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The changed agenda in the

global sourcing industry:


perspectives and developments

Global ICT services sourcing conference, Sharm-el-Sheikh


November 14, 2009

CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY


Any use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited
Executive summary

▪ Long-term trends towards increased outsourcing and offshoring are prevailing. Driven by a changing
environment the industry size is expected to triple in the next 10 years
– Fundamental advantages of outsourcing (focus on core) and offshoring (need to address onshore skills
shortage and cost pressure) continue to hold, thus O+O industry will portray further growth
– 20-25% of future growth likely to come from further penetration of already existing segments, while 75-80%
likely to stem from new market segments: new verticals (healthcare, etc), SMBs and new domestic
outsourcing segments in BRIC countries, overall tripling the addressable market to 1,5 trillion USD by 2020
▪ While the economic downturn has caused a moderate slow-down in industry growth, there are early
signs of recovery
– 2009 expecting slowest revenue growth in the history of the O&O industry
– Early signs of recovery supported by increased industry activity in 2H 2009 and optimistic outlook of users
– However, significant uncertainty remains about ultimate timing and shape of economic recovery (V vs. W)
▪ Moving forward, the imperatives for successful O&O management are coping with increased uncertainty
and complexity combined with a strong belief in the fundamental growth perspectives of the industry
– Companies need to focus on increasing their ability to manage uncertainty in a flexible and agile mode
– The most predominant trends are taking the industry towards an unseen complex multi-dimensionality
▫ Multi-servicing: Everything that can be can be outsourced a/o offshored will be
▫ Multi-sourcing: Buyers of O+O services will play their market choices and exercise price pressure
▫ Multi-shoring: Ever new locations will strive for a share in this growth market – Egypt seems well
positioned
– Key take-aways: 1) Consider that O&O fundamentals are prevailing and invest in bold moves, 2) Make your
organization "fit" for managing uncertainty and consider O&O as key levers 3) Manage the emerging
complex multi-dimensionality in O&O

McKinsey & Company | 1


Fundamental advantages of outsourcing and offshoring continue to hold

Fundamental advantages
1
Outsource ▪ Focus on core business activities/capabilities
▪ Outsource non-core, which are core for partner
▪ Decrease cost through sharing partner’s scale
▪ Variabilize fix cost, and thus
▪ Increase sourcing flexibility to
▪ Meet changing business conditions

2
Offshore ▪ Cope with skills shortage in onshore markets by tapping
into offshore talent pools; e.g., India produces ~4 million
graduates p.a. willing to participate in global workforces
▪ Improve quality of services through employing higher
skilled labor; e.g. employment of commerce graduates
for accounts payables processing
▪ Lower cost base through labor arbitrage

SOURCE: McKinsey O&O Practice McKinsey & Company | 2


1 Focus on the core business: Easier said than done!

Core- vs. Non-Core Business ?! Main source


(Example: Automotive industry) of earnings at
▪ GM
Financial Services ▪ VW etc.

Logistics & Transport


Auto Supplies

Auto

SOURCE: McKinsey McKinsey & Company | 3


1 Core Capabilities mainly shaped by share of internal
value generation

A B
Global OEM Regional Supplier

Own value
generation
25

65
Own value
generation

Is there a necessity for such a large difference


in share of internal value generation?

SOURCE: McKinsey McKinsey & Company | 4


1 Focus on core capabilities may look like A... Core capabilities
VALUE ADDED CHAIN OF INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISE – EXAMPLE A

Create Make Sell Service Administer

Customer
Procure
Service

Human Resource Management

Accounting, Finance, Legal & Taxes, …

IT Infrastructure incl. AD/AM

SOURCE: McKinsey McKinsey & Company | 5


1 … or: Focus on core capabilities rather looking like B! Core capabilities
VALUE ADDED CHAIN OF INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISE – EXAMPLE B

Create Make Sell Service Administer

Customer
Procure
Service

Human Resource Management

Accounting, Finance, Legal & Taxes, …

IT Infrastructure incl. AD/AM

SOURCE: McKinsey McKinsey & Company | 6


2 Offshore talent pools can yield quality and productivity gains INDIA EXAMPLE

Business Process Offshoring IT Offshoring

Number of correct Project performance


transactions/number Percent on time and budget
of total transactions Total satis- 95
Percent faction factor
75
U.K.
Bench- 95 85
mark 45

