Passengers carried

from sofia airport

(2006-2016)

Cyclic or Seasonal Data and non-stationary data(no

natural mean over time, trend exhibited) with no
atypical events

Data Imputation
Mean Value Imputation
Linear Interpolation
Kalman

Using Mean Value Imputation

Using Interpolation
Formula :
Error :

Using Kalman

Data Smoothning
Moving Average (N=5) for 1 year

Moving Average (N=5) (Entire Data-Set)

Exhibits less variability .
Easier to Interpret

Moving Median (n=3) (Entire DataSet)

Med(y(t-1),y(t),y(t+1))

ACF for number of passengers carried (2006)

auto correlated stationary series

ACF for Passengers Carried(Entire

Data)
Auto-Correlated Data

Differencing over one year(2006)

x=y(t)-y(t-1)

De-Trended and De-Seasoned

(Data Randomly disturbed around the mean,y(t)-y(t-12))

Other Variables that might influence

the data
Aircraft Movement
Freight loaded and unloaded
Extended Airport terminal (Hotels, Retail,Parking)
Airport City ( extending Malls,Offices)

Questions