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    Maths QM 2

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    lalnitesh
    The document describes analysis conducted to validate Nobel's claim that certain variables can predict total ticket sales (TIX). Initially, only 4% of variation in TIX was explained by one predictor (O4). Stepwise regression identified O4 as explaining 65% of variation. Outlier analysis identified cases 28 and 15 as outliers and removed them. The final model with 6 predictors explained 82% of variation in TIX without auto-correlation, validating Nobel's claim.

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    Maths QM 2

    Uploaded by

    lalnitesh
    9 views9 pages
    The document describes analysis conducted to validate Nobel's claim that certain variables can predict total ticket sales (TIX). Initially, only 4% of variation in TIX was explained by one predictor (O4). Stepwise regression identified O4 as explaining 65% of variation. Outlier analysis identified cases 28 and 15 as outliers and removed them. The final model with 6 predictors explained 82% of variation in TIX without auto-correlation, validating Nobel's claim.

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    The document describes analysis conducted to validate Nobel's claim that certain variables can predict total ticket sales (TIX). Initially, only 4% of variation in TIX was explained by one predictor (O4). Stepwise regression identified O4 as explaining 65% of variation. Outlier analysis identified cases 28 and 15 as outliers and removed them. The final model with 6 predictors explained 82% of variation in TIX without auto-correlation, validating Nobel's claim.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
    9 views9 pages

    Maths QM 2

    Uploaded by

    lalnitesh
    The document describes analysis conducted to validate Nobel's claim that certain variables can predict total ticket sales (TIX). Initially, only 4% of variation in TIX was explained by one predictor (O4). Stepwise regression identified O4 as explaining 65% of variation. Outlier analysis identified cases 28 and 15 as outliers and removed them. The final model with 6 predictors explained 82% of variation in TIX without auto-correlation, validating Nobel's claim.

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    of 9

    BY GROUP 1

    Validation of Nobels claim

    Model

    R Square

    .076a

    .006

    Adjusted R Std. Error of


    Square
    the Estimate

    -.008

    9767.5917

    Nobels presence explains only 0.6 % of the total variation

    STEP-WISE REGRESSION
    Data refined
    -bifurcation all the category variables (POS) and
    removal the redundant variables (Yanks, Weekend).
    Model
    1

    Model Summaryg
    Adjusted R
    Std. Error of
    R Square
    Square
    the Estimate

    .807a

    .652

    .647

    5778.6222

    .828b

    .686

    .677

    5529.6123

    .841c

    .708

    .695

    5370.0785

    .854d

    .729

    .713

    5209.9849

    .868e

    .754

    .736

    4999.1593

    6
    .879f
    .773
    a. Predictors: (Constant), O4

    .753

    4834.2247

    2
    3
    4
    5

    Durbin-Watson

    O4 has highest
    correlation with
    TIX and explains
    65.2% of the
    variance.
    No auto
    correlation

    2.019

    OUTLIER ANALYSIS
    Residuals Statisticsa

    Predicted Value
    Std. Predicted Value
    Standard Error of Predicted
    Value
    Adjusted Predicted Value
    Residual
    Std. Residual
    Stud. Residual
    Deleted Residual
    Stud. Deleted Residual
    Mahal. Distance
    Cook's Distance
    Centered Leverage Value

    Minimum
    6576.889
    -.546

    Maximum
    43293.324
    3.746

    Mean
    11244.253
    .000

    Std. Deviation
    8555.4290
    1.000

    N
    75
    75

    744.908

    4834.225

    1286.026

    731.052

    75

    8481.9808
    4634.1003
    .959
    1.025
    5359.8678
    1.057
    9.616
    .054
    .130

    74
    75
    75
    75
    74
    74
    75
    74
    75

    6246.480
    45564.090
    11062.611
    -9640.5596
    13585.1113
    .0000
    -1.994
    2.810
    .000
    -2.285
    2.844
    .000
    -12659.0889
    14288.6514
    3.6596
    -2.361
    3.008
    .006
    .770
    73.013
    5.920
    .000
    .285
    .023
    .010
    .987
    .080
    a. Dependent Variable: TIX

    OUTLIER ANALYSIS CONTD.