Remote
30
98 92
facility

1 2 3 5
CMM level

41 of 58 CMM level 5
companies in India

SOURCE: McKinsey P360 McKinsey & Company | 7


While cost savings remain a driving factor for O&O activities …
Why outsource or offshore? Cost savings in support functions

Number of mentions as important


Percent Indexed numbers
Business1 support
and expert functions2
Cost savings 72
Transaction processing3
100
3-4
Flexibility 4-5 66-74
65 Demand 4-5
increase Organiza- Process
50 manage-
tion/gov- and exe-
Quality ment
55-60 ernance cution 36-39
improvements
Shortening of 8-10
throughput/ 3-5
45-50 4-5
development 50
time 30-35

Original Sourcing Consoli- IT system Future


cost base (offshoring/ dation design/ cost base
out- process
sourcing) automation

1 Includes management reporting, budgeting and forecasting, decision support


2 Includes tax, treasury, risk management, audit, M&A
3 Includes accounts payable, accounts receivable, T&E, all accounting processes

SOURCE: McKinsey Finance 360 Database; McKinsey O&O Practice, MIT Sloan CISR Survey on 80 Outsourcing
McKinsey & Company | 8
contracts
… many companies have recognized the potential of O&O CEE EXAMPLE

beyond labor arbitrage

Corporate/regional
headquarters
Knowledge hub
Transaction factory

Master transaction center EU/global center for core (Co-)Center of EU


for WE competencies business management
Driver ▪ Low-cost labor ▪ Deep talent pool ▪ Customers/suppliers
▪ Broad talent pool ▪ Engaged workforce moving East
▪ Building career models ▪ Interesting markets
▪ Established EE footprint
Examples ▪ Lufthansa (Cracow) ▪ Delphi (Cracow) ▪ Dell (Bratislava)
▪ Zurich/Capgemini ▪ Siemens (Wroclaw) ▪ JCI (Bratislava)
(Cracow) ▪ SAP Labs (Sofia)
▪ P&G/HP (Bucharest)
Faster move to knowledge-intensive services
driven by combination of factors
▪ Talented workforce with good functional knowledge
▪ Cultural proximity/accessibility/time-zone overlap
▪ Language capabilities
SOURCE: McKinsey EESTCom2, April 2007 McKinsey & Company | 9
Users are convinced of the (growing) importance of O&O

… and O&O workforce takes up additional/


Companies offshore more …
higher value-add work
How do you foresee the impact of the recent
financial crisis on offshoring activities
and decisions?
Percentage of responses (n = 76), EESTCom Shift of work
survey 2009 Headcount changes

More functions
51 Onshore
offshored

Tightening of
44 Offshore
business cases

Quicker transition 31-60


European Investment Bank

Fewer functions
▪ Onshore staff more heavily affected
3-50 by lay-offs
offshored
▪ Continued buildup of O&O resources
Others 4 ▪ Relative part of headcount in low-cost
locations increased

SOURCE: EESTCom survey 2009; press; interviews McKinsey & Company | 10


Growth of O&O continues keeping fundamental momentum

Significant industry growth


Offshoring revenues
USD billions
ESO CAGR
440
ITO
BPO 80
110

25% 230 Global


40 transformative
forces are the
main driver of
90 future growth
250
90
12
37 48 100
8 5
6 21 30
11
2001 2005 2008 2015E 2020E

SOURCE: NASSCOM report 2009; McKinsey O&O Practice McKinsey & Company | 11
Five global transformative forces impact the outlook of the O&O industry

5 global transformative forces

Opportunities The great rebalancing Productivity revolution Risks


▪ Asian 21st century ▪ Shrinking working age ▪ Erosion in existing
▪ Rise of untapped
market segments
▪ Emerging markets population in key segments from
scaling up, also in developed countries
– New ▪ Huge pressure on – Automation
innovation
Geographies ▪ Further urbanization productivity to achieve – Cannibalization
– New Service Global Grid economic growth
of existing
lines; e.g. • Increased Internet services (e.g.,
climate + mobile links SaaS replacing
change transforming the way production
Verticals like people interact/live support)
public sector, • New trade flows – Spend
among developing consolidation
healthcare Pricing the planet countries Market State
– SMB customer ▪ Rapidly increasing ▪ Global economic crisis – Slowdown in
segments consumption/supply gap adoption due to
led to major shifts in
– Increased in key natural resources industry structures and greater
adoption of creating need for regulatory control regulatory
global resource efficient climate ▪ Countries compete for control
sourcing change solutions business activities

