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Rana - Ashrae Final-1
Rana - Ashrae Final-1
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POTENTIAL ENERGY SAVING
Energy Target of
Consumption Per Energy
Sector Potential of EC
Sector Year 2012 Conservation
(Million BOE) *) Sectoral (2025)
Commercial (incl.
34 (4,4%) 10 – 30% 15%
hotel)
Others
(Agriculture,
26 (3,4%) 25% -
Construction,
and Mining)
source: Draft National Energy Conservation Master Plan (RIKEN) 2011
Question :
1. How to achieve those target?
2. What condition to make it happened?
Saving Target
For Commercial : 15% ??
As individual building, or
Confused !!!
As portfolio / aggregate ?
4
NewBuilding
New Building ExistingBuilding
Existing Building
(aggregate)
(individual) (aggregate)
(individual)
Potential Saving
Saving Indivi- Potential Saving
Saving Indivi-
(Individual)
dual ::35%
20% - 60% (Individual) : 10% - 50%
dual : 11.2%
1 (one) of 10 (ten)
1 (one) of 7 (seven)
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No of Buildings :
5% New Construction
95% Existing Building
5.00%
95.00%
New Building
Existing Building
95%
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All Building (New + Existing) - Aggregate
Existing Building
New Building
New
Building 15% 35% 5,6%
1,3%
Existing
Building 10% 11.2% 1,1%
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Energy Saving Simulations
8
Sensitivity Analysis – Penetration Rate
12% 11.40%
10.40%
10% 9.30%
8.20%
8% CONSTANT : 7.10%
- Pen Rate NB = 15%
- Saving NB = 35% 6.10%
6% - Saving EB = 11.2%
5.00% CONSTANT :
- Pen Rate EB = 10%
3.90% - Saving NB = 35%
4% - Saving EB = 11.2%
2.80%
1.80%
2% 2.30% 2.40%
2.00% 2.20%
1.80% 1.90%
1.50% 1.60%
1.20% 1.30%
0%
10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
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Sensitivity Analysis – Energy Saving
6%
5.00%
CONSTANT :
- Saving NB = 35% 4.00%
4% - Pen Rate NB = 15%
- Pen Rate NB = 10%
3.10%
CONSTANT :
- Saving EB = 11.2%
2.10% - Pen Rate NB = 15%
- Pen Rate EB = 10%
2%
1.20%
1.19% 1.25%
1.08% 1.14%
1.00%
0%
10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0%
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Roads map for energy efficiency 15%
Avg
Annual 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Change
Existing buildings 100 105.0 110.3 115.8 121.6 127.6 134.0 140.7 147.7 155.1 162.9
Floor area
New buildings 5% 5 5.3 5.5 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.7 7.0 7.4 7.8 8.1
m2
TOTALAREA 105 110.3 115.8 121.6 127.6 134.0 140.7 147.7 155.1 162.9 171.0
Penetrati
Existing buildings
on Rate to 10% 12% 14% 17% 20% 22% 26% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Previous
Year New buildings
15% 18.7% 22.4% 28.0% 33.6% 37.3% 44.7% 52.1% 61.4% 70.7% 80%
Existing buildings
Saving vs -11% -12.2% -13.3% -15.0% -16.8% -17.9% -20.2% -22.5% -25.4% -28.3% -31.2%
2015
New buildings
-35% -35.9% -36.7% -38.0% -39.3% -40.1% -41.9% -43.6% -45.7% -47.9% -50%
Existing buildings -10% 250 246.4 245.3 243.6 241.6 240.1 236.8 233.1 227.8 221.7 214.9
EEI
New buildings -15% 200 186.6 183.5 178.7 173.6 170.1 162.6 154.6 143.8 132.3 120.0
(kwh/m2)
TOTALEEI 248 243.5 242.4 240.5 238.4 236.8 233.3 229.4 223.8 217.4 210.4
TOTALENERGYREDUCTION
0.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.4% 5.8% 7.4% 9.6% 12.2% 15.0%
vs2015
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Road Map to Achieve EE Goals
Energy Scenario Projection
90.0% 60%
80.0%
80.0%
50.0%
47.9% 50%
45.7% 70.7%
70.0% 43.6%
41.9%
39.3% 40.1% 61.4%
60.0% 38.0% 40%
36.7%
Penetration Rate %
35.9%
% Energy Savings
35.0%
52.1%
50.0% 31.2%
44.7% 28.3% 30%
25.4% 45.0%
40.0% 37.3%
22.5% 40.0%
33.6%
20.2% 35.0%
30.0% 28.0% 17.9% 20%
16.8% 30.0%
15.0%
22.4%
13.3% 26.0%
12.2%
18.7% 15.0%
20.0% 11.0% 22.0%
15.0% 20.0% 12.2%
17.0% 9.6% 10%
14.0% 7.4%
10.0% 12.0%
10.0% 5.8%
3.7% 4.4%
2.1% 2.9%
1.7%
0.0% 0.0% 0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Pen Rate Existing buildings Pen Rate New buildings Existing Building Saving
New Building Saving TOTAL SAVING vs 2015
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Calculation Result for 15% Target
NEW BUILDING :
Penetration Rate : growth from 15% to 80% within 10 years
Individual saving : growth from 35% to 50% within 10 years
EXISTING BUILDING :
Penetration Rate : growth from 10% to 45% within 10 years
Individual saving : growth from 11.2% to 31.2% within 10 years
IMPORTANT POINTS :
