernel shell, (KS); life-cycle cost,
(LCC); mesocarp fibre, (MF); net present value, (NPV); palm oil mill effluent, an incentive for utilisation of the biomass available. However, the
(POME); payback period, (PBP). implementation of these policies has been slower than anticipated
* Corresponding author. [5e7]. The unexplored economic values of large quantities of palm
E-mail addresses: harahap@kth.se (F. Harahap), semida.silveira@energy.kth.se oil biomass residues, on the one hand, and the low profitability of
(S. Silveira), dilip.khatiwada@energy.kth.se (D. Khatiwada).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.115
0360-5442/© 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
F. Harahap et al. / Energy 170 (2019) 62e72 63
biodiesel production, on the other hand, justify an evaluation of demand [3]. In a context of enhanced biodiesel production in the
opportunities to integrate the value chain of CPO and biodiesel country, as opposed to large exports of CPO, dedicated plants for
production as a way to improve the total economy and sustain- biodiesel production are justified as a way to guarantee competi-
ability of the industry. tiveness. Dedicated processing plants for biofuel production have
While significant attention has been put on sustainability di- been implemented in other biofuel producing countries such as
mensions such as energy balance and greenhouse gas emissions Brazil, the largest producer of sugar in the world. Thirty five percent
from palm oil biodiesel production, the potential economic impact of the sugarcane-based mills in Brazil produce ethanol only, and the
of production system improvements in Indonesia have not been remaining mills produce either only sugar or both sugar and fuel
evaluated in the same way [8e11]. Globally, several case studies [21].
have evaluated the economic impacts of different palm oil biodiesel Ultimately, this study explores ways to improve the economic
supply chains, but very few have discussed system improvement or competitiveness of palm oil biodiesel production in Indonesia. We
introduction of the biorefinery concept. In terms of system evaluate the potential profits from the use of palm biomass residue
improvement, Quintero et al. [12] evaluated the impact of crop (i.e. empty fruit bunches, fibre, shell and palm oil mill effluents) and
productivity on palm biodiesel production cost considering explore different allocations of the residues to produce value added
different feedstock growers (i.e. smallholders or large-scale plan- products (i.e. electricity, heat, and biofertiliser) in the context of
tations) in Peru. The study examined improvement of upstream integrated palm oil and biodiesel production. We examine the
activities and oil palm plantations, but did not consider the upgrade biorefinery concept in three different cases, considering utilisation
of palm oil and biodiesel processing plants. Moncada et al. [13] of biomass residue, plant conversion options, and production of
compared the economic performance of a standalone biodiesel value added in the form of energy products (biodiesel,
plant with multiproduct biorefinery system in Colombia without bioelectricity, heat) and non-energy products (biofertilisers). This
technology improvements. Solikhah et al. [14] discussed the eco- study performs life-cycle cost analysis and cost effectiveness
nomic profitability of palm biodiesel production from multi feed- analysis to assess the net income, net present value (NPV), internal
stocks (i.e. palm stearin, palm fatty acid distillate, CPO) and the rate of return (IRR) payback period (PBP) and biodiesel breakeven
opportunity of locating the palm oil mill and biodiesel plant in one price (BBP). The life-cycle cost quantifies the cost starting from the
facility without describing the upgrading biomass conversion construction phase to the end of the economic life of the plant.
technologies of different plant configurations in Indonesia. Khati- Fig. 1 shows simplified diagrams representing the Conventional
wada et al. [3] concluded that aligning Indonesian biodiesel man- System and the Biorefinery as per applied in the analysis.
dates with an agriculture strategy will improve production The coming sections are structured as follows. Section 2 de-
efficiency and reduce pressure on land. An analysis of industrial scribes the system boundaries and data sources for the palm oil and
integration as proposed here will contribute further insights on biodiesel production system. Section 3 presents the methodology
potential efficiency improvements along the supply chain of the
biodiesel industry.
