Business Mathematics and Statistics: Dr. Muhammad Arif Hussain

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Lecture 1

Business Mathematics and


Statistics

Dr. Muhammad Arif Hussain


Books
• Text Book: Applied Mathematics for Business,
Economics, and Social Sciences;
Frank S. Budnick, 4th Edition

Recommended:
• STATISTICS FOR BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS 11th Edition
By David R. Anderson, Dennis J. Sweeney
And Thomas A. Williams
Course Objectives
• Business Math is a business course designed to
prepare students for roles as entrepreneurs,
producers, and business leaders by developing
abilities and skills that are part of any business
environment.
• A solid understanding of math including algebra,
basic geometry, statistics and probability provides
the necessary foundation for students interested
in careers in business and skilled trades area.
• The content includes mathematical operations
related to finance, marketing, and management.
Grading

Total marks =100


Final Exam =50

• Hourly Exam = 15 marks


• 4 quizzes = 10
• 4 assignments = 10
• Project = 15
Course concepts and generalizations

1) Apply basic mathematical operations to solve problems.


2) Solve problems involving whole number, decimals,
fractions, percents, ratios, averages, and proportions.
3) Use algebraic operations to solve problems.
4) Use common international standards of measurement
when solving problems.
5) Analyze and interpret data using common statistical
procedures.
6) Use mathematical procedures to analyze and solve
business problems.
Course Outline

• Chapter 1: Some Preliminaries


• Chapter 2: Linear Equations
• Chapter 3: Systems of Linear Equations
• Chapter 4: Mathematical Functions
• Chapter 5: Linear functions: Applications
• Chapter 6: Quadratic and Polynomial
Functions
Course Outline

• Chapter 7: Exponential and Logarithmic


Functions
• Chapter 9: Matrix Algebra
• Chapter 8: Mathematics of Finance
• Chapter 13: Introduction to Probability Theory
• Chapter 14: Probability Distributions
Some Preliminaries
Chapter 1
Data and Statistics
• Applications in Business and Economics
• Data
• Data Sources
• Descriptive StatisticsStatistical Inference
Applications in
Business and Economics
• Accounting
Public accounting firms use statistical sampling
procedures when conducting audits for their clients.
• Finance
Financial advisors use a variety of statistical
information, including price-earnings ratios and
dividend yields, to guide their investment
recommendations.
• Marketing
Electronic point-of-sale scanners at retail checkout
counters are being used to collect data for a variety
of marketing research applications.
Applications in
Business and Economics
• Production
A variety of statistical quality control charts
are used to monitor the output of a
production process.
• Economics
Economists use statistical information in
making forecasts about the future of the
economy or some aspect of it.
Data
• Elements, Variables, and Observations
• Scales of Measurement
• Qualitative and Quantitative Data
• Cross-Sectional and Time Series Data
Data and Data Sets
• Data are the facts and figures that are
collected, summarized, analyzed, and
interpreted.
• The data collected in a particular study are
referred to as the data set.
Elements, Variables, and Observations
• The elements are the entities on which data
are collected.
• A variable is a characteristic of interest for the
elements.
• The set of measurements collected for a
particular element is called an observation.
• The total number of data values in a data set
is the number of elements multiplied by the
number of variables.
Elements, Variables, and
Observations
Variables
Stock Annual Earn/
Company Exchange Sales($M) Sh.($)
Dataram AMEX 73.10 0.86
EnergySouth OTC 74.00 1.67
Keystone NYSE 365.70 0.86
LandCare NYSE 111.40 0.33
Psychemedics AMEX 17.60 0.13

