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CIIs Agenda

2010-11 and
beyond

Confederation of Indian Industry

CII Estimates GDP Growth at 8.0 8.5% in


2010-11
India has weathered the global economic crisis better than
other countries EIU.
India considered an emerging economic superpower and
part of G20.

2008-09

2009-10

2010-11 E

Agriculture

1.6

-0.2

2.0 3.5

Industry

3.9

8.2

8.5 9.0

Services

9.8

8.7

9.3 9.5

GDP

6.7

7.2

8.0 8.5

Rainfall during 2009 was significantly deficient at 23% led


to decline in agricultural production
A recovery in agriculture likely in the coming year leading
to upside in GDP growth; Industry and services to remain
strong as capacity expansions take place to take
advantage of rising demand
2

Source: CSO, CII Research

Confederation of Indian Industry

Indias economic outlook remains very


robust

GDP expected to grow


at
~ 8% to reach ~$2T by
2016

India projected to be
#3 largest economy by
2050
India has the

India real GDP (at 2009 prices) *

2050 GDP

$2T

$1.8T

$50T

44

40

2
$1.2T

potential to grow
fastest over the
next 30-50 yrsif
development
proceeds
successfully
35
28

30

1
8%
CAGR

20
10

2009

2015
(estimate)

0
Current
rank

Calendar year; Exchange rate: INR50= USD1


Source: Euromonitor; EIU; Goldman Sachs
(BRIC report)
Confederation of Indian Industry

China

US

India

10

However we face Significant Challenges


Global developments: Developments in EU-Greece
highlight the fact that global conditions will remain
volatile for some time; excessive dependence on foreign
capital inflows is not recommended for India
Exchange rate: Currency fluctuations being driven by
external conditions will have an impact on the real sector;
important role for RBI in preventing excessive volatility
Trade prospects: Improving with stabilisation in the global
economy but growth in developed economies will remain
weak in the near term; need to diversify markets
Inflation: urgent need to get inflation under control;
monetary policy cannot be the only instrument when the
drivers food, fuel and commodities.
4

Confederation of Indian Industry

However we face many significant


challenges
Future

Current
High Poverty rates:
- Unacceptable poverty
(37%1)
- 456M2 people live on
<$1.25/day
Low literacy rates
~70% of populationamong the lowest in the
emerging markets*
Corruption & red-tapism
Ranked #84 out of 180
countries on corruption
index

Widening job gap in


next 5 years:
17M job gap ~94M new people will
seek jobs but only
77M new jobs will be
created

Source: 1(% of total population) Expert Group on Methodology for Estimation of Poverty - chaired by Prof. Suresh D. Tendulkar, 2010
2
2005 PPP adjusted figure based on World Bank poverty estimate for developing world (2008);
*China and Brazil >90% (% of pop. aged 15+)- Euromonitor
^ Transparency International- India scored 3.4/10 where highest was 9.4 (New Zealand)

Confederation of Indian Industry

Two biggest sources of employment in our


economy are agriculture & private sector
Employment by location & sector (M); FY 2007
100%
80

402

402

201

Urban
(29%)

Others
Construction
Services

Public

Manufacturing

60
40
20

Trade, hotel,
restaurant
Rural
(71%)

Private

Agriculture

0
Note: *Excludes unorganized workers in the organized sector; ^consists of those in the working age group (15-59) actively seeking employment;
1
includes community, social and personal services; 2 includes mining and quarrying; transport, storage and communication; finance, insurance, real
estate; electricity , water etc
Source: Registrar General of India; NSSO; Indiastat; Labour Bureau of India

Confederation of Indian Industry

Going forward, the private sector will


need to be the primary driver of creating
new jobs

Expected increase in number of jobs


by sector (M); FY 2007-12

120

125
100
75

Finance, insurance, real


estate and business services,
Transport,storageand
communication
Mining & quarrying

