Professional Documents
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AP 01 Problem Analysis 2009
AP 01 Problem Analysis 2009
Forbes Davidson
problem.ppt
4/11/20 13
Introduction
Scenario Roles: staff, participants Groups Time Schedule Time planning and management Output
Forbes Davidson
problem.ppt
4/11/20 13
Force -field analysis Develop options Monitor and evaluate analyze impact/ prioritize choose/ decide Plan action communicate, get support implement operate and maintain Ongoing development of support and revision
Forbes Davidson
problem.ppt
4/11/20 13
problems
problem focus
problems
Forbes Davidson
problem.ppt
strategy
problem
01072
Forbes Davidson
problem.ppt
4/11/20 13
problem/ opportunity
Forbes Davidson problem.ppt
objective
4/11/20 13
goal
concept developed from idea of Edward de Bono
Situation 1
Water shortage Volume of water No local resources Decision to make pipeline to mainland at cost of 30 million ($50 million) Pipeline implemented Plenty of water Everyone happy (except taxpayers?)
Forbes Davidson problem.ppt 4/11/20 13
pipeline
supply
forecast demand
Time
11
Situation, part 2
Water company Volume of water privatised Experiments with water meters on the island Peoples habits change dramatically, reducing Water meters the demand for water to well below the original point at which there was a problem
Forbes Davidson problem.ppt 4/11/20 13
12
Lessons
Poor definition of the original problem can be very expensive! Question: what would be a definition of the problem in this case that could have saved a lot of the $50,000,000?
Forbes Davidson
problem.ppt
4/11/20 13
13
Problem formulation
The formulation should be something like: There is a mismatch of supply and demand for water on the island, particularly at the peak tourist season This leaves open whether future action will concentrate on the supply side, the demand side or both. This quality is very important at problem definition stage - it is the foundation of all later action.
Forbes Davidson problem.ppt 4/11/20 13 14
Effects
Effects
Effects
Core problem
Roots or causes
Roots or causes
Roots or causes
Roots or causes
Roots or causes
Roots or causes
Forbes Davidson problem.ppt 4/11/20 13
Roots or causes
Roots or causes
15
health problems
high usage
Leakage in system
attitudes
WORKSHOP ON PARTICIPATIVE URBAN DEVELOPMENT AND UPGRADING FOR ALICE, EASTERN CAPE MAY 7 - 13, 1995, CRAWFORDS CABINS, CINTSA BEACH, EASTERN CAPE _____________________________________________________________________________________________________
PROBLEM ANALYSIS
Hospital too small to meet needs
Overloaded Hospital
Poor health
Dust from gravel roads is a health hazard Poor sanitation (inadequate management of municipal waste) Poor road maintenance Present water infrastructure cannot cope with growing population/town Overcrowding Overloading of existing infrastructure Poor health care
High birthrate
In-migration
D 1.2
PLANNING HEALTH WARNING Lack of good thinking can seriously injure your plans 4/11/20
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