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Derivatives Presentation On 5th December 2007 1218215674168576 9
Derivatives Presentation On 5th December 2007 1218215674168576 9
Derivatives
Mortgage market?
Reasons
• In USA most of the banks engaged in mortgage
market by lending without seeing the client's credit
worthiness. But most of the customers fail to repay
the long term loan. The banks are allowed to recover
such loans by sale of such properties.
• The total funds have to be reinvested in profitable
way. Most of the banks see(BRIC countries)India is
one of the countries where they can get better return
and also india’s inflation is arround 4% and growth
rate is around 9%.
• BRIC-Bracil, Russia, India and China
Leading Investment and
Commercial banks
• Banc of America Securities LLC
• Citigroup
• Credit Suisse
• Goldman Sachs
• JPMorgan Chase
• Lehman Brothers
• Merrill Lynch
• Morgan Stanley
• UBS
banks in the international markets
Happiness by giving/receiving?
Case 2
•• You
Youhave
haveimported
imported machinery
machinery for for $$100,000
100,000on on 180
180 days
days
credit
credit at
atzero
zerointerest.
interest. The
Thedollar
dollar quotes
quotes at
at Rs
Rs 39.
39. Is
Is
this
thisdeal
dealrisk
riskfree?
free?
•• This
Thisdeal
dealisisnotnotfree
freeofofrisk
riskbecause
becauseafter
after six
six months
months
when
whenyouyoupay pay the
theloan,
loan,ififthe
thedollar
dollar quotes
quotesanything
anything
more
morethan
thanRs39.,
Rs39.,saysayRsRs40,40,you
youwill
willend
endup uppaying
paying
more
more[Rs[Rs11extra
extrafor
for every
every$$1, 1,which
whichisisequivalent
equivalentto toRsRs
100,000
100,000additional
additionalcost].
cost]. OnOnthetheother
other hand,
hand, ifif the
the dollar
dollar
quotes
quotesanything
anythingless lessthan
thanRs Rs39,
39,you
youwill
willstand
standto togain
gain
•• The
Thequestion
questionhere hereisisnot
not whether
whetheryou youstand
standto to gain
gainoror
loose
loose––ititisisthe
the risk
riskyou
you are
aretaking
taking
Picking up something?...
Example
•• The
Thederivative
derivativemarket
markethelps
helpspeople
peoplemeet
meet
diverse
diverseobjectives
objectivessuch
suchas:
as:
––Hedging
Hedging
––Profit
Profitmaking
makingthrough
throughprice
pricechanges
changes
––Profit
Profitmaking
makingthrough
througharbitrage
arbitrage
• Price discovery
– Most price changes are first reflected in the derivative market.
That way derivative market feeds the spot market
– For instance, if the dollars are going down, it means that the
professional investors are expecting dolor price to go down in
the future – this is a good sign for you to buy in the spot market
• Risk transfer
– A derivative market is like an insurance company
– Derivative instruments redistribute the risk amongst market
players
– However, if you want protection against adverse price
movements, you must pay a price, ie the premium
Futures
Forwards
Option
Floor
cap
• Banks-Citi Bank
• Deutsche Bank
• Goldman Saches
• JP Morgan Chase
• HSBC
• ICICI
Threat is an opportunity
How do they settle the contract?
• By Prof.Augustin Amaladas