58

Elec. gas & water supply


Construction

50

Community,social and personal


services

25

Manufacturing

0
-25

Trade,hotel, restaurant

-4
FY 2007-12

Agriculture

FY 2007- 17

Private sector growth needs to increase from projected


9.5% growth to ~12%+ annually to close job gap
7

Note: Excludes unorganized workers in the organized sector; ^consists of those in the working age group (15-59) actively seeking employment; * includes community, social and personal
services; ^ includes mining and quarrying; transport, storage and communication; finance, insurance, real estate; electricity , water etc
Source: Registrar General of India; NSSO; Indiastat; Labour Bureau of India

Confederation of Indian Industry

Four key enablers for faster sustainable


growth over the medium term
1

Education

Qualified
talent
pool

2
Employability

Sustainable
enterprise

Create jobs &


livelihoods

Innovation

4Entrepreneur
-ship

Effective
business
practices

CII Theme 2010-11: Business for livelihood


8

Businesses are part of civil society


Creating jobs is the best CSR activity
Confederation of Indian Industry

How do we achieve this vision?


We need to aim for sustained 10% GDP
growth

Confederation of Indian Industry

Vision 2010-11

Business for livelihood


(Education & Employability, Innovation & Entrepreneurship)

Social and
Corporate
imperatives

Agriculture

Manufacturing

Services

Art, sports & literature

Education & skills

Healthcare

Corporate governance

Inclusive society &


affirmative action

Entrepreneurship, innovation
& competitiveness

Economic policy, reforms,


governance &
implementation

Trade & globalization

Energy, water & climate


change
1
0

Infrastructure

Urbanization & future cities

Confederation of Indian Industry

Ten Point Agenda for 10% Growth


1.

Agriculture needs to grow at a sustained rate of 4%

2.

Manufacturing needs to register 11-12% long term average


growth

3.

Service sector needs to remain robust and a growth driver

4.

Physical Infrastructure needs to be of global standards

5.

Education would have to be the centre of reforms

6.

Skill development would need a massive step up

7.

Labour environment and rules need to be conducive to


employment creation

8.

Delivery mechanisms of Government need to be streamlined

9.

Need New Urban Centres to come up as growth poles

10. The financial sector reforms need to be fast tracked to


enable financing of a high growth, large economy
particularly focusing on long term funding instruments and

1
1

Financial Inclusion
Aim is to Achieve a Sustainable and Inclusive 10% Growth
by 2014
Confederation of Indian Industry

1. Achieving 4% Sustained Agriculture


Growth
Virtual stagnation in Agriculture due to
Poor infrastructure
Collapse of Agricultural Extension System
Decline in public investment in agriculture/
irrigation
Fragmentation of land holdings

To do:
Raise farm productivity by improving quality of inputs
Better Supply Chain Management
Improving Market linkages
Optimal and Sustainable use of available land
Right Pricing of Power and Water

CII initiatives
Special Task Forces constituted to address issues related to
agriculture
Special Task Force on Monsoons
1
2

Confederation of Indian Industry

2. Achieving 11-12% Long Term Manufacturing


Growth

Need an Enabling Manufacturing Policy to


include
Simpler clearances and approval mechanism
Encouragement to Green Manufacturing
Technologies
Appropriate Infrastructure
Flexible labour rules without diluting social
security net
Easier exit policy
Friendly tax system GST and a well considered
DTC
FTAs and CECA/CEPAs to be entered into with
care and consideration
Government support needed for Technology
infusion, development and upgradation in
select sectors
Land Acquisition and R&R Laws to be in keeping
with requirement of industrialization

Proposed NMIZ
Policy
addresses
these issues,
therefore,
needs quick
enactment

Every additional 1%
growth in
manufacturing
creates 20-30
million additional
jobs

Need to develop
strengths in labourintensive sectors
such as textiles,
consumer
electronics,
furniture and
industrial machinery
Policy