SOURCE: McKinsey Global Forces Research, Oct. 2009; O&O Practice, Nov 2009 McKinsey & Company | 12
Engineering
Currently untapped segments will drive 75-80% services/R&D

of incremental growth by 2020 Business services


Technology services

Total addressable market for global sourcing and domestic outsourcing, 2020

USD billions
380-420 1,500-1,640

280-310 200-220

230-250 100-110
145-160 3
190-220
130-150 85-90 895-980
200-250
50-70 2
500 60-70
30-40 1
150 120-140
220 20-25% of growth 75-80% of growth from market 405-440
130 from core markets segments, that are not core today

Core markets Growth in New verticals New customer Domestic Total


2008 core markets in developed segments outsourcing addressable
countries market in new market in 2020
geographies
▪ 6 verticals (BFSI, telecom, ▪ Public sector ▪ SMBs ▪ Brazil
retail, pharma, manufacturing, ▪ Healthcare ▪ Russia
travel) ▪ Media1 ▪ India
▪ North America, Western ▪ Utilities ▪ China
Europe, Japan
▪ Large enterprises
Innovation can further expand the addressable market
1 Printing and publishing

SOURCE: Global Insight; Gartner January 2009 McKinsey & Company | 13


Sources of new market growth by 2020 are: 1 Four additional verticals,
2 SMBs across numerous verticals and 3 Domestic BRIC outsourcing

USD billions

1
Global sourcing addressable market for new verticals, 2020

17-20 190-220
25-30 3
58-65
Total addressable market from new
90-105 geographies, 2020
205-225 380-420

Public sector Healthcare Utilities Media Total


and defence providers (printing and
publishing)

2 90-100
Global sourcing addressable market for SMBs by vertical in core geographies,
2020

230-250 45-50
~10
15-20 40-45
~20
30-35
~35
Brazil Russia India China Total
80-90 ~40

Banking Manu- Travel Whole- Insurance Retail Others Total


facturing sale
banking

SOURCE: Global Insight; Gartner January 2009; McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company | 14
Executive summary

▪ Long-term trends towards increased outsourcing and offshoring are prevailing. Driven by a changing
environment the industry size is expected to triple in the next 10 years
– Fundamental advantages of outsourcing (focus on core) and offshoring (need to address onshore skills
shortage and cost pressure) continue to hold, thus O+O industry will portray further growth
– 20-25% of future growth likely to come from further penetration of already existing segments, while 75-80%
likely to stem from new market segments: new verticals (healthcare, etc), SMBs and new domestic
outsourcing segments in BRIC countries, overall tripling the addressable market to 1,5 trillion USD by 2020
▪ While the economic downturn has caused a moderate slow-down in industry growth, there are early
signs of recovery
– 2009 expecting slowest revenue growth in the history of the O&O industry
– Early signs of recovery supported by increased industry activity in 2H 2009 and optimistic outlook of users
– However, significant uncertainty remains about ultimate timing and shape of economic recovery (V vs. W)
▪ Moving forward, the imperatives for successful O&O management are coping with increased uncertainty
and complexity combined with a strong belief in the fundamental growth perspectives of the industry
– Companies need to focus on increasing their ability to manage uncertainty in a flexible and agile mode
– The most predominant trends are taking the industry towards an unseen complex multi-dimensionality
▫ Multi-servicing: Everything that can be can be outsourced a/o offshored will be
▫ Multi-sourcing: Buyers of O+O services will play their market choices and exercise price pressure
▫ Multi-shoring: Ever new locations will strive for a share in this growth market – Egypt seems well
positioned
– Key take-aways: 1) Consider that O&O fundamentals are prevailing and invest in bold moves, 2) Make your
organization "fit" for managing uncertainty and consider O&O as key levers 3) Manage the emerging
complex multi-dimensionality in O&O