The main objective of this paper is to compare the cost
competitiveness of palm oil based biodiesel produced in a con-
ventional plant in Indonesia (Conventional System) with an upgra-
ded system (Biorefinery) that includes the utilisation of palm
biomass residues as required by the current national policy. Many
authors have carried out comparisons of the economic and/or cost
competitiveness of different production system configurations in
an effort to explore the attractiveness of biofuels and enhance ef-
ficiency. For example, Bansal et al., Crago et al., and Millinger et al.
[15e17] used economic indicators (e.g. total cost, breakeven price)
to compare the economic feasibility of biofuels from different
feedstock production. Barua et al. and Blum et al. [18,19] scrutinized
the cost competitiveness of energy based on renewable sources
compared with fossil fuels using economic parameters such as
levelised cost of electricity.
Our study enhances understanding about the context of
Indonesia, the largest producer of palm oil in the world. The scope
of our study is limited to the system improvement at the plant level
i.e. basically integrating the palm oil mill and the biodiesel plant.
We consider an average size of palm oil mill (i.e. 150 kt-FFB/y)
which supplies all produced CPO (i.e. 30 kt-CPO/y) to a medium size Fig. 1. Simplified diagrams of Conventional System and Biorefinery configurations in
biodiesel plant for producing biodiesel only. In other words, the this study.
production chain is dedicated to biodiesel using palm oil as feed- Abbreviations: EFB (empty fruit bunch); MF (mesocarp fibre), KS (kernel shell);
stock. Dedicated biodiesel production will allow the palm oil mill to POME (palm oil mill effluent).
source feedstock from palm fruits with higher CPO yields such as Notes:
- Remaining biomass in the Conventional System are untreated. 98% of KS is sold
palm pisifera (i.e. with thicker mesocarp) compared to other vari-
to the market, 24% of EFB is left to decay.
eties (e.g. palm dura) with higher palm kernel yields and thus more - a % is to the quantity of EFB to be treated proportionately in cogeneration plant
favourable for edible oil production [20]. The analysis is applicable and composting.
to palm oil mills across Indonesia, but can also be applied to palm - b % is the quantity of POME to be treated proportionately in biogas plant and
oil biodiesel production elsewhere. composting.
- Details of biomass conversion technologies, quantity of biomass residues, bio-
Based on previous studies, we can assume that Indonesia has products, energy supply and distance between palm oil mill and biodiesel plant
the potential to produce sufficient palm oil to meet the domestic are given in Section 2.1 for the Conventional system and Section 2.2 & 3.1 for
demand for biodiesel, food and industrial uses, as well as the export Biorefinery.
64 F. Harahap et al. / Energy 170 (2019) 62e72
for developing the biorefinery cases, and methods to carry out the Table 1
economic analysis. Section 4 provides results and discussions. Material and energy flow for palm oil production, per t-FFB, in the Conventional
System.
Finally, conclusions are given in Section 5.
Item Value Unit
2. Palm oil and biodiesel production system: system Input material
boundaries and data sources FFB 1
Electricity 22 kWh
Steam 500 kg
Fresh fruit bunch (FFB) is the main feedstock for producing CPO.
Diesel for pumping effluent(*) [26] 0.064 l
The production of CPO from FFB includes sterilization, stripping, Output material
digesting and pressing the fruits, and oil extraction [9]. Besides the Crude palm oil, CPO 200 kg
main products, CPO and palm kernel, palm oil mills produce solid By-product
Palm kernel, PK 47 kg
and liquid biomass residues i.e. empty fruit bunches, mesocarp
Biomass residue
fibre, kernel shell, and palm oil mill effluent. In the biodiesel plant, Empty fruit bunch, EFB 230 kg
biodiesel is produced through the transesterification process using Kernel shell, KS 60 kg
short chain of alcohol e.g. ethanol or methanol [22]. The process can Mesocarp fibre, MF 140 kg
profit from the help of an alkaline catalyst such as potassium hy- Waste water
Palm oil mill effluent, POME 0.6 m3
droxide to accelerate the reaction. It converts ester that separates
the triglycerides, takes the glycerol of the triglyceride and replaces Note: All values were obtained from field visit, except diesel for pumping effluent (*)
it with alkyl radical of the alcohol used [23]. Apart from biodiesel,
the process generates glycerol as co-product.
