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Analyzing The Financial Statements
Analyzing The Financial Statements
Basic Caveats
Focus of analysis depends upon the purpose in hand Analysis depends upon data availability Analysis of an entity for a period may not be adequate Inter-period comparison
Inter-firm comparison
Flexible No fixed formats / formula
Purpose of Analysis
Financial statement analysis helps users make better decisions.
Profitability
Leverage
The four factors are interdependent. The overall performance of a Firm is a function of these four factors. They have a multiplier impact on the overall performance.
Purpose of Analysis
Financial measures are often used to rank corporate performance. Example measures include:
Growth in sales Return to stockholders Profit margins Return on equity
Tools of Analysis
Horizontal analysis
Horizontal Analysis
Financial Statements present comparative information for at least 2 years Horizontal Analysis calculates the amount & percentage changes from the previous year to the current year.
Trend Analysis
100%
Trend Analysis
Berry Products Income Information For the Years Ended December 31,
2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 is the base period so 105% its 145% 129% 116% 150% 132% 118% 104% amounts will equal 100%. 135% 124% 112% 108%
balance sheet, and profit and loss a/c as a percentage of the base year.
Types of Ratios
Depending upon focus of analysis Profitability ratio
Growth
Dividend policy Asset utilization / Efficiency Liquidity Capital structure
Return
Market related
Profitability Ratios
Ratios Expressed as Comments
Gross margin ratio Gross profit / Sales Cash operating margin EBITDA / Total income Operating margin EBIT/ Total income Net margin PAT/ Total income Earnings per share PAT / Number of shares
Higher the margin, better it is. Compare with the industry average and trend over a period of time. Higher the margin, better it is. Compare with the industry average and trend over a period of time.
Higher the margin, better it is. Compare with the industry average and trend over a period of time. Higher the EPS, better it is. Compare the trend over a period of time.
Where, A is current years number P is base years number n is number of years. CAGR can be calculated for various parameters
Growth Ratio
Year-on-year growth
(Current year Previous year) / Previous year Can be calculated for sales, income, different measures of profit Expressed as percentage.
Dividend Policy
Ratio
Expressed as
Comments
As dividend attracts dividend distribution tax, the same is also considered a part of the payout. What % of profits after tax is being distributed? Growing companies have a lower payout. What % of profits after tax is being retained. Growing companies have a higher retention. Return to the shareholder by way of dividend on the current market price.
Liquidity Ratios
Ratio Expressed as Comments
Times
Short term investments should also be included in the current assets 2:1 considered adequate; higher ratio indicates blockage of funds in unproductive assets, whereas low ratio indicated inability of companys current assets to cover its current liabilities.
Times
Inventories are less liquid; Also called liquid ratio or acid test ratio 1 : 1 considered adequate; higher ratio indicates blockage of funds in unproductive assets.
Financial leverage ratio Total assets / Shareholders funds Interest coverage ratio EBIT / Interest and finance charges
Times Times
Cash flow coverage ratio (EBIT + Depreciation) / [Interest + Loan repayment/ (1-Tax Rate)]
Times
Ratios
Total assets turnover ratio Total income / Total assets
Expressed as
Times
Comments
May use average assets in the denominators i.e. (Opening + Closing)/2 Indicator of efficiency in utilization of assets, higher turnover means higher ability to generate revenue for the same set of assets.
May use average assets in the denominators i.e., (Opening + Closing)/2. Working capital means current assets less current liabilities Indicator of efficiency in utilization of working capital , higher turnover means higher ability to generate revenue for the same set of working capital.
Fixed assets turnover ratio Total income / Fixed assets Working capital turnover ratio Total income / Working capital
Times Times
Times
Number of days
Average holding period 365 / Inventory turnover ratio Average payment period 365 x Creditors / Purchases
Number of days
Number of days
Return Ratios
Ratios Return on assets EBIT (1-Tax rate) / Total assets Expressed as % Comments EBIT (1-Tax rate) is also called the Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT). Can also be calculated as PAT/ Total assets ability of the firm, to generate return on the total assets. Higher the better. Compare with industry average and past trends. Can also be calculated as PAT/ Capital employed ability of the firm, to generate return on the capital employed. Higher the better. Compare with industry average and past trends. Shareholders funds include reserve and surplus. Any accumulated losses and fictitious assets should be deducted Ability of the firm to generate return on the shareholders funds. Higher the better. Compare with industry average and past trends.
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) % EBIT (1-Tax rate) / (Borrowed funds + Shareholders funds) Return on equity PAT / Shareholders funds %
Dupont Analysis
Ratios Expressed as Return on equityDuPont % analysis (PAT/Sales) x (Sales/Assets ) x (Assets/Shareholders funds) = Net margin x Assets turnover x Financial leverage Comments Helps in breaking down the ROE into profitability, assets utilization and financial leverage.
Market Ratios
Ratios Price earning multiple (times) Current market price / EPS Price earnings to growth ratio Price earnings ratio / Growth rate Book value per share Shareholders funds / Number of shares Expressed as Times Comments Inverse of earning yields (EPS/CMP) High growth firms/ industries normally have a higher P/E multiple PEG ratio of 1 is considered as fair price Shareholders funds include reserve and surplus. Any accumulated losses and fictitious assets should be deducted. Not much meaningful as based upon historical cost of the assets and does not consider the earning capacity of the assets.
Time `
Price to book value ratio Times Current Market Price / Book Value per Share Market capitalization ` No. of shares x Current market price
Total market value of all the shares issued by the firm higher market capitalization acts as a safeguard against hostile takeover