Neo-Classical (Solow) Growth Model: Mohd Khairi Ismail Universiti Tun Abdul Razak (UNIRAZAK)

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NEO-CLASSICAL

(SOLOW)
GROWTH MODEL CHAPTER 5

Mohd Khairi Ismail


Universiti Tun Abdul Razak (UNIRAZAK)
khairiismail88@yahoo.com

Intermediate Microeconomics 1
Course outline

■ To understand the Solow growth model.


■ To apply the Solow growth model in the real economy.

Intermediate Microeconomics 2
The Solow growth model

■ Model is designed to show how growth in the capital stock, growth in the labor force,
and advances in technology interact in an economy as well as how they affect a
nation’s total output of goods and services
■ The Solow growth model shows how saving, population growth, and technological
progress affect the level of an economy’s output and its growth over time.

Intermediate Microeconomics 3
The Solow growth model

■ The Solow growth model shows how saving, population growth, and technological
progress affect the level of an economy’s output and its growth over time.
■ Model is designed to show how growth in the capital stock, growth in the labor force,
and advances in technology interact in an economy as well as how they affect a
nation’s total output of goods and services
■ Our first step is to examine how the supply and demand for goods determine the
accumulation of capital.

Intermediate Microeconomics 4
The Solow growth model - The Supply of
Goods and the Production Function
■ Solow model is based on the production function, Y = F(K, L).
■ the production function has constant returns to scale. zY = F(zK, zL), for any positive
number z.
■ CRS allow us to analyze all quantities in the economy relative to the size of the labor
force. set z = 1/L, Y/L = F(K/L, 1).
■ CRS implies that the size of the economy—as measured by the number of workers—
does not affect the relationship between output per worker and capital per worker.
■ y = f (k), where we define f(k) = F(k, 1).

Intermediate Microeconomics 5
The Solow growth model - The Supply of
Goods and the Production Function
■ The slope of this production function shows how much extra output a worker
produces when given an extra unit of capital.
■ Marginal product of capital (MPK)
■ MPK = f(k + 1) − f (k).
■ When k is low, the average worker has only a little capital to work with, so an extra
unit of capital is very useful and produces a lot of additional output

Intermediate Microeconomics 6
The Solow growth model - The Supply of
Goods and the Production Function
The Production Function The production
function shows how the amount of
capital per worker k determines the
amount of output per worker y = f (k).
The slope of the production function is
the marginal product of capital: if k
increases by 1 unit, y increases by MPK
units. The production function becomes
flatter as k increases, indicating
diminishing marginal product of capital.

Intermediate Microeconomics 7
The Solow growth model - The Demand for
Goods and the Consumption Function
■ comes from consumption and investment
■ output per worker y is divided between consumption per worker c and investment per
worker i:
■ y = c + i.
■ The Solow model assumes that each year people save a fraction s of their income and
consume a fraction (1 – s).
■ c = (1 − s)y, where s, the saving rate, is a number between zero and one.
■ y = (1 − s)y + i. ( investment equals saving)
■ two main ingredients of the Solow model— the production function and the consumption
function—which describe the economy at any moment in time.

Intermediate Microeconomics 8
The Solow growth model - The Demand for
Goods and the Consumption Function
■ comes from consumption and investment
■ output per worker y is divided between consumption per worker c and investment per
worker i:
■ y = c + i.
■ The Solow model assumes that each year people save a fraction s of their income and
consume a fraction (1 – s).
■ c = (1 − s)y, where s, the saving rate, is a number between zero and one.
■ y = (1 − s)y + i. ( investment equals saving)
■ two main ingredients of the Solow model— the production function and the consumption
function—which describe the economy at any moment in time.

Intermediate Microeconomics 9
The Solow growth model -Growth in the
Capital Stock and the Steady State
■ the capital stock is a key determinant of the economy’s output, but the capital stock
can change over time, and those changes can lead to economic growth.
■ two forces influence the capital stock: investment and depreciation.
■ Investment is expenditure on new plant and equipment, and it causes the capital
stock to rise. Depreciation is the wearing out of old capital, and it causes the capital
stock to fall
■ investment per worker i equals sy. By substituting the production function for y,
■ i = sf(k).

Intermediate Microeconomics 10
Encouraging Technological Progress- what
determines the steady-state rate of growth of
income per worker?
■ The Solow model shows that sustained growth in income per worker must come
from technological progress
■ takes technological progress as exogenous; it does not explain it. Unfortunately, the
determinants of technological progress are not well understood.
■ Despite this limited understanding, many public policies are designed to stimulate
technological progress. Most of these policies encourage the private sector to
devote resources to technological innovation.
■ For example, the patent system gives a temporary monopoly to inventors of new
products; the tax code offers tax breaks for firms engaging in research and
development; and government agencies, such as the National Science Foundation,
directly subsidize basic research in universities.

Intermediate Microeconomics 11
How can policymakers influence a
nation’s saving rate?
■ the government affects national saving is through public saving
– the difference between what the government receives in tax revenue and what it spends.
When its spending exceeds its revenue, the government runs a budget deficit, which
represents negative public saving.
– a budget deficit raises interest rates and crowds out investment; the resulting reduction in
the capital stock is part of the burden of the national debt on future generations.

■ influencing private saving


– the saving done by households and firms. In particular, how much people decide to save
depends on the incentives they face, and these incentives are altered by a variety of public
policies.
– Many economists argue that high tax rates on capital—including the corporate income tax,
the federal income tax, the estate tax, and many state income and estate taxes—discourage
private saving by reducing the rate of return that savers earn.
– Some economists have proposed increasing the incentive to save by replacing the current
system of income taxation with a system of consumption taxation.

Intermediate Microeconomics 12
Population growth in Solow model
■ Depreciation and population growth are
two reasons the capital stock per worker
shrinks.
■ If n is the rate of population growth and d
is the rate of depreciation, then (d +n)k is
break-even investment—the amount of
investment necessary to keep constant the
capital stock per worker k.
■ For the economy to be in a steady state,
investment sf(k) must offset the effects of
depreciation and population growth (d +
n)k. This is represented by the crossing of
the two curves.

Intermediate Microeconomics 13
Solow model - The Impact of Population
Growth`
■ An increase in the rate of
population growth from n1 to n2
shifts the line representing
population growth and depreciation
upward.
■ The new steady state k2 * has a
lower level of capital per worker
than the initial steady state k1 *.
■ the Solow model predicts that
economies with higher rates of
population growth will have lower
levels of capital per worker and
therefore lower incomes.

Intermediate Microeconomics 14

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