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CBS News/ UWIRE/ Chronicle of Higher Education Poll
CBS News/ UWIRE/ Chronicle of Higher Education Poll
Students in these four states are more alike than they are different,
and not just in their overall preference for president (six in 10
favor Barack Obama).
Like adults nationwide, they are concerned about the economy, the top
issue for them. Many have been motivated by registration drives from
their schools or from the campaigns themselves. They are more likely
to get their news from non-traditional sources like the Internet and
talk shows rather than newspapers and magazines, although television
news also matters.
This is slightly lower than the level of attention being paid by adult
registered voters. Among all adult registered voters interviewed in
the most recent CBS News/New York Times Poll, 65% said they were
paying a lot of attention to the campaign.
More students in Ohio (58%) and Colorado (59%) have been contacted
directly by the campaigns.
The high level of attention and contact may have had an effect. More
than nine in ten students in each state say they are registered to
vote.
REGISTERED TO VOTE
PA OH NC CO
Yes 93% 95% 95% 94%
No 7 5 5 6
In Ohio, just 40% say this will be their first time voting – but
26% voted for the first time in their state’s highly contested
Democratic primary earlier this year.
LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING
(Among registered voters)
PA OH NC CO
Definitely will 85% 82% 87% 91%
Probably will 11 8 8 7
Probably/definitely will not 2 2 2 1
Already voted 1% 1% 1% 1%
Have not returned ballot yet 5 8 6 12
Have not received ballot yet 10 20 9 21
Have not applied for ballot yet 6 7 8 4
With one exception, Barack Obama rates more highly than John McCain on
every candidate quality measured in this poll.
CANDIDATE QUALITIES
(Among registered voters)
PA OH NC CO
Is someone you can relate to
Obama 64% 61% 62% 67%
McCain 25% 28% 31% 27%
Effective commander-in-chief
Obama 52% 49% 51% 54%
McCain 67% 70% 68% 66%
About four in ten students worry about John McCain’s age, and
just as many see Obama’s as an advantage. Few think Obama’s
youth makes him too inexperienced to serve as president, but four
in ten think McCain’s age would make it more difficult for him to
serve as president.
THE IMPACT OF AGE
(Among registered voters)
PA OH NC CO
Obama’s age:
Makes him too inexperienced 17% 18% 19% 15%
Gives him fresh new ideas 43 39 40 41
Wouldn’t matter 40 42 41 43
McCain’s age:
Makes Presidency too difficult 44% 42% 41% 43%
Gives him experience 26 27 28 24
Wouldn’t matter 30 31 31 33
About half of the students in each state don’t much like Palin;
that rises to 60% among students in Colorado.
Sarah Palin
Really like 17% 21% 20% 18%
Think she is all right 15 17 16 13
Don’t much like 53 49 49 60
Don’t know enough to say 12 10 11 7
Students are in agreement as to why John McCain chose Palin; not
because she is well-qualified, but because McCain thought she
would help him win.
Sarah Palin
Well qualified 4% 5% 4% 5%
Would help win 73 72 71 75
Both equally 17 18 18 16
Something else 5 4 6 4
VOTE CHOICE
During the primaries, and in current pre-election polls, Obama has run
strongly with younger voters. Not surprisingly, he holds a large lead
over John McCain among students in these states.
Obama voters are more enthusiastic than McCain voters about their
candidate in all four states.
More Obama than McCain voters in all states say their minds are
made up. About one in five McCain voters say they could still
change their minds.
MIND MADE UP?
(Among registered voters)
Obama Voters
PA OH NC CO
Mind made up 82% 75% 83% 87%
Could still change 16 16 14 11
McCain Voters
PA OH NC CO
Mind made up 71% 74% 76% 78%
Could still change 26 20 21 21
By a large margin, students who are McCain voters are more likely
than Obama voters to share their parents’ vote choice. About
eight in ten McCain voters say their vote will be the same as
their parents’ on election day; just over half of Obama voters
say that.
With the economy in bad shape, the stock market fluctuating, and Wall
Street precarious, it comes as no surprise that, by a wide margin,
students in each state view the economy as the most important issue in
their vote choice.
