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Q4 2011 OfficeSnapshot
Q4 2011 OfficeSnapshot
Q4 2011 OfficeSnapshot
Vacancy
18.3%
Net Absorption
175,336 SF
Deliveries
48,300 SF
Asking Rent
$19.55 SF
Raleigh Office
Economic Indicators
Q4 11
Triangle Employment Triangle Unemployment U.S. Unemployment U.S. CCI 787.9K 7.8% 8.3% 57.05
Q4 10
777.4K 8.0% 9.1% 53.53
Net Absorption
2,000
Square Feet ('000s)
Forecast
05 07 09
Consistent demand is expected for the first half of 2012, followed by modest activity over the second half of the year due to election paralysis Asking rates for specific, well-positioned Class A properties are stabilizing and could begin to increase in 2012 50,000 square foot and greater blocks of quality contiguous space are limited in both Class A and B properties in top performing submarkets Rhetoric over the prospect of speculative construction is starting to pick up, perhaps foreshadowing construction of a speculative office building starting at some point in 2012 A wave of distressed commercial assets is expected to hit the market this year, as lenders and special servicers who have previously been preoccupied with unloading residential assets, begin to focus on their commercial holdings
20 10
06
08
Vacancy Rate
20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Historical Average
20 11
20
20
20
20
20
The Triangle, which added 10,500 jobs in the 12 month period ending in November 2011, will continue to perform well relative to other markets around the country Demand for smaller, commoditized vacancies is expected to improve slightly, however, these properties will continue to struggle in 2012
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aveRage
(claSS a)
Submarket
Cary Chapel Hill Central Durham Downtown Raleigh and Cameron Village Eastern Wake County Northern Durham North Raleigh* Southern Wake County West Raleigh and US 70 / Glenwood I-40 / RTP / South Durham 116 36 52 76 20 30 170 13 150 191 5,648,582 1,541,391 3,007,403 4,458,505 462,277 1,462,947 8,424,408 243,587 8,745,326 13,045,287 101,833 34,376 121,071 366,539 148,720 770,321 274,799 294,614 511,953 106,596 642,054 1,524,452 109,618 1,179,265 3,184,728 13.6% 17.8% 9.8% 11.5% 23.1% 43.9% 18.1% 45.0% 13.5% 24.4% 91,393 25,266 4,764 16,257 437 (8,009) 92,766 (1,393) (19,500) (26,645) 154,043 44,010 17,932 (59,698) (27,571) (12,481) 157,841 25,471 46,568 (208,800) $19.65 $22.65 $20.30 $19.95 $16.60 $16.80 $18.60 $16.15 $18.40 $18.45 $21.45 $23.60 $23.00 $22.05 N/A N/A $21.30 $17.05 $21.75 $20.25
TOTal
Office asking rents converted to Full Service *Includes Six Forks Rd, Falls of the Neuse Rd & US 1/Capital Blvd
Ofce Submarkets
Raleigh / Durham
Office Submarkets
Raleigh / Durham
TenanT
Red Hat RBC Bank WakeMed Stantec veritas collaborative Piedmont Financial entegrion Sessoms & Rogers, p.a. nc health care innovation SciQuest
Sf
380,000 43,300 28,000 27,000 21,000 15,300 12,685 12,100 12,000 11,900
TRanSacTiOn Type
Sublease Sublease Expansion Renewal lease Lease Renewal lease lease Expansion
SuBMaRkeT
Downtown Raleigh US 70 / Glenwood North Raleigh West Raleigh
4 1 2
3 11
Raleigh Durham Int. Airport
South Durham West Raleigh RTp / i-40 RTp / i-40 South Durham Cary
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.
5
10
40
12
13
15 9
440
14
40
40
Sf
806,000 260,000 111,762 105,400
SelleR/BuyeR
The lionstone group franklin Street properties Brookdale Group Brookdale group
pRice
$88,800,000 $75,800,000 $15,400,000 $13,605,000
SuBMaRkeT
RTp/i-40 RTp/i-40 West Raleigh RTp/i-40
Orange County North Durham Central Durham South Durham RTP / I-40 Corridor Cary Southern Wake County Eastern Wake County
9. West Raleigh 10. US 70 / Glenwood Ave. 11. Six Forks Road 12. Falls of Neuse Road 13. US 1 / Capital Blvd 14. Downtown Raleigh 15. Cameron Village
David finger
Senior Vice President Managing Principal 3110 Edwards Mill Road Suite 210 Raleigh, NC 27612 Tel: 919.789.4255 Fax: 919.789.0268 Email: David.Finger@cassidyturley.com
The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources considered to be reliable. The information may contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy. Copyright 2012 Cassidy Turley.
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