Complex Systems, Dynamics & Design: Key Note

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KEY NOTE

Complex Systems, Dynamics & Design


Professor Jeffrey Johnson,
Principal Investigator: ECiD2 Research Cluster.

Complexity, Dynamics & Design


designed systems can be complex

Complexity, Dynamics & Design


designed systems can be complex
design processes can be complex

Complexity, Dynamics & Design


designed systems can be complex
design processes can be complex
design environment can be complex

Complexity, Dynamics & Design

designed systems can be complex


design processes can be complex
design environment can be complex
design - a complex cognitive social process

Complexity, Dynamics & Design


Design involves assembles parts into wholes
predicting the behaviour of the whole

Complexity, Dynamics & Design


Design involves assembles parts into wholes
predicting the behaviour of the whole

dynamics

Complexity & Dynamics


Traditional Science & Cassandra
prediction & prescience

Complexity & Dynamics


Traditional Science & Cassandra
prediction & prescience

Halleys Comet

Complexity & Dynamics


Traditional Science & Cassandra
prediction & prescience

Halleys Comet
Newtons Laws a triumph for science

Complexity & Dynamics


Traditional Science & Cassandra
prediction & prescience

Predictive science for engineering design

Complexity & Dynamics


Traditional Science & Cassandra
prediction & prescience

Some systems: point prediction impossible

Complexity & Dynamics


Traditional Science & Cassandra
prediction & prescience

How can the dynamics be designed & controlled?

Complexity & Dynamics


Traditional Science & Cassandra
prediction & prescience
Dynamics and prediction in design ?
Science versus pre-science: just knowing
How can the dynamics be designed & controlled?

Complexity & Dynamics

Complexity & Dynamics


Complex Systems & Prediction
Dynamics emerge from interactions of
many heterogeneous parts at many levels
Trial and error not an option
Must understand transitions

Complexity & Dynamics


Complex Systems & Prediction

Now
t + t

t + 2t

t + 3t

time horizon

Complexity & Dynamics


Complex Systems & Prediction

Now
t + t

t + 2t

t + 3t

time horizon

Complexity & Dynamics


Complex Systems & Prediction

Now
t + t

t + 2t

t + 3t

designing the future

time horizon

Complexity & Dynamics


Design as the Lab of Complex Systems
map out possible
futures from data
make a change
create artificial system
observe what happens

Experiments not replicable

Complexity & Dynamics


Designing Complex Systems
only politicians have the mandate & the money

Complexity & Dynamics


Designing Complex Systems
only politicians have the mandate & the money
Complex Systems Scientists need to work with
policy makers

Complexity & Dynamics


Designing Complex Systems
only politicians have the mandate & the money
Complex Systems Scientists need to work with
policy makers
But they know nothing of design as process

Complexity & Dynamics


Designing Complex Systems
only politicians have the mandate & the money

Complex Systems Scientists need to


work with policy makers
CS Scientists need to know about design
together we are designing the future

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