McKinsey & Company | 15


Overall revenue and profit performance of leading Indian O&O players
worsened in 2008
Percent
Revenue growth for leading Indian O&O Net Profit growth for leading Indian O&O
players1 players

Sequential
quarter
change 4.0 6.2
3.7

-3.1 -3.1 -4.6 -4.2


-7.9

28.0
22.0
Year-on-year
change 9.1
2.2 4.6
1.4

-6.3
-10.6
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08

1 Results declared in the last 4 sequential quarters of FY 2009 for Top 13 players, Rs to US$ conversion based on income statement publication
date rate

SOURCE: Kotak Tech quarterly data book; company websites McKinsey & Company | 16
2009 expecting slowest growth in the history of the O&O industry

O&O industry revenue


US$ billion
90
4-7% 94-96
13% 80

62
60 62-63
55
ITO1 43

25 30 32-33
BPO 19

2006 2007 2008 20092

1 Including ESO and High Tech R&D services


2 Estimates

SOURCE: NASSCOM, EESTCom 2009, Customer surveys, McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company | 17
Decision makers have an optimistic view of their future O&O activities
and expansion, with early signs of recovery evident even within 2009
What are your growth plans for captive offshore
Examples of early signs of recovery for 20101 (USD Mio)
locations in the next 12-18 months?

Percentage of respondents (n = 45), EESTCom survey 2009 315 339


273 261 +30%
40
31

7 9 13
320 318 314 318
0%
20-30% 10-20%Will not 10-20% 20-30%
change
Decrease employment Expand employment
much
in offshore locations in offshore locations 208 202 217 245
+21%

In percentage terms, how would your outsourced FTE


volume change in the next 1-2 years? 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Percentage of respondents (n = 30), GLG survey
German market growth (estimates in %)
45
30 IT market Outsourcing market Total size
20
5 bn EUR

-2 2009 5 14,3
1-10% Will not 1-10% 11-20%
change
Volume Volume increase 0 2010 7 15,4
decrease

1 Profits declared in the last 4 sequential quarters, Rs to US$ conversion based on income statement publication date rate, Indian Fiscal year

SOURCE: EESTCom survey 2009; GLG survey 2009; company websites, BITKOM 11/2009 McKinsey & Company | 18
High uncertainty of so far unseen recent crisis situation ILLUSTRATIVE
best addressed via scenarios
Ifo-Index in points, year 2000 = 100

Dealing with high uncertainty … … via scenarios

105 Over optimists?

Rapid
100
recovery
Medium-term
95 recovery at
lower level
Optimists ?
90

85

Moderate crisis Realists?


80

75
Drastic crisis
Pessimists?
70
04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 02 03 04 05 06
2007 08 09 2010

SOURCE: FTD, Oct.28, 2008, p16; updated with Ifo stats and complemented with scenarios McKinsey & Company | 19
Executive summary

▪ Long-term trends towards increased outsourcing and offshoring are prevailing. Driven by a changing
environment the industry size is expected to triple in the next 10 years
– Fundamental advantages of outsourcing (focus on core) and offshoring (need to address onshore skills
shortage and cost pressure) continue to hold, thus O+O industry will portray further growth
– 20-25% of future growth likely to come from further penetration of already existing segments, while 75-80%
likely to stem from new market segments: new verticals (healthcare, etc), SMBs and new domestic
outsourcing segments in BRIC countries, overall tripling the addressable market to 1,5 trillion USD by 2020
▪ While the economic downturn has caused a moderate slow-down in industry growth, there are early
signs of recovery
– 2009 expecting slowest revenue growth in the history of the O&O industry
– Early signs of recovery supported by increased industry activity in 2H 2009 and optimistic outlook of users
– However, significant uncertainty remains about ultimate timing and shape of economic recovery (V vs. W)
▪ Moving forward, the imperatives for successful O&O management are coping with increased uncertainty
and complexity combined with a strong belief in the fundamental growth perspectives of the industry
– Companies need to focus on increasing their ability to manage uncertainty in a flexible and agile mode
– The most predominant trends are taking the industry towards an unseen complex multi-dimensionality
▫ Multi-servicing: Everything that can be can be outsourced a/o offshored will be
▫ Multi-sourcing: Buyers of O+O services will play their market choices and exercise price pressure
▫ Multi-shoring: Ever new locations will strive for a share in this growth market – Egypt seems well
positioned
– Key take-aways: 1) Consider that O&O fundamentals are prevailing and invest in bold moves, 2) Make your
organization "fit" for managing uncertainty and consider O&O as key levers 3) Manage the emerging
complex multi-dimensionality in O&O

