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Options and Corporate Finance: Extension and Applications: Mcgraw-Hill/Irwin
Options and Corporate Finance: Extension and Applications: Mcgraw-Hill/Irwin
Options and Corporate Finance: Extension and Applications: Mcgraw-Hill/Irwin
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Key Concepts and Skills
Understand executive stock options
Understand how the option to expand increases
the value of a start-up
Be able to apply the binomial model to
multiple periods
Understand how embedded options impact a
project’s NPV
23-1
Chapter Outline
23.1 Executive Stock Options
23.2 Valuing a Start Up
23.3 More on the Binomial Model
23.4 Shutdown and Reopening Decisions
23-2
23.1 Executive Stock Options
Executive Stock Options exist to align the interests of
shareholders and managers.
Executive Stock Options are call options (technically warrants)
on the employer’s shares.
Inalienable
Typical maturity is 10 years.
Typical vesting period is 3 years.
Most include an implicit reset provision to preserve incentive
compatibility.
Executive Stock Options give executives an important tax
break: grants of at-the-money options are not considered
taxable income. (Taxes are due if the option is exercised.)
23-3
Valuing Executive Compensation
FASB has historically allowed firms to record zero expense
for grants of at-the-money executive stock options.
However, the economic value of a long-lived call option is
enormous, especially given the propensity of firms to reset the
exercise price after drops in the price of the stock.
Due to the inalienability, the options are worth less to the
executive than they cost the company.
The executive can only exercise, not sell his options. Thus, he can
never capture the speculative value—only the intrinsic value.
This “dead weight loss” is overcome by the incentive
compatibility for the grantor.
23-4
23.2 Valuing a Start-Up
An important option is the option to expand.
Imagine a start-up firm, Campusteria, Inc., which
plans to open private dining clubs on college
campuses.
The test market will be your campus, and if the
concept proves successful, expansion will follow
nationwide.
Nationwide expansion will occur in year four.
The start-up cost of the test dining club is only
$30,000 (this covers leaseholder improvements and
other expenses for a vacant restaurant near campus).
23-5
Campusteria Pro Forma Income Statement
Investment Year 0 Years 1-4 We plan to sell 25 meal
plans at $200 per month
Revenues $60,000 with a 12-month contract.
23-9
Valuing a Start-Up with Black-
Scholes
Let’s try our hand again at using the model. If
you have a calculator handy, follow along.
ln( S / E ) ( R .5σ 2 )t
d1
t
ln( 110,418 / 600,000) (.10 .5(0.30) 2 )4
d1 1.8544
0.30 4
Then,
d 2 d1 t 1.8544 0.30 4 2.45
23-10
Valuing a Start-Up with Black-Scholes
N(d1) = N(-1.8544) =0.032
N(d2) = N(-2.45) =0.007
23-11
23.3 More on the Binomial Model
The binomial option pricing model is an alternative
to the Black-Scholes option pricing model.
In some situations, it is a superior alternative.
For example if you have path dependency in your
option payoff, you must use the binomial option
pricing model.
Path dependency is when “how” you arrive at a price (the
path you follow) for the underlying asset is important.
One example of a path dependent security is a “no regret”
call option where the exercise price is the lowest price of
the stock during the option’s life.
23-12
Three Period Binomial Option Pricing
Example
There is no reason to stop with just two
periods.
Find the value of a three-period at-the-
money call option written on a $25 stock
that can go up or down 15 percent each
period when the risk-free rate is 5
percent.
23-13
Three Period Binomial Process
$25.00 (1.15)3
38.02
$25.00 (1.15) 2
2/3
2/3 2/3
1/3
$25 24.44 $25.00 (1.15) (1 .15) 2
2/3
1/3 1/3
21.25 $25.00 (1. 15) 2 20.77
2/3
1/3
$25.00 (1 .15) 18.06
$25.00 (1 .15)3
1/3
15.35
23-14
C3 (U , U , U ) max[$ 38.02 $25,0]
38.02
2 3 $13.02 (1 3) $3.10
C 2 (U , U ) 2/3 13.02
(1.05)
C1 (U ) C3 ( D , U , U )
33.06
2 3 $9.25 (1 3) $1.97 C3 (U , D, U ) C3 (U , U , D)
2/3 9.25
(1.05) 1/3 max[$ 28.10 $25,0]
C 2 (U , D ) C 2 ( D, U )
28.75 28.10
2/3 6.50
2 3 $3.10 (1 3) $0 3.10
2/3
C1 ( D ) 1/3 (1.05) C3 (U , D, D )
$25
2 3 $1.97 (1 3) $0 24.44
C3 ( D , U , D ) C3 ( D , D , U )
4.52 2/3 1.97
(1.05)
1/3 max[$ 20.77 $25,0]
C 2 ( D, D ) 1/3
21.25 20.77
2 3 $0 (1 3) $0
1.25 2/3 0
1/3 (1.05)
C3 ( D , D , D )
18.06
2 3 $6.50 (1 3) $1.25 max[$ 15.35 $25,0]
C0 0
1/3
(1.05) 15.35
0
23-15
Valuation of a Lookback Option
When the stock price falls due to the stock market as
a whole falling, the board of directors tends to reset
the exercise price of executive stock options.