CII working with DIPP on New Manufacturing


2010-11 would see a huge thrust to the Cluster programme of CII
CII would release a white paper on Land Acquisition and R&R
CII would set up a VLFM Institute
1
3

Confederation of Indian Industry

3. Taking Services to the Next Level


Key policy changes required in services sector include
Enhanced FDI participation in select areas of services
Set up a National Services Competitiveness Council
Iron out Centre-state issues in the services sector
Improve the viability of the informal sector in services
Rationalise taxation issues in the sector

CII Initiatives in the services sector include


Developing PPP model in healthcare space with Planning Commission
Policy dialogue with Planning Commission for a comprehensive retail policy
Dialogue with the Ministry of Tourism for upgrading skills of the manpower
required in the Tourism & Hospitality Sector for the Commonwealth games.
CII to facilitate Policy dialogues on Roadmap for accelerating growth of
broadband in India to reach 695 million users by 2014
Facilitating policy dialogues for Broadcast Regulation and Distribution
platforms

1
4

Confederation of Indian Industry

4. Creating world class infrastructure

Roads and highways: Improve dispute resolution


mechanism for road development

Power sector: Push distribution reforms in the power


sector through privatisation of large discoms, reduction
in AT&C losses and peak load management

Civil Aviation: Timely policy intervention for settling the


issues regarding airport infrastructure; provision of
space for establishment of MRO facilities; and,
rationalization of high sales tax on ATF

Ports & Shipping: Corporatise major ports and improve


port evacuation facilities for improving port connectivity
A CII-MoRTH Joint Task Force created to identify issues
of concern in the roads sector and suggest solutions
CII National Committee on Civil Aviation consulting with
Airports Economic Regulatory Authority

1
5

Confederation of Indian Industry

Education (primary and secondary) delivery


system needs significant improvement
High drop out rates throughout schooling
100%

100

80
-26

60

-24

40
20
0

Initial
enrolment

Class
I-V

Class
VI-VII

38
-12
Class
IX-X

High
school

Poor quality of delivery stagnation/decline in learning &


comprehension
Teacher to student ratio of 1:60 at primary level
Only half of 5th standard students can read 2nd standard text in
2008
Source: Annual report, Department of School Education & Literacy; Forbes India Budget 2010 analysis; Annual Status of Education Report
(Rural) 2008

Only 28% across grades could do simple division sums in 2008

1
6

Confederation of Indian Industry

Education (tertiary): Gross enrolment


rates are very low vs. other countries
GER in tertiary institutions is considerably lesser than other
countries
Gross enrolment ratio in tertiary education (2007)
100%
80

82

76
59

60
40

30

20
0

USA

Norway

UK

Brazil

23

China

12
India
(2006)

Govt of India aspires to achieve 30% enrolment in tertiary


education by 2020
Gross Enrolment Ratio= (number of students enrolled in a level of education regardless of age)/ (population of official school age for that
level)
Source: UIS data center; UNESCO Institute for Statistics; Department of Higher Education; Lit search

Confederation of Indian Industry

5. Education The Big Agenda


Objective
To create the intellectual infrastructure and knowledge
workers needed to sustain high growth trajectory in a
competitive global environment
CII Policy Initiatives
- Policy Advocacy to make teaching an attractive professional
proposition by addressing remuneration issues. Retaining
talent in the teaching profession
- Developing practical modules to encourage private
investment in the education sector
- Support for foreign universities coming to India (Foreign
Educational Institution-Entry and Regulation Bill 2010)
- Public-Private-Partnership in developing industry oriented
curriculum and developing industry role in accreditation and
rating of institutions

CII, in partnership with GoI will establish 30 Industry-Academia


Innovation Centres across the country one in each state
1
8

Confederation of Indian Industry

Improving employability is an urgent need


leads to an employability
crisis

Inadequate vocational
training
Proportion of vocationally
trained labour force (Aged 20-24 yrs)
100%
80

