Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 4

Short ETFs: Everything You Need To Know

April 24, 2012 by: Michael Johnston | includes: ADZ, DDP, DGZ, DNO, DOG, EUM, MYY, PSQ, PTD, SAGG, SBB, SH, SJB, SZO, TBF, TYBS

As the ETF universe has expanded by leaps and bounds in recent years, investors now have tools at their disposal to accomplish almost every objective. From plain vanilla stock and bond indexes to hyper-targeted regional and sector funds, there are ETFs to bet on just about every asset class. And there are also a number of ETFs that can be used to bet against certain asset asset classes, which can be powerful tools for turning a profit in the types of environments that generally bring a sea of red ink to portfolio statements. Inverse ETFs, also known as short ETFs, have become extremely popular for a wide variety of objectives, including as hedging tools and vehicles for speculating on declines in value.

Short ETFs 101


Short or inverse ETFs generally seek to deliver results that correspond to the inverse, or -100%, of the movement in a specified index over a given period of time. The last part of that objective is critically important to understanding the risk profile offered by these products; inverse ETFs strive to deliver the target multiple (i.e., -100%) over a specified period of time, which is generally a single day. When held for longer periods of time, inverse ETFs will not always deliver returns that correspond to the opposite of the underlying index over that period of time. This isnt the result of a deficiency in these products, but rather the result of simple arithmetic. Its the exact same phenomenon that plays out in traditional long ETFs, but with a subtle twist for inverse exposure. To understand this nuance, consider a hypothetical example in which a stock index alternates between gains of 5% and losses of 5% for ten consecutive days: Day Opening ValueChangeClosing Value 5.0% -5.0% 5.0% -5.0% 5.0% -5.0% 5.0% -5.0% 5.0% -5.0% $105.00 $99.75 $104.74 $99.50 $104.48 $99.25 $104.21 $99.00 $103.95 $98.76

Day 1 $100.00 Day 2 $105.00 Day 3 $99.75 Day 4 $104.74 Day 5 $99.50 Day 6 $104.48 Day 7 $99.25 Day 8 $104.21 Day 9 $99.00 Day 10$103.95

After ten days, the index is down about 1.24%. Now consider an inverse ETF linked to that index, meaning that the product seeks to deliver daily results corresponding to 100% of the underlying index. The performance of that ETF would look something like this: Day Opening ValueChangeClosing Value -5.0% 5.0% -5.0% $95.00 $99.75 $94.76

Day 1 $100.00 Day 2 $95.00 Day 3 $99.75

Day 4 $94.76 Day 5 $99.50 Day 6 $94.53 Day 7 $99.25 Day 8 $94.29 Day 9 $99.00 Day 10$94.05

5.0% -5.0% 5.0% -5.0% 5.0% -5.0% 5.0%

$99.50 $94.53 $99.25 $94.29 $99.00 $94.05 $98.76

If you expected this inverse ETF to be up slightly (since the underlying index was down since purchase), you might be disappointed. After ten days, the inverse ETF is also down 1.24%, which occurs because of the volatility in the underlying index. When markets seesaw back and forth between gains and losses, inverse ETFs can experience some return erosion. Thats because ahead of a winning session for the inverse ETF, exposure is decreased (through a loss in the previous session), and vice versa. In back-and-forth environments, the daily reset works against these funds. Its also extremely important to note that the compounding of returns doesnt always work against investors in short ETFs. Consider a trending market where the underlying index steadily loses ground: Day Opening ValueChangeClosing Value -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% $95.00 $90.25 $85.74 $81.45 $77.38 $73.51 $69.83 $66.34 $63.02 $59.87

Day 1 $100.00 Day 2 $95.00 Day 3 $90.25 Day 4 $85.74 Day 5 $81.45 Day 6 $77.38 Day 7 $73.51 Day 8 $69.83 Day 9 $66.34 Day 10$63.02

After ten sessions, the index is down about 40%. But the inverse ETF linked to this index would end up posting a gain much larger than 40%: Day Opening ValueChangeClosing Value 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% $105.00 $110.25 $115.76 $121.55 $127.63 $134.01 $140.71 $147.75 $155.13 $162.89

Day 1 $100.00 Day 2 $105.00 Day 3 $110.25 Day 4 $115.76 Day 5 $121.55 Day 6 $127.63 Day 7 $134.01 Day 8 $140.71 Day 9 $147.75 Day 10$155.13

In this case, the daily compounding of returns gives a significant boost to the inverse ETF, which realizes a gain that is considerably larger than the decline in the index. Thats because as the index declines, the value of the short ETF increases. Each subsequent daily gain for the short ETF is then applied to a larger and larger base of assets, which results in a very favorable compounding of returns.

