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Honeywell Automation India LTD
Honeywell Automation India LTD
Honeywell Automation India LTD
Capitalization Face Value Price/BV Book Value 52 Wk High (BSE) 52 Wk Low (BSE) CMP B 517174 HWA IN Rs 2189 Cr Rs 10 3.93x Rs 603.37 Rs 3130 Rs 2015 Rs 2369
About Honeywell
Honeywell Automation India Ltd. (HAIL) is a leading provider of integrated automation and software solutions that improve productivity and enhance safety and security of homes and businesses. HAIL is headquartered in Pune with 8 offices all over India. HAIL is the market leader in most of the business areas it operates in. Furthermore, it is a market leader in Electronics-Instrumentation and Process Control equipment industry. The company`s main products are distributed control systems, building control systems and smart transmitters. HAIL is the only company in India in the field of Industrial Automation and Control to be awarded ISO 9000 certification. HAIL's manufacturing facility is well equipped to provide customers with value-added contract manufacturing services.
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Business Segments
HAILs Business comprises of 5 Business Segments
v HPS business serves core industrial sectors of Refining, Oil and Gas, Pulp and Paper, Metal and Cement etc. v HBS business provides solutions and services for facilities such as Commercial and Industrial Buildings, IT and ITES industry, Hospitals, Hotels, Airports, and Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) etc. v ECC business via multi channels and multiple brands, offers environmental and combustion products and solutions to commercial, hospitality and industrial segments v S&C This business provides various sensors and switches to manufacturing and automobile industry. This business serves primarily OEMs in various manufacturing industries such as auto, medical instrumentation, IT, etc. v GS This segment caters to the manufacturing and engineering services needs of Honeywell along with some other non Honeywell customers across the globe, leveraging the cost, skills and knowledge arbitrage.
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v Overall this segment performed well in 2010. Process Solutions offers its Solutions and Products in 4 modes. Each of the modes i.e. New Construction, Advance Solutions, Life Cycle Services (LCS) and Field Solutions grew in order booking in 2010.
Performance
Outlook
v Further higher threat and perception for security and safety and focus of energy conservation will lead to growth potential in Industrial security and safety applications where HAIL has a strong product/solution portfolio. HAIL continues to be the beneficiary of Honeywell HPS global investment in technology in new Products and Solutions, which will help HPS India to make its competitive position stronger in CY2011&CY2012
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Performance
v HAIL continued its consistent track record of performing well in CY2010 and won several contracts and
Outlook
v Segment is expected to perform well in CY11 & CY12
CCTV
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Outlook & Performance Drivers v Government policies for encouraging renewable energy solutions are helping in leveraging large
commercial opportunities in ECC space. Consolidation of Commercial Construction and Real Estate segment, along with urbanization of Tier 2 and 3 cities, would drive growth of the diversified product portfolio for the business in 2011
201, Viraj Tower, Near Land mark Building, Western Express Highway, Andheri (E), Mumbai-69
Industry Catered v Power Generation Equipment, Process Instruments, Off-highway/ Construction Equipments,
Military/Aeronautical Industries, Educational and Research Institutions.
Growth Drivers
v Firming demand in transportation segments and diversification in other verticals and applications will help the business to pursue growth in 2011.
Basic Switches
Global Services
v GS business offers engineering services and product manufacturing, solutions and services to overseas requirements of Honeywell and other customers and is expected to grow moderately. HAIL has adopted GS has adopted Honeywell Operating Systems (HOS), which is designed to improve service performance and cost optimization, thereby representing a holistic approach to operational excellence.
Engineering Services
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Order Book
Order Book(Rs in Cr)
1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 CY 09 CY 10 Apr -11 1350 1195 900
Order Book(Rs in Cr)
The order book has grown by 13% on YOY basis. During the year CY'10, the company was able to grab many domestic green field projects in Power and Oil & Gas sector unlike CY'09. Further during the year, the Parent company had also won some green field projects, the execution of which will take place during CY'11. The current order book of the company as on Apr 2011 is ~ Rs 900 Cr
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1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 58 65 82 133 105 644 868 Sales (Rs in Cr) Profit(Rs in Cr) 1002 1355 1175
Total Sales CAGR ~ 20.4% over last 4 years Total PAT CAGR ~ 16% over last 4 years Total Sales Growth of 15% over CY09 complemented by strong growth in domestic business & contract manufacturing however slowdown in exports impacted the sales growth to a certain extent. The PAT in CY 10 was muted as compared to CY 09 primarily due to an unfavorable revenue mix, competitive pressure on margins, increased employee cost and corporate allocations. However this is expected to improve in coming years.
