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    This document summarizes a study that used regression analysis to determine which on-field statistics contributed most to MLB teams' regular season winning percentages from 2005-2015. It found that on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and fielding percentage positively correlated with winning percentage, while WHIP negatively correlated. On-base percentage had the strongest effect, with a 1% increase correlating with a 1.66% increase in winning percentage.

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    This document summarizes a study that used regression analysis to determine which on-field statistics contributed most to MLB teams' regular season winning percentages from 2005-2015. It found that on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and fielding percentage positively correlated with winning percentage, while WHIP negatively correlated. On-base percentage had the strongest effect, with a 1% increase correlating with a 1.66% increase in winning percentage.

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    16 views6 pages

    Muthduschl Presentation

    Uploaded by

    api-377721058
    This document summarizes a study that used regression analysis to determine which on-field statistics contributed most to MLB teams' regular season winning percentages from 2005-2015. It found that on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and fielding percentage positively correlated with winning percentage, while WHIP negatively correlated. On-base percentage had the strongest effect, with a 1% increase correlating with a 1.66% increase in winning percentage.

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    of 6

    Regressing Baseball

    BY MAT THEW DUSCHL & RYAN MUTH


    Research Question
    Which on-field statistics contributed the most to the
    regular season winning percentages for MLB teams from
    2005-2015?
    Five independent variables
    On Base Percentage (OBP)
    Slugging Percentage (SLG)
    Fielding Percentage (field_perc)
    Walk + Hits per Inning (WHIP)
    Stolen Bases (SB)
    Data
    Data was collected from
    MLB.com for the 30 teams,
    spanning the years 2005-2015
    Panel Data
    Data
    Variable Obs Mean Std. De. Min Max

    Win Percentage 330 .500 .066 .315 .636

    OBP 330 .326 .014 .292 .366

    SLG 330 .410 .026 .335 .478

    Fielding % 330 .984 .002 .977 .991

    WHIP 330 1.35 .091 1.14 1.60

    SB 330 95.3 30.2 31 200


    Regression
    Regression Results
    Variables Coefficient P-Value Change in Value Effect on Win %

    OBP 1.663615 0.000 10 Additional Points (1%) Increase by 1.663615%

    SLG 0.8310818 0.000 10 Additional Points (1%) Increase by 0.8310818

    WHIP -0.5349656 0.000 10 Additional Points (1%) Decrease by 0.5349656

    Fielding Percentage 2.098074 0.007 10 Additional Points (1%) Increase by 2.098074

    SB 0.000111 0.054 1 Additional SB Increase by 0.000111

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