Fukushima Radiation Estimates - RSMC - March 26th - 2200 - Pages from ML12037A104 - FOIA PA-2011-0118, FOIA PA-2011-0119 & FOIA PA 2011-0120 - Resp 41 - Partial - Group DDD Part 2 of 3. (138 page(s), 1 24 2012)-17

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a3/27/2811

Ta: 44312600729000

85:54

FroI:IJAEA VIENNA

8681088487469
FAX Fax:443 1 2600 7 KO(AXI at:26-MV-2011-22:57

PAGE
Uo:576

01/03
Page:001

China Meteorological Administration

National Meteorological Center Beijing, China RSMC for Environmental Emergency Response
Email: FAX- (86 10) 68407469, (86 10) 62172009 _wC@-qMA ,qo.cn Tel: (S6 10)68408594, (86 10)5899329.5

TO: Operational Contacts of National Meteorological Services in RAII, IAEA, WMO Secretariat. RSMC Tokyo, and RSMC Obninsk

Fromn

RSMC Beijing

Date:

Mar

2011

Time: CP,

: 0

UTC

Dear Colleagues, Please find attached the Joint Statement of RAU for Environmental Emergency Response (EER) distributed by RSMC Tokyo, RSMC Obninsk, and RSMC Beijing.

Best regards, RSMC Beijing

.---- - -- ---

Tftal NO. Of PAgS" inClUding this sheet: 3

33/27/2011
76: ,4312&OOfl972O

05:54

8681068407469
From: 1AEAVIEH FAX Fax-+43 1 2600 7 KOFAV) at:26-W-20I-22:57

PAGE

02/03

Dm-576 Page-:002

Draftof JOINT STATEMENT

by: RSMC Tokyo(JPq, RSMC Obrinsk(RU) and RSMC Beijing(CN)


Emergency notfed by the IAEA (Emergency)

issued: -2 C

0.gQjUTC, Mar. 26,2011 ALEVENT DETAILS

Fukushima Dalichi, Japan

Relemedate-time:

37.4206 degs Noith laiLci, 141.0329 degwes East bvilde

From: 17:00 UTC26 Mar 2011 To: 17:00 UTC29 Mar2011

EmergencyAcddent
Weather Situation ItIs mostly fine or cloudy around Fukushima An upper transversal brough passes over Japan Island and it is weaken when movVng eastward in the future 72 hours and it brings northwest wind blowing over Japan. A ridge of high pressure covers Japan Island and the south area of Japan at low level and will move eastwad. Asmall low

prssure system may aeff

the Island on the 29e and small. precidp

expected around the central pat of Japan.

ons will be

Trajectodes RSMC Beijng and RSMC Tokyo predic that the tcers at 500m and 1500m are moving to the southeast during the first 24 hours and will rotate dockwise during the rest of the peri. Thetraoe at 500m of RSM C Obninsk is also sirdar with the other two RSMCs, while they forecast the tracer at 1500m is moving to east-northeast first 48hoursand will rotate dockwse during the rest of thepeod; RSMC oko's trectory shows it is moving to. the east-southeast in 72 hours; while RSMC Obninsk predict that it is moving to the ea*northeast during the period.

At 3000m, RSMC Bjng predicts that the tracer ismoing to the southeast durkn the

The simulalion results of three RSMCs show that the exposure areas will spread over

4,;

03/2712611

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PACE
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eastern pat,of Japan and toward southeast during t

first 48 hours and then Milluse to

the north western part of the Pacific Ocean. Deposicons


From three RSIMCs' deposition charts, we could get that the depositon areas for the whole period will cover the norhem, eastern and central parts of Japan and the north

western pat of PacificOcean.


Summary There wvuld be a hazard around the northern, eastern and central. parts of Japan and

the north weftn part ofthe Pacific Ocean.


END

RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION

Forward trajeclories starting at 17 UTC 26 Mar 11 00 UTC 26 Mar CMAG Forecast Initialization "4

CmJ N-. O)

0K mr
0

'A

2~--------------------------150 ----.-- -~
18

-------- -----

--

- - ---

00 00 12 18 00 00 12 03TT 0328 R SMC ftWirg - China M4feorolobgf Adminsrif;lon


Localon: Trlajeriotis: Fuktuhmu Iaiihi=npan 7.4208 5SM. 1600, 3000 (metar5 AGL)

18

00 03"29

00

12

141.0229)

RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION


Oopnosion at Gcund-Lewv) (Bqtm2) intogratod from 12z 26 Mar to 12z 27 Mar (UTC) 1131 fleleaso Starned at I7Z26 Mar (UTC)

E
a C

r-4

a 0

cm F 04 w
. . . .-. . -

C-,

0 rn

.. z
04

.......). .. ... .

a..

