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Portfolio 1
Portfolio 1
Portfolio 1
1. The value of Best candy Stock is sensitive to price of sugar- its basic raw
material. When sugar crops are low, price rises, the profit margin
suffers. The Cos fortune is described by following scenarios:
Normal Year of Crop
Abnormal Year
Bullish Bearish
Low Sugar Crop
Probability 0.5 0.3 0.2
Rate of Return 25% 10% -25%
Contd. 2
Portfolio 2
A consultant is hired who spots a sugar co. which does extremely
well during crop failure. A scenario analysis of the company
reveals following
Normal Year
Sugar Crisis
Bull Bear
Probability 0.5 0.3
0.2