The war in Iraq, education and energy policy all follow. Few
students see immigration as extremely important, but it is more
important to students in North Carolina and Colorado.
Obama is viewed as having the best plan for dealing with the issue
they say will be most important.
Despite their concerns about the economy, most students in each state
think their opportunities to succeed in life are about the same as or
better than those of their parents.
But about one in five thinks their opportunities are worse. That
concern is highest in Ohio and Colorado.
COMPARED TO PARENTS, YOUR OPPORTUNITIES TO SUCCEED ARE:
PA OH NC CO
Better 47% 43% 50% 42%
Same 33 35 33 35
Worse 19 22 17 22
While most think they’ll get a job, about one in five is not
confident about being able to get a job after graduation.
When it comes to the war in Iraq, most students are willing to have
U.S. troops stay in Iraq for only two years or less.
Majorities of students feel there has been too much talk about race
and gender in this election. And while many see racism as a serious
problem and think Obama has been judged more harshly because of his
race, large majorities also think the country is ready for a black
president.
DEMOGRAPHICS
PA OH NC CO
Male 48% 48% 42% 46%
Female 51 52 58 54
TOTAL 24,848
The schools were selected based on their size, tuition and their
competitiveness to represent all four-year colleges in the state.
Within each school, email invitations to participate were sent to a
random sample of undergraduates (in smaller schools all students were
sent invitations).
Pennsylvania
Ohio
North Carolina
Colorado
1 Yes - CONTINUE
2 No - GO TO ECONOMY Q16
9 Skipped/no answer - GO TO ECONOMY Q16
1 A lot
2 Some
3 Not much
4 None at all
9 Skipped/no answer
>q4< (q4:likely to vote) How likely is it that you will vote in the
presidential election in November?
RANDOMIZE ORDER
1 John McCain and Sarah Palin (skip to q9)
2 Barack Obama and Joe Biden (skip to q9)
3 Someone else (skip to q9)
9 Skipped/no answer (skip to q9)
1 Absentee
2 Travel/in person
3 Not sure
9 Skipped/no answer
RANDOMIZE ORDER
1 Barack Obama and Joe Biden
2 John McCain and Sarah Palin
3 Someone else
9 Skipped/no answer
>q8< (Q8:mind made up) Is your mind made up or is it still too early
to say for sure?
1 Mind made up
2 Too early to say for sure
9 Skipped/no answer
>q9< (Q9:vote enthusiasm) How would you describe your feelings about
your candidate?
>q12< (Q12:parent vote) As far as you know, do you think your PARENTS
will vote:
>q13< (Q13:most important issue) In deciding who you would like to see
elected President this year, how important will each of the following
issues be in your vote?
RANDOMIZE ORDER
1 The economy and jobs
2 The war in Iraq
3 The environment
4 Energy policy
5 Health care
6 Education
7 Immigration
9 Skipped/no answer - GO TO q15
>q14< (Q14:candidate deal MII) Which one candidate do you think has
the best plan for dealing with the issues you think are most
important?
>q17< (q17:job confidence) How confident are you about getting a job
after you graduate?
1 Very confident
2 Somewhat confident
3 Not too confident
4 Not at all confident
9 Skipped/no answer
>q18< (q18:repay student loans) How confident are you about being able
to repay any student loans you might have after you graduate?
1 Very confident
2 Somewhat confident
3 Not too confident
4 Not at all confident
5 No student loans
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Better
2 Same
3 Worse
9 Don't know/No answer
>q20< (q20: gov cares young) How much do you think the government in
Washington cares about
people of your generation -- a lot, some, not much, or not at all?
1 A lot
2 Some
3 Not much
4 Not at all
9 Don't know/No answer
>q21< (q21: 08 vote matter) Would you agree or disagree with the
following statement? It makes no real difference who is elected
President--things go on just as they did before.
1 Agree
2 Disagree
9 Don't know/No answer
1 Very serious
2 Somewhat serious
3 Not too serious
4 Not at all serious
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Very serious
2 Somewhat serious
3 Not too serious
4 Not at all serious
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/no answer
>q25<(q25:Obama change DC) … would bring about real change in the way
things are done in Washington?