installed capacity of the cogeneration plant is 0.6 MW, which is
We evaluate palm oil and biodiesel production systems based on
calculated based on shells and fibres treated (see calculation in
biomass conversion technologies, the quantity of biomass residues
Appendix A). In the Conventional System, the mill effluent is treated
treated, the bioenergy (i.e. electricity and heat) and bio-product (i.e.
in aerobic and facultative open lagoons with no biogas recovery.
biofertiliser) produced from the residues, the fuel (i.e. fossil or
The system also considers co-composting of empty fruit bunches
renewable) used in the facility, and the integration of the palm oil
and effluents treated for producing biofertilisers, which has been
mill with the biodiesel refining plant. The system boundary of a
the common practice in palm oil mills in Indonesia [25]. The
Conventional System and a Biorefinery are described in Section 2.1
amount of biofertiliser produced in the Conventional System is
and Section 2.2. The information about palm oil conversion and
96.23 kg/t-FFB (see calculation in Appendix B). The value is close to
mill operation was obtained from a palm oil mill in North Sumatra,
the estimation presented by Stichnothe et al. [26].
and literature gathered during a field visit in Indonesia in 2015 and
In the Conventional System, the biodiesel plant receives CPO
2016. The material and energy flows were estimated based on the
from the palm oil mill. As described above, our assessment con-
existing palm oil mill. Information for the biodiesel plant and bio-
siders a dedicated mill supplying all produced CPO to a biodiesel
diesel conversion was obtained from literature primarily describing
plant. The use of CPO for purposes other than biodiesel production
conditions for Indonesia. Data sources for upgraded systems were
is not considered in this study. The biodiesel plant has capacity to
obtained from international references when local data was not
process 30 kt-CPO/y. Biodiesel is the main product of the plant and
available.
glycerol is the co-product. Table 2 shows material input and output
for palm biodiesel production. The biodiesel plant was assumed to
2.1. The Conventional System
be located 50 km from the palm oil mill. The transport cost was 0.14
USD/t-CPO/km [27]. Diesel fuel and heavy fuel oil supply energy to
The Conventional System depicts a typical production of palm oil
the biodiesel plant. The quantity of the fuels were estimated as
biodiesel in Indonesia. The palm oil mill and the biodiesel plant in
described in Appendix C.
Indonesia are typically geographically separated, whereby the palm
oil mill is closer to the plantation, and the biodiesel plant is located
near a seaport to more easily serve the export market. The handling
capacity of a palm oil mill in Indonesia is between 10 and 60 t-FFB/h Table 2
Material and energy flow for palm biodiesel production, per kg-biodiesel, in the
[4]. In this study, we describe the production unit of a palm oil mill
Conventional System.
in North Sumatra, which has a representative size for a typical mill
in Indonesia: 30 t-FFB/h and operating time 5000 h/y. The steam, Item Value Unit
and electrical requirements, as well as yields of empty fruit bunch, Input material
fibre, shell and mill effluent were obtained from the field visit, Crude palm oil, CPOa 1.19 kg
Methanolb 0.14 kg
shown in Table 1.
