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EVS Indian Economy Opportunities
EVS Indian Economy Opportunities
EVS Indian Economy Opportunities
Opportunities Unlimited
India: Fastest Growing Free Market Democracy 2
India: Among the Top-15 Countries in terms of GDP at 3
constant prices
The Indian economy has witnessed an unprecedented growth…. Booming Indian services and
industry sector are providing the required impetus to the economic growth
India’s GDP
witnessed high
India's GDP: 2002-07 9.4%
growth and was the 8.4%
700
second fastest
8.5% 7.5%
growing GDP after 600 Fastest GDP growth of 9.4
China percent in 2006-07, since last 18
500
years
400
300 4% 631
590
USD Billion 484 534
200 424
Indian economy is
the 4th largest in 100
terms of PPP – USD
4.1 trillion in 2006 0
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
GDP at Constant Prices
Contribution
The sound of Services -
increased
performance of each from 49
industry segment is 700 percent to 55
leading to the overall percent
robust performance 600
of the Indian 168
500 155
economy Growth in sectors (2006-07):
400 117 Industry: 10.9%
104 109 116
Services: 11%
300
USD Billion 103 91 Agriculture: 2.7%
200
319 347
100 205 223
0
1999-00 2002-03 2005-06 2006-07
Services Agriculture Industry
India: Robust Economic Platform 4
With improved performance on PE ratio and ROE, Indian markets have attracted
India is ranked
second in AT large investments
Kearney FDI
confidence index FDI Inflow - India: 2001-07
18,000
15,730
16,000
14,000
12,000 180 percent
Telecom and
Increase
Electronics topped 10,000
Return on the Investments in India (2006 Q1)
the list of inward FDI 8,000
Market PE Ratio P/B Ratio RoE (%) 5,546
USD Million4,222
6,000
3,755
India 16.1 4.53 22 4,000 3,134 2,634
China 10.62 2.06 17 2,000
FDI inflow for the
0
period 2006-07 Indonesia 10.26 3.09 NA
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
witnessed a growth
Korea 9.85 1.84 16
of 180 percent over
the same period last Malaysia 13.21 1.82 16
year Net FII into India: 2001-07
Taiwan 12.17 2 11 12
10.00 10.20
Thailand 9.84 2.32 23 9.40
10
EM Asia 11.19 2.12 15
Mauritius has been 8
Latin America 9.35 2.46 18 6.72
the largest
6
contributor towards EM Europe 10.9 2.39 15
FDI into India….. USD
4 Billion
1.80
2
0.60
0
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
India: Vibrant Capital Market 7
Sensex – The Bombay stock exchange index has risen 15 times from 1990s to
India is among the reach 15,000 mark in July 2007
major destinations
across the globe for
inflow of US Dollar
i.e. FIIs 7/9/2007
Crossed
15,000
mark FIIs augmented
1/12/2007 support by infusing
16,000 Crossed 14,000 mark large investments
Sensex risen 15 in Indian stock
times in the period market
14,000
1990-2007
2/7/2006
12,000 Crossed 10,000 mark
10,000
Activities
Number of Deals and Values USD USD
Growth Drivers: SECTOR SECTOR
28.2 (Mn) (Mn)
30 900
Globalisation of
782 800 Automotive 518 Manufacturing 933
competition 25
700
Concentration of 20 18.3 600
Banking and Financial 1,375 Media 630
companies to 500
467 Chemicals and 1,133 Oil & Gas 384
achieve 15 12.3 Plastics
400
economies of 10 306 300 Electrical and 896 Pharma & 2,520
scale Number of deals
Electronics biotech
USD Billion 200
Lower interest 5
100 Energy 1,484 Telecom 2,198
rates and vibrant 0 0
global markets FMCG, Food and 1,327 Others 4,006
2004 2005 2006 Beverages
Cash Reserves
Deal Values No. of Deals
with Corporates IT and ITES 2,903 Total 20,305
Aditya Birla Group increased its stake in Idea USD 0.98 billion
Cellular by acquiring 48.14-percent stake
project in Chennai.
World
2007 Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) 2007 Global Services Location Index
India has been 100
ranked superior to India 3.2 2.3 1.4
other major 80
countries by many China 2.9 2.3 1.4
prominent surveys… 60 Malaysia 2.8 1.3 2
India is expected to
4
outperform its rivals
in the BRIC, in terms
of GDP growth rates,
from 2015 2 Growth Rate (%)
GDP
onwards…
0
2005-10 2010-15 2015-20 2020-25 2025-30 2030-35 2035-40 2040-45 2045-50
100
0
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
India: Increasing Working Population 13
Countries worldwide are anticipating a shortage of working population in the future. India is expected to emerge as a
clear winner, and by 2050, it will have the largest working age population.
Growth Expected in India 14
To sustain the GDP growth of more than 8 percent, India requires an investment of USD 1.5 trillion in the
next five years
2010
GDP – USD 900 billion
GDP growth rate – 9%
2008 Services contribution – 60-65 %
GDP – USD 750 billion FDI limit is expected to be 100
percent in major industry sectors
GDP growth rate – 9.5%
such as Telecom,
2006 Services contribution – 60 % Semiconductors, Automobiles,
etc.
GDP – USD 590 billion FDI limit is expected to be close to
100 percent in major industry Balance of Trade – Should be
GDP growth rate – 9 % positive with increased level of
sectors such as Telecom,
Services contribution – 54 % Semiconductors, Automobiles, exports as compared with imports
etc. Investment goal – USD 370 billion
FDI limit not 100 percent in major
industry sectors such as Telecom, Balance of Trade – Should
Semiconductors, Automobiles, increase with surging exports as
etc. compared with imports
Balance of Trade – USD (-)46.2 Investment goal – USD 305 billion
billion
Investment goal – USD 250 billion
Why India? – Quote Unquote 15
largest economies in
the world.
Jack Welch
General Electric
16
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