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Macondo MC_252-I-A Losses Analysis

Jianguo Zhang Steve f,illson

EPTSTS Drilling - E P T S T SD r i l l i n g

3-tc<
Exhibit No. Worldwide Court Inc.

CONFIDENTIAL

BP-HZN- 9MDL0 00943 217 0 I

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L o s s e sl o c a t i o n :
- Mostly in 14-90 elow the lB" b p LCM i11 behavior casing shoe from

L o s s V o l u m e :6 3 0 0 b b l s

CONFIDENTIAL

BP-HZN-217 ?MDLO 009440 0

lnput Datafor most llkely case


- Depth:9050ft - F G i n s a n d : 1 1 . 2 4p p g - E C D :l l . 7 p p g - 0 P , :1 2 . 3 8 p p e - Pp: 10.lpg - Hole size: 20" - Y o u n g ' s r n o d u l u s :4 8 3 0 0 0p s i ( f r o n r correlation between e f f e c t i v e o v e r b r r r r i e rs t l e . s s a . n dY o r u r g ' s n o c l u l u s ) r

;i"'Ta

CONFIDENTIAL

B P- HZN217 ?M D LO000e441

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"Penny-shape" is assumed: - 2 . I , model . i; :-;
1rt,

Maximum average and fracture wiOtn: * lw


l{hcrc I x, = half fracture length

l:_?L1Il

/" .\i

ir6 = flactule W.,., w :

height. width, in. ;

naxiuun fracture

a.treragef3actule

width.

y = fractur-e$ecruetr.-v factol s h a . p e" n o d e I ) .


l.-l

in. :

(0. Zb for. ,,penny-

Losses volume:llL{-,{. t i::, !,.,.,11


I hcrc: f" - fraction of seepage loss (0.2 is assumed in

this analrsil)r,,

CONFIDENTIAL

BP-HZN- 9MDL00009442 217

t
Fracture length: = 2578ft xr = Fracture height:hr5155 ft
Fracture tiD 0 6473

#
22" E 7937 tr l E " 0 8 9 6 9t f
ll90 cand Q 9050 ft.

Basedon the calculation,losses already reachedthe zone behindthe 22'casing.

:i,T J

I
5

CONFIDENTIAL

BP-HZN- 9MDL0 00e443 217 0

s$
Shearmodulus: Maximum fracture width: Averagef racture width:
n|t et^e: E=Young'smodurus; r,=Pc,isson'sratio, = Q1 los.srate, bpu; cp;

PKNmodelgeometry (xt> hrt

x; = fracture half length. ft; W*,"= naxirnunfracture widt.h, in. ;

s = a v e r a g ef r a c t u r e w i d t h . i n . ; 'y = flacture geonetly factor' (0.75 for. PKN ,.::i:,T model). "

CON IDENTIAL F

BP-HZN- eMDL0000e444 217

#
Input Data
Oeplhfrom Oepihto /fr\ 9050 9230

op

',#'

los*s natf
/RPM\

Fraclure
lEO

Fraction ol

o.2

Young'{3 Modulus(dsi) 930000

Poison's ralio

npparen{a VismsilvlCo\

o.2

Note (1) Lossesintothis zone is 2300 bbls(confirmed with Mark Hafle). (2) Pumpat 6 bpmto keepholefull(Feb.18dailyoperation) (3) FromMark'sStressOage work. (4) FromFeb 18 dailymud report. Resul t

(1) Half fracture length predictedto 2130ft.lt maypropagatewith losses is be more (2) Average fracture wjdth 0.162 (4122 is in microns)

,'-.'i'T z

CONFIDENTIAL

BP-HZN- ?MDL000 e445 217 0

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0hservettinn: . B i g l o s s e s ( o v e r 6 0 0 0h b l s ) . l i r . t l e flow back. . D i f f e l e n t t y p e s o f L C I \p i l i s d r d 4 not nolk very weIl, eveu EZ-squeeze v i t l r s i z e u p t o 3 0 0 0n i c l o n . Possible explanation: Induced ft'actures are genelated at earJy st.age (lover loss rate). Then t h e i n d r r c e df r a c t r r l e s a l e c o n n e c t e d t o t h e n a t u r a l f l a c t . u r : e s ,r v h i c h c a u s e dh i g h l a t e o f l o s s e s . Further analysis nay help: ' tlheck to see if fault,/natural fractur.e

Dp

2130ft

2130r f

exist frou 6400 ft 1 o I 1 , 7 0 0 f t T V D a l . 2 0 0 0 f r - 3 0 0 0 f r . a r o r r n dw e l l b o r e

. Analyzeflow in & out data to check slope change in the l o s s e s v o l u m ea g a i n s r .t t o e c u r v e

CONFIDENTIAL

BP-HZN- ?MDLO 00e446 217 0

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