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/no answer
END GRID
1 Better
2 Worse
3 No effect
9 Skipped/No answer
GRID
>q33< (q33:relate McCain) Do you think John McCain:
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/no answer
>q34< (q34:McCain change DC) … would bring about real change in the
way things are done in Washington?
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Better
2 Worse
3 No effect
9 Skipped/No answer
1 Make it too difficult for him to do the work the Presidency requires
2 Help him have the experience to do a good job as President
3 Wouldn’t matter
9 Skipped/No answer
>q44< (q44:U.S. ready for black pres) Do you think America is ready to
elect a black president, or not?
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/No answer
>q45< (q45:U.S. ready for woman pres) Do you think America is ready to
elect a woman president, or not?
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/No answer
1 More harshly
2 Less harshly
3 No difference
9 Skipped/ no answer
USE GRID
>q47a,b< (q47a: opinion Biden, q47b: opinion Palin) What do you think
of the Vice Presidential candidates?
ROTATE 48-49
>q48< (q48:why McCain chose Palin) When John McCain chose Sarah Palin
as his running mate, do you think it was MORE because he thinks Sarah
Palin is well qualified for the job, or MORE because he thinks Sarah
Palin would help him win the election?
1 Well-qualified
2 Would help win
3 Both equally (vol)
4 Something else (Vol.)
9 Skipped/ no answer
>q49< (q49:why Obama chose Biden) When Barack Obama chose Joe Biden as
his running mate, do you think it was MORE because he thinks Joe Biden
is well qualified for the job, or MORE because he thinks Joe Biden
would help him win the election?
1 Well-qualified
2 Would help win
3 Both equally (vol)
4 Something else (Vol.)
9 Skipped/ no answer
>q50< (q50:focus race gender) From what you have seen or heard, do you
think the 2008 campaign has focused too much on the candidates'
personal attributes like race and gender, not enough, or about the
right amount on the candidates' race and gender?
1 Too much
2 Not enough
3 About right
9 Skipped/no answer
ASK ALL RV AND NON-RV
>q51< (q51:troops Remain in Iraq) How much longer would you be willing
to have large numbers of U.S. troops remain in Iraq?
1 Very often
2 Sometimes
3 Rarely
4 Never
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/ no answer
1 Barack Obama
2 Hillary Clinton
3 John Edwards
4 Another Democratic candidate
5 John McCain
6 Mitt Romney
7 Mike Huckabee
8 Rudy Giuliani
9 Ron Paul
10 Another Republican candidate
11 Skipped/no answer
>q55< (q55:contact with campaign) During this presidential campaign,
has any campaign contacted you directly to offer help registering to
vote, or getting an absentee ballot?
1 Yes 2 No 9
Skipped/NA
Visited a candidate's web page
Visited a candidate's Facebook or MySpace page
Signed up to be a fan on a social networking site
Started or joined a political or campaign group on a social
networking site
Signed up for email or twitter alerts from a candidate
Forwarded an email or commentary about a candidate or campaign to a
friend/family member
Watched a video about a candidate on You Tube
Posted a video about a candidate on You Tube
1 Yes
2 No
9 Skipped/ no answer
>q59< (q59:election news source) How often do you use the following
to get information about politics:
(CHECK ALL THAT APPLY)
GRID: EVERY DAY / ONCE OR TWICE A WEEK / A FEW TIMES A MONTH /
RARELY OR NEVER
1 Republican
2 Democrat
3 Independent
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Liberal
2 Moderate
3 Conservative
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Male
2 Female
9 Skipped/no answer
>q64< (age:age) How old are you?
1 Under 18
2 18
3 19
4 20
5 21
6 22
7 23
8 24 or older
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Freshman
2 Sophomore
3 Junior
4 Senior
9 Skipped/no answer
1 Hispanic
2 Not hispanic
9 Skipped/no answer
1 White or Caucasian
2 Black or African-American
3 Asian
4 Something else
9 Skipped/no answer
Those are all the questions we have for you. Thank you for your
participation!