McKinsey & Company | 20


To navigate the uncertainty, companies need to become more adept
at “shaping the future”

Build ▪ Model company performance and impact under each scenario


awareness

Enhance ▪ Significantly increase scope and intensity of resiliency actions


resilience to safeguard current business

Increase ▪ Build and acquire options for your business and implement "no-
flexibility regret" moves

Determine ▪ Take conscious decision wheather company wants to play


posture defense, attack or adapt

SOURCE: McKinsey Center for Managing Uncertainty McKinsey & Company | 21


Overarching trends in O&O towards complex multi-dimensionality

Multi-servicing Multi-sourcing (exampl.) Multi-shoring


Business
model/processes

Business
capabilities

IT applications

IT integration
platform

IT infrastructure
products

IT
infrastructure

▪ Proliferation of services ▪ Buyers increasing pres- ▪ Tendency to diversify risk


offshored or outsourced sure on service providers ▪ Emerging location
▪ New customers, verticals through increased experi- continue to sustain due to
and geographies being ence and sophistication economic attractiveness
serviced in outsourcing and risk diversification
▪ Tendency towards indus- ▪ Buyers outsourcing 1 ▪ Advanced location and
trialization of activity to several service governance architectures
transactional services providers are developing
and adoption of higher ▪ Determination of right
value activities amount of vendors
(typically 2 or 3)

SOURCE: McKinsey McKinsey & Company | 22


NEW VERTICALS HEALTHCARE EXAMPLE
Opportunities for global sourcing exist across various functions
of the healthcare provider value chain
Healthcare Share of Theoretic maximum share of function High degree
Sub-function
provider employment that can be outsourced of offshor-
function Per cent Per cent ability
Patient care ▪ Physician, practitioner services 19 4 4
provision
Nursing services ▪ Nursing care provision 25 0 0
Other ▪ Operating room ▪ 20 ▪ -
professional ▪ Diagnostic laboratory etc. ▪ 5 ▪ 70
healthcare ▪ Radiography/nuclear medicine ▪ 10 ▪ -
services ▪ Case management ▪ 10 ▪ 10
▪ Pharmacy ▪ 5 28 ▪ - 5
▪ Respiratory therapy ▪ 15 ▪ - Total address-
▪ Physical therapy ▪ 15 ▪ - able market for
▪ Transport ▪ 10 healthcare
▪ Other health professional clerical ▪ 10 ▪ - providers is
expected to be
Hospitality ▪ Housekeeping ▪ 30 ▪ -
USD 58 billion-
functions ▪ Plant operations and maintenance ▪ 30 ▪ -
65 billion
▪ Security ▪ 10 13 ▪ - 0
by 2020
▪ Laundry/linen ▪ 15 ▪ -
▪ Food services ▪ 15 ▪ -
IT services ▪ 60 ▪ 60
▪ ADM 5 35
▪ Hardware operations1 ▪ 40 ▪ -
G&A ▪ General management and legal ▪ 20 ▪ 40
▪ Purchasing ▪ 10 ▪ 40
▪ Patient billing ▪ 10 ▪ 50
▪ Finance and accounting ▪ 15 10 ▪ 50
35
▪ Personnel/HR ▪ 10 ▪ 25
▪ Planning ▪ 5 ▪ -
▪ Medical records ▪ 10 ▪ 75
▪ Admissions ▪ 20 ▪ 10

1 Hardware operations not included

SOURCE: Interviews; McKinsey Global Institute analysis McKinsey & Company | 23


NEW VERTICALS HEALTHCARE EXAMPLE
Potential technology and business services offerings
for healthcare providers Top-3 priorities

Most important technology services applications1 Important business services offerings