68

75

78

96

80

~53% of employed youth suffer


from skill deprivation1
Barely 10-15% non-engineering
graduates are employable1

60
40

Only ~25% engineering graduates1


considered directly employable;
e.g., Infosys annual training
budget is ~Rs 750 Cr2

28

20
5
0

India

UK
Mexico

Canada
Korea
Germany Japan

Source: International Labor Organization; World Bank Human Development Report, 2006; CLSA, March 2008; Credit Suisse, December 2007; 11th plan document;
Planning Commission - task force on employment opportunities, 2001
1 India Labour Report 2007 (http://www.teamlease.com/images/news_image/coverage2009/dec09/Addressing_22dec09_All.jpg)
2 http://www.bpowatchindia.com/bpo_news/infosys_spends_rs750_crore_on_training_workforce/august-112008/infosys_spends_rs750_crore_on_training_workforce.html

Confederation of Indian Industry

6. Stepping up Skill Development


Objective
To make India the skills capital of the world. Develop the skills
needed to support the rapid expansion of manufacturing and
services, and develop a more productive and sophisticated
agriculture sector

CII Policy Initiatives


-

2
0

CII is working with Universities to develop vocational training


centers. There is already a CII-Delhi University Vocational
training program
Setting up of new skills centres : Gurgaon with ITE Singapore
and Balasore with IndiaCan
CII has build sector specific Skills Councils for Agriculture ,
Hospitality, and Automobile in partnership with the EU. Other
such councils are on the anvil
CII is partnering with Ministry of Rural Development to develop
vocational training in rural areas based on local demand for
skillsLaunch
and provide
placement
services
for the trained
workers
of 10
new CII Skill
Development
Centres

Confederation of Indian Industry

7. Conducive Labour Policy to Create


Employment
Objective
To bring together industry, governments, and labor rights groups
and create a policy environment that supports employment
generation, inclusiveness and productivity enhancement. To
develop best practices in labor management and standards that
meets global benchmarks
CII Policy Initiatives
- CII is working closely with government for the simplification and
rationalization of labor laws
- CII is developing best practices and practical modules for contract
labor keeping in mind the objectives of livelihood sustainability
- CII is working with industry and other stakeholders on occupational
safety and is an active participant in the National Safety Council
- CII is closely involved in the policy formulation process with the
Central Apprenticeship Council and the Central Board for Workers
Education
CII to release White Paper on Labour Regulations

2
1

Confederation of Indian Industry

8. Improving Government Delivery


Systems

Quick implementation of Unique Identification Scheme


Move to a system of cash transfers or coupons compared to
present system of subsidy in specific items
Significant improvement possible in case of targeting food
subsidies by moving to food coupons that can be redeemed
against food supplies in any retail outlet
Greater devolution of power to local governance bodies such
as Panchayats in rural areas and municipalities in urban areas
Willingness of government bodies to work with private sector
for ensuring better delivery: PPPs in education and health
services are promising
Set up regular monitoring/ assessment system using special
groups comprising experts, government officials and industry,
in areas where large outlays are made by government

CII Task Force on Technology for Inclusive Development


CII-State Government Monitoring and Implementation Task
Forces
2
2

National Sectoral Task Forces (Government / CII) on monitoring


and implementation
Confederation of Indian Industry

9. New Urban Centres as Growth Poles

Structural challenges driven by nature of urbanization in India


i.e. unprecedented scale, high density cities and
predominantly Brownfield
Policy limitations private participation and Urban Local
Bodies functioning with poor execution capabilities
Administrative problems Municipalities are overburdened
resulting in poor levels of service delivery
To overcome these problems, need to give increased power to
ULBs through ensuring their financial independence and viability
Need to implement 74th Constitutional amendment
Enhance execution capabilities by devolution of operational and
financial power to local bodies
Encourage PPPs to create Enabling Environment at State Level

