India Retail Report Q1 2012

CONTENTS
Executive Summary ......................................................................................................................................... 5
SWOT Analysis ................................................................................................................................................. 7
India Retail Business Environment SWOT ............................................................................................................................................................. 7
India Political SWOT ............................................................................................................................................................................................. 8
India Economic SWOT........................................................................................................................................................................................... 9

Market Overview ............................................................................................................................................. 10

Current Trends .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 11
Key Players.......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 14

Industry Forecast Scenario ........................................................................................................................... 18

Table: Retail Sector Breakdown By Key Segment, 2011f ..................................................................................................................................... 19
Table: India Retail Sales Indicators..................................................................................................................................................................... 20
Consumer Outlook ............................................................................................................................................................................................... 21

Macroeconomic Outlook ............................................................................................................................... 26

Table: India GDP Contribution To Growth ...................................................................................................................................................... 28

Regional Retail Outlook ................................................................................................................................. 29

Asia Pacific Retail Outlook .................................................................................................................................................................................. 29
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Sales, 2008-2015 (US$bn).......................................................................................................................................... 29
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Sales By % Share, 2008-2015 .................................................................................................................................... 30
Table: Asia Food Consumption, 2008-2015 (US$$bn) ........................................................................................................................................ 31

Business Environment Outlook .................................................................................................................... 36

Asia Pacific Retail Business Environment Ratings .............................................................................................................................................. 36

Mass Grocery Retail ....................................................................................................................................... 38

India Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT.......................................................................................................................................................... 38
Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 39
Leading MGR Players ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 40
Table: Structure of India's Mass Grocery Retail Market by Estimated Number of Outlets .................................................................................. 42
Table: Structure Of India's Mass Grocery Retail Market Sales By Format (US$mn) ....................................................................................... 42
Table: Structure Of India's Mass Grocery Retail Market Sales By Format (INRmn)........................................................................................ 42
Table: Average Outlet Sales By Format 2010 ................................................................................................................................................... 43
Industry Forecast Scenario .................................................................................................................................................................................. 43
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales Indicators Historical Data & Forecasts ..................................................................................................... 45
Table: Mass Grocery Retail By Format (%) ........................................................................................................................................................ 45
Industry Developments ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 46

Consumer Electronics ................................................................................................................................... 48

India Consumer Electronics Market SWOT ......................................................................................................................................................... 48
Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................................................................. 49
Computers............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 49
Table: Computer Sales......................................................................................................................................................................................... 49
Table: Total Desktop Sales .................................................................................................................................................................................. 54
AV ........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 54

Business Monitor International Ltd

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India Retail Report Q1 2012

Table: AV Sales ................................................................................................................................................................................................... 54

Mobile Communications ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 58
Table: Mobile Communications Sales.................................................................................................................................................................. 59
Industry Forecast Scenario .................................................................................................................................................................................. 63
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview............................................................................................................................................................... 64
Industry Developments ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 65

Automotives .................................................................................................................................................... 68
India Auto Industry SWOT ................................................................................................................................................................................... 68
Industry Forecast Scenario .................................................................................................................................................................................. 69
Production and Sales ........................................................................................................................................................................................... 69
Table: India Autos Sector: Historical Data And Forecasts, 2008-2015............................................................................................................... 69
Trade ................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 70
Table: India Autos Sector: Historical Data And Forecasts, 2008-2015............................................................................................................... 70
Industry Developments ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 71

BMI Methodology ........................................................................................................................................... 73

How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts .......................................................................................................................................................... 73
Sources ................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 74

Business Monitor International Ltd

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