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Chapter 4 (A182)
Chapter 4 (A182)
Chapter 4 (A182)
TOPIC 4
MEASURING AND EVALUATING BANK
PERFORMANCE
INTRODUCTION
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Commercial bank is simply a business
corporation organized for the purpose of
maximizing the value of the shareholders’
wealth invested in the firm at an
acceptable level of risk
Thus, this topic centers on the most
important performance dimensions for any
bank – profitability and risk.
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Performance refers to how adequately a bank
meets the objectives of its stockholders
(owners), employees, depositors, and other
creditors.
At the same time, these financial institutions
must find a way to keep government regulators
satisfied that their operating policies, loans and
investments are sound, protecting the public
interest.
The success of these institutions in meeting the
expectations of others is usually revealed by a
careful and thorough analysis of their financial
statements.
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EVALUATING BANK PERFORMANCE
1. Internal performance
2. External performance
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Internal Performance
1. Bank planning – Objectives, Budgets,
Strategies
2. Technology
3. Personal Development – training,
incentives
4. Bank condition - CAMELS
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Determining the bank’s long-range
objectives
Bank performance must be directed
toward specific objectives
A fair evaluation of any bank’s
performance should start by
evaluating whether it has been able to
achieve the objectives its
management and stockholders have
chosen
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Maximizing the value of the firm
A key objective for any bank
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Formula:
P0 = D1
---------------------
r–g
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The value of the bank’s stock will tend to
rise in any of the following situations:
The value of the stream of future stockholder
dividends is expected to increase, due
perhaps to recent growth in some of the
markets served by the bank or because of
profitable acquisitions the banking
organization has made
The banking organization’s perceived level
of risk has fallen, due perhaps to an increase
in capital or a decrease in loan losses
Expected dividend increases combined with
declining risk, as perceived by investors in the
bank’s stock
10
Recent evidence has found that stock
values to be especially sensitive to
changes in:
Interest rates
Currency rates
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CAMELS
C – Capital adequacy
A – Asset quality
M – Management quality
E – Earning/profitability
L – Liquidity
S - Sensitivity to market risk
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Capital adequacy – reduce risk,
absorb losses, support the financing &
operation of a bank, provide
protection to depositors & other
creditors, public confidence.
Asset quality – determining the current
and future profitability of the bank.
- Loans exhibit the highest default rates,
hence, if NPLs increase, the asset
quality of a bank will deteriorate.
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Management quality – the
management has an overview of a
bank’s operations, manages the
quality of loans & has to ensure that
the bank is profitable.
Profitability – The most important
indicator of bank performance. The
popular ratios: ROA, ROE, and net
interest margin.
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Liquidity –to meet deposit withdrawals
and satisfy customer loan demand.
Liquidity refers to how fast and easy an
asset can be converted into cash.
If a bank suffers financial distress for
any reason, asset liquidity can be a
reserve that the bank can draw on in
the event its access to purchased
funds is reduced.
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Sensitivity to market risk
Market risk – changes in the interest
rate that might affects the market
value of a security
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External Performance
1. Market Share – equity/earnings,
technology
2. Regulatory compliance – capital,
lending
3. Public confidence – deposit
insurance, public image
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Evaluating Bank Performance
Profitability Ratios: A Surrogate for Stock
Values
Firm performance – stock price is the best
indicator because it reflects the market’s
evaluation
This indicator is not reliable in banking
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Key Profitability Ratios in Banking
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Return on Asset (ROA)
Net income after taxes
Total assets
ROA is primarily an indicator of managerial
efficiency
It indicates how capably the management
of the bank has been converting the
institution’s assets into net earnings
21
Net operating margin, net interest margin and
noninterest margin are efficiency measures as
well as profitability measures
The measures indicate how well management
and staff have been able to keep the growth of
revenues (which come primarily from the bank’s
loans, investments and service fees) ahead of
rising costs (principally the interest on deposits
and money market borrowings and employee
salaries and benefits)
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Net Interest Margin
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For most banks, the noninterest margin is
negative, noninterest costs generally outstrip
fee income, though bank fee income has
been rising rapidly in recent years as a
percentage of all bank revenues
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Net bank operating margin
(Total operating revenues – Total operating
expenses)
Total assets
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Earnings per share of stock (EPS)
Net income after taxes
common equity shares
outstanding
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In an effort to maximize profitability and the
value of the shareholders’ investment in the
bank, greater efficiency is vital
Efficiency – reduce operating expenses and
increase the productivity of bank employees
through the use of automated equipment and
improved employee training
Among the most revealing measures of a
bank’s operating efficiency and employee
productivity are:
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Operating Efficiency Ratio
Total operating expenses
Total operating revenues
Number of full-time-equivalent
employees
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MEASURING RISK IN BANKING
There are several types of risks in banking business:
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In this topic, the two (2) key focus of risks are:
1. Credit risk
2. Liquidity risk
Credit risk
The probability that some of a bank’s assets,
especially its loans, will decline in value and
perhaps become worthless.
The most widely used ratios for credit risk
indicator are:
i. Nonperforming assets ÷ total loans and leases
ii. Net charge-offs of loans ÷ total loans and
leases
iii. Annual provision for loans losses ÷ total loans
and leases 31
iv. Annual provision for loans losses ÷ equity
capital
v. Allowance for loan losses ÷ total loans and
leases
vi. Allowance for loan losses ÷ equity capital
34
WHY BANKS FAIL?
Recent studies have identified a few factors
that most failing banks seem to have in
common.
1. Problem in their loan portfolio
- Banks have inadequate systems for spotting
problem loans early.
- ‘Over lending’ in which borrower receives
larger loans than they can carry.
- Concentrating loans in one industry or in a
single group of businesses.
- Do not follow their own loan policies.
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2. Economy
Economic decline, with rising
unemployment, sluggish sales, and
increasing business failures.
Banks that control their expenses well and
find ways to reach into other market areas
are not experiencing economic decline.
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3. Leadership problems
BOD may lack knowledge of banking
and play only passive role in overseeing
the bank.
Mistake and lack of scruples among
senior managers who may not be
capable and honest.
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4.Expense control problems
Invest the bank’s money in lavish
offices and enjoy handsome fringe
benefits that the bank’s earning
cannot support.
5. Audit and control procedures
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THE IMPACT OF BANK SIZE ON PERFORMANCE
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THE IMPACT OF BANK SIZE ON PERFORMANCE
The largest banks also generally report the
highest (lease negative) noninterest margins
because they charge fees for so many of their
services.
In terms of balance-sheet ratios, many of which
reflect the various kinds of risk exposure banks
face, the smallest banks usually report higher
ratios of equity capital to assets.
40
THE IMPACT OF BANK SIZE ON
PERFORMANCE
Some bank analysts argue that larger banks
can get by with lower capital-to-asset cushions
because they are more diversified across many
different markets and have more risk-hedging
tools at their disposal.
Smaller banks appear to be more liquid, as
reflected in their lower ratios of total loans to
total deposits, because loans are often among
a bank’s least liquid assets.
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However, the biggest banks hold
larger proportion of cash assets
relative to total assets because they
hold the deposits of many smaller
banks. The biggest banks also appear
to carry greater credit risk as revealed
by their higher loan-loss ratios.
42