Export Sales
Sales (Rs in Cr)
600 400 200 0 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 159 184 Sales (Rs in Cr) 422 486 505
~ 4% Export sales growth in CY10 over CY09 engineering exports were muted while contract manufacturing business and hardware exports were the growth drivers.
201, Viraj Tower, Near Land mark Building, Western Express Highway, Andheri (E), Mumbai-69
EPS subdued in CY10 since Challenges in exports volume originating from Non Honeywell and Honeywell customers due to adverse order mix. There is Aggressive competition emerging from other developing nations. Corrective steps and action undertaken by company will lead to improvement in this scenario going forward.
Current Ratio
2.5 2.1 2 1.57 1.5 1 0.5 0 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11E CY12E Current Ratio 1.54 1.78 2.09 2.2 2.22
HAIL is able to maintain its Current ratio & co is in sound position to meet its current liabilities and maintain its growing need of working capital.
201, Viraj Tower, Near Land mark Building, Western Express Highway, Andheri (E), Mumbai-69
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Key Triggers..
v HAIL has produced good set of numbers Q1 CY11, where net sales grew by 26% to ~ Rs. 354 Cr. This is primarily due to execution of green field project execution in Q1CY11 as compared to no green field execution in Q1CY10 v During the year CY'10, the company was able to grab many domestic green field projects in Power and Oil & Gas sector unlike CY'09. Further during the year, the Honeywell had also won some green field projects the execution of which will take place during CY'11. v In refinery business, after the Paradip refinery no new green field refinery is coming up. But on Oil and Gas sector, i.e. upstream, downstream, midstream and on the distribution i.e. retail side, many green field projects are coming up and thus order pipeline and orders for the future have a clear visibility. Power automation side is stable. v The green field orders are also very competitive orders and given the raw material prices, it would be very difficult to maintain the margins. However, these green field orders are a package where there is initially execution and then service revenue attached to it. We are confident that the whole package i.e. including service revenues will have better margins. v The corporate expenditure allocation to the company depends on promoters since the expenditure like R&D, brand building, strategic planning, various audits etc incurred at the group level and then a reasonable share of the expenditure is allocated to Honeywell India. While the allocation will vary depending upon the actual expenditure, going forward it would be at an estimate~3.5 -4.5% of net sales every year.
Investment Rationale
v Strong Delisting Candidate: Honeywell is a very strong delisting candidate since they can go completely private & delist themselves. Also there is less probability that the company will reduce its current stake of 81.24 % to 75%. Thus, the promoters will have to ensure an open offer and undertake reverse book building process and will lead to highest buyout price possible. v Strong Parentage: HAIL enjoys a strong parentage of Honey Well Plc which is a Fortune 100 global diversified technology and manufacturing leader. Each of the companys four businesses - Aerospace, Automation and Control Solutions, Transportation Systems, and Specialty Materials enjoy global standards and are well accepted by customers world wide v Government Spending: The fortunes of HAIL are very closely related to continued government spending on key infrastructure projects like Roads, Airports, Mass Transit Systems, Energy Conservation Initiatives and Electronic Security will help volume growth opportunities in Buildings Solutions business going forward. The contribution of Indian electronics and electrical industry to GDP is phenomenal and the industry offers overwhelming opportunities for electronic equipments manufacturing. Electric equipment industry contributes over 2 % of GDP which is expected to rise to around 12 % in 2015
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v Electronic Market: The electronics market in India is forecast to touch $125 billion by 2014 from current size of $45 billion. Automation suppliers are expected to greatly benefit from the power, oil and gas and pharmaceutical sectors growth. Automation is now also important for medium and small size units and they are driving the growth for the sector. v Debt Free Status: HAIL enjoys a debt free status and is a cash rich company having balance of ~Rs 211 Cr CY10 v Strong Trend in Automobile Segments: Automobile segment had robust sales in CY10 & the spillover effect are seen in CY11 , continued strong demand in Tier I & II Cities and the uptrend in both have kept the industry outlook and opportunities intact for the industry. v Track Record: HAIL has shown resilience even there is a downturn in the engineering industry it has kept growing at healthy pace even though most of its competitors are struggling even in CY09 when the world was in recession it performed reasonably well. v Huge Cash Generating Machine: HAIL has generated average cash ~Rs 85 Cr (CY06-CY10) as against average profit ~ 88 Cr(CY06-CY10).Thus co is a cash rich and has ability to generate healthy cash flows to meet investment and financing needs thereby not relying on external sources of funds. The co has cash of Rs 211 Cr as on 31 st Dec,2011 which works out to be Rs 238.60/- per share
