16-3

The Binomial Probability

Theorem
 Let’s roll a die 3 times
Look at the probability of getting a 6 or NOT
getting a 6. Let’s make a tree diagram.
 Check out our results
3 sixes 2 sixes 1 six 0 sixes

Outcome SSS SSN SNS NSS SNN NSN NNS NNN

Probability 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 1 1 5 5 5 1 5 5 5 1 5 5 5
               
6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

3 2 2 3
1 1 5  1  5  5
  3    3    
6 6 6  6  6  6
Does this look familiar?
3 2 2 3
1 1 5  1  5  5
   3     3     
6 6 6  6  6  6
  p  (1  p)
3

          
3 3 2 2 3
p (1 p ) p 3 p (1 p ) 3 p (1 p ) (1 p )

COMPARE!!!
3 2 2 3
1 1 5  1  5  5
   3     3     
6 6 6  6  6  6
1 5
Let  p and  (1  p)
6 6
Binomial Probability Theorem

r n r
n
Cr s f

n = the number of trials

r = the number of successes
s = the probability of a success
f = the probability of a failure
 Example
You flip a coin 10 times. What is the probability of
getting exactly 4 heads?