India Vision

Contents:
1 Need of Vision
2 Will India become an economic Superpower.
3 What will be the status in 2050.
4 Adverse effects.
 Need of Vision
Progress is the must for any
nation. Simply an existence on the
earth is meaningless.

The progress should be measured

by the living standard of the
nation.
Will India become an
economic
Superpower…?
How..?
How much time
will it take..?
Young India, more people entering
the workforce:
% Growth IRS 07 over 06
Age-group
All Working
• Close to 5% of the
Total (in Mn) 824 420
working audience in Total 3.0 4.9

the age-group of 15-19 15-19 years 2.5 8.1

is Student (either 20-29 years

30-39 years
-0.1

4.7
2.7

6.3
doing a full time/part 40-49 years 4.8 6.1

time jobs) 50 years+ 3.9 2.8

Colour TV growing at a higher pace in smaller
towns/rural, an increased penetration will lead to
collection on viewership of data from < 1 lakh towns
% Growth IRS 07 over 06 % Penetration
Pop Strata
All Colour B&W C&S TV C&S

Total (in Mn) 824 232 142 210 370 210

Total 3 18 -9 12 45 26

40 lakh+ towns 4 11 -13 9 83 68

10-40 lakh towns 5 12 -9 10 80 51

5-10 lakh towns 5 15 -11 10 79 50

1-5 lakh towns 4 14 -9 9 72 48

50,000-1 lakh towns 4 9 -6 3 66 45

Below 50,000 towns 4 17 -8 7 60 37

5000+ villages 3 20 -4 11 42 24

1000-5000 villages 3 29 -9 19 31 13

Below 1000 villages 2 34 -13 34 25 6

Internet possibly will grow at the highest
pace.
• Most probably the Total
IRS 07 (in Mn)
Penetration
All Internet users
audience in small towns & Total 824 13.1 2

non urban India will adopt 40 lakh+ towns 62 5.3 8

to technology much more 10-40 lakh towns

5-10 lakh towns

41

24
2.1

1.2
5

5
fasters then the actual time 1-5 lakh towns 54 1.8 3

taken by their urban 50,000-1 lakh towns 24 0.5 2

counterparts Below 50,000 towns

5000+ villages
52

122
0.6

0.8
1

1
– It’s already proven by 1000-5000 villages 336 0.7 0

the mobile technology Below 1000 villages 110 0.1 0

which they have

adopted.
 Infrastructure development
 Metro, Airports, etc…Infrastructure one of the booming
sector in the Indian economy
 Out of Home opportunities will grow and will be the only
medium that will cut across all the demographics &
psychographics as compared to other medium Like TV…
will India have an expatriate population? think about them as
well, they can also be reached thru this medium
 Indian aviation sector
Growth rate of India's civil aviation sector is the highest in
the world
Domestic air traffic will double and touch 86 million by
2010, up from 32 million in 2007
 How much time will it take….?
Goldman Sachs in their BRIC report clearly signifies that India will be
fully developed in 2050
9.5%
10%
8.5%
9% Historical (1980-2002) Goldman Sachs (2000-2050)
7.7%
8%

7%
5.6% 5.6%
6%

5% 4.2%

4% 2.9%
2.5% 2.6%
2.4%
3% 2.1% 2.2%
1.9% 1.8% 2.0%
1.8%
1.3% 1.3%
2% 0.9%

1%

-1% -0.1%
G erm any

R us s ia
J apan

C hina
Braz il

India
Italy

UK

US
F ranc e
What will be the
status of India
in 2050………?
India to emerge as the 3rd largest economy in 2050
(1995 US$ billion)…

China 43926

US 35067

India 30209

Japan 6092

Brazil 5596

Russia 5367

UK 3919

Germany 3816

France 3297

Italy 2185
India would be the world’s 3rd largest trader in
2050

China 13842

US 6969

India 5575

Russia 3018

UK 2054

Germany 2021

France 1421

Japan 1238

Brazil 1013

Italy 948

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000

 Adverse effects.
 Increasing population.

 Unemployment.

 Global Risks
India is already a population superpower
India will be the world’s most populated
country by 2050; it’s population is
expected to stabilize by the year 2100 at
1.8 billion.
1601
1600
1418
1400
1262
2000 2050
1200
Population (millions)

1002
1000

800

600
420
400
282
228
176
200 127 100 146 118
58 50 59 61 60 64 82 74

0
Germany

US
UK

Russia
Japan

China

India
Brazil
Italy

France
 GROWING UNEMPLOYMENT:
jobless growth?
Elasticity of Employment to GDP

1977-78 1983 1993-94

to to to
Sector 1983 1993-94 1999-00

1 Agriculture 0.45 0.50 0.00

2 Mining & Quarrying 0.80 0.69 0.00
3 Manufacturing 0.67 0.33 0.26
4 Electricity 0.73 0.52 0.00
5 Construction 1.00 1.00 1.00
Wholesale & Retail
6 Trade 0.78 0.63 0.55
Transport Storage &
7 Construction 1.00 0.49 0.69
Finance, Real Estate,
Insurance & Business
8 Services 1.00 0.92 0.73
Community, Social and
9 Personal Services 0.83 0.50 0.07
All Sectors 0.53 0.41 0.15
Source: Planning Commission Reports on Labour and Employment
 GLOBAL RISKS

Global recession.

Spread of global terrorism or other forms of conflict.

Global warming or other environmental

Water stress threats to
growth. Water scarce

Any slowing down of global growth will tend to

perpetuate the current economic configuration.
Thank You…!!!