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Welfare SWF
Welfare SWF
December 2006
Arrow theorem is the approach overambitious? Efficiency nice but indecisive Extensions contradictory?
Overview...
Frank Cowell: Microeconomics
Welfare: SWF
The Approach
SWF: basics
Restriction of relevant aspects of social state to each person (household) Knowledge of preferences of each person (household) Comparability of individual utilities
utility levels utility scales contrast with constitution approach there we were trying to aggregate orderings
A sketch of the approach
Using a SWF
ub W(ua, ub,... )
Take the utility-possibility set Social welfare contours A social-welfare optimum?
ua questions
What is the ethical basis of the SWF? What should be its characteristics? What is its relation to utility? What is its relation to income?
Overview...
Frank Cowell: Microeconomics
Welfare: SWF
The Approach
SWF: basics
An individualistic SWF
Frank Cowell: Microeconomics
an ordinal function defined on space of individual utility levels not on profiles of orderings
But where does W come from...? We'll check out two approaches:
Suppose the SWF is based on individual preferences. Preferences are expressed behind a veil of ignorance It works like a choice amongst lotteries
don't confuse w and q! knows the distribution of allocations in the population knows the utility implications of the allocations knows the alternatives in the Great Lottery of Life does not know which lottery ticket he/she will receive
I would get if I Equalpayoffs identity 1,2,3,...were formalisation ignorance: assigned in the Great Lottery of Life The individualistic welfare model:
use theory of choice under uncertainty to find the shape of SWF W pw: probability assigned to w u: cardinal utility function, independent of w uw: utility payoff in state w
w pwu(xw) w pwuw
Equivalently:
h phuh
W = S uh
1 nh
h=1
nh
The equal ignorance assumption: ph = 1/nh But is this appropriate? Or should we assume that people know their identities with certainty? Or is the "truth" somewhere between...?
| |
1 2 3
identity
nh
Now for the second rather cynical approach Acronym stands for People Like Us Matter Whoever is in power may impute:
...either their own views, ... or what they think societys views are, ... or what they think societys views ought to be, ...probably based on the views of those in power
Theres a whole branch of modern microeconomics that is a reinvention of classical Political Economy
Concerned with the interaction of political decision-making and economic outcomes. But beyond the scope of this course
Overview...
Frank Cowell: Microeconomics
Welfare: SWF
The Approach
SWF: basics
Standard assumption
uh = Uh(xh) , h=1,2,...nh
...take an allocation Evaluate utility for each agent Plug into W to get social welfare
A
ua=Ua(x1a, x2a) ub=Ub(x1b, x2b)
W(ua, ub)
from good i h
The effect on h if commodity i is changed The effect on h if all commodities are changed
Differentiate W
nh
The marginal impact on social welfare of h: Changes in utility with respectutility change social welfare . household hs to u
dW =
S Wh duh
h=1
Weights from the Weights from h in the above: the So changes in allocation Substitute for du n SWF n utility function h change welfare.
dW =
S Wh SUih(xh)
h=1 i=1
dxih
Feasibility constraint
Lagrange multiplier
Note: constraint subsumes technological feasibility and materials balance From differentiating Lagrangean with respect to xih Usual modification for a corner solution
FOCs for an interior maximum: Wh (...) Uih(xh) lFi(x) = 0 And if xih =0 at the optimum: Wh (...) Uih(xh) lFi(x) 0
= Ujh(xh) Uj(x)
Ui(x)
This is new!
Wh Uih(xh) = W Ui(x)
Marginal utility of money
This is valid if all consumers optimise At the optimum the welfare value of a $ of income is equated across all h. Call this common value M
Look what happens in neighbourhood of optimum Assume that everyone is acting as a maximiser firms households Check what happens to the optimum if we alter incomes or prices a little Similar to looking at comparative statics for a single agent
SWF in terms of direct utility. Using indirect utility function Changes in utility and change social welfare
dW = S Wh duh =
h=1
dW = M S dyh
nh
nh
S WhVyh dyh
nh
...related to income
Follows from i Roys identity n
h
dW = M S xihdpi
h=1
...related to prices .
.
An attractive result?
Frank Cowell: Microeconomics
Summarising the results of the previous slide we have: THEOREM: in the neighbourhood of a welfare optimum welfare changes are measured by changes in national income / national expenditure But what if we are not in an ideal world?
Overview...
Frank Cowell: Microeconomics
Welfare: SWF
The Approach
SWF: basics
Useful to express social welfare in terms of incomes Do this by using indirect utility functions V
allow for differences in peoples needs allow for differences in household size
Bill's income
y
45 O Alf's income
Extension to nh=3
Frank Cowell: Microeconomics
Here we have 3 persons
Charlie's income
An income distribution.
y
O
Welfare contours
yb
Frank Cowell: Microeconomics
An arbitrary income distribution Contours of W Swap identities equivalent in welfare terms Distributions with the same mean Equally-distributed-equivalent income
x Ey
higher welfare
x Ey
Principle of Transfers : a mean-preserving redistribution from richer to poorer should increase social welfare
THEOREM: Quasi-concavity of W implies that social welfare respects the Transfer Principle
nh
where the function z is the social evaluation function (the 1/nh term is unnecessary arbitrary normalisation) Counterpart of u-function in choice under uncertainty
where the expectation is over all identities probability of identity h is the same, 1/nh , for all h
1
where i is the index of inequality aversion works just like r,the index of relative risk aversion
z(y) z(y)
More concave z() implies higher inequality aversion i ...and lower equallydistributed-equivalent income and more sharply curved contours
z = (z)
y
income
i=0
i=
Priority to poorest
ya
ya
yb
yb
W= S yh
h=1
nh
i=2
i=
nh
ya
ya
Likewise a logical link between risk and inequality. This could be seen as just a curiosity Or as an essential component of welfare economics
In the latter case the functions u and z should be taken as identical Optimal social state depends crucially on shape of W
Three examples
Y derived from set A or U Nonconvexity, asymmetry come from heterogeneity of households y* maximises total income irrespective of distribution
y*** y**
y* ya
y** trades off some income for greater equality y*** gives priority to equality; then maximises income subject to that
Summary
Frank Cowell: Microeconomics
Analogous to an individual's ordering over lotteries Inequality- and risk-aversion are similar concepts
1.
2.
In ideal conditions SWF is proxied by national income But for realistic cases two things are crucial: Information on social values Determining the income frontier This requires a modelling of what is possible in the underlying structure of the economy... ...which is what Micro-Economic principles is all about