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Mini-Case 1.1: Inventory Planning
Mini-Case 1.1: Inventory Planning
1: Inventory Planning
The NutsnBolts hardware store stocks some high-value
items and a large number of relatively low-value
components. Inventory is reviewed weekly, and orders
are placed with suppliers when inventory levels indicate
that current levels are too low. Most suppliers deliver
the low-value items within two weeks; some of the high-
value items may take four weeks for delivery. How would
you develop a forecasting system to predict the sales of
such items at the individual (SKU = stock-keeping unit)
level? How would you use such forecasts to plan future
purchases?
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Mini-Case 3.1: The Growth of Netflix
The Netflix annual report for 2009 indicates that, as
of the end of 2009, the company had over 12
million subscribers and annual total rental revenues
in excess of $1.6 billion.
As a market analyst, you would like to know how
the company is faring in the marketplace and
whether it is likely to continue to grow at the same
rate.
Table 3.20 [Netflix_2.xlsx] provides the following
quarterly data over the period from quarter 1 of
2000 to quarter 4 of 2009:
o S = quarterly revenue (or sales, $ million)
o G = sales growth rate over previous quarter (percent)
o N = number of subscribers at end of quarter (000s) 10
Mini-Case 3.1: The Growth of Netflix
To assess the companys prospects, carry out the
following analyses and comment on the results:
o Develop forecasting methods for each of the
series S, G, and N, using data through quarter
4 of 2008. Then use your results to generate
forecasts for 2009 and 2010.
o What other factors would you wish to take into
account before making forecasts one quarter
ahead? Eight quarters ahead?
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