Catalyst, NaOHc 0.02 kg
The Conventional System considered in this study has a cogen- Dieseld 0.092 l
eration plant, or CHP plant, which has long been used in some palm Heavy fuel oile 0.039 l
oil mills in Indonesia. Other mills still use a diesel generator to meet Output material
the internal energy consumption [24]. In the conventional palm oil Biodiesel 1
By-product
mills, the CHP plant has 20 bar (2.0 MPa) and 350 C of steam, low Glycerolf 0.167 kg
efficient boilers (70% efficiency) and steam turbine with electrical
Notes:
efficiency (16%) for producing steam (500 kg/t-FFB) and electricity a
Calculated based on 950 l-biodiesel/t-CPO [28] and biodiesel density 0.88 kg-
(22 kWh/t-FFB) required for palm oil milling operation. The low- biodiesel/l-biodiesel [29]
efficient cogeneration plant only burns a small portion of the b
Quantity of methanol is the average values from Refs. [10,28,30]
shells (2%) and fibres for energy generation. It consists of steam c
Quantity of catalyst NaOH is the average values from Refs. [10,30,31]
d
boilers, back pressure turbine, and electrical networks which have Calculated based on electricity consumption in biodiesel plant, 0.27 kWh/kg-
biodiesel, which is the average values from Refs. [10,31,32]
been integrated in one system. It generates sufficient energy e
Calculated based on steam consumption in biodiesel plant, 1360 MJ/t-biodiesel
(electricity and heat) to run the mill. Most palm oil mills in [32,33]
f
Indonesia are not connected to the external electricity grid. The Data from Ref. [10]
F. Harahap et al. / Energy 170 (2019) 62e72 65
System with a series of ponds can reduce pollutants (i.e. BOD and
COD), but does not capture methane. To meet the sustainability
requirement as defined by the national policy, the proposed Bio-
refinery treats the effluent in a biogas plant to capture the methane
for producing biogas for electricity. The biogas plant consists of
biodigester, scrubber, gas engine, boiler, flare [7]. There are several
anaerobic digestion technologies (biodigester) for biogas recovery.
The covered lagoon (covered ponds with mixing mechanisms) was
chosen in this study due to lower installation costs compared to the
continuous stirred tank reactors, although the gas production ef-
ficiency is lower [38]. The installed capacity of the biogas plant (in
MW) was calculated based on the quantity of effluents (see calcu-
lation and assumptions in Appendix D). The potential for bio-
fertiliser from POME bio-digestate from the biogas plant is not
Fig. 2. Schematic representation of the Conventional System, a 30 t-FFB/h palm oil mill considered in this study.
with a low efficiency biomass cogeneration, an adjacent aerobic co-composting plant The cogeneration plant in the biorefinery is described as a high
and a biodiesel plant at 50 km distance (numbers are per t-FFB).
efficient CHP plant (a 4.0 MPa and 360 C of steam with 90% boiler
Abbreviations: CPO (crude palm oil); EFB (empty fruit bunch); FFB (fresh fruit efficiency), coupled with steam turbine (30% electrical efficiency) to
bunch); MF (mesocarp fibre), KS (kernel shell); PK (palm kernel); POME (palm generate steam and electricity for CPO and biodiesel production. It
oil mill effluent); HFO (heavy fuel oil).
is equipped with pre-treatment system for pressing, cutting and
Data sources and assumptions:
(a) Values obtained from field visit drying the empty fruit bunches. The pre-treatment system is used
(b) Data from Ref. [26] to convert the empty fruit bunches into a better fuel for the boiler
(c) Quantity of methanol is the average values from Refs. [10,28,30] [39]. The installed capacity of the cogeneration plant was calculated
(d) Quantity of catalyst NaOH is the average values from Refs. [10,30,31] based on the quantity of residues (i.e. empty fruit bunches, shell
(e) Calculated see Appendix C
and fibre) (see calculation and assumptions used in Appendix E). As
(f) Calculated, assuming total distance: 2*50 km; transport cost was 0.14 USD/t-
CPO/km [27] mentioned in the Introduction, we explore three different cases of
(g) Estimated based on substrate ratio for co-composting of POME and EFB Biorefinery (i.e. Case 1 to Case 3) to assess the impact of different
[34,35] conversion options of palm biomass residues to produce value
(h) Calculated see Appendix B
added products (i.e. electricity, heat, and biofertiliser). Description
(i) Calculated based on conversion from Ref. [28]
(j) Calculated based on conversion from Ref. [10]
of the biorefinery cases and methods for economic evaluation are
presented next.
