Reliability Analysis of Distribution

Dr. Eng. Rony Seto Wibowo

 Motivation of Reliability Analysis

 Analyze and improve system performance

 Enhance customer satisfaction

 Basis for new or expanded system planning

 Satisfy regulatory requirements

 Determine performance based rate making

 Maintenance scheduling
Variables in Reliability Analysis
 MTTF and MTTR
• Mean Time to Failure
1
MTTF  m 


• Mean Time to Repair

1
MTTR  r 

 MTBF
• Mean Time Between Failure

MTBF  T  m  r

T  waktu siklus rata  rata

m  waktu rata  rata gangguan
r  waktu rata  rata perbaikan
 Methods for Reliability Analysis
• Network Reduction
• Fault Modes and Effects Analysis
• Markov Modeling
• Monte Carlo Simulation
 Network Reduction
• Series network

• Laju kegagalan rata-rata system S  1  2

• Rata-rata lama perbaikan
rS 
1.r1  2 .r2

 . r
1  2 
• Jumlah waktu pemadaman
U S  S . rS
 Network Reduction
• Paralel network

• Laju kegagalan pemadaman system P  1 . 2 ( r1  r2 )

• Rata-rata lama perbaikan system
r1 r2
rP 
r1  r2
• Jumlah rata-rata waktu pemadaman U P  P . rP