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Financial Plan: Important Assumptions
Financial Plan: Important Assumptions
The purpose of the financial plan is to estimate start-up and ongoing costs; identify revenue streams; and forecast net cash flow and profits. The venture will be funded partners through paid-in capital provided by the owners and debt will be taken from the bank.
Important Assumptions
The financial plan depends on important assumptions. The key underlying assumptions are: We assume that price will be a key competitive element in the first three years of operations where competitors in the business will seek to cut into our business through price cutting. The marketing expenses will be considered to be the 17 % of total assets. We assume continued popularity of products of the company and the growing demand for high quality and refreshing tea. We assume that average daily consumer drinks two cups of tea. We assume that the capacity of the production will be enhanced by 10% annually. Initially the company will utilize only 60% of the total installed capacity in the very first year. The sales price of the product will be directly releated to the competitors.
Some of the important assumption regarding the production, cash flow, expenses, depreciation and financing assumption are listed in the following tables.
Production Assumptions
Maximum Attainable Capacity In Percentage Capacity Utilization (1st Year) In Percentage Production Capacity In K.g (60% in first year) Production Capacity Utilization Growth Rate 100% 60% 900000Kilograms 10% per year
Expense Assumptions
Machine Maintenance Pre-Operational Expense Wages Growth Rate 1% of the cost Rs.2235000 10%
Financing Assumptions
Debt Equity Tax Rate 60% 40% 35% of sales
PROJECT ECONOMICS
Energizer Tea Company Private Limited
51595
6,047
57643
Total units at 100% operating capacity. {(250 units*8 hours*350 days*2)100%}=1400000 bottles of 50ml {(1400000 * 50ml)/1000} = 70000kg/annum. 70000 kg*150/Kg = Rs. 10500000 For Boxes (100 ml) Total units at 100% operating capacity: (150 uniits*8 hours*350days*2)100%=840000 units of 100ml {(840000 *100ml)/1000} = 84000 kg/ annum. 84000 kg/ annum* 150/ kg = Rs.1260000 For Boxes (250 ml) Total boxes at 100% operating capacity: (100units*8 hours*350days*2)100%=560000units of 250 ml {(560000 units*250ml)/1000}= 140000 kg/ annum. 140000kg/ annum* 150/ kg = 21000000 For Boxes (1000 ml) Total boxes at 100% operating capacity: (50 units*8 hours*350days*2)100%=280000units of 1000 ml {(280000 units*1000ml)/1000}= 280000 kg/ annum. 280000 kg/ annum* 150/ kg = Rs42000000 Total annual material requirement: (Rs 000) 10500+1260+21000+42000=74760 Raw Material Inventory Kept: Rs.74760/350*30 days= Rs.6408
Financial Plan:(Rs.000)
loan 60% Equity 40% Total Rs.
34586 23057
57643
Sr. No 1 2 3
Total Cost (Rs. in, 000) 1500000 15000 10% of Cost 1500 500
Total
17000
Sr. No
Item
Type of Building
1 2 3 4 5 6
Main Factory Building Warehouse Office Block Canteen Wash rooms Free Area Total
25800
Sr. No 1 2 3 4 5
Items and Specification Mixer Machine for 1000ml bottle Machine for 100 &250 ml bottle Machine for 50ml bottle Machine for Labeling and Printing Total
Quantity 2 2 2 2 2
Assumptions
1. It has been assumed that Raw Material Inventory is kept for 30 days and amount. Is derived as {(Annual Requirement/350*30 days)} 2. 10% of cost of goods manufactured is kept as finished goods inventory. 3. 2.5% of total sales are assumed to be on account. 4. Bank will give loan of 75% of total inventory.
Energizer Tea Company Private Limited Assumptions Underlying Earning Forecasts Production and Sales
The purpose unit would be equipped with four types of machines. One for sachet packing of 8gram and other for boxes of 125 & 250 grams. The sachet machine is capable of producing 333 sachet /hour and 125 gram boxes machine is capable of making 233 boxes /hour and machine for 250 grams boxes is capable of producing 200 sachet /hour. The unit will be operated in only one shift of 8 hours and total number of working days is 350.
