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Goodwill California 2012 FINAL W PG - S
Goodwill California 2012 FINAL W PG - S
Goodwill California 2012 FINAL W PG - S
Operating in California
Economic and Fiscal Impact
2012
Presented By:
Elliott D. Pollack & company
March 20th, 2013
Elliott D. Pollack & Company
Goodwill Model
(1) Impact of Jobs Placement
(2) Impact of Operations
(3) Impact of Capital Improvements
2
Elliott D. Pollack & Company
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
Economic Impacts
Models produce values for three
economic measures:
(1) Economic activity (output) =
gross
Multiplier Effects:
(1) Direct
(2) Indirect
(3) Induced
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
DIRECT:
Jobs held by
employees of the industry
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
INDIRECT:
Jobs created in industries that
provide goods & services to
the industry.
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
INDUCED:
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
Fiscal Impact
Taxes derived from employees such as:
Community Placements
Goodwill Industries
Operating in California
The 13 Goodwill organizations operating in
California placed 14,215 people into jobs in 2012
(excluding placements within local Goodwills).
For perspective, this figure represents 5.7% of
Californias statewide 2012 job growth.
Note: Estimated retention was at least 3 months.
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
Top 10
Community Placement Inputs
Months
Employed
Industry
Jobs
Retail Trade
Administrative Support Services
Warehousing & Storage
Construction, Maintenance &
Repair
Waste Management and
Remediation Services
Food Services & Drinking Places
Food, Beverage & Tobacco
Repair & Maintenance
3,026
2,134
1,938
$9.10
$11.29
$9.27
30
33
15
5
4
3
858
$13.15
37
704
617
553
512
$12.16
$8.49
$8.90
$12.33
27
31
32
35
4
5
3
3
430
392
$11.07
$12.63
33
33
4
3
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
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Total
$11.33
$7.53
$11.10
$10.86
$11.19
32
31
31
35
34
7
8
3
5
3
375
123
$12.99
$9.07
30
28
7
7
889
140
9
6,939
$11.56
$12.16
$14.37
$10.71
33
33
40
33
4
5
3
3
172
$16.12
40
12
423
14,215
$9.58
40
$10.75
33
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
15
Total
Direct Jobs
(Placements) Total Jobs
Total
Economic Fiscal Impact
Wages Output ($mil)
($mil)
856
1,119
187
28
2,955
973
1,233
198
32
3,192
$14.9
$14.6
$1.5
$0.5
$27.7
$38.0
$38.0
$3.7
$1.3
$79.0
$1.15
$1.33
$0.12
$0.03
$1.99
375
123
437
137
$8.0
$1.7
$19.9
$4.4
$0.62
$0.15
889
140
993
154
$12.5
$1.8
$34.2
$4.6
$0.91
$0.14
9
6,939
9
7,375
$0.1
$55.3
$0.0
$139.8
$0.01
$4.08
172
243
$9.5
$21.9
$0.75
423
14,215
474
15,450
$6.2
$154.3
$16.6
$401.4
$0.46
$11.7
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
16
2009
2010
448
192
284
52
1,970
565
211
242
110
2,066
801
277
207
25
2,699
856
1,119
187
28
2,955
557
343
577
178
360
92
375
123
471
120
1,349
68
1,071
76
889
140
24
3,882
36
7,163
17
9,061
9
6,939
109
185
241
172
159
239
403
423
8,611
12,989
Total
2011
15,330
2012
14,215
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
17
2010
2011
2012
Total placements
8,611
12,989
15,330
14,215
Total jobs
9,225
14,272
17,654
15,450
$96.7
$154.1
$263.7
$154.3
$259.0
$417.2
$675.3
$401.4
$6.9
$12.2
$18.8
$11.7
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
18
Economic Impact
of Community Placements
2012
Jobs
Wages ($mil)
Economic
Output ($mil)
14,215
$87.3
$202.1
Indirect
509
$29.8
$89.4
Induced
727
$37.1
$109.9
15,450
$154.3
$401.4
Impact Type
Direct
Total
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
19
Fiscal Impact
of Community Placements
2012
Secondary Impact from Employees
Employees
Sales Tax
Income
Tax
Unemployment
Insurance Tax
Gas Tax
Total
Revenues
$4,227,900
$479,700
$1,109,900
$679,200
$6,546,700
Indirect Revenues
$841,000
$1,328,000
$121,500
$71,400
$2,371,900
Induced Revenues
$1,101,900
$1,427,200
$174,400
$104,400
$2,807,900
Total Revenues
$6,220,800
$3,244,900
$1,405,600
$855,000
$11,726,300
Impact Type
Direct Revenues
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
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Goodwill Operations
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
Top 10