Monthly Short ETFs vs. Daily Short ETFs


There are some inverse ETPs that seek to achieve their results over a period of time that is longer than a single trading session.

Specifically, PowerShares and Deutsche Bank offer a number of ETNs that seek to deliver results equal to -100% of indexes comprised of commodity futures over the course of a month. These products wont be impacted by the direction of the underlying index between reset periods, meaning that the impact of day-to-day volatility wont result in eroded or enhanced returns as illustrated above. With monthly inverse ETNs, it should be understood that the target multiple (i.e., -1x) applies only at the start of the month, and will generally change as the month progresses. In other words, investors who buy in mid-month to a product such as the PowerShares DB Gold Short ETN (DGZ) could be achieving effective leverage for the remainder of the month that is greater or less than -100%. At the end of each month, that leverage is reset and DGZ will begin its objective over again (i.e., seeking to deliver inverse exposure over the next calendar month).

Short ETFs vs. Shorting An ETF


One common misconception about short ETFs is the notion that they will deliver an investing experience that is substantially similar to short selling a traditional ETF. While there are some general similarities in the risk profiles that result, there are a number of differences as well. Perhaps the most significant relates to the phenomenon of compounding returns, as highlighted above. When a stock is sold short, the short seller is essentially borrowing an amount of money equal to the share price, with the obligation to repay that loan at some future date in the amount of the value of the underlying security at that time. Short selling essentially involves selling a share that you dont own. Generally, the share is borrowed from another customer account at your brokerage. Eventually, you must close out the short position by purchasing the share and returning it to the portfolio of the original owner. If the security declines in value, youll be able to make that purchase at a lower price and keep any difference as profiteffectively paying off a debt for less than the original value. If the price rises, youll end up paying more than you initially borrowed. Investing in inverse ETFs is obviously quite a bit different. Investors must have the capital to purchase the inverse ETF, and there is no borrowing of shares involved when establishing a long position in a short ETF. It should also be noted that inverse ETFs have a known amount of downside risk at the time of purchase; investors can lose no more than their initial investment (which would happen if the price of the ETF goes to zero). Shorting an ETF (or any security for that matter) can expose investors to a significant amount of risk; if the value of the underlying security skyrockets, their losses can be multiples of the initial amount the received by shorting the security.

Short / Inverse ETFs For Popular Indexes


There are dozens of inverse ETFs now available to inverse investors, including several linked to the most widely followed indexes in the world: S&P 500: ProShares Short S&P 500 (SH) Dow Jones Industrial Average: ProShares Short Dow 30 (DOG) NASDAQ: ProShares Short QQQ (PSQ) S&P MidCap 400: ProShares Short MidCap 400 (MYY) S&P SmallCap 600: ProShares Short SmallCap 600 (SBB) MSCI Emerging Markets Index: ProShares Short MSCI Emerging Markets (EUM)

Short ETFs For Other Asset Classes


Stocks arent the only type of asset covered by short ETFs; there are a number of tools out there to bet against bonds and commodities as well. Other popular inverse ETFs include: Long-Term Treasuries: ProShares Short 20 Year Treasury (TBF), Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bear 1x Shares (TYBS) High Yield Bonds: ProShares Short High Yield (SJB) Total Bond Market: Direxion Daily Total Bond Market Bear 1x Shares (SAGG) There are also a number of ETFs and ETNs for betting against commodities: Broad Commodities: PowerShares DB Commodity Short ETN (DDP) Gold: PowerShares DB Gold Short ETN (DGZ)

Crude Oil: United States Short Oil Fund (DNO) and PowerShares DB Crude Oil Short ETN (SZO) Base Metals: PowerShares DB Base Metals Short ETN (BOS) Platinum: E-TRACS UBS Short Platinum ETN (PTD) Agriculture: PowerShares DB Agriculture Short ETN (ADZ) Disclosure: No positions at time of writing. Click here to read the original article on ETFdb.com.

You might also like