Elements Data Set Datum


Scales of Measurement
• Scales of measurement include:
– Nominal
– Ordinal
– Interval
– Ratio
• The scale determines the amount of information
contained in the data.
• The scale indicates the data summarization and
statistical analyses that are most appropriate.
Scales of Measurement
• Nominal
– Data are labels or names used to identify an
attribute of the element.
– A nonnumeric label or a numeric code may be
used.
Scales of Measurement
• Nominal
– Example:
Students of a university are classified by the school in
which they are enrolled using a nonnumeric label such
as Business, Humanities, Education, and so on.
Alternatively, a numeric code could be used for the
school variable (e.g. 1 denotes Business, 2 denotes
Humanities, 3 denotes Education, and so on).
Scales of Measurement
• Ordinal
– The data have the properties of nominal data
and the order or rank of the data is
meaningful.
– A nonnumeric label or a numeric code may be
used.
Scales of Measurement
• Ordinal
– Example:
Students of a university are classified by their class
standing using a nonnumeric label such as Freshman,
Sophomore, Junior, or Senior.
Alternatively, a numeric code could be used for the
class standing variable (e.g. 1 denotes Freshman, 2
denotes Sophomore, and so on).
Scales of Measurement
• Interval
– The data have the properties of ordinal data and
the interval between observations is expressed in
terms of a fixed unit of measure.
– Interval data are always numeric.
Scales of Measurement
• Interval
– Example:
Temperatures in Centigrade and Kelvin scales.
Scales of Measurement
• Ratio
– The data have all the properties of interval data
and the ratio of two values is meaningful.
– Variables such as distance, height, weight, and
time use the ratio scale.
– This scale must contain a zero value that
indicates that nothing exists for the variable at
the zero point.
Qualitative and Quantitative Data
• Data can be further classified as being
qualitative or quantitative.
• The statistical analysis that is appropriate
depends on whether the data for the
variable are qualitative or quantitative.
• In general, there are more alternatives for
statistical analysis when the data are
quantitative.
Qualitative Data
• Qualitative data are labels or names used to
identify an attribute of each element.
• Qualitative data use either the nominal or
ordinal scale of measurement.
• Qualitative data can be either numeric or
nonnumeric.
• The statistical analysis for qualitative data are
rather limited.
Quantitative Data
• Quantitative data indicate either how many or
how much.
– Quantitative data that measure how many are
discrete.
– Quantitative data that measure how much are
continuous because there is no separation between
the possible values for the data..
• Quantitative data are always numeric.
• Ordinary arithmetic operations are meaningful
only with quantitative data.
Cross-Sectional and Time Series Data
• Cross-sectional data are collected at the same
or approximately the same point in time.
– Example: data detailing the number of building
permits issued in June 2000 in each of the counties
of Texas
• Time series data are collected over several
time periods.
– Example: data detailing the number of building
permits issued in Travis County, Texas in each of
the last 36 months
Data Sources
• Existing Sources
– Data needed for a particular application might
already exist within a firm. Detailed
information is often kept on customers,
suppliers, and employees for example.
– Substantial amounts of business and economic
data are available from organizations that
specialize in collecting and maintaining data.
Data Sources
• Existing Sources
– Government agencies are another important
source of data.
– Data are also available from a variety of industry
associations and special-interest organizations.
Data Sources
• Internet
– The Internet has become an important source of
data.
– Most government agencies, like the Bureau of the
Census (www.census.gov), make their data
available through a web site.
– More and more companies are creating web sites
and providing public access to them.
– A number of companies now specialize in making
information available over the Internet.
Data Sources
• Statistical Studies
– Statistical studies can be classified as either
experimental or observational.
– In experimental studies the variables of interest
are first identified. Then one or more factors are
controlled so that data can be obtained about how
the factors influence the variables.
– In observational (non-experimental) studies no
attempt is made to control or influence the
variables of interest.
• A survey is perhaps the most common type of
observational study.
Data Acquisition Considerations
• Time Requirement
– Searching for information can be time consuming.
– Information might no longer be useful by the time
it is available.
• Cost of Acquisition
– Organizations often charge for information even
when it is not their primary business activity.
• Data Errors
– Using any data that happens to be available or that
were acquired with little care can lead to poor and
misleading information.
Descriptive Statistics
• Descriptive statistics are the tabular,
graphical, and numerical methods used to
summarize data.
Example: Hudson Auto Repair

The manager of Hudson Auto would like to have


a better understanding of the cost of parts used in the
engine tune-ups performed in the shop. She examines
50 customer invoices for tune-ups. The costs of parts,
rounded to the nearest dollar, are listed below.

91 78 93 57 75 52 99 80 97 62
71 69 72 89 66 75 79 75 72 76
104 74 62 68 97 105 77 65 80 109
85 97 88 68 83 68 71 69 67 74
62 82 98 101 79 105 79 69 62 73
Example: Hudson Auto Repair
• Tabular Summary (Frequencies and Percent
Frequencies)
Parts Percent
Cost ($) Frequency Frequency
50-59 2 4
60-69 13 26
70-79 16 32
80-89 7 14
90-99 7 14
100-109 5 10
Total 50 100
Example: Hudson Auto Repair
• Graphical Summary (Histogram)
18
16
14
Frequency

12
10
8
6
4
2
Parts
50 60 70 80 90 100 110 Cost ($)
Example: Hudson Auto Repair
• Numerical Descriptive Statistics
– The most common numerical descriptive statistic
is the average (or mean).
– Hudson’s average cost of parts, based on the 50
tune-ups studied, is $79 (found by summing the
50 cost values and then dividing by 50).
Statistical Inference

 Statistical inference is the process of using data


obtained from a small group of elements (the sample)
to make estimates and test hypotheses about the
characteristics of a larger group of elements (the
population).
Example: Hudson Auto Repair
• Process of Statistical Inference
1. Population
consists of all 2. A sample of 50
tune-ups. Average engine tune-ups
cost of parts is is examined.
unknown.

4. The value of the 3. The sample data


sample average is used provide a sample
to make an estimate of average cost of
the population average. $79 per tune-up.

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