    Case wise Diagnostics

    Case Number

    Std. Residual

    28

    2.810

    TIX

    Predicted Value

    20162.0

    6576.889

    Residual
    13585.1111

    Dependent Variable: TIX

    Remove case 28 and perform residual analysis:


    Residuals Statisticsa
    Predicted Value

    Minimum
    6246.480

    Maximum
    43415.004

    Mean
    11123.743

    Std. Deviation
    8699.6300

    N
    74

    Std. Predicted Value

    -.561

    3.712

    .000

    1.000

    74

    Standard Error of Predicted Value

    712.911

    4571.321

    1227.646

    689.970

    74

    Adjusted Predicted Value

    5984.877

    45727.688

    10937.803

    8627.9143

    73

    Residual

    -9764.1123

    12092.2930

    .0000

    4379.4315

    74

    Std. Residual

    -2.136

    2.645

    .000

    .958

    74

    Stud. Residual

    -2.448

    2.792

    .000

    1.032

    74

    Deleted Residual

    -12822.6855

    14530.9990

    3.8686

    5136.3932

    73

    Stud. Deleted Residual

    -2.546

    2.948

    .004

    1.065

    73

    Mahal. Distance

    .789

    72.014

    5.919

    9.521

    74

    Cook's Distance

    .000

    .330

    .026

    .061

    73

    Centered Leverage Value

    .011

    .081

    .130

    74

    .986
    a. Dependent Variable: TIX

    OUTLIER ANALYSIS CONTD.


    Casewise Diagnosticsa
    Case Number

    Std. Residual

    2.645
    15
    a. Dependent Variable: TIX

    TIX

    Predicted Value

    Residual

    24272.0

    12179.707

    12092.2931

    Remove 15 and do the residual analysis


    Residuals Statisticsa

    Predicted Value
    Std. Predicted Value
    Standard Error of Predicted
    Value
    Adjusted Predicted Value
    Residual
    Std. Residual
    Stud. Residual
    Deleted Residual
    Stud. Deleted Residual
    Mahal. Distance
    Cook's Distance
    Centered Leverage Value

    Minimum
    6224.693
    -.539

    Maximum
    43796.293
    3.756

    Mean
    10943.630
    .000

    Std. Deviation
    8747.2108
    1.000

    N
    73
    73

    676.229

    4335.838

    1171.323

    660.814

    73

    8668.6100
    4151.2493
    .957
    1.035
    4905.8745
    1.068
    9.459
    .065
    .131

    72
    73
    73
    73
    72
    72
    73
    72
    73

    5962.513
    44944.000
    10752.980
    -9859.6445
    10774.3555
    .0000
    -2.274
    2.485
    .000
    -2.591
    2.831
    .000
    -12800.2402
    13987.7598
    3.5474
    -2.713
    2.998
    .003
    .765
    71.014
    5.918
    .000
    .342
    .027
    .011
    .986
    .082
    a. Dependent Variable: TIX

    FINAL MODEL SUMMARY

    Model
    1

    R Square

    Model Summary
    Adjusted R
    Square

    Std. Error of the


    Estimate

    .832a

    .692

    .688

    5410.1159

    .854b

    .729

    .721

    5112.7921

    .865c

    .749

    .738

    4959.8945

    .877d

    .769

    .755

    4791.5557

    .891e

    .793

    .778

    4562.9945

    6
    .903f
    .816
    .799
    a. Predictors: (Constant), O4
    b. Predictors: (Constant), O4, OD
    c. Predictors: (Constant), O4, OD, O9
    d. Predictors: (Constant), O4, OD, O9, DH
    e. Predictors: (Constant), O4, OD, O9, DH, PROMO
    f. Predictors: (Constant), O4, OD, O9, DH, PROMO, O13
    g. Dependent Variable: TIX

    4335.8384

    2
    3
    4
    5

    Durbin-Watson

    2.186

    Thank You

    Kingsoft Office
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