The Biorefinery is a conceptual plant which comprises a palm oil In order to investigate the most cost-effective biorefinery
mill, a biodiesel plant, a high efficiency biomass cogeneration plant, configuration for palm biodiesel production in Indonesia, we
a biogas unit or a co-composting plant, all in one facility. It is an explore three different Biorefinery cases (Case 1 to Case 3) utilising
upgraded system in comparison with what is typically installed in the available biomass residues. The quantity of palm oil mill ef-
Indonesia. Petterson et al. and Solikhah et al. [14,36] indicated that fluents and empty fruit bunches vary because both types of residue
the cost for transporting feedstock is significant in relation to the can be treated in more than one biomass conversion technology
total cost of feedstock, capital and biodiesel production and dis- available at the site. Table 6 presents the quantity of biomass uti-
tribution. Hence, an integration of the feedstock production and the lised in each biomass conversion technology. The effluents are
biofuel production plant can reduce transport costs and related either used for biogas generation in the anaerobic digestion plant
emissions. For Indonesia, such integration can also contemplate the (using covered lagoon to capture methane) for later producing
location of the refinery closer to domestic markets unlike the electricity, or can be used to produce biofertiliser together with
present location of biodiesel plants, which is often close to the empty fruit bunches. The empty fruit bunches can be processed in
seaport mainly to serve the export market. Energy for the Bio- the cogeneration plant as described above, and in a co-composting
refinery is derived from palm biomass sources helping to eliminate plant with the effluents. The aerobic co-composting plant applies
the deposition of residue. The proposed biorefinery is a simple one similar technology as the Conventional System. The schematic rep-
that uses one feedstock to produce two or three products with resentation of the Biorefinery is shown in Fig. 3.
current available technologies [37]. The Biorefinery is connected to
the external electricity grid and, therefore, excess electricity can be
sold beyond the refinery borders. 3.2. Metrics for performing economic analysis in different
For the purpose of comparison, the Biorefinery has similar configurations
feedstock input (i.e. FFB) as the Conventional System, thus 30 t-FFB/h
or 150 kt-FFB/y; and operating time of 5000 h/y. Notice that FFB is As mentioned previously, the study investigates the economic
considered as feedstock in this study instead of CPO because CPO is metrics for measuring the competitiveness of the conventional and
an intermediate product to be processed into biodiesel. As upgraded palm oil biodiesel production in Indonesia. NPV (net
mentioned before, this study does not discuss other uses for the present value), IRR (internal rate of return), payback period, and
CPO. biodiesel breakeven price were evaluated. Details about the metrics
The treatment of palm oil mill effluent in the Conventional and data sources are provided below.
66 F. Harahap et al. / Energy 170 (2019) 62e72
where,
C is annual cost
Vi is annual quantity of input (feedstock, materials, energy)
Pi is unit cost
AEC is annualised capital cost
M is annual maintenance cost
Fig. 3. Schematic representation of the Biorefinery, a 30 t-FFB/hour palm oil mill with a
high efficient biomass cogeneration, a biogas plant, or with a co-composting plant and i
a biodiesel plant (numbers are presented per t-FFB). AEC ¼ . $CC (2)
1 1 ð1 þ rÞt
Abbreviations: CPO (crude palm oil); EFB (empty fruit bunch); FFB (fresh fruit
where,
bunch); MF (mesocarp fibre), KS (kernel shell); PK (palm kernel); POME (palm
oil mill effluent).