For Boxes:
(233 boxes*8 hours*350days*2)100%=1304800 (200 boxes*8 hours*350days*2)100%=1120000 The above capacity is based on one shift working and 350 working days per annum at 100% capacity and the project would start commercial operations from. January 1, 2010.
Operational Efficiency
Operational efficiency of the project is assumed to be at 100% for all operating year.
Ending Inventory
There will be 10% unsold inventory at end of the year.
Selling price is set according to the demand and supply and due to competitiveness of market and increasing gradually due to increase in the raw material prices.
Geographical limits of project are Province Punjab, Sindh . Offer three types of products. Sachet of 8 grams. Box of 125 grams Boxes of 250 grams No. of shift = 1 8 hours in a shift. 350 days in year. Estimated capacity of machine per hour: 333 sachets of 8 grams per hour. 233 boxes of 125 grams per hour. 200 boxes of 250 grams per hour Operational capacity of machines is 100%.
For Boxes
125 Grams (233 boxes*8hours*350days*2) = 1304800 Boxes 250 Grams (200 boxes*8hours*350days*2) = 1120000 Boxes
Es ti m ati
on of units sold.
Operating Years : Production Effeciency Assumed : a) Production of Sachet: Add : Begining Inventory Available for sale Less : End. Inventory 10% SALE b) Porduction of Boxes(125g): Add : Begining Inventory Available for sale Less : End. Inventory 10% SALE 2010 60% 1,119 0 1,119 112 1,007 60% 783 0 783 78 705 60% 672 0 672 67 605 2011 70% 1,305 112 1,417 131 1,287 70% 913 78 992 91 900 70% 784 67 851 78 773 2012 80% 1,492 131 1,622 149 1,473 80% 1,044 91 1,135 104 1,031 80% 896 78 974 90 885 2013 90% 1,678 149 1,828 168 1,660 90% 1,174 104 1,279 117 1,161 90% 1,008 90 1,098 101 997
c) Porduction of Boxes(250g): Add : Begining Inventory Available for sale Less : End. Inventory 10% SALE
Calculations
It has been earlier mentioned that total production capacity of the Machine is 333 sachet /hour and box machine capacity is two hundred (200) and 233 units /hour No. of working hour in day are eight and 350 days in a year 10 % of units produced are kept as ending inventory
65 30 70
TOTAL
128,928
164,742
188,617
212,493
Assumptions:
1. It has assumed that one pack contains 20 sachets 2. Per pack and box price is set according to demand and supply forces.
Month(Rs.) Labour: For sachet machine for boxes machine for mixer machine for blend maker supervisor
5 16 2 1 1
25%
Assumption:
10% yearly increase in labour cost.
Factory Overhead
a) FIXED COSTS -Pwer KW 600 -Insurance @ -Repairs &Maintenance: - Machinery @ Miscellaneous Total Fixed cost b) VARIABLE COST 90 7.5 8 Total 350 1,890 1,890 180 0.50% 1.00% per K.W on Fixed Assets installed cost (Rs.000) 1,296 11 25 100 1,433
Power: KW
Assumptions
1. Estimated utilization capacity is 90kw and rate is charged 7.5/kw/hour 2. Insurance is .5% of machinery cost. 3. Repair and Maintenance cost is 1% of machinery
THE FIXED COST HAS BEEN PROJECTED AS CONSTANT WHILE THE VARIABLE COST HAS BEEN BUDGED AS PER OPERATIONAL LEVEL FOR THE CORRESPONDING YEARS.
Depriciation
Assets Cost of Assets
(Rs. 000)
Depreciation
(Rate)
Total Amount
(Rs. 000)
5% 10% 5% 20%
OPERATING EXPENSES
Administrations Expenses
a) Administrative Salaries Chairman Chief Executive Financial Controller Purchase Manager Personal Manager Assistants Clerks and Typists Driver and Peons Sweepers TOTAL Add: Fringe Benefits @ TOTAL
Nos 1 1 1 1 1 5 8 5 4
Salary per Month (Rs.) 40,000 35,000 20,000 20,000 10,000 4,000 2,500 2,000 1,000
Annual Cost (000) 480 420 240 240 120 240 240 120 48 2,148 1,074 3,222
50%
General Expenses
b) General Expenses Traveling & Conveyance Telephone, Telex, Postage Rates and Taxes Entertainment Miscellaneous TOTAL Total Administrative & General Expenses (a+b) 400 300 100 100 50 950 4,172
Selling Expenses
Selling expenses are 1% of sales Revenue.