CII to facilitate dialogue on Real Estate Regulation Bill


CII report on Intelligent Urbanisation A Roadmap for India
throws light on how technology has a role in meeting Indias
urbanisation goals
2
3

Confederation of Indian Industry

10. Financing High Growth

Develop Rupee denominated corporate debt


market for raising long-term capital

Increase access to international debt markets

Expansion in capital base of banking system

Greater FDI needed in Insurance and Banking

Resources currently locked up in financing


government debt needs to be freed

CII is creating New Task Forces on:


-Financial Stability & Development; and
-Financial Inclusion
2
4

Confederation of Indian Industry

Small /micro entrepreneurs account for


~50% of jobs, but multiple issues hamper
growth
Self/small scale employment
accounts for large portion of
workforce

80

40

20

Agriculture

60

0
Total employed

201

201
Public

By type

Private
>10

Private<10

402

Self employed

100%

Regular / casual
workers

People employed
(FY07)

Multiple issues to consider


Little or no education, and no
vocational training
Access to credit
Lack of social security
Self-employment for minority
communities (inclusive growth)
Corruption, especially at
grassroots

By ownership

Non-agri employed

Note: Self employed people may or may not be entrepreneurs, and may or may not be skilled

Confederation of Indian Industry

Innovation

Need to develop India specific Innovation Ecosystem Model for


meeting challenges unique to Indias context

A Public funded privately managed endowment needs to be


created, which would address the early stage finance
requirement of innovation

Favourable Policies and Incentives to increase Industrys


investment in Innovation (R&D/Design/IPR) from current level
of 0.2% of GDP to 1% of GDP in next five years through
Industry-Academia/R&D institutions-Government Partnership

CII, in partnership with Ministry of Science and Technology, will establish


Global Innovation and Technology Alliance (GITA) to implement
Governments Technology and Innovation Initiatives national and
international
2
6

Confederation of Indian Industry

Inclusiveness and Affirmative Action

Indian Industry shares the nations resolve to address


the deprivation suffered by the SC/ST communities and
commits to stepping up its

Affirmative Action agenda

in the years to come to ensure that India becomes a


land of equal opportunity

CII has developed a voluntary Code of Conduct for


members to implement positive discrimination

CII would take the success stories among its members


in the area of affirmative action across the country to
encourage similar initiatives in other firms.
CII has created a Affirmative Action Fund with industry
contributions to finance affirmative action activities in the
private sector

2
7

Confederation of Indian Industry

Corporate Governance
Key Issues

Inadequate number of qualified / competent independent


directors
Unutilized whistle blowing mechanisms

Focus Areas for CII

Directors Training & Orientation


Directors Liability Issues
Effective whistle blowing methods

Proactive advocacy for adoption of CII Voluntary


Recommendations on Corporate Governance

2
8

Confederation of Indian Industry

Trade and Globalization


CII Goals

Double Indias goods and services exports by 2014 from current


levels, double Indias share in world exports by 2020

Substantially expand industry linkages in global production chain


and access global market through strategic acquisitions and joint
ventures abroad
CII Policy

Develop a dedicated commercial intelligence mechanism for


Indian industry

Focus on capacity building on quality accreditation, export cycle


management and logistics to make Indian industry more
competitive

Engage with government to ensure trade agreements have


positive outcomes for industry and are equipped to deal with

2
9

industry concerns on emerging trade issues like non-tariff


Confederation of Indian Industry

Global Engagement

3
0

30 Overseas Business Delegations to key countries (China,


Japan, S Korea, UK, USA, Germany, France)
15 Planned meetings with Heads of State (South Africa,
Russia, France, UK, Japan, S Korea, Canada)
CEOs Forums with countries of strategic interest (14 new
Countries identified focus on emerging economies)
Regional Conclaves in emerging markets of LAC, Africa, CIS
Strategic dialogues Track II with China
Business Summits ASEAN, EU, IBSA, Pakistan

Confederation of Indian Industry

3
1

Confederation of Indian Industry

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