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Bangladesh Under Siege:: A Geographical Examination of A Country at The Mercy of Amplifying Natural Forces
Bangladesh Under Siege:: A Geographical Examination of A Country at The Mercy of Amplifying Natural Forces
Bangladesh Under Siege:: A Geographical Examination of A Country at The Mercy of Amplifying Natural Forces
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Human Impact
Global Warming
As if Bangladesh needs another problem…
Global Warming
► What are the projected side-effects of global
warming?
► Sea-level rise (SLR)
► A 2-4 degree Celsius rise in Sea Surface
Temperature (SST)
Global Warming: SST
► Now, if you apply those projected side-effects to Bangladesh, the
following outcomes have been proposed by researchers:
► Using high cyclonic frequency zones on the planet (western North
Pacific and the Pacific west of Central America and later the eastern
Atlantic off the coast of Africa) scientists have identified that SST and
cyclonic frequency are likely related.
► Although no direct data supports a link in the Bay of Bengal, if you
look at the 115 cyclones from 1877 to 1990 and the 250 cyclonic
storms that barely lasted a day, or hit land, and then ask whether that
would be the case with a 2-4C rise in SST. Some think a percentage of
these storms would have upgraded.
► A greater SST may result in a greater convective instability- leading to
an increase in wind speed. The potential result: higher storm surges
Global Warming: SLR
► A SLR (sea level rise) would only intensify the amplitude of these
projections.
► Coastal erosion will suffer greater, under global warming conditions.
The formula by Bruun (1962) has been used to formulate SLR effects:
► x= ab/ (e+d)
► x: shoreline recession due to SLR a: rise in water from SLR e:
elevation of shore
► d: depth of water at a distance and b distance from coastline
► Formula results: coastal erosion due to SLR is about 87 times the SLR
► Example: If SLR is .30 m then the coastal recession will be .18 to .39
m per 1 cm rise of ocean
Hope and the Future
► Bangladeshis are wonderfully
optimistic and resourceful.
► Efforts are being made to afforest
the mangrove protection zones in
the delta.
► Flood-deterrent construction
projects are being engineered.
► Bangladesh government is
sponsoring and building many
cyclone shelters
► Zia International airport is looking
to raise runways and build flood
deterrent walls, so that aid may get
in.
► Better warning systems are being
put in place.
Questions?
Sources
► See Lecture Notes