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FIA Asia Derivatives Conference Asian Financial Markets Become More Mainstream
FIA Asia Derivatives Conference Asian Financial Markets Become More Mainstream
FIA Asia Derivatives Conference Asian Financial Markets Become More Mainstream
Linus Koh
Executive Vice President
Head of Products & 1
Services
Singapore Exchange
Since 1999, the global market for exchange traded
derivatives has more than tripled from 2.4b to 8.9b
contracts
Growth has been driven primarily by financial derivatives
5
Contracts (Billions)
4
Equity Indices
3
2
Interest Rate
1 Individual Equities
Equity Indices (ex-KOSPI)
0
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Source:
FIA
Ag. Commodities: Soyabean futures (Dalian, Tokyo Grain Ex), Corn
futures (CBOT)
Energy Products: Crude oil & unleaded gas futures (NYMEX)
Non-Precious Metals: Copper futures (Shanghai Futures Exchange)
Foreign Currency / Index: EuroFX (CME)
Precious Metals: Gold & silver futures (NYMEX)
2
In 2004, the top 10 derivatives exchanges
accounted for 74% of the total volume for
exchange traded derivatives
Since 1999, Eurex, Euronext.liffe, CME, CBOT and CBOE have been among
the top 10 derivatives exchanges with growth greatly due to their financial
derivatives contracts. Korea is the only Asian Exchange in the top 10.
2004 Top Contract Million
Rank contracts
1 Korea Futures Exchange (KRX) Kospi 200* 2,586.8
2 Eurex Euro-Bund Futures 1,065.6
3 Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Eurodollar Futures 805.3
4 Euronext.liffe Euribor Futures 790.4
5 Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) T-Note Futures 600.0
6 Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Equity Options 361.1
7 International Securities Exchange (ISE) Equity Options 360.9
8 Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo (Bovespa) Equity Options 235.3
9 Mercado Mexicano de Derivados (MexDer) TIIE 28 Futures 210.4
10 American Stock Exchange (AMEX) Equity Options 202.7
Total 7,218.5
Source: FIA
* The KOSPI 200 contracts, transferred from KSE to KOFEX in 1/04, are of a low notional value and retail dominated
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Asian exchanges continue growing, but are not
quite mainstream yet
In 2004 (as in 2003), Asia / Pacific captured the largest share of the
global market for exchange traded derivatives, driven primarily by
KRX’s Kospi 200 options & futures.
Source: FIA
4
All factors point to this being the decade for
derivatives growth in Asia
Strong economic growth
Average Asia Pacific GDP growth of 6-7% forecast to outpace that of the OECD
Rank Rank
Country C
17 China101 Unite
Source: Central Intelligence Agency
Date of Information: 2004 est.
25 Singapore
120 Swe
Increasingly sophisticated investors
Rising education levels & increasing standards of living
High degree of speculation among retail investors
26 Hong121
Developing infrastructure for technology and telecommunications
Kong
Aust
Korea: World-class telecommunications infrastructure with highest broadband
penetration
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The emerging global competitive landscape
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The emerging global competitive landscape
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The emerging global competitive landscape
Electronic trading has shifted the competitive landscape for exchanges
Many exchanges are now also motivated by shareholder requirements
Customers have also begun looking for integrated offerings across markets
As a result, competition among exchanges has intensified. Many exchanges are:
aggressively expanding into other markets, and
concurrently using price as a competitive lever.
In response,
some European Exchanges are moving to offering fully integrated services,
while some US Exchanges are bridging the gap between futures & options,
US
Europe CME
attempted to
Derivative Euronext. acquire ISE
Eurex
s Trading liffe Futures Exchanges Options
100% 50% Exchanges
Cash Deutsche CME ISE
Euronext
Trading Bourse CBOT AMEX
25% 100% CBOE Futures CBOE
3.6%*
LCH. Clearstream OneChicago PHLX
Clearing PBOT
Clearnet Clearing BOX
10% 100% NYMEX PCX
Clearstream NYBOT
Settlemen Euroclear
Settlement
t
* Deemed interest may be higher CBOE opened a futures PHLX reviving PBOT to
exchange subsidiary list equity index futures
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Update on SGX Developments
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Growth of SGX Electronic Market
2,000,000
78.1
%
1,800,000
Trading Volume
1,600,000
1,400,000 e-TW
67.0%
1,200,000 67.6%
e-JGB
40.7%
1,000,000
800,000 45.1
%
e-NK 31
.3%
39.1
%
600,000 SGX Quest 28.0%
400,000 9.2% 1
0.7%
7.8% 8.6% 1
2.2% 1
2.6% 1
5.5%
8.5% 8.3% 1
1.8%
200,000
-
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Total electronic trading volume grew 330% in the 1st half of 2005
Achieved an average daily volume (Jan-Jun 05) of 53,400 contracts
Performance Growth in Trading Volume
Nikkei 225 Index Future 19% in 1st half of 2005
Singapore Exchange
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