Per cent ▪ Patient-facing services: Medical call centres to reduce


cost of hospital admissions, telemedicine for remote
Computerised practitioner monitoring and disease management
47
order entry (CPOE) ▪ Payer/provider-facing services: Billing, administration,
scheduling, purchasing etc.
Electronic medical
47
records

Clinical information Examples


46
systems

Bar-coded medication
43
management
▪ Dutch company ▪ British company
providing outsourcing administering and
Clinical data repository 37 for billing and supporting corporate
collections healthcare programme
Enterprise-wide clinical
35
information sharing

Evidence-based medicine
29 ▪ German medical call ▪ German company
at point of care centre company offering providing disease
on-line and off-line management
Point-of-care
29 medical consulting for counselling for
data collection
hospitals chronically ill patients

1 2007 HIMSS leadership survey of hospital CIOs

SOURCE: Interviews; McKinsey Global Institute analysis McKinsey & Company | 24


HIGHER VALUE ADD
Product design market will expand as companies globally
source increasingly complex activities Focus of
current
global
High Database
Technical sourcing
publication management
Data conversion
Low-complexity (2D to 3D, v4 to v5)
subassembly
design Basic design
ECN
Ability to manage risk CAE
▪ Criticality/risk Process CFD Asset
associated with Optimisation
information
process FE analysis management
▪ Source of
Technical and plant
competitive
Project simulations
advantage
management Requirement
▪ Requirement to
management
retain in-house skills
Dynamic
Configuration and
analysis Physical prototype
control management Integrated Electrical
design design
Module design Layout
Systems engineering
Certifications Advance R&D
Low e.g., materials
Low High

Modularity
• Ease in defining work packages with well defined interfaces
• Number of feedback loops
• More external interfaces and instabilities

SOURCE: McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company | 25


NEW CUSTOMER SEGMENTS
Consumerisation of technology will stimulate adoption
of global sourcing by SMBs and even individuals

Financial services
Telemedicine
Individual
Medical advice
Travel services
Tuition/homework
Customer

B2C

Professional services
SMB
Business

Legal

Present scope of Accounting


services (large Creativity/advertising
enterprises)

Business Individual

Provider

SOURCE: McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company | 26


Pricing pressures likely to continue, but potentially with
increase in volumes
What is the likely change in technology and
O&O prices are likely to decline …
business services billing rates in 2009?

Percent respondents, n = 29
[There are] predictions that contract prices charged
2009 outlook by Indian firms are likely to drop. CLSA1 […] predicts
100 100 they will fall by 3-5% in the next fiscal year, starting
in April 2009
Reduce billing rates 10
20 – Economist, Oct 2008
by more than 10%
We are experiencing pricing pressures of anywhere
from 4% to 15%.
40 – Subramanian Ramadorai, CEO of TCS, March 2009
Reduce billing
34
rates by 5-10%
… but providers willing to help companies increase
O&O efficiency

Maintain current UK Pharma company


billing rates
36 46 ▪ Intuition to grow large outsourced baseline further led
to renegotiation of existing deals
Increase ▪ Providers recognize the growth potential and offer
billing rates 10 – Rate adjustments, especially if overall volume
4
increases
Existing New – Cooperation on efficiency improvement
contracts contracts – More specialized services

SOURCE: Economist; Forbes Asia; interviews 4/2009 McKinsey & Company | 27


Dual sourcing ADM Outsourcing deal as challenging model
of a next generation multi-sourcing arrangement EXAMPLE
OpCO untouched or no OpCo
OpCO ADM outsourced to vendor A

▪ Retained in-house OpCO ADM outsourced to vendor B


– ADM strategy & architecture guidance
– Select Competence Centers
– Vendor Management & Controlling

▪ Bulk of USD 1 billion ADM budget


outsourced to A or B for 7 years
▪ Out of 6,000 ADM FTEs in next 3-5 years
(of which 3,500 are contractors), 2,500
move to A or B
▪ Contracted blended rate of USD xxx p.d.
requiring massive offshoring
▪ Recent B acquisition in India gets
substantial load out of this deal

SOURCE: Various press clippings McKinsey & Company | 28


Companies diversifying location footprints with established
locations loosing share