Data sources and assumptions: AEC is annualised capital cost
(a) Values obtained from field visit r is interest rate
(b) Data from Ref. [26] CC is total capital cost
(c) Quantity of methanol is the average values from Refs. [10,28,30]
t is the economic lifetime
(d) Quantity of catalyst NaOH is the average values from Refs. [10,30,31]
(e) Calculated see Appendix D R
(f) Estimated based on electricity required for treating POME in biogas plant [38] CCa Sizea
(g) Estimated based on substrate ratio for co-composting of POME and EFB from
¼ (3)
CCbase Size base
Refs. [34,35] where,
(h) Calculated see Appendix E
(i) Estimated based on electrical consumption for EFB pre-treatment plant [38]
(j) Quantity of electricity use in biodiesel plant is the average values from CCa and Sizea represent the costs and installed capacity of the
Refs. [10,31,32] equipment or technology evaluated in this study
(k) Calculated based on conversion from Ref. [28] CCbase and Sizebase are the costs and installed capacity of the
(l) Calculated based on conversion from Ref. [10] reference equipment from the scientific works
(m) Excess electricity to the grid is electricity production from biogas and
cogeneration plant subtracted by the electricity for on-site use
(n) Quantity of biofertiliser was quantified using similar approach as in the
Conventional System, as shown in Appendix B
3.2.2. Potential revenues
Total revenues (Eq. (4)) presents annual quantity of outputs
multiplied by unit prices (in Table 4). The unit prices are fixed.
3.2.1. Life-cycle system costs
We apply life-cycle cost (LCC) which quantifies the cost, starting X
R¼ ðVo *Po Þ (4)
from the construction phase of a facility to the end of its economic
life [40]. LCC includes annualised capital costs and annual recurrent
where,
costs (materials, fuel, and maintenance), Eq. (1). Input for LCC
assessment is shown in Table 3.
R is annual revenues
The capital costs comprise cost for palm oil mill, conversion
Vo is annual quantity of output (biodiesel, palm kernel, CPO,
technologies for biomass residues and biodiesel plant. The capital
excess electricity, biofertiliser, glycerol)
cost of technology or plant was annualised considering 25 years
Po is unit price
lifetime and 6.8% interest rate [41], using Eq. (2). The cost of land
was excluded. Capital cost reduction of 25% was considered when
the palm oil mill and biodiesel plant are located in one single
3.2.3. Economic metrics
Net income, NPV, IRR, and PBP are common indicators for
Table 3
Input for life-cycle cost.
Table 4
Item Value Reference Unit prices of materials, fuel, products.
CPO mill and biodiesel plant
Items Amount Reference
FFB 0.12 USD/kg [45]
Diesel 0.38 USD/l [46] Palm kernel 0.41 USD/kg [48]
Heavy fuel oil 0.43 USD/l [46] Electricity from bioenergy sources 0.085 USD/kWh Regulation 12/2017
Methanol 0.35 USD/kg [47] Biodiesel 0.66 USD/l [46]
Catalyst, NaOH 0.635 USD/kg [47] Glycerol 0.16 USD/kg [49]
Other assumptions Biofertiliser 0.09 USD/kg (*)
Transport cost 0.14 USD/t-CPO/km [27]
Note: (*) Based on inorganic fertiliser price (NPK) [50] and considering nutrients
Plant lifetime 25 years
value substitution of a tonne inorganic fertiliser equals to 7.9 dry tons of produced
Interest rate 6.8% [41]
biofertiliser [51].
F. Harahap et al. / Energy 170 (2019) 62e72 67
difference between total income and total cost. NPV indicates Economic indicator Parameter Base value Variations to the base
overall financial performance of a project. NPV (Eq. (6)) is derived for sensitivity test value
from the total discounted income and costs at lending rate of 6.8% Net income (Million FFB cost 0.12 USD/kg 50%, 25%, þ25%, þ50%
(average lending rate in Indonesia JanuaryeJune 2016 from USD/y) Electricity price 0.085 USD/
Ref. [41]) and project lifetime of 25 years. IRR (Eq. (7)) is calculated from biomass kWh
Biofertiliser 0.088 USD/kg
at NPV equal to zero. PBP (Eq. (8)) presents the time it takes before
price
an investment is recovered. It is expressed by capital cost divided Biodiesel price 0.663 USD/kg
by annual revenues. Total (based on
annualised configuration)
I ¼CR (5) capital cost *
Note: * Total capital cost is shown in Table 6. The annualised cost was calculated
where, using 8.45% annuity factor.
Table 6
Capital cost of Conventional System and Biorefinery Case 1 to Case 3*, based on quantity of biomass residues treated.
