May 30, 2012 TO: JOE MONAHAN

FROM:Bruce Donisthorpe MANZANO STRATEGIES RE: 2012 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY ANALYSIS & DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS

METHODOLOGY Automated phone dialing survey using established demographic methodological standards to about 1,500 likely voting Demcratic registered households with known voting history in primary elections from throughout New Mexico. Surveys were conducted using this method on May 22, 2012, between 6 pm and 9 pm. As is done routinely in surveys, results were weighted or adjusted at the top-line to ensure that responses accurately reflect the populations makeup by factors such as age, sex, region, and other established demographic standards and variables. The margin of sampling error for the surveys conducted for most questions is 2.5% with a 95% level of confidence for the interviews conducted in this survey. TOP LINE: ISSUES Question: I AM GOING TO READ YOU A LIST OF ISSUES AND LATER ASK WHICH ONE OF THEM IS MOST IMPORTANT TO YOU IN THIS ELECTION. THE ISSUES: EDUCATION, HEALTH CARE, JOBS & THE ECONOMY, THE ENVIRONMENT, PROTECTING SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM. WHICH OF THESE ISSUES IS MOST IMPORTANT TO YOU IN VOTING FOR CANDIDATES IN THIS ELECTION? Jobs/Economy: 32% Protecting SS/Medicare: Health Care: 17% Education: Environment: 6% Immigration Reform: 3% UNSURE: 4%

29% 9%

Margin of Error: 2.5%

DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS:
EDUC % ENV% H.C ARE% i-REF% JOBS /E% S /M% S UNS URE%

T OPLINE G ND R E E F MALE E MALE EH T NICIT Y ANGLO H PANIC IS G OG APH E R Y 1S CD T 2NDCD 3R CD D ID OLOGY E LIB R E AL MOD R E ET CONS R EV

9%

6%

17%

3%

32%

29%

4%

10% 8%

6% 6%

21% 12%

3% 3%

26% 37%

29% 30%

4% 5%

8% 10%

8% 2%

17% 17%

3% 4%

29% 30%

31% 33%

5% 4%

9% 5% 10%

6% 2% 7%

16% 15% 17%

4% 3% 2%

33% 31% 31%

27% 38% 29%

4% 5% 4%

12% 8% 5%

9% 3% 7%

20% 16% 15%

3% 2% 3%

24% 37% 36%

26% 29% 29%

5% 3% 5%

TOP LINE: OBAMA Question: IDO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF THE JOB PERFORMANCE OF PRESIDENT BARAK OBAMA? CD-1 CD-2 CD-3 Favorable: Unfavorable: UNSURE: 71% 18% 33% 11% 16% 4% 51% 16% 10% 74%

Margin of Error/CD:

4.8% 4.4%

DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS:
OBAMA FAV% OBAMA UNFAV% OBAMA UNS URE%

G ND R E E F MALE E MALE EH T NICIT Y ANG LO H PANIC IS G OG APH E R Y 1S CD T 2NDCD 3R CD D ID OLOG E Y 45.0% 40.0% 15.0% LIB R E AL MOD R E ET CONS R EV

73% 69%

17% 22%

10% 9%

73% 70%

19% 18%

8% 12%

71% 51% 74%

18% 33% 16%

11% 16% 10%

89% 70% 26%

5% 17% 62%

6% 12% 12%

T IS UE OP S 9.0% 6.0% 17.0% 3.0% 32.0% 29.0% 4.0% E a duc tion E nvironment H lth Ca ea re ImmR eform Jobs c /E onomy S /Medic re S a Undec ided

73% 80% 79% 50% 67% 74% 58%

15% 10% 14% 46% 24% 15% 28%

13% 10% 7% 4% 9% 11% 14%