total
57,376
66,291
75,225
84,179
Financial Plan
Source
Bank (@16%) Equity Total
Ratio
60% 40% 100%
For the year ending Sept. 30, Efficiency Assumed : SALES COST OF GOODS SOLD : - Raw Materials - Labour - Manufacturing Expenses - Excise Duty \ Sales tax -Royalty fee Depreciation Cost of Goods Manufactured Add: Beginning Inventory Less: Ending Inv. 10% Cost of Goods Sold : GROSS PROFIT OPERATING EXPENSES - Admin & General Expenses - Selling Expenses Total Operating Expenses OPERATING PROFIT OTHER INCOME NON OPERATING EXPENSES - Financial Expenses Bank borrowing@ 10%. amortization of preliminary exp. at 5 years Sub-Total PRE-TAX PROFIT Provision for Taxes 40% NET PROFIT Dividend RETAINED EARNINGS
1,693 66,291 5,738 6,629 65,399 99,342 5183 1,647 6831 92512
1,693 75,225 6,629 7,522 74,331 114,286 5702 1,886 7588 106698
1,693 84,179 7,522 8,418 83,284 129,209 6272 2,125 8397 120812
RATIOS
- Gross Margin (%) - Operating Margin (%) - Net Margin (%) 59.9% 55.3% 67.7% 60.3% 56.2% 71.2% 60.6% 56.6% 35.2% 60.8% 57.9% 35.8%
12.88
20.90
32.14
57.58
Cash Accounts Receivables Inventory: Finished Goods Inventory Raw Material Inventory Stores & Spares Advances & Deposits Total Current Assets Other assets Fixed Assets at cost Less: Accumulated Dep. Net Fixed Assets: Preliminary Expenses: Total Assets: LIABILITIES & EQUITY Current Liabilities - Accounts Payable - Accrued Expenses - Dividends Payable - Taxes Payable - Bank Borrowings - Cur. Mat. of L T Debt Total Current Liabilities: Long-term Liabilities IDBP loan Total Long-term Liab.: EQUITY - Paid-up Capital (Sponsors) - Un-appropriated Profit Total Equity: Total Liab. & Equity: R A T I O S: Current Ratio Debt as %-age of total capital.
6,037 3,223 0 7,028 1,500 250 18,038 0 49360 0 49360 2,235 69634
81,790 3,223 5,738 7,028 1,594 500 99,873 0 49360 1,693 47667 2,000 149540
142985 4,119 6,629 7,028 1,700 1,000 163460 0 49360 3,386 45974 1,500 210935
211317 4,715 7,522 7,028 1,800 2,000 234383 0 49360 5,079 44281 1,000 279665
288659 5,312 8,418 7,028 1,900 4,000 315317 0 49360 6772 42588 447 358353
12,803 546 0 0 6,721 12451 32520 27668 27668 23057 87987 111044 171,698 3.07 20%
14,937 624 0 0 8,061 11344 34,965 20751 20751 23057 206012 229069 284785 4.67 8%
17,070 693 0 0 9,178 10237 37180 13,834 13,834 23057 272745 295802 346816 6.30 4%
19,204 768 0 0 10,298 9131 39400 6917 6917 23057 349342 372399 418716 8.00 2%
SOURCES Operating Profit Add Back: Depreciation Amortization Funds from Operations - Paid-up Capital (Sponsors) IDBP loan Increase in Current Liab. Increase in Bank Borrowings TOTAL SOURCES
APPLICATION OF FUNDS Investment in Fixed Assets: -Preliminary Exp Financial Expenses Repayment of : IDBP loan - Bank Borrowings Taxes Increase in current Assets: TOTAL
0 0 4,427 6,917 8,061 22811 2,393 44609 ====== 61195 81,790 142985
0 0 3,320 6,917 9,178 30599 2,590 52605 ====== 68333 142985 211317
0 0 2213 6917 10,298 35933 3,592 58954 ====== 77341 211317 288659