Unit Biomass conversion options % of biomass residues utilised Production per year Total capital cost (Million USD)
Notes:
*see Figs. 2 and 3 for the schematic representation of the configurations.
**the remaining shells are sold to the market.
Fig. 5. Historical FFB cost and diesel price, and biodiesel breakeven lines of Conven-
tional System and Biorefinery-Case 1. Notes: X-axis is diesel and biodiesel prices and Y-
axis is FFB cost from January 2010 to April 2016. Cost of FFB is proportionally linked to
CPO market price [57]. Price of diesel was obtained from various official policy docu-
ments. All prices data were converted to 2016 price. Fig. 6. Sensitivity analyses on net income (Million USD/y) of Conventional System (CS)
and Biorefinery-Case 1 (BC1) with parameter change of 50%,-25%, þ25%, þ50% from
the base value on i) FFB cost; ii) biofertiliser; iii) bioelectricity price; iv) biodiesel price;
v) annualised capital cost.
shows that none of the historical prices of diesel and costs of FFB
falls below the breakeven lines. There are five points that nearly
intersect with the breakeven line of Biorefinery-Case 1 which were
from August 2015 to December 2015 when the diesel price was description of key parameter changes and the variations is outlined
around 0.48e0.5 USD/l (76e79 USD/barrel) and the FFB cost was in Table 5. For the purpose of sensitivity analysis, the comparison
around 111e120 USD/t-FFB (or equal to 557e604 USD/t-CPO). was performed for Conventional System and Biorefinery-Case 1 (the
Market price of palm oil has rarely been low enough or diesel most cost-effective system).
prices high enough to make biodiesel profitable. Fig. 6 reveals that the feedstock (i.e. FFB) cost and sale price of
The most cost-effective plant configuration (Biorefinery-Case 1) biodiesel are the two parameters affect the net income the most.
can help to reduce the level of fiscal support by 0.07 USD/l- The uncertainties of both parameters become the main driver of the
biodiesel. It can generate savings of 0.7 billion USD/y for meeting economic sustainability of the industry. The Conventional System is
the consumption target of 30% biodiesel blending rate with fossil more affected with the changes compared to the biorefinery
diesel by 2020 (or 10.11 billion litre of biodiesel2). In order to bring configurations.
the breakeven line further up, either plant revenues or the level of
fiscal support need to be increased. The effect of adding fiscal
support to the price of biodiesel is shown in Fig. 5. Fiscal support in 5. Conclusions
the range of 0.1e0.2 USD/l-biodiesel was provided from 2015 to
2016. When similar incentives were added, (represented by the Our analysis identified Biorefinery-Case 1 to be the most cost-
green and the blue lines in Fig. 5), the breakeven lines go up above a effective plant configuration, offering new economic opportu-
few historical values, implying profitable biodiesel production at nities for the palm oil biodiesel industry in Indonesia. The Bio-
FFB costs and diesel prices combination below the line. refinery-Case 1 is an improved system that simultaneously
The breakeven line can also be used to assess the maximum produces biodiesel, electricity, heat and biofertiliser. It converts
price that the biodiesel producer can pay for the feedstock (i.e. FFB), 100% of mill effluents and 82% of empty fruit bunches into bio-
given the price of fossil diesel, which is the biodiesel substitute. At fertiliser. It also processes 18% empty fruit bunches, 100% shells and
50 USD/barrel (0.31 USD/l) of fossil diesel, the biodiesel producer 100% fibres to produce energy, meeting on-site energy demand and
can afford to purchase feedstock for up to 76 USD/t-FFB in the generating excess electricity to the grid. The most cost-effective
Biorefinery-Case 1 compared to 59 USD/t-FFB in the Conventional configuration (i.e Biorefinery-Case 1) provides the highest net in-
System. When incentive of 0.2 USD/l-biodiesel is added, the bio- come and NPV and lowest BBP. It delivers net income and NPV four
diesel producer can afford 114 USD/t-FFB while still keeping the times higher than the Conventional System. Producing and selling
biodiesel production profitable. The incentive given for biodiesel biofertilisers create a new revenue flow compared to, for example,
produced in the Biorefinery provides support both for the industry the Biorefinery-Case 3 that does not have the biofertiliser produc-
as well as oil palm farmers, but it is not a sustainable solution. tion. The additional revenues improve the mill's resilience to
feedstock prices, increasing the economic robustness in the sector.