Community Operations Inputs
Hourly Rate
Hours/week
Months
Employed
8,342
$9.80
33
10
2,525
1,383
$16.24
$9.74
38
32
9
11
686
$11.64
29
11
E-Commerce
Janitorial Services
151
122
$11.37
$11.23
34
30
12
8
83
45
$17.51
$14.61
33
29
11
11
40
$11.14
35
12
38
$14.53
39
11
Operation Industry
Used Clothing and Merchandise
Store
Administrative, business, and
management services
Supply Chain
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
23
Impact of Operations
Total
Total
Economic Fiscal Impact
Wages Output ($mil)
($mil)
1,077
1,039
365
2,230
1,379
1,244
1,380
452
2,575
1,577
$24.5
$46.9
$12.3
$49.4
$29.1
$57.3
$108.9
$28.8
$114.6
$68.9
$2.01
$3.76
$0.91
$4.82
$2.59
1,013
299
1,340
381
$44.4
$12.0
$103.8
$28.8
$3.47
$1.00
587
624
683
787
$13.4
$23.0
$31.0
$54.4
$1.03
$1.93
232
3,865
276
4,414
$6.4
$77.2
$15.2
$178.3
$0.55
$6.14
360
458
$14.2
$32.9
$1.21
383
13,453
479
16,043
$14.1
$366.5
$32.7
$854.7
$1.10
$30.5
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
24
Impact Type
Direct
Economic
Output
($mil)
13,453
$224.7
$454.7
Indirect
860
$53.5
$138.7
Induced
1,730
$88.3
$261.3
16,043
$366.5
$854.7
Total
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
25
Income
Tax
Unemployment
Insurance Tax Gas Tax
Total
Revenues
$10,479,100
$3,928,100
$2,667,800 $1,614,200
$19,532,100
Indirect
Revenues
$1,469,700
$2,536,100
$205,000
$123,900
$4,334,700
Induced
Revenues
$2,601,800
$3,371,000
$411,600
$249,200
$6,663,600
$14,550,600
$9,835,200
$3,283,900 $1,987,300
$30,500,400
Impact Type
Direct Revenues
Total Revenues
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
26
Operations Summary
2009
2010
2011
2012
9,539
8,847
9,880
13,453
Total jobs
10,894
10,951
12,610
16,043
$233.7
$292.1
$313.9
$366.5
$582.7
$664.5
$781.5
$854.7
$16.3
$22.7
$24.1
$30.5
Direct employees
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
27
Capital Improvements
28
Elliott D. Pollack & Company
Capital Improvements by
The construction generated 154 direct jobs and 275 total jobs
with wages of $17.1million in 2012.
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Elliott D. Pollack & Company
Impact of Construction
Total
Economic
Total
Output
Wages
($mil)
Direct
Jobs
Total
Jobs
$1,084,651
$168,695
$3,749,048
$6,684,920
9
1
31
55
16
2
55
98
$1.0
$0.2
$3.4
$6.1
$2.2
$0.3
$7.8
$13.8
$0.16
$.01
$0.28
$0.5
$783,630
12
$0.7
$1.6
$0.12
$3,275,145
$2,998,000
$18,744,089
27
25
154
48
44
275
$3.0
$2.7
$17.1
$6.8
$6.2
$38.7
$0.24
$0.22
$1.4
NOTES
Fiscal
Impact
($mil)
Value of
Construction
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
30
Jobs
Wages
($mil)
Economic
Output
($mil)
154
$10.3
$18.7
Indirect
40
$2.7
$7.8
Induced
81
$4.1
$12.2
275
$17.1
$38.7
Impact Type
Direct
Total
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
31
Employees
Spending Sales
Tax Income Tax
Unemployment
Insurance Tax Gas Tax
Total
Revenues
Direct
Revenues
$277,300
$525,100
$36,800
$22,300
$861,530
Indirect
Revenues
$71,800
$135,300
$9,600
$5,800
$222,520
Induced
Revenues
$121,400
$157,300
$19,200
$11,600
$309,513
Total
Revenues
$470,500
$817,700
$65,700
$39,700
$1,393,563
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
32
Impact of Construction
2012
Direct Jobs
31
154
Total Jobs
65
275
$3.9
$17.1
$10.3
$38.7
$0.4
$1.4
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
33
Total Impact
Operations Construction
TOTAL
Direct Jobs
14,215
13,453
154
27,822
Total Jobs
15,450
16,043
275
31,768
$154.3
$366.5
$17.1
$537.9
$401.4
$854.7
$38.7
$1,294.8
$11.7
$30.5
$1.4
$43.8
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
34
Total Impact
2010
2011
2012
Direct Jobs
18,150
22,153
25,241
27,822
Total Jobs
20,119
25,424
30,319
31,768
$330.4
$429.5
$580.5
$537.9
$841.7
$1,044.3
$1,464.3
$1,294.8
$23.2
$33.6
$43.2
$43.8
*2009 and 2010 do not include the impact from construction. In addition, in some cases,
changes were made to overall methodology and standards in the 2012 model.
NOTES
1 The total may not equal the sum of the impacts due to rounding.
2 All of the above figures are based on current tax rates.
Source: Elliott D. Pollack & Company; IMPLAN
35
ELLIOTT D. POLLACK
& Company
Economic and Real Estate Consulting
WWW.ARIZONAECONOMY.COM
INFO @ EDPCO.COM
480-423-5942 F
www.arizonaeconomy.com
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