Country footprint Share of growth in seats for BPO & ITO

# of companies in the sample 100% = thousand FTEs

100% = 44 44 100% = ~355 ~215-250

>=3
28%
countries 39% Other
51 58
locations

1-2
72%
countries 61%
India 49 42

2008 2009 2008 2009 E

SOURCE: EESTCom 2009, McKinsey analysis McKinsey & Company | 29


Strong momentum seen in the growth of emerging offshoring
destinations, based on strong performance in niche areas

▪ Limited movement of scale ▪ Eastern Europe continues


services to near-shore to maintain share of
North American destinations offshore FTEs
though some movement of ▪ ~86% of growth in ▪ China doubling ITO
near-/close-shore services existing centers jobs with 100,000+
FTEs likely to be
Eastern added in domestic
North and export in 2009
Europe China
America
North Africa India

South-East Asia
South America

▪ Argentina and Brazil with ▪ Philippines are


preferred
different risk and talent ▪ Emergence of Egypt as potential destination
profiles; European scale location of choice
for voice
languages ▪ Morocco continues to be
▪ Continued growth
▪ Emergence of Argentina destination of choice for French
in Malaysia
with notable landmark companies (~5 deals in 2009)
transactions
▪ Vietnam still
nascent

SOURCE: McKinsey McKinsey & Company | 30


Global sourcing is happening at various shores
Labor cost index for various shores/semi-experienced software engineer 2006 est. Onshore
Close-shore
130 Near-shore
65 Offshore
35
15
British
London Nottingham Talinn, Hyderabad,
Riga Bangalore, …

100
60 30 - 40 10 - 20
German
Hamburg Rostock Gdansk, Novosibirsk,
Bratislava, Dalian
Cluj

80
50 30 15 - 25
Spanish
Madrid Valladolid Constanta, Buenos Aires,
Varna Mexico City

▪ Labor ▪ Compliance
▪ Cost
regulation ▪ Cultural
▪ Scale
▪ Proximity affinity

SOURCE: McKinsey O&O Practice June 2007 McKinsey & Company | 31


Egypt seems well positioned in attracting O&O industry investments

▪ Government ▪ Tax reforms (e.g., reduction of personal


progressing in and corporate tax rate)
reforms targeted ▪ Customs reforms
to attract ▪ Intellectual property protection reforms
investors and to Egyptian ▪ Financial sector reforms
simplify doing government
business
▪ Dedicated ▪ Support and foster development of BPO/ITO industry
agency (ITIDA) ▪ Guide and promote investments in ICT/BPO sector
supporting ▪ Increase exports of ICT products and services
growth of
Information ▪ Support R&D in the ICT sector and implement results
BPO/ITO sector Technology Industry
and inflow of new Development Agency
investors
▪ Integrated ▪ Focused outreach to targeted investors based on
demand strategy Egypt's value proposition
with talent pool ▪ University curriculum interventions to scale up suitable
enhancements graduates pool for BPO activities to 10,000+ on annual
established to basis
attract investors Information ▪ Finishing schools and structural university interventions
with specific Technology Institute to enhance skill set in European languages by 1000+
service offerings & ITIDA annually
▪ IT specific talent programs under design to support
growth of ITO industry

Sources: ITIDA; McKinsey & Company | 32


Focus on CORE appropriate for majority of enterprises;
a small league will be capable to capture COPE advantages
% of WE enterprises regarding proper complexity management strategy

Servicing
Single Multi
Sourcing
Single Multi
Shoring
Single Multi

CORE: COPE:
Complexity Complexity
Reduction Performance
Enhancement
▪ Managing for simplicity across the whole ▪ Capturing value from
value chain network management
▪ Capturing value from lean programs and strategies; e.g. hub &
taking out variance wherever feasible spokes
▪ Focus, focus, focus ▪ Exploring the long tail
▪ Partner ecosystems

SOURCE: McKinsey O&O Practice 2009 McKinsey & Company | 33


Key take-aways for successful O&O management
in the current and likely future environment

Consider that O&O fundamentals are prevailing and


invest in bold moves to increase your long-term
benefits

Make your organization "fit" for managing the


uncertainty and consider O&O as key levers to
increase flexibility and agility

Manage the emerging complex multi-dimensionality in


O&O and apply the best mix for your organization

SOURCE: McKinsey O&O Practice 2009 McKinsey & Company | 34

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