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Baidu (BIDU) Daily Log Scale: Bullish, Right?
Baidu (BIDU) Daily Log Scale: Bullish, Right?
- V -??
“4”
“1”
“2”
BAIDU displayed “power” every step of the way, even during the “corrective moves.”
The Wave (IV) was an “irregular” triangle [big “b” wave”] which is more powerful than
“x” a typical contracting triangle. The Wave -IV- was a “running” triangle, where the (B)
“y”
and (D) waves are larger than the preceding (A) and (C) legs. Such triangles yield
( II ) powerful “thrusts” when completed. The important question now is whether or
not BIDU has completed a major advance yet.
-I- (I)
- II -
“3”
“1”
“4”
“2” Based on the dramatic nature of the $629 peak on spectacularly great
“news” and the huge amount of panic buying into that level, it would
be a surprise to see $629 bettered.
407
(E)
- IV -
The “alternative” count is the Wave (E) finished at 432. There is some merit to this
concept because of the way the market “thrusted” from that point--in other words, it was
the signature of triangle conclusion. If this is the count, it actually increases the
chances of a “failed” or truncated Wave (V), a move that cannot better the $629 high.
“3”
( IV )
“4”
“1” This has the “feel” of a
triangle development.
“x”
“2”
(I)
“y”
(D) “w”
( II )
432
(E)
- IV -
- V -??
BIDU has busted out of a channel here. R.N. Elliott described this as a “throw over,” “Throw Over?”
when a market temporarily bursts out of the channel in a final bout of volume buying.
In order for this to be considered “throw over,” it must reverse and get back under the
broken channel.
- III -
(V)
- IV -
( III )
( IV )
-I- (I) On the February 27th report, we suggested $595 as the best target for BIDU. That was
( II ) based on a Wave -IV- conclusion at $406 and Wave -V- occupying 38.2% of the entire
advance. So far the market has failed to settle above $595. If the Wave -IV- actually
concluded at $432, then the same targeting principle would yield a $637 objective for the
final fifth wave.
- II -
If one wants to remain bullish on Baidu, then it’s important to identify some critical
support points. The first level of support should be the 544-549 zone. This is the point
from which BIDU launched the panic buying phase. There should be buying at that
zone again, so a break of $544 would signal that all buying power has been exhausted
in the short term. The next big support is far lower at $465-470, the point at which the
market gapped higher and broke previous resistance. This zone should be strong
support on the first go.
544-549
465-470