.... . .... . ... ....

t0,

z
4

z
I.CE-12 IE-I i 1.)E- 14

4,7E-12 Maximum at square


1.0E- 15
1410329)

Locain; Fukluhinn (DmaikcNlapan (37.4206 Mduosrlobgy: G7213 Eminkmp: 1.00 Uni 1131 over 72 hr OlrbUbion: Uniform betwon 0 - COO m agI

ow: V-ttanti Ory 0tcn*tm Notes:~~~~ nyoun1m Colu rmop to nm~p Rsu=bss on deul lm

RSMC BEIJNG - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION


Oeposition at Gtound-Level (Bqfm2) Integrated from 12E 26 Mar to 12z 2a Mat CUTr) 1131 Release Started at 17Z 2 Mar (UTC)

04

0)

(%j

Fm

>0
U)

-4

z
I.OE-12 10E-IS

5,9E-12 Maximum at square


10E14 1.05-1Is
(37.4206 141.0329D

Localbn: Fukuzhinin Daiict.Iapan Madvofology <121 3 Emimubv: 100 Und l1~1over72 hi

Di1rbutiom UnI~ofrmbelymen 0 - WO Magi

Dopcziliow VfttandDry 0D.1 cm.t) Ndos.: 'otos =u 00Mt~"~miupl0 map R=uIf base o .'=%.WI vaki es

RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION


Deposition at Giound-Level (Bqtl2) Integrated from 12z 26 Mar to 12z 29 Mar (UTC') 1131 Release Started at 17Z Mar (UTC)
a*&

Ej
;, 0m

CA

/k

rnl :0, U)

z
,r,-

6.OE-12 Maximum at square

Loczaior Fukusirhm IOikHcJapan (37.4206 141.0329) Medeorobty: 07213 Emyizwbc: 1.00 Unit 1131 cmer 72 hr 01rbU~ion; Unloim belvmenO0 - WOm agI Dapowilion, Vftad Dry (.1cmt) Contours ":tc~r~ Itom rmap o map R='0t~base8y~d de01 valums .n

RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION


Exosueoavneaoed betwen 0m and 7 r (Bq-stm3) Intogratod loom 12 26 Mar to 12z 27 Mar CUTM)
1131 Releas. Started at 17Z 2 Mar (UTr-) C:3

F: +

ni
0

S3) rn :01

w)

2
5 z
5.OE-09 Maximum at square
1CE-09 1EC tO.E-I I iE12
141-0329)

Locadfn: Fukushirir Mfeowobor: G-7213

Caiichlapan

C37.4206

Emsbnn 100 Uni 1131 over72 hr OsDibuLdn. Unilorm beutwenO , -COO m agi Doposl0on Wei and Dry (a t1cimt) N Coon tous=ny tar iwm mrap to map P=cuf. ba on de"l vl kau YCt

RSMG BEUING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION Exposure averaged between 0 m and 500 m (Bq-sfmS)
Integrated from 12z 27 Mar to 12z 28 Mar (UTT) 1131 Roels. Started at 17Z 2 Mar CUTC)

F
I= 0

. ... ..

N Po cr"

04

2 u'J F

0)

U)
zn

cm 0

0I -2 =1 N

w
03

I,
2,.E-09 Maximum at square 105r-06
Localbn:

10510
G73213

t.OE-t I

10E-12
(37.4208 141.02

Fukushinm tmiichiiapan

Melaroobgy:

Ernivn: 1.00 Unil 1131 over72 hi OD~bLion; Unflorm belvwn 0 - W500 agl m D coi ion. Weatan Dry 0,1 crm.t) Nuosl Contour Way ctutge lbrn ffp to mzp RisUflltsbar on dti olalunff

RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION


Expxsuroavoraged bwr,,. 0m and SW m (Bq-lm!3) Intograted from 12z 28 Mar to 12z 29 Mar CUTC) 1131 Rliaso Starued at 17Z 2 Mar (UTG)
NJ
0)

C),
0

gj/
1" 0

0~4

n
I-.

co S3
-4
:q N'

"q

z,

o
z

9.5E-1 0 Maximum

atsq uar~e

Locabn: Fukurhim~ 0aidia-hapzn (37.4208 Mueoetologf: 01213 Emuimbn: 1,00 Unil 1131 ove 72 hr OwslibuLion; UniformbelvwenO - 00 m gi 0 Yfttand Dry (.1 cmnt)

141 0329)

~S=Iion;

R=

buflsbfl

.I Ind~t va luw

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