Report On Colonial Roots of Comparative Development by AJR

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Report on “Colonial Origins of

Comparative Development…”
by D. Acemoglu, S. Johnson,
J. Robinson
Maxim Ananyev
New Economic School
MAE, class 2012
Does the difference in institutions
cause large difference in per capita
income between countries?
Institutions matter.
Two (somewhat) contradicting
opinions:

Good institutions cause economic


growth
OR
Rich countries develop better
institutions
How to isolate the impact of
institutions?

Look at the countries, where the


institutions had been established
exogenously i.e. former colonies
Types of colonies
• For extraction of wealth (bad institutions)
• For settlements (good institutions)
AJR Historical Hypothesis
Mortality

Settlements

Early institutions

Modern institutions
Low mortality rate – key determinant
of where to settle

Where should the pilgrims go?


Guyana United
States
Where to send convicts?
Gambia River Australia
Settler colonies
• Freedom of enterprise
• Trade
• Property rights
Non-settlers colonies
• Forced labor
• High taxes
• Extraction of wealth
• Authoritarian rule
Persistence of bad institutions
Forced labor:
• Until 1886 in Brazil
• Until 1910 in Mexico
• Until 1945 in Guatemala
OLS: Wealth and Institutions

y – current per-capita GDP


R – current institutions
Institutions and wealth
This data may not prove anything
• Reverse causality
• Many omitted determinants
• Natural bias: seeing better institutions in richer
places
It is better to look at settlers mortality
rates
The main causes of settler mortality - malaria
and yellow fever – did not hurt local
population as much

They did not influence local economy – only


the institutions imposed by the foreigners.
Least-squares estimates

R - current institutions
C - early institutions
S - settlements
M - mortality rate
In Simple English:

Current institutions depend on early


institutions.

Early institutions depend on the European


settlements

European settlements depend on mortality


rate
Current institutions depend on early
institutions

Dependant variable is protection against


expropriation risk in 1985 - 1995
Early institutions depend on European
settlements

Dependant variable is constraint on


executive in 1900
European settlements depend on
mortality rate

Dependant variable is European


settlements in 1900
Current institutions depend on
mortality rate

Dependant variable is protection against


expropriation risk in 1985 - 1995
Robustness
AJR also control for:
• latitude
• humidity
• quality of soil
• temperature
• ethnolinguistic fragmentation
• etc.
Conclusion
This findings reveal that colonial
regime is one of the important factors
that determine modern institutions
and wealth of nations.

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