To see how this reset provision adds value, let’s price
that same three-period call option (exercise price
initially $25) with a reset provision.
Notice that the exercise price of the call will be the
smallest value of the stock price depending upon the
path followed by the stock price to get there.
23-16
Three Period Binomial with Lookback
38.02
33.06
28.10
28.75
28.10
24.44
20.77
$25
28.10
24.44
20.77
21.25
20.77
18.06
15.35
23-17
C3 (U , U , U ) max[$ 38.02 $25,0]
38.02 13.02
28.10 $3.10
20.77 0
C 3 (U , D , D ) max[$ 20.77 $24.44,0] 0
$25
C 3 ( D , U , U ) max[$ 28.10 $21.25,0] 6.85 28.10 $6.85
24.44
20.77 0
21.25 C 3 ( D , U , D ) max[$ 20.77 $21.25,0] 0
20.77 2.71
15.35 0
C 3 ( D , D , D ) max[$ 15.36 18.06,0]
23-18
38.02 13.02
2 3 $13.02 (1 3) $3.10
C 2 (U , U ) 33.06
(1.05) 9.25 28.10 $3.10
2 3 $3.66 (1 3) $0
28.75
C 2 (U , D )
(1.05) 28.10 $3.66
24.44
2.33 20.77 0
$25
2 3 $6.85 (1 3) $0
C 2 ( D, U ) 28.10 $6.85
(1.05)
24.44
4.35 20.77 0
21.25
20.77 2.71
2 3 $2.71 (1 3) $0 18.06
C 2 ( D, D ) 1.72 15.35 0
(1.05)
23-19
38.02 13.02
C1 (U ) 33.06
2 3 $9.25 (1 3) $2.33 9.25 28.10 $3.10
(1.05) 28.75
6.61 28.10 $3.66
24.44
2.33 20.77 0
$25 C1 ( D )
5.25 2 3 $4.35 (1 3) $1.72 28.10 $6.85
(1.05)
24.44
4.35 20.77 0
21.25
3.31 20.77 2.71
23-20
23.4 Shutdown and Reopening Decisions
Can easily be seen as options.
The “Woe is Me” gold mine is currently closed.
The firm is publicly held and trades under the ticker WOE.
The firm has no debt and has assets of around $30 million.
The market capitalization is well over $6 billion
What could possibly explain why a firm with $30 million in
assets and a closed gold mine that is producing no cash
flow at all has this kind of market capitalization?
Options. This firm has them.
23-21
Discounted Cash Flows and Options
We can calculate the market value of a project as the
sum of the NPV of the project without options and
the value of the managerial options implicit in the
project.
M = NPV + OPT
A good example would be comparing the
desirability of a specialized machine versus a more
versatile machine. If they both cost about the same
and last the same amount of time, the more
versatile machine is more valuable because it
comes with options. 23-22
The Option to Abandon: Example
Suppose that we are drilling an oil well. The
drilling rig costs $300 today, and in one year
the well is either a success or a failure.
The outcomes are equally likely. The
discount rate is 10%.
The PV of the successful payoff at time one
is $575.
The PV of the unsuccessful payoff at time
one is $0.
23-23
The Option to Abandon: Example
Traditional NPV analysis would indicate rejection of the project.
Expected
0.5 $575 0.5 0 $287.5
payoff
$287.50
NPV $300 t
$38.64
(1.10)
23-24
The Option to Abandon: Example
Success: PV = $500
The firm has two decisions to make: drill or not, abandon or stay.
23-25
The Option to Abandon: Example
• When we include the value of the option to abandon, the
drilling project should proceed:
Expected
0.5 $575 0.5 250 $412.50
payoff
$412.50
NPV $300 t
$75.00
(1.10)
23-26
Valuation of the Option to Abandon
Recall that we can calculate the market value
of a project as the sum of the NPV of the
project without options and the value of the
managerial options implicit in the project.
M = NPV + OPT
$75.00 = –$38.64 + OPT
OPT = $113.64
23-27
Enron’s Inefficient Plants
In 1999 Enron planned to open gas-fired power plants in
Mississippi and Tennessee. These plants were expected
to sit idle most of the year and, when operated, to
produce electricity at a cost of at least 50 percent higher
than the most efficient state-of-the-art facility.
Enron was buying a put option on electricity. They
could sell electricity when electricity prices spike. The
typical price is around $40 per megawatt-hour, but
occasionally the price is several thousand dollars.
Having a plant that was only economic to operate a few
weeks a year was a positive NPV investment—when
you include the value of that option. 23-28
Quick Quiz
Explain how to value executive stock options.
Discuss how the option to expand increases the
value of start-up firms.
Explain how the option to shut down affects
the value of projects.
23-29