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IGSL Analysis
v Sector: Fortunes of engineering sector based on industrial capex cycle. We believe that H2FY11 there will be pickup in industrial spending by government as well as corporate & easing of interest rates and high commodities will help in gaining of momentum. v Sweet Spot: HAIL is in a sweet spot and one stop solution for corporate in the integrated automation & and process solutions industry. It helps the companies in improving efficiency and reduction of overall costs v Sales: The top line of the company is growing consistently and will be able to sustain even in CY11& CY12.The top line will be impacted to certain extent in CY11 due to slow down in CAPEX in CY11 & high interest cost but H2CY11 it is expected to perform better. The sales are expected to rise ~11.5% in CY11 & 20% in CY12 v Operating Margins: HAIL operating margins are expected to remain in the average of 10.53% (CY10 CY12E) and seem decent to meet its fixed costs v EPS growth: The EPS is expected to grow at a CAGR growth rate of 19.6% from Rs 118.83 in CY10 to Rs 170.12 in CY12E and is healthy v ROCE: HAIL is likely to maintain an average ROCE of ~25 % (CY10-CY12E) indicates the efficiency and profitability of a company's capital investments. v Promoter Holding: Higher the promoters holding better the confidence among small & retail investors. The promoters hold more than 81 % and the stake dilution in near future also looks not a possibility v FII holding: The stock has a low FII holding 0.53 % hence low volatility in stock prices. v Liquidity: HAIL is an illiquid stock in nature with average 52 weeks average daily volume of 1875 shares. Hence recommended to accumulate in small quantity in many trades v Debt: The company is virtually debt free and has been able to sail through recession & downturn with practically lower or negligible debt costs despite lower profits in CY10 as compared to CY09
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PROMOTER HOLDINGS AS ON 31st Mar, 2011 Name of the Shareholder Honeywell Asia Pacific Inc Total No. of Shares 7,182,475 7,182,475 Shares as % of Total No. of Shares 81.24 81.24
MUTUAL FUND HOLDINGS AS ON 31st Mar, 2011 Name of the Shareholder Birla Sun Life Trustee Company Pvt Ltd A/c Birla Sun Life Tax Relief 96 Total No. of Shares 157,500 157,500 Shares as % of Total No. of Shares 1.78 1.78
MNC like HAIL are consolidating their shareholdings in Indian subsidiaries as they operate in a key emerging market now and also offers a competitive production base in the region. Delisting eliminates potential conflict of interest with minority shareholders in key strategic decisions while providing fair value to minority shareholders as well.
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Valuations
At current market price of Rs 2369/-, the stock is trading at CY11E earning 18.72 & 13.93x of CY12 earnings. We expect EPS of Rs 126.54 in CY11E & Rs 170.12 in CY12E.
Furthermore, Promoters hold 81.24 % of shares in the company and since the company is not looking for diluting the stake makes it an Attractive Delist Candidate in near future
Automation Industry fortunes are closely linked to Industrial production and anticipated growth in the commercial & infrastructure construction. We expect government spending to pick up in key areas like roads, airports and power sector which offers immense opportunities to HAIL We recommend to Accumulate the stock in small quantities since its illiquid in nature within price band of Rs 2150/- to Rs 2350/We Recommend Buy with a 1 year referral Indicative Price Target of Rs 3400 - 3600.
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For Any Queries please feel free to contact our Institutional Team
Names Nagji Rita Sales Ravinder Kasliwal Dealing Shiv Damani Vinit Rita Rashda Ainapore Research Anshuman Jain Divya Kant Pankti Shah Sheetal Nirmal Sanjeev Haria Sibayan Banerjee Ashok Patel Madhu Patel Designation CMD Head Institutional Sales Institutional Dealer Institutional Dealer Institutional Dealer Research Analyst Research Analyst Research Analyst Research Analyst Research Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst Technical Analyst E-Mail Id. ravinder.kasliwal@inveturegrowth.com shiv.damani@inventuregrowth.com vinit.rita@inventuregrowth.com rashda.ainapore@inventuregrowth.com anshuman.jain@inventuregrowth.com divya.kant@inventuregrowth.com pankti.shah@inventuregrowth.com sheetal.nirmal@inventuregrowth.com sanjeev.haria@inventuregrowth.com ashok.patel@inventuregrowth.com madhu.patel@inventuregrowth.com Contact 40751565/66 22723797 40751565/66 40751565/66 40751515 * 562 40751515 40751515 40751515 40751515 22723797 22723797
sibayan.banerjee@inventuregrowth.com 22723797
Disclaimer
Inventure Growth & Securities Ltd has prepared this Document. The information, analysis and estimates contained herein are based on Inventures assessment and have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Neither Inventure Growth & Securities Ltd nor any of its employees or associates accepts any liability whatsoever direct or indirect that may arise from the use of information herein and shall not be responsible for its completeness and accuracy. It is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy securities. This document is for circulation only
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