The analysis reveals that the configuration with biogas plant for
4.3. Effects of parameter changes: sensitivity analysis
methane capture (i.e. Biorefinery Case 2 and 3) is less cost-effective
due to the high capital cost of the technology. However, the system
We analysed the sensitivity of our comparative cost estimates to
can bring more environmental benefits due to higher emissions
external prices and technology capital cost, shown in Fig. 6. The
reduction compared to the aerobic co-composting system, and can
contribute to increase electricity generation from biogas sources. If
2
Authors calculation based on diesel fuel projection in 2025 of 43 billion litres
carbon markets evolve, emissions reductions can add to the
for transport and industry sectors [75] and biodiesel blending rate of 30% (Regu- attractiveness of biogas. For the time being, the analysis suggests
lation 12/2015). Energy content of diesel 35.8 MJ/l and for biodiesel 33 MJ/l [29]. that a strategy may be needed if increased penetration of biogas
70 F. Harahap et al. / Energy 170 (2019) 62e72
Appendix D. Calculation of electricity production and Palm oil mill 6.02 30 t-FFB/h [71,72]
Biodiesel plant 12 50,000 t-biodiesel/y [73]
installed capacity of biogas plant in Biorefinery-Case 3
Low efficiency 10.69 7.68 MW [74]
biomass
POME to FFB ratio ¼ 0.6 m3-POME/t-FFB (Ref. field visit) cogenerationa
Quantity of waste water ¼ 90,000 m3 POME/y Aerobic co- 0.6 9563 t-wet-compost [51]
COD POME ¼ 55,000 mg/L ¼ 0.055 t-COD/m3 (Ref. field visit) composting
plantb
Methane density ¼ 0.716 kg-CH4/m3-CH4 (Ref. [67]) Biogas plant - 2.87 1.2 MW [7]
Methane yield ¼ 0.252 t-CH4/t-COD (Ref. [68]) anaerobic
Methane conversion factor ¼ 0.8 (Ref. [67]) covered lagoonc
Uncertainty factor ¼ 0.9 (Ref. [68]) High efficiency 30.5 9.2 MW [70]
biomass
Methane energy content ¼ 35.9 MJ/Nm3 (Ref. [67])
cogenerationd
Conversion from MJ to kWh ¼ 3.6 MJ/kWh (Ref. [29])
Lagoon COD efficiency ¼ 98% (Ref. [69]) Notes:
a
Capital cost consists of cogeneration plant with low pressure boiler.
Electrical efficiency ¼ 30% b
Capital cost includes equipment cost.
Plant operating hours ¼ 7008 h/y c
Capital cost includes digester (covered lagoon), scrubber, dehumidifier biogas,
Annual methane production ¼ 90,000 m3 POME/y * 0.055 t- gas engine, boiler, biogas flare.
d
COD/m3 * 0.252 t-CH4/t-COD * 0.8 * 0.9 * 98% ¼ 880 t-methane/ Capital cost includes cogeneration plant with high pressure boiler, including EFB
pre-treatment plant. Data from literature are adjusted for inflation to 2016 price,
y
MJ
using Indonesia GDP deflator (Bank of Indonesia) Exchange rate 1 USD ¼ 13,000
880 tmethane 30%35:9 Nm3
Gross electricity generation ¼ y
kgCH4 MJ
Indonesian Rupiah (local currency)
0:716 m3CH4 3:6 kWh
¼ 2942 MWh/y
2;942 MWh=y References
Installed capacity of biogas plant ¼ 7008 h=y
¼ 0.52 MW
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^
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^
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72 F. Harahap et al. / Energy 170 (2019) 62e72