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    War and Peace

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    NEH ROJIVADIYA
    This document discusses several causes and theories of war and peace throughout history. It provides data on major historical wars and examines theories such as human nature, the balance of power, power transitions between nations, the impact of nuclear weapons, increasing interdependence between countries, and the spread of democracy. Key ideas include that democracies rarely fight each other directly, but may still engage in wars with non-democratic states, and the nuclear revolution dramatically reduced the frequency of wars between major powers due to the threat of mutual destruction.

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    War and Peace

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    NEH ROJIVADIYA
    6 views28 pages
    This document discusses several causes and theories of war and peace throughout history. It provides data on major historical wars and examines theories such as human nature, the balance of power, power transitions between nations, the impact of nuclear weapons, increasing interdependence between countries, and the spread of democracy. Key ideas include that democracies rarely fight each other directly, but may still engage in wars with non-democratic states, and the nuclear revolution dramatically reduced the frequency of wars between major powers due to the threat of mutual destruction.

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    A QUICK RECAP OF WAR AND PEACE.

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    This document discusses several causes and theories of war and peace throughout history. It provides data on major historical wars and examines theories such as human nature, the balance of power, power transitions between nations, the impact of nuclear weapons, increasing interdependence between countries, and the spread of democracy. Key ideas include that democracies rarely fight each other directly, but may still engage in wars with non-democratic states, and the nuclear revolution dramatically reduced the frequency of wars between major powers due to the threat of mutual destruction.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
    6 views28 pages

    War and Peace

    Uploaded by

    NEH ROJIVADIYA
    This document discusses several causes and theories of war and peace throughout history. It provides data on major historical wars and examines theories such as human nature, the balance of power, power transitions between nations, the impact of nuclear weapons, increasing interdependence between countries, and the spread of democracy. Key ideas include that democracies rarely fight each other directly, but may still engage in wars with non-democratic states, and the nuclear revolution dramatically reduced the frequency of wars between major powers due to the threat of mutual destruction.

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    of 28

    War is politics

    Carl von Clausewitz (1780-1831)


    War in History

    Why War?
    Resources
    Territory
    Land
    Access to the sea
    Ethnicity
    Religion
    Ideology

    Major War

    Event

    From

    To

    Low

    High

    Warring States Era, China

    BC

    BC

    10 m

    10 m

    An Shi Rebellion, China

    475
    756

    221
    763

    36 m

    36 m

    Mongol Conquests, Europe,

    1207

    1279

    30 m

    60 m

    Asia
    Thirty Years War

    1618

    1648

    3m

    11.5 m

    Napoleonic Wars

    1804

    1815

    3.5 m

    16 m

    Taiping Rebellion, China

    1851

    1864

    20 m

    50 m

    US Civil War

    1861

    1865

    618,00

    970,000
    9m
    66 m

    Russian Civil War

    1917

    1921

    0
    5m

    WW I (high includes Spanish

    1914

    1918

    15 m

    Flu)

    More Major War


    Chinese Civil War

    1945

    1949

    1.3 m

    6. 1 m

    WW II

    1939

    1945

    60 m

    72 m

    Viet Nam War

    1945

    1975

    2.5 m

    5m

    Korean War

    1950

    1953

    2.5 m

    3.5 m

    Nigerian Civil War

    1967

    1970

    1m

    1m

    Afghan Civil War

    1979

    Present

    1.5 m

    2.0 m

    Iran-Iraq War

    1980

    1988

    1.0 m

    1.0 m

    Congo Civil War

    1994

    1997

    800,000 800,000

    Second Congo War

    1998

    2003

    3.8m

    13.8

    Causes of War and Peace


    1. Human Nature
    2. Balance of power
    3. Power Transition/Long Cycle
    4. Nuclear Revolution
    5. Interdependence
    6. Democratic Peace

    1. Human Nature?
    Thomas Hobbes
    1588-1679

    Jean-Jacques
    Rousseau
    1712-1788

    London 1940

    Stalingrad 1943

    Berlin 1945

    Tokyo 1945

    Warsaw 1945

    Bergen-Belson

    Hiroshima

    2. Balance of Power
    Concert of Europe 1815-1914
    England

    Russia
    France

    Prussia/Germany
    Austria Hungary

    Bipolarity
    The Cold War Balance of Power
    Israel
    Ethiopia
    Taiwan
    S. Korea
    S. Viet Nam
    W. Berlin
    W. Germany

    Syria/Egypt
    Somalia
    China
    N. Korea
    N. Viet Nam
    E. Berlin
    E. Germany

    Britain/France/Japan

    Poland/Czech

    US

    USSR

    3. Long Cycle Theory


    (Power Transition)

    Long Cycle Four: 1792-1914

    Power
    Dominance

    War

    Decline

    England

    WW I begins

    1792-1815 1850 1914


    Napoleonic Wars

    Time

    decine begins

    Long Cycle Five: 1914-?


    Power
    Dominance Decline

    War

    U.S.

    1914-1945

    US v. China?

    1973 decline

    20??

    begins

    Time

    Source for Cycles 1-4: George Modelski, Long Cycles in World Politics, Seattle, University of
    Washington Press, 1987.

    4. Nuclear Revolution
    Hiroshima

    Nagasaki

    The Problems?
    North Korea: Three nuclear tests
    October 9, 2006
    May 25, 2009
    February 12, 2013

    Iran: No tests yet, but


    2007 US National Intelligence Estimate
    2013 IAEA Report
    2013 BBC Analysis

    Irrationality?
    Saddam Hussein

    Ahmadinejad

    Kim Jong-Un

    5. Interdependence
    World Peace?

    World Peace?
    Wal-Mart China

    Welcome to China

    Welcome to the US

    Welcome to New York

    6. Democratization
    Map of World Democracies from
    Freedom House
    Democracies dont fight each other
    But democracies do fight others

    Emerging Democracies?
    Hitler, Tojo, Milosevic

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