Not easy to achieve national target even the goals is “only” 15%
Need a serious and focus effort to achieve this energy saving
by :
“DEEP and LARGE EFFICIENCY”
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Some highlight from analysis to achieved
EE target of 15% on 2020 :
“Deep & Large Energy Efficiency” can only be achieved
with a scenario which is not popular :
Not enough only by voluntary basis scenario
Not enough only by doing socialization
Should be done by applying a regulation on mandatory basis
with law enforcement i.e. Building Energy Code
Provided with incentive and disincentive scheme
Government intervention become an absolute factor with
mandatory scenario and incentive policy
To focus on existing building (not only New Building)
ESCO role is quite important.
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Building Energy Code/
Labeling
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Building Energy Quotient
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BEQ Rating Types
In Operation Rating As Designed Rating
Assessment of building’s Assessment of building’s
system, maintenance and physical characteristics and
operation systems
Actual metered energy use Simulated standardized
Applicable after 12-18 months modelling energy use
of operation Aplicable to both new and
Influenced by operational existing buildings
and occupancy variables Independent of operational
Improved by adjusting and occupancy variables
operating & maintenance Improved only by upgrading
procedures or upgrading building fabric or systems
building fabric
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BEQ Rating Scale
Letter grade based on a score
from a dimensionless rating scale
Zero point on scale set to zero
net energy
Median value (=100) set to U.S.
MEDIAN= 100 median EUI for each building
type
Score can go below zero for net
energy producing buildings
Score exceeds 100 for “inefficient”
and unsatisfactory” buildings
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BEQ Rating Scale
Scale Range Rating Description NEW BUILDING :
≤0 A+ Zero Net Energy
BEQ Rating =
1-25 A High Performance
( EEImeasured / EEImedian ) x 100
26-55 A- Very Good
56-85 B Efficient
EXISTING BUILDING :
86-115 C Average
116-145 D Inefficient BEQ Rating =
>145 F Unsatisfactory ( EEImodelling / EEImedian ) x 100
MEDIAN : The number separating the higher half of a data sample, from the
lower half, i.e. the middle value. Baseline EEI is based on CBECS median EEI
for each corresponding building type in the same climate type
Example: A dataset consists of five number : 3 ; 8 ; 4 ; 1 ;9
- Sort the dataset in ascending order 1 – 3 – 4 – 8 - 9
- The number that is placed in the middle is 4, therefore the median is 4
Need “data collection, monitoring management” continuesly since this is
a progressive process
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Progressive BEQ Rating Scale
ME
DI
AN
MEDIAN-1
MEDIAN-2
MEDIAN-3
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BEQ Certification
BEQ Program requires an ASHRAE certified
professional or a Professional Engineer licensed in the
jurisdiction where the project is located
o Building Energy Assessment Professional (BEAP) for
the In Operation rating
o Building Energy Modeling Professional (BEMP) for
the As Designed rating
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BEQ Process
Find a BEAP, BEMP, or Professional Engineers (PE)
Do the rating by following the guidelines in the
provided workbook (simulation for As Designed,
energy audit for In Operation)
If done by PE, the workbook has to be submitted for
review to ASHRAE
The building owner will then receive the workbook
with rating, certificate, dashboard and plaque for
display
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BEAP Requirements
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BEMP Requirements
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How To Be BEAP or BEMP?
Apply online through:
- BEAP: www.ashrae.org/BEAP
- BEMP: www.ashrae.org/BEMP
Schedule an examination. Exam fee :
- ASHRAE Member : $295
- Non-member : $415
Study independently for the exam. Available resources
are identified in The Candidate Guidebook
Take the exam at the chosen location
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Conclusion
National Energy Efficiency target should be carried out through research
studies, develop database for monitoring and managing the data and
prepare a road map for EE target